Archive for Ottoneu

Ottoneu Cold Right Now: September 18, 2025

Sep 13, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA; San Francisco Giants center fielder Luis Matos (29) runs towards home before scoring a run against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the fifth inning at Oracle Park.
Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

Cold Right Now (CRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on players being dropped or who should be dropped in Ottoneu leagues. In this feature, we will break down players into three sections:

  1. Roster Cuts: Analysis of players who have been cut in a high percentage of leagues.
  2. Recent Injuries: A look at the implications of recent injuries (not all, just some high-profile ones).
  3. Cold Performers: Players with a low P/G or P/IP in recent weeks.

This article will typically run once per week and will help fantasy managers keep track of players that need to be given extra attention to improve rosters.

Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu Hot Right Now: September 17, 2025

Credit: Paul Rutherford-Imagn Images

The 2025 version of Hot Right Now will typically include three sections:

  1. Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
  2. Roster Adds: Analysis of players with high add% changes.
  3. Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP in recent weeks.

The FanGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.

Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner: September 15–21

Credit: James A. Pittman-Imagn Images

Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.

I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence. I should also note that I’ve updated the way I’m calculating the park factors for the two new minor league stadiums that the Athletics and Rays are playing in this year; I’m taking the one-year park factors from Statcast and regressing them towards neutral, with the one-year factors increasing in weight as more games are played in those stadiums (those series are still marked in yellow below).

September 15–21
Team Series 1 Matchup Series 2 Matchup Start Maybe Risky Sit
ARI SFG (72) PHI (89) Zac Gallen (x2), Brandon Pfaadt, Ryne Nelson Eduardo Rodriguez, Nabil Crismatt
ATH @BOS (60) @PIT (158) Luis Severino, Luis Morales J.T. Ginn, Jeffrey Springs (@PIT) Springs (@BOS), Mason Barnett
ATL @WSN (138) @DET (79) Chris Sale, Hurston Waldrep Spencer Strider (x2) Bryce Elder, Joey Wentz Dane Dunning (?)
BAL @CHW (108) NYY (104) Kyle Bradish (x2), Trevor Rogers Tyler Wells Cade Povich, Dean Kremer, Tomoyuki Sugano
BOS ATH (45) @TBR (55) Garrett Crochet Lucas Giolito Connelly Early (x2), Brayan Bello, Payton Tolle
CHC @PIT (158) @CIN (63) Cade Horton (x2), Matthew Boyd Shota Imanaga Jameson Taillon (x2), Colin Rea
CHW BAL (120) SDP (101) Sean Burke (x2), Shane Smith, Martín Pérez Davis Martin, Yoendrys Gómez
CIN @STL (166) CHC (37) Andrew Abbott (@STL), Hunter Greene Brady Singer, Nick Lodolo, Abbott (vCHC) Zack Littell (x2)
CLE @DET (79) @MIN (99) Gavin Williams, Tanner Bibee Joey Cantillo, Logan Allen로건, Parker Messick, John Means (?), Slade Cecconi
COL MIA (72) LAA (108) Kyle Freeland (x2), McCade Brown, Tanner Gordon, Antonio Senzatela, Germán Márquez
DET CLE (163) ATL (163) Jack Flaherty, Tarik Skubal Casey Mize (x2), Charlie Morton Sawyer Gipson-Long
HOU TEX (140) SEA (51) Hunter Brown, Framber Valdez Cristian Javier Jason Alexander (vTEX) Alexander (vSEA), AJ Blubaugh
KCR SEA (44) TOR (61) Michael Wacha (x2) Stephen Kolek, Michael Lorenzen, Ryan Bergert, Noah Cameron
LAA @MIL (75) @COL (77) José Soriano, Yusei Kikuchi Kyle Hendricks (x2), Mitch Farris, Caden Dana
LAD PHI (73) SFG (56) Shohei Ohtani (x2), Blake Snell, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Tyler Glasnow Emmet Sheehan, Clayton Kershaw
MIA @COL (77) @TEX (151) Sandy Alcantara Eury Pérez (x2), Ryan Weathers, Janson Junk Adam Mazur
MIL LAA (130) @STL (166) Freddy Peralta (x2), Brandon Woodruff, Jacob Misiorowski Jose Quintana, Quinn Priester
MIN NYY (87) CLE (145) Pablo López, Joe Ryan Simeon Woods Richardson (x2), Zebby Matthews, Taj Bradley, Bailey Ober
NYM SDP (133) WSN (119) Clay Holmes, David Peterson, Nolan McLean Sean Manaea, Jonah Tong, Brandon Sproat
NYY @MIN (99) @BAL (118) Carlos Rodón (x2), Max Fried Cam Schlittler (x2), Will Warren Luis Gil
PHI @LAD (85) @ARI (115) Ranger Suárez, Cristopher Sánchez Jesús Luzardo Taijuan Walker, Aaron Nola Walker Buehler
PIT CHC (74) ATH (62) Paul Skenes (x2) Mitch Keller Johan Oviedo, Bubba Chandler, Mike Burrows
SDP @NYM (71) @CHW (108) Nick Pivetta Michael King (x2), Dylan Cease Yu Darvish Randy Vásquez
SEA @KCR (162) @HOU (126) Logan Gilbert (x2), Bryan Woo, George Kirby Bryce Miller, Luis Castillo
SFG @ARI (115) @LAD (85) Logan Webb Justin Verlander, Robbie Ray Carson Whisenhunt (x2), Carson Seymour (x2)
STL CIN (142) MIL (75) Sonny Gray Michael McGreevy Matthew Liberatore (x2), Andre Pallante, Miles Mikolas
TBR TOR (33) BOS (50) Drew Rasmussen Ryan Pepiot (x2) Ian Seymour (x2), Shane Baz, Adrian Houser
TEX @HOU (126) MIA (96) Jacob deGrom Jack Leiter (x2), Merrill Kelly 켈리 Tyler Mahle (?) Patrick Corbin
TOR @TBR (55) @KCR (162) Kevin Gausman (x2), Shane Bieber José Berríos (x2), Chris Bassitt, Max Scherzer
WSN ATL (147) @NYM (71) MacKenzie Gore, Brad Lord Cade Cavalli Mitchell Parker (x2), Jake Irvin, Andrew Alvarez

