February Rankings – Outfield

by
February 13, 2017

Welcome to the kickoff of our 2017 rankings. We’re going position by position this week and next with our initial roll out of rankings. We will update these in March based on Spring Training activity and injuries.

We’re using Yahoo! eligibility requirements which is 5 starts or 10 appearances. These rankings assume the standard 5×5 categories and a re-draft league. If we forgot someone, please let us know in the comments and we’ll make sure he’s added for the updates. If you have questions for a specific ranker on something he did, let us know in the comments. We can also be reached via Twitter:

There will be differences, sharp differences, within the rankings. The rankers have different philosophies when it comes to ranking, some of which you’re no doubt familiar with through previous iterations. Of course the idea that we’d all think the same would be silly because then what would be the point of including multiple rankers?! Think someone should be higher or lower? Make a case. Let us know why you think that. The chart is sortable.

If a ranker didn’t rank someone that the others did, he was given that ranker’s last rank +1.

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  • AVG– just the average of the seven ranking sets
  • AVG– the average minus the high and low rankings
  • SPLIT– the difference between the high and low rankings
February OF Rankings
Rk NAME Paul S Brad Mike Jeff Al Justin AVG Adj. AVG Split
1 Mike Trout 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
2 Mookie Betts 2 3 2 2 2 2 2.2 2 1
3 Kris Bryant 4 2 3 5 3 3 3.3 3.3 3
4 Bryce Harper 3 6 10 3 4 4 5 4.3 7
5 Trea Turner 9 5 4 4 9 7 6.3 6.3 5
6 Charlie Blackmon 5 4 5 11 15 6 7.7 6.8 11
7 Starling Marte 7 9 8 12 8 5 8.2 8 7
8 Nelson Cruz 11 7 14 8 5 8 8.8 8.5 9
9 Giancarlo Stanton 8 8 18 7 7 12 10 8.8 11
10 Ryan Braun 6 11 9 15 11 9 10.2 10 9
11 A.J. Pollock 13 10 6 17 10 10 11 10.8 11
12 J.D. Martinez 12 15 7 16 6 14 11.7 12 10
13 George Springer 10 12 11 14 13 11 11.8 11.8 4
14 Carlos Gonzalez 17 20 16 6 17 15 15.2 16.3 14
15 Ian Desmond 15 22 12 13 14 20 16 15.5 10
16 Yoenis Cespedes 22 14 17 24 12 17 17.7 17.5 12
17 Justin Upton 18 21 19 10 20 19 17.8 19 11
18 Andrew McCutchen 14 29 15 19 18 13 18 16.5 16
19 Christian Yelich 16 16 27 27 16 16 19.7 18.8 11
20 Gregory Polanco 19 18 23 20 23 24 21.2 21.3 6
21 Wil Myers 20 13 30 23 25 21 22 22.3 17
22 Jose Bautista 21 17 34 18 19 29 23 21.8 17
23 Khris Davis 24 27 13 21 28 27 23.3 24.8 15
24 Mark Trumbo 23 44 24 9 21 25 24.3 23.3 35
25 Adam Jones 33 37 20 22 33 22 27.8 27.5 17
26 Billy Hamilton 30 36 29 29 30 18 28.7 29.5 18
27 Kyle Schwarber 44 19 37 22.5 22 31 29.3 28.1 25
28 Matt Kemp 34 24 21 28 24 50 30.2 27.5 29
29 David Dahl 32 26 52 25 29 28 32 28.8 27
30 Jose Ramirez 38 31 26 30 36 36 32.8 33.3 12
31 Lorenzo Cain 36 38 32 42 31 23 33.7 34.3 19
32 Miguel Sano 53 23 35 26 42 26 34.2 32.3 30
33 Jackie Bradley Jr. 28 30 31 40 34 46 34.8 33.8 18
34 Stephen Piscotty 29 40 28 54 40 32 37.2 35.3 26
35 Odubel Herrera 27 25 41 61 27 49 38.3 36 36
36 Carlos Gomez 43 50 38 31 37 33 38.7 37.8 19
37 Adam Eaton 26 43 43 67 26 30 39.2 35.5 41
38 Marcell Ozuna 25 49 45 36 43 38 39.3 40.5 24
39 Hunter Pence 31 34 53 34 47 40 39.8 38.8 22
40 Jose Peraza 42 28 22 38 67 44 40.2 38 45
41 Andrew Benintendi 35 35 50 53 32 37 40.3 39.3 21
42 Joc Pederson 39 39 59 35 41 42 42.5 40.3 24
43 Kole Calhoun 45 32 42 43 44 52 43 43.5 20
44 Kendrys Morales 51 46 33 50 51 43 45.7 47.5 18
45 Adam Duvall 61 57 25 33 39 60 45.8 47.3 36
46 Ben Zobrist 52 42 49 59 45 41 48 47 18
47 Kevin Kiermaier 37 58 36 41 46 71 48.2 45.5 35
