Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire and FAAB Chat

Note: I forgot about the including the Tout Wars FAAB bids until the 8:18 point.

7:30

Ben: is Lucchesi an add in 13 team mixed redraft?

7:30

Brian : Is Lucchesi worth one my only six FA moves for the entire year?

7:30

KilleBrews: Joey Luchessi?  Can he continue to succeed with what seems a two pitch mix?

7:32

Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not a huge fan of Luchessi but I think he’s worth taking a chance on. The stats have been great with a K/9 over 9 and a 1.72 ERA.

7:32

Jeff Zimmerman: Tempered optimism.

7:33

Billy: What’s the deal with Betances? Should I move past him?

7:33

Jeff Zimmerman: He doesn’t seem to be his elite self. I have some notion he’s hurt but nothing is public.

7:33

Bill: when will Senzel get called up?  Senzel or Andujar for 2018?

7:35

Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not sure when the callups will happen. No idea. I was for sure the Reds would hold off until after the Super-2 deadline to call him up until Suarez’s injury

7:35

Jeff Zimmerman: Senzel, better talent

7:35

TheDude: Would you drop Grichuk for Teoscar Hernandez in a 12 team mixed as an upside play?

7:36

Jeff Zimmerman: I’m worried Hernandez will be in a platoon with Pearce and it’s tough to roster a platoon player in a 12-teamer

7:36

Jonah Hill: Are we thinking Ryan McMahon ends up back in AAA soon if he can’t improve the batting line by the time Nolan’s suspension ends?

7:37

Jeff Zimmerman: I have no idea what the Rockies are doing with McMahon. I bet he heads back to bench warming

7:37

Tsuyoshi Shinjo: 12 team roto 8×8: Brantley+Fowler for Corey Seager?

7:37

Jeff Zimmerman: Seager side

7:37

Jason: How would you prioritize lucchesi and yonny chirinos in a  h2h points league. Also Jose pirela is doing really well right now. Would you drop him for the upside of senzel?

7:38

Jeff Zimmerman: I think Chirinos is the better talent but I’m worried about him leading some “Bullpen” days

7:38

Jeff Zimmerman: Again, Senzel

7:39

Steve : What’s up tonight? Do I drop Giles for Hader? W Ramos for W Castillo? Thanks

7:40

Jeff Zimmerman: No much. Keep Giles if Saves is a category. I was a Ramos fan coming into the season and a couple weeks of games hasn’t changed my mind

7:40

Andy: Ros tank h2h Sano, Kinsler, Beltre?

7:40

Jeff Zimmerman: Beltre unless you need HR, than Sano

7:41

Mr. Jazzy Jay: Hey, Jeff — love your content; keep up the good work! I’m in a 12-team H2H mixed/forever-keeper league with BA and OBP as categories. J.P. Crawford was dropped early on prior to his very hot hitting week this week. Are you a believer? And if so, how much $$ am I spending?

7:41

Jeff Zimmerman: I finally sat him for a week and then he goes off. In a 12-teamer, maybe no more than 5%

7:41

Bobby G: Jeff thank you again for doing these chats, they really are a great help…would you drop Ryan Zimmerman to add Luis Valbuena?

7:42

Jeff Zimmerman: Bobby, I need more context than this

7:42

JD vs the Monster: Franchy Cordero or Derek Fisher?

7:43

Jeff Zimmerman: Cordero based entirely that he may end up with a full-time role

7:43

Ray Durham Bulls: Rays looking at activating Brad Miller this week. They can give him at bats. Does he get back over 20 HRs with any kind of playable peripherals?

7:43

Jeff Zimmerman: I doubt it but if the league is deep enough, stash on your bench to see how he starts out.

7:44

All Things Equal: Dynasty keeper: Ian Happ or Scott Kingery for the next five years?

7:44

Jeff Zimmerman: Kingery and it’s not close

7:44

Bobby G: Do you rank Yonny Chirinos ahead of Jake Faria?  Based on your recent piece it seems that way but don’t want to assume.