Ottoneu Cold Right Now: September 11, 2025

Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Cold Right Now (CRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on players being dropped or who should be dropped in Ottoneu leagues. In this feature, we will break down players into three sections:

  1. Roster Cuts: Analysis of players who have been cut in a high percentage of leagues.
  2. Recent Injuries: A look at the implications of recent injuries (not all, just some high-profile ones).
  3. Cold Performers: Players with a low P/G or P/IP in recent weeks.

This article will typically run once per week and will help fantasy managers keep track of players that need to be given extra attention to improve rosters.

Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner: September 8–14

Credit: Sergio Estrada-Imagn Images

Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.

I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence. I should also note that I’ve updated the way I’m calculating the park factors for the two new minor league stadiums that the Athletics and Rays are playing in this year; I’m taking the one-year park factors from Statcast and regressing them towards neutral, with the one-year factors increasing in weight as more games are played in those stadiums (those series are still marked in yellow below).

September 8–14
Team Series 1 Matchup Series 2 Matchup Start Maybe Risky Sit
ARI @SFG (110) @MIN (97) Zac Gallen Brandon Pfaadt, Ryne Nelson Nabil Crismatt (x2), Eduardo Rodriguez
ATH BOS (40) CIN (82) Luis Severino, Luis Morales (vCIN) Morales (vBOS), J.T. Ginn Jeffrey Springs, Mason Barnett
ATL CHC (68) HOU (77) Chris Sale Hurston Waldrep, Spencer Strider Joey Wentz (x2) Bryce Elder
BAL PIT (123) @TOR (46) Kyle Bradish, Trevor Rogers Tyler Wells, Cade Povich, Dean Kremer Tomoyuki Sugano
BOS @ATH (61) NYY (30) Garrett Crochet (x2) Payton Tolle Dustin May, Lucas Giolito, Brayan Bello
CHC @ATL (109) TBR (114) Cade Horton, Matthew Boyd Shota Imanaga (x2) Jameson Taillon (?), Colin Rea
CHW TBR (83) @CLE (169) Martín Pérez Yoendrys Gómez (x2), Shane Smith Jonathan Cannon, Davis Martin
CIN @SDP (117) @ATH (61) Nick Lodolo (@SDP), Andrew Abbott Hunter Greene, Lodolo (@ATH) Brady Singer Zack Littell
CLE KCR (122) CHW (122) Gavin Williams, Tanner Bibee, Parker Messick Slade Cecconi (x2), Joey Cantillo, Logan Allen로건
COL @LAD (72) @SDP (117) Chase Dollander (x2), Germán Márquez (x2), Kyle Freeland, McCade Brown, Tanner Gordon
DET @NYY (41) @MIA (136) Tarik Skubal Jack Flaherty, Charlie Morton Casey Mize Sawyer Gipson-Long (x2)