48 Matt Holliday 49 64 47 39 50 53 50.3 49.8 25
49 Dexter Fowler 54 33 69 77 38 39 51.7 50 44
50 Carlos Beltran 55 48 58 44 53 56 52.3 53 14
51 Willson Contreras 68 45 40 92 35 45 54.2 49.5 57
52 Randal Grichuk 50 55 57 52 48 65 54.5 53.5 17
53 Nomar Mazara 40 63 80 49 64 34 55 54 46
54 Yasiel Puig 48 70 70 37 73 35 55.5 56.3 38
55 Byron Buxton 41 60 85 45 49 55 55.8 52.3 44
56 Jason Heyward 47 52 60 60 56 69 57.3 57 22
57 Keon Broxton 57 79 48 58 60 47 58.2 55.8 32
58 Rajai Davis 56 51 66 48 76 58 59.2 57.8 28
59 Ender Inciarte 58 67 39 73 54 67 59.7 61.5 34
60 Jay Bruce 46 96 63 46 52 62 60.8 55.8 50
61 Curtis Granderson 67 47 62 64 62 63 60.8 62.8 20
62 Melky Cabrera 59 61 44 62 66 76 61.3 62 32
63 Josh Reddick 63 53 78 32 81 73 63.3 66.8 49
64 Corey Dickerson 62 72 74 56 55 64 63.8 63.5 19
65 Shin-Soo Choo 66 59 65 47 71 77 64.2 65.3 30
66 David Peralta 69 74 54 66 59 75 66.2 67 21
67 Max Kepler 60 84 82 57 69 48 66.7 67 36
68 Michael Brantley 70 41 68 63 79 81 67 70 40
69 Jacoby Ellsbury 75 65 56 70 86 61 68.8 67.8 30
70 Yasmany Tomas 80 71 46 87 58 80 70.3 72.3 41
71 Brett Gardner 73 62 71 89 80 51 71 71.5 38
72 Domingo Santana 86 54 72 76 57 84 71.5 72.3 32
73 Hunter Renfroe 74 78 67 71 78 68 72.7 72.8 11
74 Leonys Martin 64 76 88 51 87 79 74.2 76.5 37
75 Travis Jankowski 76 88 61 55 83 86 74.8 76.5 33
76 Alex Gordon 81 73 55 69 84 101 77.2 76.8 46
77 Kevin Pillar 65 92 64 65 95 85 77.7 76.8 31
78 Jorge Soler 78 100 73 97 63 57 78 77.8 43
79 Brandon Moss 84 66 91 72 90 74 79.5 80 25
80 Jarrod Dyson 79 98 86 90 75 59 81.2 82.5 39
81 Josh Bell 85 81 75 93 88 66 81.3 82.3 27
82 Michael Saunders 77 77 94 81 93 70 82 82 24
83 Manuel Margot 71 94 87 80 77 90 83.2 83.5 23
84 Jayson Werth 96 56 81 88 82 97 83.3 86.8 41
85 Hernan Perez 108 85 92 99 70 54 84.7 86.5 54
86 Michael Conforto 83 68 107 121 65 72 86 82.5 56
87 Cameron Maybin 90 69 89 95 96 88 87.8 90.5 27
88 Mitch Haniger 87 125 79 82 74 82 88.2 82.5 51
89 Howie Kendrick 109 83 51 83 100 107 88.8 93.3 58
90 Denard Span 82 111 77 79 92 93 89 86.5 34
91 Steven Souza Jr. 89 86 97 75 97 99 90.5 92.3 24
92 Tyler Naquin 100 115 96 84 68 89 92 92.3 47
93 Brandon Drury 72 97 101 120 72 91 92.2 90.3 48
94 Nick Markakis 98 91 83 96 91 100 93.2 94 17
95 Aaron Judge 116 101 84 74 102 92 94.8 94.8 42
96 Scott Schebler 104 105 103 68 98 96 95.7 100.3 37
97 Steve Pearce 93 87 106 100 94 94 95.7 95.3 19
98 Kolten Wong 101 75 98 103 99 102 96.3 100 28
99 Andrew Toles 91 116 99 106 89 87 98 96.3 29
100 Danny Valencia 95 103 113 94 105 95 100.8 99.5 19
101 Hyun Soo Kim 97 104 100 86 118 110 102.5 102.8 32
102 Seth Smith 112 106 105 105 101 103 105.3 104.8 11
103 Alex Dickerson 105 82 93 117 132 108 106.2 105.8 50
104 Avisail Garcia 99 140 95 78 116 113 106.8 105.8 62
105 Jurickson Profar 88 113 125 121 115 83 107.5 109.3 42
106 Charlie Tilson 126 90 76 121 122 114 108.2 111.8 50
107 Chris Owings 113 93 109 121 113 104 108.8 109.8 28
108 Lonnie Chisenhall 128 80 102 112 112 122 109.3 112 48
109 Matt Joyce 103 136 104 111 85 121 110 109.8 51
110 Roman Quinn 92 132 131 121 110 78 110.7 113.5 54
111 Melvin Upton Jr. 121 95 110 115 107 117 110.8 112.3 26
112 Colby Rasmus 106 112 118 102 103 127 111.3 109.8 25
113 Eddie Rosario 114 144 112 104 106 109 114.8 110.3 40
114 Mallex Smith 107 99 122 121 126 115 115 116.3 27
115 Jon Jay 118 109 123 121 114 105 115 115.5 18
116 Derek Dietrich 122 89 111 113 139 118 115.3 116 50
117 Nick Franklin 115 110 131 91 121 124 115.3 117.5 40
118 Ben Revere 94 118 131 121 117 112 115.5 117 37
119 Aaron Altherr 102 107 131 121 131 106 116.3 116.3 29
120 Angel Pagan 119 108 131 101 123 120 117 117.5 30





