Hot Right Now (HRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on popular players currently being auctioned or players who you should think about auctioning in your Ottoneu leagues. Even if you don’t play Ottoneu, we’ll be highlighting players you should be looking at in deeper and keeper formats. In this feature, we will break down players into two sections:
Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days who are also rostered in 80% of leagues or less.
The RotoGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.
Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit for Ottoneu points leagues. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.
I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence.
Hot Right Now (HRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on popular players currently being auctioned or players who you should think about auctioning in your Ottoneu leagues. Even if you don’t play Ottoneu, we’ll be highlighting players you should be looking at in deeper and keeper formats. In this feature, we will break down players into two sections:
Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days who are also rostered in 80% of leagues or less.
The RotoGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.
Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit for Ottoneu points leagues. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.
I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence. Since we’ve finally reached May, I’ve started using 2026 data to start calculating these matchup ratings.
Hot Right Now (HRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on popular players currently being auctioned or players who you should think about auctioning in your Ottoneu leagues. Even if you don’t play Ottoneu, we’ll be highlighting players you should be looking at in deeper and keeper formats. In this feature, we will break down players into two sections:
Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days who are also rostered in 80% of leagues or less.
The RotoGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.
When Brent Rooker hit the IL with an oblique strain on April 9, Carlos Cortes was given the opportunity to get full-time at-bats as designated hitter and in the outfield corners. He ran with it, posting a .373/.407/.706 slash line (a 202 wRC+) in 15 games with four home runs. A longtime farm hand in the Mets organization, he really broke out after joining the Athletics last year; he posted a 138 wRC+ in Triple-A, his highest mark at any minor league level, and made his big league debut in late July and posted a 132 wRC+ in limited action down the stretch.
The most encouraging development this year has been a strikeout rate that’s fallen all the way to 6.0%. He’s running the highest contact rate of his professional career and lowered his chase rate by more than six points. And as you might suspect from his slash line, all that extra contact hasn’t been empty. His contact quality has been fantastic thus far, with a 52.6% hard hit rate and a 15.8% barrel rate. With a strong minor league track record behind him, the rest-of-season projections see him as a slightly above average hitter right now, but he’s already proven that the adjustments he’s made to his plate approach have increased his ceiling a fair bit higher than that.
Here’s the very best fact about Cortes: he’s a switch-thrower! He throws with his left hand when playing in the outfield and with his right if he’s playing in the infield. That fact has very little fantasy implications, but it’s incredible nonetheless. Based on this hot streak, Cortes should be given an opportunity to hold a full-time role even with Rooker activated off the IL. Lawrence Butler has shifted over to center field to accommodate Cortes in an outfield corner and I’m sure Rooker will see some time on the grass as well. It’s well worth adding Cortes to your Ottoneu team while he’s hot — I’ll admit, I started two of those current auctions in two of my leagues — and hopefully the changes to his plate approach stick through the rest of the season.
Jack Perkins — 49 current auctions — 24.2% roster%
The second Athletic to show up on this list, Jack Perkins is carving out an interesting role in the A’s bullpen this year. The high leverage pecking order for the Athletics was a bit of a mystery entering the season, and it still seems like it’s a bit of a committee approach for manager Mark Kotsay. Four different pitchers have earned a save — Joel Kuhnel leads the way with four — and seven different pitchers have a gmLI of 1.40 or higher. Of all those options, Perkins might have the best underlying skills; his strikeout-to-walk ratio has gone from 2.06 to 5.00 this year. Both of his saves have been multi-inning affairs as well. If I were picking a pitcher from this bullpen to add to my fantasy team, Perkins is the guy I’d want to target.
I wrote about Senzatela in last week’s HRN. A week later, his roster% has doubled and he’s being auctioned in nearly 50 other leagues. Here’s a bit of what I wrote:
“It’s surprising, to say the least, to see that he’s struck out 32.7% of the batters he’s faced this year. Granted, he’s pitching out of the bullpen full-time now and throwing his fastball 2.5 mph harder as a result. He’s also added a hard cutter to his pitch mix and ditched his old slider. It’s also worth noting that all six of his outings have been multi-inning appearances — he’s using the stamina he had built up as a starter to thrive in a fireman-type role.”
He converted his second save of the season on Friday, though he failed to strike out multiple batters for the first time this year in both his outings last week. That dropped his strikeout rate to a mere 28.1%. He’s currently showing off the best skills of any pitcher in the Rockies bullpen, and the team is playing a lot more competitive games this year, giving him more high leverage opportunities than last year’s 119-loss squad.