HOU @TOR (46) @ATL (109) Hunter Brown, Framber Valdez Jason Alexander (x2), Cristian Javier, Luis Garcia
KCR @CLE (169) @PHI (50) Michael Wacha Ryan Bergert (@CLE), Noah Cameron (@CLE), Seth Lugo Michael Lorenzen, Bergert (@PHI), Cameron (@PHI)
LAA MIN (92) @SEA (144) Yusei Kikuchi José Soriano Caden Dana (x2), Kyle Hendricks (x2), Mitch Farris
LAD COL (146) @SFG (110) Shohei Ohtani, Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow, Yoshinobu Yamamoto Clayton Kershaw, Emmet Sheehan
MIA WSN (112) DET (95) Sandy Alcantara Janson Junk (?), Eury Pérez (x2), Ryan Weathers (?) Adam Mazur
MIL @TEX (92) STL (136) Freddy Peralta, Brandon Woodruff, Jacob Misiorowski Jose Quintana (x2), Quinn Priester
MIN @LAA (120) ARI (97) Joe Ryan, Pablo López Simeon Woods Richardson (x2), Zebby Matthews, Bailey Ober
NYM @PHI (50) TEX (93) Nolan McLean, Clay Holmes, David Peterson, Jonah Tong, Sean Manaea (vTEX) Manaea (@PHI), Brandon Sproat
NYY DET (88) @BOS (53) Max Fried Carlos Rodón, Cam Schlittler Will Warren (x2), Luis Gil
PHI NYM (37) KCR (104) Cristopher Sánchez Ranger Suárez, Jesús Luzardo Aaron Nola (x2), Taijuan Walker Walker Buehler (?)
PIT @BAL (93) @WSN (144) Braxton Ashcraft (x2), Paul Skenes Mitch Keller Johan Oviedo, Carmen Mlodzinski
SDP CIN (121) COL (159) Nick Pivetta, Michael King, Dylan Cease Yu Darvish (vCOL) Darvish (vCIN), Nestor Cortes (x2)
SEA STL (164) LAA (151) Bryan Woo (x2), George Kirby (x2), Logan Gilbert Bryce Miller, Luis Castillo
SFG ARI (121) LAD (123) Logan Webb (x2) Robbie Ray, Justin Verlander Carson Whisenhunt Carson Seymour
STL @SEA (144) @MIL (72) Michael McGreevy, Sonny Gray Miles Mikolas (x2), Matthew Liberatore, Andre Pallante
TBR @CHW (107) @CHC (117) Ryan Pepiot, Drew Rasmussen Ian Seymour Adrian Houser (x2), Shane Baz
TEX MIL (47) @NYM (61) Jacob deGrom Jack Leiter, Merrill Kelly 켈리 Jacob Latz (x2), Patrick Corbin
TOR HOU (80) BAL (112) Shane Bieber, Kevin Gausman José Berríos (x2), Max Scherzer, Chris Bassitt
WSN @MIA (136) PIT (110) Cade Cavalli (x2) Brad Lord Mitchell Parker (x2), Jake Irvin, Andrew Alvarez

Ottoneu Cold Right Now: September 4, 2025

Credit: Nick Turchiaro-Imagn Images

Cold Right Now (CRN) is a weekly Ottoneu feature focused on players being dropped or who should be dropped in Ottoneu leagues. In this feature, we will break down players into three sections:

  1. Roster Cuts: Analysis of players who have been cut in a high percentage of leagues.
  2. Recent Injuries: A look at the implications of recent injuries (not all, just some high-profile ones).
  3. Cold Performers: Players with a low P/G or P/IP in recent weeks.