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

46 Comments
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Nasty Nate
9 years ago

Am I right in thinking that OF is really deep for mixed leagues this year compared to other positions? (even when we peel away Bryant, Turner, Schwarber etc for other positions)

0
Jeff ZimmermanFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago
Reply to  Nasty Nate

I don’t know about deep, but I find the talent very flat. I am waiting to fill 2 to 3 of my OF slots right at the end. I am using these spots to help balance my SB/HR mix.

4
Ryan
9 years ago
Reply to  Nasty Nate

I’m not seeing it that way, even for something relatively shallow like my home 10-teamer. Once we get past about 25-30 OFs, I feel like I’m either focused strictly on a certain category, or I’m crossing my fingers and taking some fliers.

1
WalterBishop
9 years ago
Reply to  Nasty Nate

I actually think the position is very thin. After 20 there are few names that excite me. In fact, the names that do are probably going to be kept in my league. I think OF is a dumpster fire to be honest.

0
Nasty Nate
9 years ago
Reply to  Nasty Nate

Interesting. Thanks for the replies, guys. I was thinking players like Dahl, Eaton, JBJ, Pederson, Benintendi etc were better than normal for a roto 3rd outfielder attained relatively inexpensively, but maybe I’m underestimating the OF pool of past years.

0
Anonymous
9 years ago
Reply to  Nasty Nate

In my experience so far, all of those guys will cost a mid- or late-mid round pick in 12-team drafts. Not back-breakingly expensive, but not exactly free either.

Your mileage may vary.

0
Bobby A.
9 years ago

Interestingly high on Matt Kemp.

0
mitchy
9 years ago
Reply to  Bobby A.

really? he was #7 last year among outfielders on the ESPN player rater. Not a sexy pick anymore, and he deserves a ding or two if you’re in an OBP league, but otherwise a pretty solid bet for top-30 value.