7:44

Jeff Zimmerman: Yes and of note, I’m really high on Chirinos and low on Faria compared to most people.

7:45

Sam: Thoughts on Trevor story going forward in standard format plus singles doubles triples

7:46

Jeff Zimmerman: He is what he is. Just see if his career rates play as a baseline for talent

7:47

Rob: Who’s more likely to gets saves:  Roe or Romo in TB?  I have both but would like to dump one to pick someone else up

7:48

Jeff Zimmerman: Unless a reporter has said anything, I always just go here: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/tgl.cgi?team=TBR&t=p&year=201…

7:48

Jeff Zimmerman: Looks like Romo from the past few games

7:48

Josh: Calhoun, Senzel, or Gohara, who will be called up first and is best option for 2018?

7:49

Jeff Zimmerman: No idea truthfully but I’d bet on Calhoun.

7:49

Jake Junis Priest: Hi. Could you pick one or two middle men from this garbage pile? Matt Barnes, Joe Kelly, Alex Claudio, Kevin jepsen, Chris Martin, Hector Rondon, Matt Andreise, and r buchter? Thank you!

7:49

Jeff Zimmerman: Andreise

7:50

Jeff Zimmerman: Claudio next but it is a big pile of … stuff

7:50

Hannah Hochevar: Any reason to hold onto Daniel Norris in al only vs a solid middle reliever?

7:50

Jeff Zimmerman: No, get the MR

7:51

Jeff Zimmerman: I’d hold on to Barnes for one more week. Then hold Hicks is still around.

7:52

Jeff Zimmerman: for the following question

7:52

VottomanEmpire: Was planning to drop Jacob Barnes for Jordan Hicks in a daily-transaction/daily-lineup roto 15-teamer. Barnes seemed to have blown his chance at saves, and Hicks is great for the high-K, low-ratio innings that really do it for me in this league. With Albers taking the L tonight, do I need to hold Barnes for a bit longer to see if he gets another shot? Or is Hader just going to get more and more of the saves, when he isn’t called in earlier?

7:52

Big Tuna: I was going to put in a $1 bid on Pirela (and drop Neil Walker) in an OPS league, but he just had a huge game tonight. I have $178 left of the $250 FAAB. Would you go to $4 or $5 to nab him or just let somebody else have him if they go that high?

7:53

Jeff Zimmerman: I’d put in a keep everyone honest bid of $2 to $3.

7:53

Ivan C: Franchy Cordero and Teoscar Hernandez: do you see them with enough playing time and upside for adds in 12-team mixed leagues and shallower? Sounds like the injured guys they’re replacing should be back soon.

7:54

Jeff Zimmerman: No on the playing time. I’m worried that both will be sent down in a week or two.

7:57

tituba: 10 team H2H, drop Colome for 1.] Norris, 2.] Middleton or 3.] not at all? League doesn’t like to trade

7:57

Jeff Zimmerman: Not until he’s no longer the closer. If you must make a move, go with Middleton

7:57

Big Tuna: Who is your preferred RP stash? (preference is for possible saves down the road, unless the guy is super helpful with ratios): Jimenez, M. Barnes, Ottavino, Gsellman, or Alvarado?

7:57

Jeff Zimmerman: For Saves only, Jimenez and Ottavino, They may be the best arms in their bullpens. I worried Barnes may max out at 4 Saves

7:57

Mike: Wieters or Barnhart?

7:58

Jeff Zimmerman: I’m a Barnhart fan. I like his AVG/OBP floor

7:58

Big Tuna: Do you think Pedroia is back soon? Is he worth an add in 12 tm leagues to stash on the DL?

7:58

Jeff Zimmerman: Dustin shouldn’t be started in a 12-team league

7:59

Very Stable Junis: Yelich to get activated from DL soon  – which Derek to drop? Dietrich or Fisher?

7:59

Jeff Zimmerman: I think Fisher. Dietrich is leading off and playing everyday

7:59

Guest: Jose Pirela or Domingo Santana?