I wrote about Jakob Junis in this column a few weeks ago, but the Rangers closer role is still as much a committee as ever. The latest reliever to earn a save was Jacob Latz. On Saturday, Jakob with a ‘k’ pitched in the eighth inning while Jacob with a ‘c’ converted the save in the ninth. To his credit, Latz has been a solid arm in the Rangers ‘pen this year; he’s allowed just two runs so far while improving his strikeout-to-walk ratio from 2.05 to 4.33 this year. With the ninth inning role still a little murky in Texas, Latz has emerged as the guy with the best peripheral stats so far. That’s not to say that he’ll wind up as the closer moving forward, but he’ll definitely continue to see high leverage opportunities.
If I had to rank the three relievers above, I’d go with the order they appear in the article: Perkins, Senzatela, and then Latz. Perkins and Senzatela are neck and neck, though I think the A’s are a better ballclub which means the high leverage opportunities might come more often for Perkins.
Hot Performers Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days rostered in 80% of leagues or less.
I almost wrote up Ildemaro Vargas in last week’s HRN, but I thought to myself, “surely his batting line will come crashing down any day now.” Instead, he crushed four home runs last week en route to winning NL Player of the Week honors. Vargas has now collected a hit in all 20 games he’s played this year and his .367/.383/.722 slash line (a 203 wRC+) is by far the best he’s ever produced.
Looking at his underlying batted ball metrics, there’s some cause for concern, though Vargas has made some adjustments in a few key areas. His expected wOBA is currently 85 points below his actual wOBA and he’s outperforming his expected slugging by 186 points. He’s improved his barrel rate by more than three points leading to a 31.6% HR/FB rate. The power production on contact doesn’t seem all that sustainable, but the adjustments he’s made to the attack angle of his swing have really propped up his batting average. Nearly 60% of his swings have come in the 5-20 degree ideal attack angle leading to a 29.9% line drive rate. It’ll be really hard to sustain a line drive rate that high for an entire season, so I suspect some regression is coming there too, but it’s clear he’s made an adjustment to try and elevate his batted balls to the pull side a lot more often. That’s a recipe for success for any light-hitting batter, and should improve Vargas’s floor, even if his ceiling might come crashing down any day now.
Davis Martin — 6.6 FGPts/IP (last 14 days) — 21.9% roster%
Davis Martin has quietly led the White Sox rotation with a 2.01 ERA in five starts this year. His latest gem was a 6.1 inning outing against the Diamondbacks where he allowed just a single run on six hits and a walk while striking out seven. He’s improved his strikeout-to-walk ratio from 2.17 to 3.71 this year, adding nearly five points to his strikeout rate while simultaneously cutting his walk rate to 5.9%.
Looking under the hood, there are a few things to note. He’s throwing in the zone more often than ever and the seventh highest rate of any qualified pitcher in baseball. That explains how he’s been able to drop his walk rate by more than two points. The strikeout rate improvement is a little harder to parse. The Stuff models are definitely not impressed with his arsenal, though I do think he benefits from having a deep six-pitch repertoire that he mixes well. His slider has a little more depth to it this year, too; an additional two inches of drop and three inches of horizontal movement. That breaking ball has returned a 57.1% whiff rate so far, a vast improvement over its previous norms.
While I don’t think he’ll maintain an ERA close to two for the rest of the season — his ERA estimators are in the high-three to mid-four range — I do think he’s made enough adjustments to have taken a small step forward from what he was during his first three seasons in the big leagues.
Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit for Ottoneu points leagues. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.
I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence. To start the season, I’ll be relying on projected team wOBA until there’s sufficient in-season data to start calculating these matchup ratings.
Hot Right Now (HRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on popular players currently being auctioned or players who you should think about auctioning in your Ottoneu leagues. Even if you don’t play Ottoneu, we’ll be highlighting players you should be looking at in deeper and keeper formats. In this feature, we will break down players into two sections:
Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days who are also rostered in 80% of leagues or less.
The RotoGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.
The Cubs entire pitching staff has been decimated by injuries this year, and the bullpen has been hit particularly hard. Closer Daniel Palencia was placed on the IL last week with a strained oblique, joining fellow high leverage relievers Phil Maton and Hunter Harvey. That has opened up an opportunity for Caleb Thielbar to start earning some work in the ninth inning. He converted his first save of the season on Saturday and worked the top of the tenth inning on Sunday. From a skills perspective, Thielbar is striking batters out at close to a career high rate right now; his K% is up to 32.4% from 25.5% last year. His walk rate is also up pretty significantly because he’s throwing in the strike zone at a career-low rate. With so many other relievers on the shelf, Thielbar is essentially the last remaining high-leverage reliever in Chicago’s bullpen, so he’ll continue to get opportunities. I don’t love his peripherals right now and wouldn’t be surprised to see some hiccups before Palencia returns.