0
RonnieDobbs
9 years ago
Reply to  Bobby A.

What reason is there to not be high on him from a fantasy perspective? WAR hates him and he has a big contract, but that is not a fantasy owner’s problem.

2
Justin MasonFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago
Reply to  Bobby A.

Well, I am not. I am too afraid of the arthritic hips. I’d feel better about him if he was in the AL and he could DH.

1
balancedman178
9 years ago

Whats with the fear of ben revere? Read several articles including one from Fangraphs on his likely resurgence with improved health, considering his relative consistency prior to the injury last year.

0
jemcclaMember since 2024
9 years ago
Reply to  balancedman178

As of now, it looks like the Angels plan on starting Maybin in left, so he’ll have limited playing time until someone (Maybin) gets hurt.

2
AnonMember since 2025
9 years ago
Reply to  balancedman178

Besides the fact that he hits with zero power, he’s going to timeshare with Maybin and there are no plate appearances at DH to hand out to either of them with Pujols around. He doesn’t even have a whole lot of hope filling in at the other 2 spots because neither Trout (games last 4 years: 159, 159, 157, 157) nor Calhoun (157, 159) miss many games.

2
Justin MasonFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago
Reply to  balancedman178

Playing time.

0
wash_hts_gold
9 years ago

Stanton – When do we assume that he is too injury prone to invest a high pick/ big $$ in?

0
Jeff ZimmermanFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago
Reply to  wash_hts_gold

I examined young “injury prone” hitters at BHQ ($$$) and found no link. I may have his PA too low.

0
Brad JohnsonMember
9 years ago
Reply to  wash_hts_gold

His injuries are also mostly fluky. I’m still calling him unlucky rather than injury prone. I’ll worry about it 3 years when his swing starts to slow down.

0
Anonymous
9 years ago
Reply to  wash_hts_gold

More concerning is if you believe in the league-wide power surge, Stanton’s one elite fantasy asset (dingerz) is devalued relative to previous years.

0
Justin MasonFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago
Reply to  wash_hts_gold

Even if you take the injury risk out of it, which I don’t think you can, at what point do we start to realize that Stanton isn’t much more than a 2-3 category producer? How different is he from Chris Davis? Or Khris Davis? Sure he has a bit more batting average upside, but he really isn’t running anymore. He hasn’t hit over .265 since 2014. Steamer has him projected at 37hr/81runs/88rbis/3sbs/.269avg. I’ll take the under on all of those except RBIs and possibly home runs, but that is close.

0
balancedman178
9 years ago

Is Judge worth keeping for $5 in an AL only league? Just seems too likely to fail and go back to AAA, it sucks I even feel compelled to ask because of the power but I’m wondering if I can find someone else more safe or with more upside for that price or lower (someone like Ben Revere, who I asked about in a separate comment).

0
Brad JohnsonMember
9 years ago
Reply to  balancedman178

I don’t think that’s a must keep or cut at that price. You’re free to let your roster, opportunity costs, and league history make the decision for you.

0
MattabattacolaMember since 2026
9 years ago

Is Kris Bryant more or less valuable as a 3B only?

0
erikfanclubpresMember since 2025
9 years ago
Reply to  Mattabattacola

wat?

1
Brad JohnsonMember
9 years ago
Reply to  Mattabattacola

Well, fewer positions are always less valuable. But it wouldn’t actually affect his draft spot.

1
sharkmgs
9 years ago

The Tigers starting CF platoon doesn’t even rank in the top 120. Heck of a job by our GM.

1
AnonMember since 2025
9 years ago

I was going to post that there must be an error and Kendrys Morales doesn’t belong on this list but holy smokes, he did get 5 starts in RF last year. Won’t make him eligible in every league but it will in Yahoo standard leagues. In fact, he has multi-position eligibility with 1B as well (7 G, 6 GS)

2
Draftbackwards
9 years ago

I am curious where Eric Thames is ranked. He isn’t in the chart. He is OF-only in Yahoo right now…I am higher on him than most people as I view him a low-risk high reward type.

