Archive for Starting Pitchers

Beat the Shift Podcast – Starting Pitcher Episode Part 2 w/ Eno Sarris

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February 28, 2023

The Starting Pitcher episode (Part 2) of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Eno Sarris

Pitching+, Stuff+, Command+

Strategy Section

  • Effects of new MLB rule changes on pitchers
  • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
  • Risk
  • Shohei Othani
    • Is there extra risk asscociated with rostering the two-way player?
  • Starting pitcher strategy
    • General landscape
    • Do you need to draft an ace pitcher in fantasy?
    • Should we avoid the waiver wire for starting pitchers?
      • Should we avoid streaming SPs?
    • Should we tilt the Hitter/Pitcher % split more towards pitching?
    • Should we use more bench slots for starting pitchers this year?
    • Should we be chasing any of the following?
      • Wins
      • Innings
      • High IP / GS
      • Pitchers on good teams

ATC Undervalued Players

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Nicklaus Gaut’s 2023 SP Rankings – The Next 50

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February 27, 2023

Must. Reach. Finish line…So. Close. We’re almost done with our positional previews, having now covered catchers, first base, second base, third base, shortstop, outfielders, and relievers. We got started on the starters last week, checking it on the Top 50 options. But as we leave those tiers behind, the waters necessarily get choppier, with more categorical warts appearing as player quality (and reliability) begins to drop off. So, before we get to this latest Rankening*, let’s have a quick chat about how these ranks come to be and the wiggle room inherent. Read the rest of this entry »


A Forensic Inquiry: How Much Should You Spend For Pitchers?

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February 27, 2023

A few years ago, a guy named Jabari Blash streaked across the Fantasy Baseball firmament like a doomed comet. He had tremendous raw power, but was a three-true-outcomes guy with a vengeance, and most of those outcomes were strikeouts. His plate discipline, his glove, and his baserunning skills were such that he had to hit a lot of home runs to keep a major league job, and when he didn’t, first the Padres and then the Angels kicked him to the curb. We ourselves didn’t expect Blash to succeed, but we nonetheless took him in various deep drafts out of our sentimental recollection of a story we heard in our youths.

The tale goes like this: A young man’s fantastically wealthy grandfather dies. He leaves his entire estate to charity. To the young man, he leaves only some words of wisdom and advice. The key to success and happiness, says Grandpa, can be stated in a single word: BLASH. But to find out what the word means, the young man must do as the grandfather did in his own youth and seek out a certain guru who lives as a hermit at the top of a remote Tibetan mountain.  After much travail, distress, danger, and expense, the young man scales the mountain and finds the guru. “Guru,” he says. “I have come from far across the sea to acquire the wisdom that you alone possess. What is the meaning of BLASH?” And the guru says, “Buy Low And Sell High.” Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1148 – Podapallooza Day 2, Hour 9 ft. Eno Sarris and Eric Samulski

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February 27, 2023

2/26/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1145 – 2023 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 4: More Mid-Tier Arms

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February 24, 2023

2/24/22

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PATREON

SP Preview Pt. 4

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pFIP: Pitch Height, Launch Angle, and the FIP Framework

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February 24, 2023

A summarized version of this post was originally presented as part of PitcherList’s PitchCon online baseball conference for charity to support the ALS Association.

Pitch location, especially pitch height, enables pitchers to augment hitters’ launch angles. This is hugely important for pitchers given that hitters exert outsized influence on exit velocities (EVs), while pitchers exert little influence on EV. As such, EV is more predictive of hitter success than launch angles are. Yet EV remains at the mercy of its launch angle counterpart; a 115-mph blast isn’t half as valuable on the ground as it is in the air. A pitcher can improve his chances of inducing those suboptimal launch angles by weaponizing optimal pitch locations.

There’s a corollary to this for pitchers: capital-S ‘Stuff’ is more predictive of pitcher success, yet it’s pitch location that primarily dictates the outcome of a pitch or plate appearance. Max Bay, now of the Astros’ R&D department, once said Stuff makes a pitcher “resilient” to bad locations–it allows more room for mistakes. But mistakes are still made, and for the majority of pitchers, they are made (or avoided) largely through pitch location.

How sensitive, then, is launch angle to pitch height? If we raise or lower a pitch by an inch or a foot, how much can we expect the resultant launch angle to change? How much can we expect rates of ground balls (GB%), line drives (LD%), fly balls (FB%), and pop-ups (PU%) to change? Read the rest of this entry »


Beat the Shift Podcast – Starting Pitcher Episode Part 1 w/ Nick Pollack

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February 24, 2023

The Starting Pitcher episode (Part 1) of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Nick Pollack

Pitch Level Value (PLV)

Strategy Section

  • Role changes
  • New pitches
  • Pitch mix changes
  • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
  • What can we learn about pitchers from spring training?
  • Valuation of foreign pitchers

ATC Undervalued Players

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1144 – 2023 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 3: SP45-75

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February 20, 2023

2/20/22

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PATREON

SP Preview Pt. 3

This episode covers 28 SPs ranging SP45-75 with Frankie Montas and Aaron Ashby left off due to injury and Trevor Bauer left off as he’s currently without a team.

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Nicklaus Gaut’s 2023 SP Rankings – The First 50

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February 20, 2023

Alright, alright – the official start of fantasy baseball has officially officialized, with the NFL kumite finally in our rearview mirror. We’ve now come to our final positional rankings, after first covering catchers, first base, second base, third base, shortstop, outfielders, and relievers. It’s time for starting pitchers – let’s have some fun. Read the rest of this entry »


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1142 – 2023 Starting Pitcher Preview Pt. 2: The Next 30

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February 17, 2023

2/17/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

SP Preview Pt. 2

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