The injury bug has derailed any progress Josh Jung hoped to make after his breakout season in 2023. In 2024, it was a wrist fracture, and in ‘25, it was a minor neck injury, though it certainly seemed like the wrist was still an issue last year. He seems to be healthy to start this season and he’s suddenly producing at the plate again. Over his last 10 games, he’s collected 14 hits including two home runs and seven doubles. His underlying stats back it up too; his hard hit rate is at a career high, though oddly, he’s only barreled up one batted ball despite all those extra-base hits.
The most important development has been his career-high contact rate thus far. He’s always run a high strikeout rate but managed to offset all those swings and misses by pounding the ball back in 2023. Well, he’s cut his swinging strike rate by more than three points and increased his in-zone contact rate by nearly six points. He’s still chasing at a pretty high rate but when pitchers challenge him in the zone, he’s punishing the ball. That’s led to a much-improved walk-to-strikeout ratio and a lot more balls in play.
Over his last 10 games, Jeremiah Jackson has collected 14 hits including five home runs. An unheralded utility infielder, he made his debut last year and impressed in 48 games, posting a 117 wRC+ while playing solid defense at three positions. With Jackson Holliday sidelined by hamate surgery to start the year, Jackson has been filling in at second base full time and has run with the opportunity.
There are a couple of yellow flags for me right now. He only took his first walk of the season last Sunday and strikes out at a decently high rate. With all those batted balls in play, you might expect his BABIP to be high, but it’s currently .327, well within the realm of normal. Still, the hyper aggressive approach could lead to cold streaks when the balls aren’t falling in for hits. His batted ball quality is a bit of a mixed bag; his hard hit rate is 14 points lower than it was last year but he’s added nearly five points to his barrel rate. He’s pulling the ball more than half the time which is how he’s managed to maximize his contact despite hitting with less authority.
And then there’s the question of his playing time. Holliday is nearing a return from his injury — I’d guess within the next week or two — which means Jackson will probably be bumped from his everyday role into a utility role like he played last year. Jackson has played well enough, and there are enough holes in the Orioles lineup, that it’s certainly possible he’ll be an everyday player by bouncing from position to position each day. It’s something to monitor as Holliday gets closer to being activated off the IL.
Hot Performers Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days rostered in 80% of leagues or less.
Not so long ago, Everson Pereira was a well regarded prospect in the Yankees organization, though he did have significant concerns about his hit tool that prevented him ranking high on the team’s prospect list. He debuted in 2023, moved to the Rays in the Jose Caballero trade, and struck out way too much to have much of an impact in the big leagues. He latched on with the White Sox this offseason and has looked much more polished in limited playing time. He played in five games to start the season before spraining his ankle. He was activated off the IL last week and collected seven hits, two home runs, and three doubles in his first five games back in the big leagues. It’s only 10 games, but his strikeout rate is below 30% and his contact quality looks solid. It’s too early to make a determination about whether or not his hit tool has taken a step forward this year, but he’ll get a long look to prove he can stick in the majors with Chicago.
I never expected to be writing about Antonio Senzatela in this column, but here we are. He’s been a long time member of the Rockies starting rotation, though his career ERA is over five and his career strikeout rate is just 14.7%. It’s surprising, to say the least, to see that he’s struck out 32.7% of the batters he’s faced this year. Granted, he’s pitching out of the bullpen full-time now and throwing his fastball 2.5 mph harder as a result. He’s also added a hard cutter to his pitch mix and ditched his old slider. He allowed his first run of the season on Sunday and is seeing high-ish leverage opportunities at the back of the Rockies bullpen. It’s also worth noting that all six of his outings have been multi-inning appearances — he’s using the stamina he had built up as a starter to thrive in a fireman-type role.
Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit for Ottoneu points leagues. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.
I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence. To start the season, I’ll be relying on projected team wOBA until there’s sufficient in-season data to start calculating these matchup ratings.
Note: The two-game SDP-ARI series on April 25–26 will be played in Mexico City at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helú. The park factors for this stadium are off the charts — it’s at a higher elevation than Coors Field without the enormous outfield dimensions of that ballpark. Start your Padres and Diamondbacks SPs at your own risk.
Hot Right Now (HRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on popular players currently being auctioned or players who you should think about auctioning in your Ottoneu leagues. Even if you don’t play Ottoneu, we’ll be highlighting players you should be looking at in deeper and keeper formats. In this feature, we will break down players into two sections:
Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days who are also rostered in 80% of leagues or less.
The RotoGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.
A former top prospect, Nick Yorke has gotten off to a hot start this season after two failed cups of coffee in the big leagues the last two years. His carrying tool as a prospect was his bat. He’s got a discerning eye at the plate, great bat-to-ball skills, and above average raw power. He’s also got one of the weirdest batted ball distributions; his extreme inside-out style of hitting means he’s often peppering the opposite field with line drives and he struggles to get to his power in game situations. It also means he runs a pretty dramatic reverse split.