This article will typically run once per week and will help fantasy managers keep track of players that need to be given extra attention to improve rosters.

Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu Hot Right Now: September 3, 2025

Aug 30, 2025; San Francisco, California, USA; Baltimore Orioles third baseman Jeremiah Jackson (82) takes a swig of water from the ceremonial sprinkler after hitting a two-run home run against the San Francisco Giants during the third inning at Oracle Park.
Credit: D. Ross Cameron-Imagn Images

The 2025 version of Hot Right Now will typically include three sections:

  1. Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
  2. Roster Adds: Analysis of players with high add% changes.
  3. Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP in recent weeks.

The FanGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.

Read the rest of this entry »


Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner: September 1–7

Credit: Mark Hoffman-Imagn Images

Welcome back to the Ottoneu Starting Pitching Planner. Based on the Roster Resource Probables Grid, I’ve organized every starter slated to start next week into four categories: start, maybe, risky, and sit. The first and last category are pretty self-explanatory. Starters who fall into the “maybe” category are guys you could start if you need to keep up with the innings pitched pace in points leagues or need to hit your games started cap in head-to-head leagues; they’re good bets to turn in a decent start, but you shouldn’t automatically insert them into your lineup. If you’ve fallen behind on the innings pitched pace or you’re really starving for starts in a head-to-head matchup, you could turn to a “risky” starter or two.

I’ve also calculated a “Matchup Score” for each series using a straight combination of opponent’s home/away wOBA, opponent wOBA over the last 14 days, and the park factor for the ballpark the teams are playing in. It’s indexed so that 100 is average and anything above that is a favorable matchup and anything below is unfavorable. That matchup rating informs some of the sit/start recommendations I’m making, though the quality of the pitcher definitely takes precedence. I should also note that I’ve updated the way I’m calculating the park factors for the two new minor league stadiums that the Athletics and Rays are playing in this year; I’m taking the one-year park factors from Statcast and regressing them towards neutral, with the one-year factors increasing in weight as more games are played in those stadiums (those series are still marked in yellow below).