12
Brad JohnsonMember
9 years ago
Reply to  Draftbackwards

I ranked him 19 among 1B if I recall. I did not know Yahoo botched the eligibility. Figures.

3
Justin MasonFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago
Reply to  Draftbackwards

He would be 69th for me. In between Renfroe and Heyward.

0
Choos on first
9 years ago

I’m curious about Jeff’s ranking of CarGo, I love the guy a lot more than most, but to rank him above Stanton, Cruz, and Upton? Sure the AVG was nice last year, but the HR’s tanked from 2015, and the AVG was supported by a .346 BABIP, and he doesn’t have the same wheels that he did in 2013 when he last posted a BABIP over .340.

I’m just not sure who to expect this year. The 2015 CarGo with a BABIP in the .280’s and power to spare, last year’s CarGo with decent power, and good counting stats with a plus plus AVG? Something in between? Another injury shortened year? I’d roll the dice on him going into this season, but not at the price of the 6th OF off the board. I’d probably gamble on Polanco’s youth and 20-20 potential before I’d take CarGo, and Jeff has him 14 picks after him despite the similar power output, better walk rate, similar K%, and likely improving R/RBI production as he should be put into a better spot in the order out of the gate.

0
Brad JohnsonMember
9 years ago
Reply to  Choos on first

Jeff has a very projection heavy approach.

0
Anonymous
9 years ago
Reply to  Choos on first

Steamer has CarGo and Stanton as a pick-em in standard. Inflated BABIP on a coors guy is not that unusual.

0
Fromage
9 years ago

Could anyone indicate the assumed # of plate appearances corresponding to the ranking of Dahl at 29? Depth charts shows 616, which seems very steep for a player whose manager says has to compete to be a starter. Consider also fangraph’s article from early January, questioning if Dahl might start the year in the minors.

Similarly, wondering what qty of plate appearances underlies pederson’s ranking.

0
Brad JohnsonMember
9 years ago
Reply to  Fromage

Well that’s very complicated. I probably expect between 350 and 675 PA. That wide range of volatility is reflected in my ranking.

I basically view Pederson as a 160 games OFer. I haven’t researched him recently.

0
dudleyMember since 2026
9 years ago

are there specific concerns for beltran, other than age? he hit a .358 wOBA and nearly reached 600 PAs last yr. i’m thinking steamer is being too bullish on him.

0
Joseph
9 years ago
Reply to  dudley

Playing time concerns and less of a hitter’s environment than Texas and NYY, for starters. Age doesn’t help.

1
dudleyMember since 2026
9 years ago
Reply to  Joseph

oops, i meant bearish, but your explanation makes sense. i forgot about the park factors.

0
nickolai
9 years ago

Also curious why Jeff has Trumbo so high at #9. There are easily 12-15 guys he’s ranked behind Trumbo that I would pick over him.

0
jpgMember since 2020
9 years ago

Jeff, what’s up with your Herrera and Eaton rankings? Just curious because everyone is in 25-49 range on those guys and you have them both in the 60s. Eaton in particular at 67 behind, among others, Melky, Kepler, and Peralta? Thirty-five spots Reddick? Thirty behind Puig?

0
Jeff ZimmermanFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago

Most of my ranking differences aren’t huge differences once we get lower in the draft. Looking over some the projections, most of the variance (Trumbo, Eaton) come from differences in playing time estimates. I find from now until the beginning of the season is when these values get perfected.

0
Choos on first
9 years ago
Reply to  Jeff Zimmerman

CarGo 6th is still a bit of a mystery to me though.

0
carterMember since 2020
9 years ago
Reply to  Choos on first

I agree. Cargo is one of my favorite players to watch, but to rank him over Blackmon is odd.

0
Paul SporerFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago

FYI: Busy all day Monday, but I’ll jump in these comments tonight or tomorrow

0
AzizalMember since 2017
9 years ago

The results on Yelich are hilarious. Apparently he is either 16th or 27th, there is no other choice!

2
Justin MasonFanGraphs Staff
9 years ago
Reply to  Azizal

It is amazing how that happens in spite of the fact none of us are coordinating.

1
mauro1Member since 2016
9 years ago

Does anyone know if/when 2017 player profiles are going up on the player pages?

0