His hot start to the season looks pretty mixed under the hood. He’s been extremely patient, cutting his swing rate to just 42.3% while improving his in-zone contact rate to 97.8%. That’s a big reason why both his strikeout and walk rates have improved significantly. His hard hit rate is sitting right at 50%, but because of his swing, he’s pounding the ball into the ground and has collected just three extra-base hits. He’s getting regular time at third base in the middle of the Pirates lineup, so the opportunity is there, but I’m just not sure how high his ceiling is.
Sam Antonacci found the spotlight during Italy’s Cinderella run to the semifinals of the WBC this March. He blasted a home run off Nolan McLean in the upset victory over Team USA and played fantastic defense at short. He’s gotten off to a strong start in his first taste of Triple-A, slashing .289/.484/.444 through 13 games. With the trade of Lenyn Sosa on Monday, the White Sox have cleared some space on their big league roster, though Antonacci’s promotion hasn’t been officially announced. If he does make his debut, it’ll probably be as a utility player who will probably get pushed to the outfield because Chicago’s infield is pretty crowded at the moment.
Antonacci was ranked 11th on the White Sox top prospect list with a 40+ FV grade. He’s a speed and contact merchant without much game power — WBC homer notwithstanding. If he does end up getting called up — and if it doesn’t happen on Tuesday, it shouldn’t be long before he breaks into the big leagues — his utility for fantasy baseball might be a little limited. He’ll steal some bags which will help in 5×5 leagues, and his high on-base rate gives him a solid floor in points leagues, but he doesn’t have the high power ceiling like some of the other top prospects around baseball.
Angel Martínez has struggled to establish himself in the big leagues thanks to a pretty dramatic platoon split, even as a switch hitter. He’s historically crushed left-handed pitching but struggled against right-handers. It’s significant, then, that his hot start this season has come primarily against right-handed pitching. He’s improved his contact rate to 88.3%, he’s lifting the ball to the pull side more often than ever, and he’s already set a new career high max exit velocity.
If Martínez has truly turned a corner against right-handed pitching, it would elevate him from simply a platoon outfielder to a bonafide everyday player. And with his improved contact rate and emphasis on getting to his pull-side power, we could be seeing the first inklings of a breakout season. The one thing I want to pump the breaks on is his contact quality. Right now, his hard hit rate is just 32.4%, which is a career high, but still well below league average. Yes, he’s putting the ball in play more often, and he’s pulling it in the air when he does, but there still isn’t much authority behind that contact.
The Rangers bullpen was a bit of a mystery heading into the season. Robert Garcia had finished 2025 as the nominal closer but his skillset wasn’t really suited to the ninth inning. There were a bunch of new relievers in the fold this spring plus holdovers like Garcia, Chris Martin, and Cole Winn. After a few weeks of play, Jakob Junis has emerged as one of the most trusted relievers for Texas. He hasn’t allowed a run across eight innings and seven appearances, and he’s converted a save in his last three straight outings. His strikeout rate isn’t much to write home about, but he’s actually been a pretty solid reliever over the last couple of seasons. If you’re looking for a high-leverage reliever, Junis is a pretty good bet to hold onto that role in Texas as long as he continues to be effective.
Hot Performers Players with a high P/G or P/IP over the last 14 days rostered in 80% of leagues or less.
Casey Schmitt has been on a pretty insane heater over the last few weeks; he’s collected hits in seven of his last eight games, multiple hits in four of those games, and had a particularly great series in Baltimore last weekend where he picked up seven hits, a home run, and three doubles. As you’d expect for someone on such a hot streak, his BABIP is clearly unsustainable at .520. He has improved his contact quality significantly this season which is something to monitor. He’s getting regular playing time as the Giants’ designated hitter, and I’d expect that to continue until his bat cools off.
Jeffrey Springs shocked everyone by holding the Yankees scoreless across seven innings in his last start last Thursday. He’s only allowed three runs total across his three starts this year, though his strikeout-to-walk ratio looks pretty normal for him. Most of his peripherals point to some looming regression — his SIERA is 3.97 and his xFIP is 3.91 — though his xERA is a tidy 2.19.
If you’re looking for a significant change to latch onto, you might consider his new arm angle. He’s raised his arm slot pretty significantly this year, and when combined with the extra half tick of velocity on his fastball, that means his heater is generating an extra 2.5 inches of IVB. All of his pitches are benefitting from some extra carry, leading to a ton of weak contact. His changeup has always been a fantastic swing-and-miss offering, but now he might have added contact management to his bag of tricks. It bears monitoring. I would be a little weary simply because his home ballpark is absolutely horrendous for pitchers, but he’s showing some early signs of improvement under the hood.
Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit for Ottoneu points leagues. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.
I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence. To start the season, I’ll be relying on projected team wOBA until there’s sufficient in-season data to start calculating these matchup ratings.