September 1–7
Team Series 1 Matchup Series 2 Matchup Start Maybe Risky Sit
ARI TEX (93) BOS (114) Ryne Nelson (x2), Zac Gallen, Brandon Pfaadt Eduardo Rodriguez Nabil Crismatt
ATH @STL (146) @LAA (125) Luis Morales (x2) Luis Severino, Jeffrey Springs, J.T. Ginn Osvaldo Bido
ATL @CHC (151) SEA (75) Spencer Strider, Chris Sale Joey Wentz, Hurston Waldrep Cal Quantrill, Bryce Elder
BAL @SDP (123) LAD (109) Kyle Bradish, Trevor Rogers Tyler Wells (?), Cade Povich, Dean Kremer, Tomoyuki Sugano
BOS CLE (154) @ARI (91) Garrett Crochet Brayan Bello (x2), Payton Tolle, Lucas Giolito Dustin May
CHC ATL (102) WSN (137) Shota Imanaga, Cade Horton, Matthew Boyd Colin Rea (vWSN) Rea (vATL), Javier Assad
CHW @MIN (109) @DET (84) Aaron Civale (x2), Shane Smith, Martín Pérez Davis Martin (x2), Yoendrys Gómez
CIN TOR (26) NYM (21) Hunter Greene (x2), Nick Lodolo, Andrew Abbott Brady Singer Zack Littell
CLE @BOS (86) @TBR (77) Parker Messick (x2), Gavin Williams, Tanner Bibee Logan Allen로건 Slade Cecconi (x2)
COL SFG (68) SDP (84) Chase Dollander, Kyle Freeland, Germán Márquez, McCade Brown, Tanner Gordon
DET NYM (72) CHW (131) Jack Flaherty, Tarik Skubal Charlie Morton (x2) Casey Mize, Chris Paddack
HOU NYY (41) @TEX (96) Framber Valdez, Hunter Brown Luis Garcia (?), Jason Alexander, Cristian Javier, Spencer Arrighetti
KCR LAA (123) MIN (123) Michael Wacha Michael Lorenzen (x2), Noah Cameron Ryan Bergert, Seth Lugo
LAA @KCR (97) ATH (48) Yusei Kikuchi (x2), José Soriano Tyler Anderson, Kyle Hendricks, Caden Dana (?)
LAD @PIT (116) @BAL (123) Shohei Ohtani, Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow, Yoshinobu Yamamoto Emmet Sheehan, Clayton Kershaw
MIA @WSN (148) PHI (91) Eury Pérez, Edward Cabrera, Sandy Alcantara Ryan Gusto (x2), Adam Mazur
MIL PHI (88) @PIT (116) Jacob Misiorowski (x2), Freddy Peralta, Brandon Woodruff Jose Quintana, Quinn Priester
MIN CHW (113) @KCR (97) Joe Ryan Zebby Matthews, Pablo López (?) Bailey Ober (x2), Simeon Woods Richardson, Mick Abel
NYM @DET (84) @CIN (103) Nolan McLean, David Peterson Sean Manaea (x2), Clay Holmes Tylor Megill (?), Kodai Senga
NYY @HOU (151) TOR (47) Max Fried (x2) Will Warren, Carlos Rodón Cam Schlittler, Luis Gil
PHI @MIL (90) @MIA (147) Ranger Suárez, Cristopher Sánchez, Jesús Luzardo Taijuan Walker (x2), Aaron Nola
PIT LAD (92) MIL (67) Paul Skenes Mitch Keller Mike Burrows (x2), Braxton Ashcraft Johan Oviedo
SDP BAL (151) @COL (79) Dylan Cease (vBAL) Yu Darvish, Nestor Cortes, Nick Pivetta, Cease (@COL) Michael King (?)
SEA @TBR (77) @ATL (82) Bryan Woo, George Kirby, Logan Gilbert Luis Castillo (x2), Bryce Miller
SFG @COL (79) @STL (146) Logan Webb, Justin Verlander Robbie Ray, Keaton Winn (?) Carson Whisenhunt (x2)
STL ATH (90) SFG (118) Sonny Gray (x2) Michael McGreevy Miles Mikolas, Matthew Liberatore, Andre Pallante
TBR SEA (47) CLE (140) Drew Rasmussen, Ryan Pepiot Shane Baz (vCLE) Baz (vSEA), Adrian Houser, Ian Seymour
TEX @ARI (91) HOU (112) Jacob deGrom Merrill Kelly 켈리 Jacob Latz, Jack Leiter Patrick Corbin (x2)
TOR @CIN (103) @NYY (37) Shane Bieber, Kevin Gausman Chris Bassitt, José Berríos, Eric Lauer 라우어, Max Scherzer
WSN MIA (123) @CHC (151) MacKenzie Gore (x2), Brad Lord Cade Cavalli, Mitchell Parker, Jake Irvin

Ottoneu Drip: Finding Under-rostered Pitchers: August 29, 2025

Credit: Cary Edmondson-Imagn Images

The search for pitching help is never ending. Between injuries and ineffectiveness, fantasy players are always on the lookout for pitchers who are performing well who can provide some reinforcements. If you’re in an Ottoneu head-to-head league, the playoffs begin on Monday. Here are five starters who are rostered in less than 60% of all Ottoneu leagues who might be a benefit to your first-round playoff matchup.

