Archive for Roto

Episode 187

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Jason Collette and Nicholas Minnix talk about, among other players in the news, Sean Doolittle, Jered Weaver, Josh Hamilton, Prince Fielder, Dustin Pedroia, Taijuan Walker, Javier Baez, Jose Fernandez, Adam Wainwright, Cliff Lee, and Joey Votto.

Requested topics discussed: a keeper quandary involving several players, including Trevor Rosenthal, Jimmy Rollins, and Trevor Plouffe; Logan Morrison’s Steamer projection, particularly its forecast of 20 HR; and Jason’s boyfriend, Homer Bailey and the pitcher’s pre-injury trajectory and outlook.

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions so that we may answer them in our next episode.

Read the rest of this entry »

The Chicago Cubs acquired another major league asset this past weekend, this time via trade, albeit at the price of one of those as well as a possible other. Nevertheless, Dexter Fowler isn’t quite the same kind of asset as Luis Valbuena or Dan Straily, because Fowler plays center field and has generally in his career been cast as a leadoff man, something that his new club sort of lacked. Although Joe Maddon has reportedly taken a liking to Arismendy Alcantara, the up-and-coming Cubbies, understandably, weren’t ready to depend on the 23-year-old to produce as a one-position regular on offense in such an important year.

My reaction to the news included a little raised interest in Fowler in fantasy baseball leagues, I think. Moves like this usually don’t have a drastic effect on a player’s quote-unquote value, though. I’m a little puzzled as to whether my feeling was justified.

Read the rest of this entry »

Episode 186

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live!

In this episode, Eno Sarris and Nicholas Minnix talk about, among other players in the news, Max Scherzer, Yovani Gallardo, Dan Straily, Jimmy Nelson, Colby Rasmus, Nori Aoki, and the Evan Gattis–Chris Carter–Jon Singleton troika.

Requested topics discussed: Keeper questions, comprised of Teheran/Harvey/Richards, Longoria/Arenado, a lengthy NL-only list, and, presumably, Fiers/Hahn; a debate on Dickerson/Marte/Springer; 2015 interest in Drew Smyly and Hank Conger; and a question about the Achilles’ heel of projections, as well as how we look for players we think will beat them.

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions so that we may answer them in our next episode.

Read the rest of this entry »

• Two items to start with. First, quite a few update are in the spreadsheet at the article’s end. Information is becoming more available, but it restates a lot of old information.  I will continue to give the updated sources. Second, thanks for your support and suggestions as I got this series up and running. It got some recognition at the latest Fantasy Sports Writers Awards.

Hey! FanGraphs won an award! Or, really, the excellent @jeffwzimmerman won an @fswa award for his MASH series on health issues. Congrats!!

— Eno Sarris (@enosarris) January 17, 2015

Thanks.

Read the rest of this entry »

The Brewers opened a hole in their rotation once they traded Yovani Gallardo to the Rangers, obviously. Some pundits guessed that Milwaukee had made the move in order to clear the way to sign free agent James Shields or trade for rumored chip Jordan Zimmermann. GM Doug Melvin put such beliefs to rest shortly after the swap by stating that the spot is Jimmy Nelson’s, however. Akin moves are more his style, really, and it’s about time for the right-hander, who’ll be 26 in June.

Nelson’s spike in projected playing time should drive up interest from fantasy baseball players, naturally. How much more interest is justifiable? That’s not a question with a simple answer.

Read the rest of this entry »

The Rangers took a significant step on Monday toward restoring some semblance of stability to a rotation that was among baseball’s worst last year, acquiring Yovani Gallardo from the Brewers for three minor leaguers. I’ll let others pick apart the deal from a real-life perspective; at the very least, the Rangers are getting a guy who has averaged 192.5 innings a season since 2009, a period during which he’s made at least 30 starts each year.

On the fantasy side of things, however, it’s hard to see this as helping a career that has been trending downward for some time; last year, Gallardo generated slightly negative value and finished 86th among starting pitchers, according to Zach Sanders’ end of the season rankings. Now, Gallardo, who turns 29 next month, is joining a league that features the DH, while having to toil in one of the best hitter’s parks in baseball.
Read the rest of this entry »

Episode 185

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live! Happy New Year! Sigh. Apologies in advance if you notice some slight imperfections in the audio. We’ll improve as we go along. And we’re thrilled to have a solution to our problem as well as to get a podcast to you.

In this episode, Eno Sarris and Nicholas Minnix talk about, among other players in the news, Ben Zobrist, Mike Foltynewicz, Tyler Clippard, Miguel Cabrera, Joc Pederson, and Yoan Lopez. Requested topics discussed: projection systems and how to use them for a draft, CC Sabathia, Aaron Sanchez, and Carlos Sanchez versus Micah Johnson.

As usual, don’t hesitate to tweet us or comment with fantasy questions so that we may answer them in our next episode.

Read the rest of this entry »

I didn’t participate in the first RotoGraphs mock draft of 2015. (Check out the full results at Couch Managers.) But I will share my thoughts on it here and there, like now. Other writers did Round 1 and Round 2, and then I posted Round 3. Guess what comes next.

You’re half correct. Unless you’d already deduced the answer from the title. Either way, you’re probably eager to consume what’s coming – at least the tables. I’ll try to give you something else to chew on, though.

Read the rest of this entry »

Prospects are usually the sole dominion of keeper and dynasty league owners. In a redraft league, there is usually hype around a few players. Jose Abreu, Masahiro Tanaka, Billy Hamilton, and Gregory Polanco were among the most popular last year. There were also plenty of useful, under-the-radar types like Jacob deGrom, Kolten Wong, Danny Santana, and Collin McHugh.

What follows is a list of 107 prospects, gathered for their proximity to the big leagues and potential for valuable contributions. There will be names missing, if only because my methodology for hunting down candidates was imperfect. I used FanGraphs’ depth charts, 40-man rosters, and top prospect lists to gather everybody I believed could be a positive contributor in 2015.

Read the rest of this entry »

• A bunch of small updates in the spreadsheet at the bottom of this page. More news has been coming out over the past couple of weeks as we get closer to the start of spring training.

• Miguel Cabrera may not be ready for opening day.

Cabrera’s big test comes in February when he consults Robert Anderson, a Charlotte, N.C., orthopedic surgeon who also repaired the broken ankle of retired Yankees star Derek Jeter.

“His rehab has gone well,” Rand said. “He’s in a partial weight-bearing stage, six weeks in a boot, which began just before Christmas. He’ll got back and see Dr. Anderson next month and hope the CT scan will show that everything’s well and that he can move into a full weight-bearing program.”

The Tigers, though, acknowledge Cabrera will have work to do even if he gets a thumbs-up at next month’s exam. They cannot say with assurance their spotlight hitter will be 100 percent on Opening Day.

We will find out more next month. If you have an early draft, I may stay away from him.

Read the rest of this entry »