8:00

Jeff Zimmerman: I believe in the talent of Santana but Pirela is likely to play more … Santana but it’s close

8:00

O’hooligan: Which side: archer/Soria or Taillon/Middleton Roto lg

8:01

Jeff Zimmerman: Archer but the gap as narrowed since the season started.

8:01

Charlie: Amir Garrett or Nick Tropeano in 15 team 5×5.

8:01

Jeff Zimmerman: Garrett based on talent

8:01

Loogy: Gleyber Torres worth the add in a 10-team now? Next chance to add him after tonight will be Wednesday, and I’m a little worried about someone outbidding me on him.

8:02

Jeff Zimmerman: If you can bench him, do it.

8:02

Gerard: Sleeper saves candidates who might be worth grabbing sooner than later?

8:02

Jeff Zimmerman: Jimenez in Detroit. Also, Carson Smith in Boston. Kimbrel’s velocity continues to drop

8:03

Mike: What do make of Happ ROS? 12 team NL only 5X5 I have power, and he’s a big drain on the BA, would you trade him for Luis Urias and a filler like Chase Utley? His value feels like its sinking like a stone.

8:03

Jeff Zimmerman: And he’s not playing all the time. I’d move on.

8:03

Joe: I have Pirela, just not sure what he is.  Kepler, Senzel, Yonder, Cordero all available.  Anyone stand out as an obvious pick up?

8:04

Jeff Zimmerman: Take a chance on Senzel for the week and Yonder long term

8:04

Perplexed : Which Angel is the better play for the next few weeks?  Heaney or Tropeano?

8:05

Jeff Zimmerman: Heaney. Hopefully the strikeouts stick

8:05

Franchy pants: Is Jedd Gyorko worth a pick up in a 12 team mix? Over Russell, Lowrie, Longoria?

8:06

Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not sure how his playing time will work out but I think so.

8:06

Andrew: In there something wrong with Quintana? He doesn’t look himself.

8:07

Jeff Zimmerman: His fastball velocity is down but trending back up: https://www.fangraphs.com/pitchfxo.aspx?playerid=11423&position=P&pitc…

8:08

Jeff Zimmerman: He’s just walking a ton of batters. I’d sit and wait with him.

8:08

Andrew McCutchen: I’ve got a couple early April SBs and the exit velo on my recent HR was my best mark since 2016. Clearly I’m not going 30-30, but could this be a near-elite season for me?

8:09

Jeff Zimmerman: It’ll be OK. I’d cap the SB at 15 though. Probably fewer

8:09

Andy: I see different opinions on Stephen Gonsalves. What say you?

8:10

Jeff Zimmerman: Just by scouting the stat line, he needs to quit walking guys

8:10

Very Stable Junis: Have Reynaldo Lopez in 12 -team points league – any of these worth a drop for? E. Rodriguez, Mikolas, Mahle, Jaime Garcia, Chirinos, Velasquez, Giolito?

8:11

Jeff Zimmerman: I like them all. If I was to bet on one, it’s ERod. But I could be completely wrong

8:12

Rg: Josh Bell or Jed Lowrie UTIL? Thought Bell would get the ball in the air more but 50%GB rate hasnt changed much from previous year…

8:12

Jeff Zimmerman: Right now it looks like Lowrie.

8:12

Harlan W.: What do you think of Dansby Swanson? Would you take Swanson or Aledmys Diaz at SS for rest of season?

8:13

Jeff Zimmerman: I think of him as a high AVG hitter. Not much else.

8:13

Jeff Zimmerman: I’d would take him over Diaz based on upside

8:13

Baseball for $100, Alex: Deep 16 team, H2H league.  Take a chance on Cahill and drop a McHugh or Glasnow?

8:13

Jeff Zimmerman: I would not take that chance

8:14

Sharks: Hader or Bradley? Thinking of dropping happ for b. Anderson, m. Davidson or j. pirela.