Under-rostered Starters, Last 30 Days
Player Team IP FIP K-BB% Stuff+ Pts/IP Roster%
Justin Verlander SFG 32.1 2.38 20.0% 112 5.28 50.46%
Luis Morales ATH 22.2 3.08 13.6% 106 6.07 43.12%
Ian Seymour TBR 18.2 3.39 27.4% 94 5.53 30.28%
Joey Wentz ATL 33.1 3.18 8.8% 93 5.16 19.57%
Martín Pérez CHW 15.2 1.91 21.1% 86 7.45 11.32%

This isn’t the same Justin Verlander who could carry a fantasy pitching staff for much of his career, but don’t be so quick to write off the seemingly ageless veteran. Since the All-Star break, he has a 3.05 FIP thanks to a miniscule home run rate and a pretty good strikeout-to-walk ratio. His ERA during this same period is more than a run higher than his peripherals would indicate, but because Ottoneu uses FIP-based scoring, it’s actually okay that he’s allowing a few more runs than expected, as long as he’s also preventing home runs too. Next week, he avoids the Giants’ series in Colorado and has a nice matchup against the punchless Cardinals in the pitcher-friendly ballpark in St. Louis.

Luis Morales has very quickly established himself in the big leagues after making his debut on August 1. He entered the season as the A’s top pitching prospect, though he’s pretty raw at this stage of his development. He only signed as an international amateur out of Cuba in January 2023 and had an absolutely meteoric rise through the Athletics’ farm system. He’s looked pretty dominant in the majors already; in his last three starts, he’s allowed just two runs total while striking out 18 in 18 innings. He’s got the skills and stuff to be a frontline pitcher for the A’s as he continues to develop. Next week is a nice two-start week against two pretty weak teams (@STL and @LAA) away from the launching pad in Sacramento.

Ian Seymour only recently made the jump to the starting rotation after making 12 appearances out of the Rays bullpen. Lucas Kelly featured him in his Hot Right Now column yesterday, writing:

Much of [Seymour’s] success can be attributed to his changeup. Its 16.0% swinging strike rate has been above average when compared to pitchers who have thrown at least 150 of them this season. With a small sample, Seymour’s fastball is performing better than you might expect, holding an 11.9% swinging strike rate. The pitch has a below-average Stuff+, Location+, and averages 92 MPH.

Some pretty violent mechanics led to some scouting reservations and put a cap on his potential ceiling as a prospect. His one start was excellent — a shutout affair with eight strikeouts in five innings — granted, it came against the Guardians who are the worst hitting team in baseball. Still, he’s lined up to face Cleveland again in his start next week.

After struggling to establish himself in Detroit to start his career, Joey Wentz has finally found some success in Atlanta, his third organization this year. While the results have been nice (3.43 ERA with the Braves), his peripherals paint a different picture. His FIP in Atlanta is a sparkling 3.03 but that’s almost entirely propped up by a miniscule 4.3% HR/FB rate. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is pretty mediocre and he’s dealt with some command issues in his recent past. You might be able to get away with a good start or two if his home run luck holds, but the foundation doesn’t look very solid.

Martín Pérez also got a passing mention in Kelly’s column yesterday, but I wanted to highlight him here too because he’s actually been surprisingly good for the White Sox this year. He’s running the highest strikeout rate of his career at 22.9% and the biggest difference is an emphasis on his cutter as his primary pitch rather than his sinker. His changeup has continued to be an elite weapon, but that pitch mix change has earned him a lot more whiffs than before. The big red flag is that his contact management peripherals all scream for some regression. He’s allowed a 12.9% barrel rate but just one home run this year and his xERA, xFIP, and SIERA are all more than a full run higher than his FIP. His start against the Yankees on Sunday might help you determine if you’d want to stream him next week for his start against the Tigers in Detroit.


Ottoneu Hot Right Now: August 28, 2025

Credit: Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

The 2025 version of Hot Right Now will typically include three sections:

  1. Current Auctions: A closer look at players being auctioned at a high rate.
  2. Roster Adds: Analysis of players with high add% changes.
  3. Hot Performers: Players with a high P/G or P/IP in recent weeks.

The FanGraphs Ottoneu team plans to run this feature weekly, updating fantasy managers on the biggest movers in Ottoneu leagues with an analysis of how these players could or could not help your roster.

Read the rest of this entry »