Short board does offer some chances to stream and the 2-start board will be up Monday morning!
Here’s a board for the weekend! I’ll be in the comments as much as I can throughout the weekend if you have any questions.
I’ve got a weekend board coming for y’all, so look for that on Friday evening. I’ll try to get one for each of these last 3 weekends.
I’m a huge Logan Webb fan, but he isn’t an unquestioned must-start here. His 1.28 WHIP v. teams over .500 is 14 pts higher than sub-.500 clubs, including a 1.53 in 19 IP v. the Padres. I’m more inclined to run him if I’m in chase mode hoping vintage Webb returns with 8 shutty in a low-scoring win.
Brant Hurter has sneakily been a big reason the Tigers are back in the wildcard mix. He has 33 innings with 3.00 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 19% K-BB, often following an opener (1 start, 6 follows) for about 5 innings per outing. He has wins in each of his last 4 outings, including a traditional 5-inning start v. LAA.
Do not feel obligated to start Freddy Peralta. ARI is so scary. They are 1st in BB% v. righties since July 1st and 3rd on the year while Peralta has walked at least 2 batters in each of his last 10 starts (10% BB).
FRIDAY MORNING UPDATE: I agree w/the comment that Clarke Schmidt should be higher but I didn’t want to remake the chart so I just 2-x’d him and highlighted it to signify it was changed. I mistakenly thought this was his return from the IL, but w/the tune-up start at CHC (75 pitches, 4.7 IP), I feel good running him in a lot of spots today. He’s even borderline 3-x depending on your situation. View him more in the Webb/Hurter range.
Oof, Bobby Miller just allowed a 3-run homer, ending his day with 6 ER in just 4.3 IP. As it stands right now, I still think I’ll be in at the discounted rate for 2025, but obviously we could learn of an injury in the offseason (if not sooner) that would then change his outlook.
I’m very excited for Kumar Rocker’s debut. He has an 0.91 ERA, 0.57 WHIP, & 41% K-BB rate in his last 7 starts across Double- and Triple-A.
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Not a bad board for Wednesday’s full slate. Plenty of options across the various formats. I’m sure some of the 2- and 1-x guys will pop off, but identifying exactly who is tough. Bradford, for example, could deal but I’m not dying to take the shot at ARI.
Very few bankable options on this week’s 2-start board making it a scary venture as we come down the stretch.
If you have questions about anyone else, leave me a comment!
| RANK | TYPE | PITCHER | MATCHUPS | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | Pitch+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | George Kirby | SDP/TEX | 167 | 3.61 | 1.11 | 20% | 106 |
| 2 | 2 | Carlos Rodón | KCR/BOS | 152.1 | 4.19 | 1.22 | 19% | 97 |
| 3 | 2 | MacKenzie Gore | ATL/MIA | 143.2 | 4.32 | 1.50 | 15% | 98 |
| 4 | 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | TBR/NYM | 159 | 3.45 | 1.26 | 14% | 102 |
| 5 | 2 | David Festa | LAA/CIN | 47.1 | 4.75 | 1.20 | 23% | 101 |
| 6 | 2 | Alex Cobb | at CHW/TBR | 16.1 | 2.76 | 1.04 | 11% | 105 |
| 7 | 3 | Brady Singer | at NYY/at PIT | 158.1 | 3.35 | 1.24 | 16% | 100 |
| 8 | 3 | Nick Martinez | at ATL/at MIN | 115.1 | 3.67 | 1.15 | 16% | 109 |
| 9 | 3 | Rhett Lowder | at STL/at MIN | 10.1 | 0.87 | 1.35 | 2% | 98 |
| 10 | 3 | Cade Povich | at BOS/at DET | 59.1 | 5.76 | 1.60 | 8% | 98 |
| 11 | 3 | Osvaldo Bido | at HOU/at CHW | 63.1 | 3.41 | 1.09 | 14% | 97 |
| 12 | 3 | Kutter Crawford | BAL/at NYY | 161 | 4.08 | 1.07 | 16% | 105 |
| 13 | 3 | Brayan Bello | BAL/at NYY | 142 | 4.75 | 1.38 | 13% | 100 |
| 14 | 4 | Charlie Morton | CIN/LAD | 142.1 | 4.24 | 1.32 | 15% | 98 |
| 15 | 4 | Valente Bellozo | at PIT/at WSN | 47.2 | 3.78 | 1.28 | 8% | 97 |
| 16 | 4 | Aaron Civale | at SFG/at ARI | 140.1 | 4.62 | 1.34 | 15% | 100 |
| 17 | 4 | Taj Bradley | at PHI/at CLE | 116.2 | 4.40 | 1.21 | 19% | 98 |
| 18 | 5 | Keider Montero | COL/BAL | 74 | 5.47 | 1.39 | 11% | 100 |
| 19 | 5 | Adam Oller | at PIT/at WSN | 21.2 | 4.15 | 1.25 | 10% | 94 |
| 20 | 5 | Hayden Birdsong | MIL/SDP | 52 | 5.19 | 1.50 | 12% | 91 |
| 21 | 6 | Kyle Hendricks | at LAD/at COL | 107.2 | 6.60 | 1.51 | 9% | 105 |
| 22 | 6 | Bradley Blalock | at DET/CHC | 26.2 | 5.40 | 1.69 | 1% | 94 |
| 23 | 7 | Nick Nastrini | CLE/OAK | 32.1 | 7.79 | 1.95 | -5% | 84 |
I’m putting this together pretty early on Sunday because I’m watching my niece and won’t be on the computer as much for Sunday afternoon/evening. If something does change, don’t hesitate to let me know if the comments and I’ll give my thoughts on the new guy. It’s a brutal board to start the week after Skenes so be very careful out there!
Solid board for Friday with plenty of opportunities at every level. As always, there is risk which is heightened in September as we have less time to undo a dud, but we can’t just sit on our hands being afraid of a dud if we are chasing points in the standings. Speaking of risk, I just don’t see myself starting Luis Gil anywhere right now. He’s fresh off the IL and hasn’t been pitching that well for some time. I’m very thankful for what he gave us this season and I’ll happily revisit in 2025, but I’m OK cutting him for the remainder of 2024.
Let me know if you have questions about anyone else.
Drop a comment if you have a question about any of the pitchers. It’s a relatively straightforward board with a good number of 3-x’s and then some Hail Mary 1-x’s.
An earlier version accidentally had Suárez facing TOR with just a 2-x reco. With his proper matchup at MIA loaded in, I moved him to the 3-x group.