Daily SP Chart archive
What a treat on Thursday night. It’s a short slate, so you can focus all your attention on Jared Jones for the early game and then end the night with Tyler Glasnow’s start against the Reds.
Daily SP Chart archive
Please pardon the Wednesday morning posting, I won’t name names but someone fell asleep.
“Hey Paul, you’re the only one who works on this piece, so if someone falling asleep prevented it from being posted, it can only be YOU.”
Oh… right. Well, I guess we’ll never get to the bottom of why it was posted late, but here it is nonetheless!
Deep board on Wednesday with all 11 of the 2-x guys being viable for 10-teamers but none being must starts in those shallower formats. Eager to see how Bradley and Gasser follow up their strong season debuts (MLB debut in the case of Gasser). I know Rogers gets the Tigers, but I just don’t trust him much anywhere at this point so even the 1-x reco is tepid. Let me know if you have questions on anyone else here in the post or later today in my chat!
—
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Framber Valdez | HOU v OAK | x | x | x | 29 | 3.64 | 1.35 | 11% | 16th |
| 2 | Ranger Suárez | PHI at NYM | x | x | x | 54 | 1.50 | 0.72 | 24% | 24th |
| 3 | Garrett Crochet | CHW v WSN | x | x | x | 46 | 4.63 | 0.99 | 29% | 25th |
| 4 | Tanner Houck | BOS v TBR | x | x | x | 52 | 2.24 | 0.97 | 20% | 18th |
| 5 | Kyle Bradish | BAL v TOR | x | x | x | 9 | 1.86 | 1.24 | 23% | 22nd |
| 6 | Pablo López | MIN v NYY | x | x | x | 44 | 3.89 | 0.98 | 27% | 3rd |
| 7 | Michael King | SDP v COL | x | x | x | 49 | 3.67 | 1.31 | 14% | 19th |
| 8 | Logan Webb | SFG v LAD | x | x | x | 53 | 3.38 | 1.39 | 12% | 1st |
| 9 | Casey Mize | DET v MIA | x | x | x | 37 | 3.58 | 1.30 | 10% | 27th |
| 10 | Robert Gasser | MIL v PIT | x | x | 6 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 20% | 10th | |
| 11 | Taj Bradley | TBR at BOS | x | x | 6 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 21% | 10th | |
| 12 | Chris Bassitt | TOR at BAL | x | x | 42 | 5.06 | 1.55 | 11% | 12th | |
| 13 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI v CIN | x | x | 47 | 4.60 | 1.19 | 17% | 28th | |
| 14 | Andrew Abbott | CIN at ARI | x | x | 43 | 3.35 | 1.19 | 14% | 1st | |
| 15 | Charlie Morton | ATL v CHC | x | x | 43 | 3.14 | 1.05 | 15% | 15th | |
| 16 | Jon Gray | TEX v CLE | x | x | 45 | 2.36 | 1.20 | 19% | 20th | |
| 17 | Griffin Canning | LAA v STL | x | x | 40 | 5.75 | 1.35 | 8% | 24th | |
| 18 | Marcus Stroman | NYY at MIN | x | x | 42 | 3.80 | 1.50 | 10% | 8th | |
| 19 | Alec Marsh | KCR at SEA | x | x | 32 | 2.53 | 1.03 | 12% | 25th | |
| 20 | Bryan Woo | SEA v KCR | x | x | 4 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 13% | 11th | |
| 21 | Lance Lynn | STL at LAA | x | 40 | 3.79 | 1.41 | 11% | 17th | ||
| 22 | Martín Pérez | PIT at MIL | x | 45 | 3.60 | 1.40 | 12% | 27th | ||
| 23 | Trevor Rogers | MIA at DET | x | 37 | 6.57 | 1.86 | 8% | 19th | ||
| 24 | Ryan Yarbrough | LAD at SFG | x | 31 | 2.56 | 0.73 | 8% | 20th | ||
| 25 | Joey Lucchesi | NYM v PHI | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 6th | |||
| 26 | Javier Assad | CHC at ATL | 42 | 1.70 | 1.06 | 12% | 7th | |||
| 27 | Austin Gomber | COL at SDP | 44 | 3.43 | 1.25 | 8% | 26th | |||
| 28 | Carlos Carrasco | CLE at TEX | 40 | 5.36 | 1.49 | 8% | 5th | |||
| 29 | Patrick Corbin | WSN at CHW | 42 | 5.91 | 1.78 | 7% | 30th | |||
| 30 | Aaron Brooks 브룩스 | OAK at HOU | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 9th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Me after any workout:
Chris Martin had the best reaction after snagging this line drive 😂 pic.twitter.com/PXysKRvZle
— MLB (@MLB) May 15, 2024
Me reaching for the gravy at the dinner table:
1) There’s not much like an amazing catch.
2) Why isn’t Jon Miller still doing national MLB TV games?
3) Angelos booting him out of Baltimore was one of his biggest blunders. pic.twitter.com/H3VIG654JR
— Grant Paulsen (@granthpaulsen) May 14, 2024
Daily SP Chart archive
Everyone gets a comment today!
As we were talking through FAAB on Sunday night, my friend Gregg astutely pointed out that Oakland’s Win potential for their SPs is a lot higher than it was at the start of season. They now flaunt the best closer in baseball to maintain any leads they do get and they’re slugging the ball around a decent bit to obtain said leads. Mason Miller simply has a negative FIP!!! That’s right, FIP goes into the negative. He snatches runs off the board when he comes out of the pen. It probably goes without saying, but yes, his -0.17 FIP is the best in baseball. That tends to happen when you strike out more than half your batters (55% K rate).