8:14

Jeff Zimmerman: Hader, same profile and he is more likely to get you some Saves

8:14

Erik: Caleb Smith has the most strikeouts of any player available on my waiver wire (14-teamer). 4.28 xFIP, 31.2% strikeout rate…16.4% walk rate (yikes). Is there anything there? Worth dropping a hitter I’m not using just in case?

8:14

Jeff Zimmerman: I would not take the plunge

8:15

TC : Was just offered Bregman for Ohtani. 12 tm mixed H2H cats with OBP and QS in place of AVG and wins. Thoughts?

8:15

Jeff Zimmerman: I like the Bregman side

8:15

Jafo: Care to take a guess on when Ronald Acuna finally debuts. Hype train is still sitting in the station.

8:15

Jeff Zimmerman: I just don’t know. It would be nice for him to not be struggling in Triple-A

8:16

Andy: Olson’s K% spiked, babip is over .400, makes poor contact and swstr% increased as well. Time to jump ship? Crazy to drop him for Senzel or Willie Calhoun?

8:17

Jeff Zimmerman: I’d try to trade him and then pick up one of the possible callups

8:17

O’hooligan: Concerns with David Price? Would you trade him after his start in LA assuming all goes well?

8:17

Jeff Zimmerman: None, I was all in coming into the season

8:17

Jake Junis Priest : Also, I like those faab listings you do.

8:17

Jeff Zimmerman: One sec

8:18

Jeff Zimmerman: Here’s the unedited version:

8:18

Jeff Zimmerman: Ron Shandler: dis KPlawecki NYM, pur DMesoraco Cin 5
Derek VanRiper: res DTravis Tor, pur NDelmonico CWS 77
Derek VanRiper: rel MGonzales Sea, pur DMengden Oak 27
Al Melchior: rel SRomano Cin, pur NTropeano LAA 20
Fred Zinkie: res JDonaldson Tor, pur YSanchez CWS 20
Fred Zinkie: res ZDavies Mil, pur AOttavino Col 30
Brent Hershey: res HRenfroe SD, pur JProfar Tex 32
Bret Sayre: res ARamos NYM, pur FLiriano Det 27
Tim McLeod: dis ESuarez Cin, pur THernandez Tor 41
Joe Pisapia: res JZimmermann Det, pur TRoss SD 88
Ray Flowers: dis XBogaerts Bos, pur KWong StL 59
Tim Heaney: res CStratton SF, pur BNorris StL 126
Jeff Zimmerman: rel AWilson Det, pur JJimenez Det 73
Ron Shandler: res MMahtook Det, pur BZobrist ChC 37
Al Melchior: rel DSpan TB, pur DMachado Det 1
Zach Steinhorn: res JReyes NYM, pur WDifo Was 12
Tim McLeod: res TWalker Ari, pur BRondon CWS 5
Scott Engel: dis SSchebler Cin, pur MKemp LAD 34

8:19

Jeff Zimmerman: That’s the 15-team auction league

8:19

Jeff Zimmerman: Here’s the 15-team draft league:

8:19

Jeff Zimmerman: Tom Kessenich: res NAhmed Ari, pur FCordero SD 271
D.J. Short: dis KPlawecki NYM, pur NTropeano LAA 60
Jeff Boggis: res DSwanson Atl, pur BNorris StL 102
Charlie Wiegert: dis JDonaldson Tor, pur MJoyce Oak 6
Ray Murphy: res TMahle Cin, pur AOttavino Col 24
Perry Van Hook: rel BMitchell SD, pur ZWheeler NYM 37
Perry Van Hook: rel AEngel CWS, pur BZobrist ChC 31
Perry Van Hook: rel TBlach SF, pur JuGuerra Mil 36
Adam Ronis: rel ChVillanueva SD, pur THernandez Tor 78
Adam Ronis: rel SLugo NYM, pur TRoss SD 14
Scott White: dis ARizzo ChC, pur JProfar Tex 0
Rudy Gamble: res CGranderson Tor, pur NSenzel Cin 227
Rudy Gamble: res TSkaggs LAA, pur BSuter Mil 4
Rudy Gamble: res BCrawford SF, pur ADiaz Tor 7
Ray Murphy: res BJohnson Bos, pur HBailey Cin 24
Gene McCaffrey: rel NGoody Cle, pur BGoodwin Was 7

8:20

Great chat!!!: 15 Teamer. Limited FAAB. Pleased with Pirela as my OF5 and Soler is my OF bench bat.  Is Soler any good?  At what point do I churn that spot if or when Pirela turns into a pumpkin?