On the offensive side, Brent Rooker is showing that last year was no fluke with a 1.021 OPS and 10 HR, good for 3rd and t-4th, respectively. He’s not the only one hitting, though, as their 55 HRs rank 4th in the league aiding them to a palatable 102 wRC+. In addition to Rooker’s 187 wRC+, they are getting big contributions from Abraham Toro (137), JJ Bleday (122), Tyler Nevin (116), and Shea Langeliers (114) as well as small sample gods Kyle McCann (211 in 39 PA), Brett Harris (126 in 42), and Esteury Ruiz (112 in 58) making the most of their time so far.
Unfortunately one of the prime beneficiaries of this improved outlook for Oakland, Paul Blackburn, hit the IL today with a broken foot. However, it does bring Joey Estes back up which is a full circle moment because that’s who Gregg and I were discussing on Sunday when he pointed out Oakland’s newly improved outlook. Estes has a HR issue that will make him risky even in the best setups, but a shiny season debut on Saturday (5 IP/1 ER/0 BB/5 Ks) plus this opportunity does at least put him on the deep league radar. He gets a trip to Houston this week which I’d pass on, but if you’re a fan in a daily moves league you might consider stashing before that start because if he surprises me and does do well against the Astros, there’ll be a lot of attention for his Colorado start at home.
5/13/24
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Here’s today’s chat transcript:
I can’t believe it’s been over five years since my daughter stepped in and wrote this post. In a few days she graduates from high school so I’ll be taking the week off (no weekend waiver wire article or chat) to enjoy time with family. As much as we enjoy this stupid game, friends and family mean so much more to us. I’m so pround of Ruby and can’t wait to watch her walk across the stage this weekend. -JZ
Note: I promised my kid she could write one of my articles this summer and as the summer winds down, I’m keeping my promise. -JZ
How do people do this? Writing for like 3000 hours. Then you get all mad that it must be 400 words. And figure out what to write. Then it can’t be big or small it has to be perfect. Then your kids take up all the internet. Then you have to know what BB% and Avg. for the player and it just gets soooo confusing. Then your brother is eating DILL PICKLE sunflower seeds and they smell GROOOOOSSS. When he snaps it and he spits on you. Are we there yet with this article?? This is so boring how do get this to be fun. All you do is sit and write. Then you are all itchy because you mowed the day before and the bugs bit you. Do you know what a parents favorite time of the year is SCHOOL XD. I would rather be in an ac room on my phone than at school. My favorite part of school is leaving 😉 Your brother thinks he can do math but he can’t. Anyway back to baseball. My dad lied to me about Coleverson [Culberson] can’t hit a home run but he did. Anyway, I am done. 204 words.
Post originally ran on August 9th, 2018
One of my favorite moments of all time:
When Dallas Braden was in high school, he lost his mother to cancer.
On Mother’s Day in 2010, he provided a moment he and fans will never forget. ⚾💗 pic.twitter.com/EfGs296Yrj
— MLB Vault (@MLBVault) May 12, 2024
Daily SP Chart archive
Spicy 2-start week with lots of studs going!
| RANK | TYPE | PITCHER | MATCHUPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Corbin Burnes | TOR/SEA |
| 2 | 1 | Shota Imanaga | at ATL/PIT |
| 3 | 1 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | at SFG/CIN |
| 4 | 1 | George Kirby | KCR/at BAL |
| 5 | 1 | Zach Eflin | at BOS/at TOR |
| 6 | 1 | Aaron Nola | at NYM/WSN |
| 7 | 2 | Reynaldo López | CHC/SDP |
| 8 | 2 | Kutter Crawford | TBR/at STL |
| 9 | 2 | Hunter Greene | at ARI/at LAD |
| 10 | 2 | Ronel Blanco | OAK/MIL |
| 11 | 2 | Jordan Montgomery | CIN/DET |
| 12 | 2 | Carlos Rodón | at MIN/CHW |
| 13 | 3 | Tanner Bibee | at TEX/MIN |
| 14 | 3 | Brady Singer | at SEA/OAK |
| 15 | 3 | Matt Manning | MIA/at ARI |
| 16 | 3 | Cristopher Sánchez | at NYM/WSN |
| 17 | 3 | Jordan Hicks | LAD/COL |
| 18 | 3 | Nick Pivetta | TBR/at STL |
| 19 | 3 | José Berríos | at BAL/TBR |
| 20 | 3 | Aaron Civale | at BOS/at TOR |
| 21 | 4 | Chris Flexen 플렉센 | WSN/at NYY |
| 22 | 4 | JP Sears | at HOU/at KCR |
| 23 | 4 | Trevor Williams | at CHW/at PHI |
| 24 | 4 | Colin Rea | PIT/at HOU |
| 25 | 4 | José Soriano | STL/at TEX |
| 26 | 4 | Jameson Taillon | at ATL/PIT |
| 27 | 4 | Mitch Keller | at MIL/at CHC |
| 28 | 4 | Chris Paddack | NYY/at CLE |
| 29 | 4 | Sean Manaea | PHI/at MIA |
| 30 | 4 | Michael Lorenzen | CLE/LAA |
| 31 | 4 | Matthew Liberatore | at LAA/BOS |
| 32 | 4 | Randy Vásquez | COL/at ATL |
| 33 | 5 | Graham Ashcraft | at ARI/at LAD |
| 34 | 5 | Ross Stripling | at HOU/at KCR |
| 35 | 5 | Sixto Sánchez | at DET/NYM |
| 36 | 6 | Spencer Arrighetti | OAK/MIL |
| 37 | 6 | Dakota Hudson | at SDP/at SFG |