8:20

Jeff Zimmerman: I’d churn Soler hoping to hit with someone. I’d prefer Jon Jay over him.

8:21

Jake: Jose remerez or Ozzie albies keeper league keep forever

8:21

Jeff Zimmerman: Albies based on age

8:21

Harlan W.: 10 team mixed with deeper bench. Arcia is my only SS. Is there any chance Profar can make an impact?

8:22

Jeff Zimmerman: I think it is do or die for Profar. He needs to prove he’s a MLB talent or more on

8:22

vader: U think Steckenrider or bear claw gets the job?

8:22

Jeff Zimmerman: BearClaws

8:22

Bobby G: Regarding dropping Zimmerman for Valbuena…standard 5×5 Roto league.  I know it’s a limited sample but Zimmerman looks bad and seems like the Nats are going to rest him quite a bit.  Valbuena looks like he has some juice and Angels lineup appears stacked.  Thanks.

8:23

Jeff Zimmerman: I could go either way. Both have their issues

8:23

Dom: Would you drop either Giolito or Harvey in order to pick up Chirinos?

8:24

Jeff Zimmerman: Harvey yes. … Giolito no.

8:24

jim: Senzel or torres, who will be better this season?

8:24

Jeff Zimmerman: I think Torres, better team around him

8:24

Erli: Need a replacement for Kiermaier. 10 team H2H. Car-go, pillar or Zimmer

8:25

Jeff Zimmerman: Pillar or Zimmer. They will replace some of Kiermaier’s speed

8:26

vader: Folty, Ryu, Wheeler or Lucchesi?

8:26

Jeff Zimmerman: Folty but I don’t feel good about it.

8:27

Reuben: 12 team 6×6 mixed, should I trade SP for a bat? Kershaw, Strasburg, Greinke, Arrieta, Hill, Manaea, Samardzija

8:27

Jeff Zimmerman: Probably, wait for one to really heat up and then more them

8:27

KilleBrews: Nate Jones or Brad Peacock saves/holds league ROS?

8:27

Jeff Zimmerman: Peacodk

8:28

O’hooligan: Middleton or Holland, who ends up with more saves at the end of the season?

8:28

Jeff Zimmerman: I think Holland but but situations are a mess

8:28

Scrapimg the SP barrel : Thoughts on Miles Mikolas? By the end of the year he is a top ____ SP.

8:28

Jeff Zimmerman: 50

8:28

Andy: Do you having any hard and fast rules for dynasty leagues?

8:29

Jeff Zimmerman: Don’t take over someone else’s team. They usually quit for a reason and left you with a pile of “stuff”

8:29

Rick: What are your thoughts on Archer?

8:29

Jeff Zimmerman: I’m writing him up in a day or so

8:30

Mike: Sorry accidentally hit send. Is Lucas Sims worth an add in a keeper league that counts holds? Would cut Ketel Marte for him. Top heavy SPs (Verlander Quintana CMart Paxton) back end is Newcomb Minor Chirinos.  Already own Gsellman Arano Devenski Leone Hirano

8:30

Jeff Zimmerman: Keep Marte

8:31

Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it for another Sunday evening. I’ll answer questions again next week.

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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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d_i
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d_i

I take it these are 30 team leagues where you’re high on Chirinos given your comment from a few weeks ago?:

7:55
Tommy: Any thoughts on the Rays bullpen/5th starter approach? How do you feel about Chirinos and Yarbrough?
7:56
Jeff Zimmerman: None. If the Rays 5th starter is in play in your league, get in a shallower league. I’d own a middle reliever like Andriese before either starter.