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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 18th, 2025

Brad Penner-Imagn Images

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

Board tonight, comments in the morning! (Yes, I’m going back to the well on Tong even after the nightmare v. TEX)

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Big Kid Drops (Week 26)


Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Instead of examining the top adds of the week, I decided to look into the drops here at the end. I hoped to see some teams trying going for it and made some major drops to move up in the standings. After looking over the moves, not much happened.

I’ll go ahead and look at a few of the interesting drops and the league standings for the drop (number of leagues dropped in parentheses).

Kenley Jansen (1): This manager was in 14th place in Saves and needed four to get to 13th and 21 ahead of the 15th place team.

I’m surprised there weren’t more teams dropping closers. The next two “best” dropped closers were Calvin Faucher and Blake Treinen.

Jorge Soler (1): The team was in last place in home runs and could move up in batting average. Solid move

Nick Lodolo (1): With the drop of Lodolo, he added Bryan Abreu. The team is in first place by 20 points, but needs 5 Wins to move up or 2 Wins for the three people 8 Wins behind him. With Saves, he is four behind the person ahead of him, and one person is within one spot of catching him.

Jasson Domínguez (2), Nick Castellanos (2), Cedric Mullins (2), Paul Goldschmidt (2), Hyeseong Kim 김혜성 (3), Miguel Andujar (3), and Spencer Steer (3): These managers are finally cutting players who are not getting regular at-bats. I parted ways with Mullins and Goldschmidt over a month ago.

These too-late drops have got me thinking about creating an automated process to highlight my players who aren’t reaching certain minimum playing time requirements.

Trea Turner (3): Three teams decided they needed the roster space after they heard the latest news on Turner from Rotowire:

Turner is not with the team in Los Angeles on Monday for the start of their road trip, and the Phillies hope the star shortstop will return to action before the regular-season finale on Sept. 28 against Minnesota. Philadelphia won’t travel back home until the Sept. 23 contest versus the Marlins, so Turner, who’s nursing a Grade 1 right hamstring strain, appears unlikely to make his way back into the lineup for at least another week.

Sounds like the managers who kept him may get a partial week from Turner … maybe.

Hayden Birdsong: Someone came out of a coma and checked their team’s roster.

Thoughts

Again, I was hoping for more drastic moves to highlight. Maybe there is too much talk on making major moves.

1. I’m weeks behind the major moves. These managers needed to make a move, and a week or two wouldn’t make a difference. Going back a few weeks, I found some moves from teams focusing on individual categories. For example, one manager led the stolen base category by 22 Steals and dropped Chandler Simpson. I might need to do a similar piece to this one closer to the first of September next year.

2. Dead teams. Even though these managers paid $2500 or more to be in these leagues, some may know it’s over and focus on their competitive teams or football.

3. Out of FAAB. After starting with $1000 FAAB, these managers should have some spending control and have a few dollars left to make moves. I know some don’t. Out of that $1000, I leave myself with $10 per week, or $260 total to win the week. Managers would still have $740 left over for adding pop-up players.

I’ve won leagues by streaming my leagues over the last few weeks. I’m close to doing it again this year. Just a little restraint during the season can lead to huge dividends later.

4. Sunk costs. Seeing those Goldschmidt drops is a perfect example of someone who managers probably relied on but couldn’t move on.


Starting Pitcher Chart – September 17th, 2025

Matt Marton-Imagn Images

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

Board tonight, comments in the morning!

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 16th, 2025

Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

I fell asleep before 10pm for maybe only the 2nd or 3rd time of the baseball season! Let’s take a look at Tuesday’s board:

  • There was a version of this board up for about 2 minutes that had Eury as 3-x. I’ve moved him down as I definitely don’t trust him in all formats going into Coors.
  • Abbott has been wobbly down the stretch (4.40 ERA/1.26 WHIP in L30) and I’ve had some skepticism about him all year so I’m not terribly surprised by the downturn, but he was brilliant last time out in SDP to hopefully assuage some concerns that were building.
  • Ohtani was right back down to 3.7 IP last time out and he’s just not a bankable 5 IP having done it exactly once this year and now gets a brutally difficult matchup so I’m not sure I’m looking to start him in many spots
  • Clay Holmes is starting, but Manaea is following and while he hasn’t been terribly good at all this year, following does put him in a better spot to steal a win even if it’s only 3-4 good innings so I don’t mind the risk in some spots.
  • Let’s be careful with Pepiot… seems to be wearing down in the stretch run here and gets a tough matchup so while I’m still a mega-fan of the talent, he’s not a must-start here.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 15th, 2025

James A. Pittman-Imagn Images

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

Board tonight, comments in the morning!

  • Rodón and Suárez are the only real studs today and Suárez gets stuck facing LAD… still running him everywhere, of course
  • Littell walks a tightrope with the excellent 4% BB% and putrid 1.8 HR9; his last 2 starts crystallize the range of outcomes w/this skillset — 4.3 IP/5 ER/4 HR v. TOR | 6 IP/2 ER/0 HR at SDP
  • Taillon was OK off the IL (4.3 IP/2 ER) and gets a trip back to his old stomping grounds where he should be able to put himself in line for a Win
  • Bradish has been fantastic in 3 starts since returning from injury with skills to back it up, though 2 of his L3 starts will be v. and at NYY
  • Gallen had been rolling with a 2.20 ERA/1.05 WHIP in his L7 (6 QS) but suffered through a rough 1st inning at SFG (3 ER) to interrupt the run… allowed just 2 ER over his final 5.7 IP of that SFG start so I’m not letting the 5 ER outing deter and in fact, I’m adding a 10-team reco for him and probably prefer him to Strider in a 1 v. 1
  • Ashcraft and Sheehan are two rising young arms that I like a good bit, but these are some tough matchups to navigate so they aren’t must starts
  • Alexander is running a 2.20 ERA/0.98 WHIP so I might’ve undersold him a bit. I knew he was doing well, but didn’t know it was that well. I’ve added an “x” and I’d start him over Leiter. I still prefer the Ashcraft/Sheehan duo over him as I believe in their stuff more
  • Can’t wait to watch Yesavage’s debut tonight… and if Boyle’s on, it could be a great matchup!

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Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are this week’s Tout Wars 15-team FAAB bids.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:31
Mike: Any interest in Beeter?  Closing share and high Ks, but bad team and possibly just a hot streak for a volatile pitcher?

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d hold off adding him

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Just too few chances for Holds

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FAAB & Waiver Wire Report (Week 25)


Arianna Grainey-Imagn Images

 

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (about 40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now, while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference, grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


OOPSY’s Top 60 Prospects, Final 2025 Update

Brett Davis-Imagn Images

With the season nearly complete, this article takes a final look at OOPSY’s projections-based top 60 prospects in an effort to give readers a jump start on the offseason.

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Mining the News (9/12/25)


Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

American League

Angels

Mike Trout has been dealing with knee pain

[Trout] also hasn’t played defense since April, due to lingering soreness after tweaking his surgically repaired left meniscus.

… and might rework his swing to cut down on his strikeouts.

The Angels have approached Trout about making swing changes surrounding his leg kick and hip placement, and while he has been open to them, he’s yet to actually implement those changes.

He’s described his mechanical issue as his back side collapsing. This, Trout said, causes his head to move back, which makes pitch recognition more difficult, and creates an “uphill” swing. Hence, copious strikeouts and a lack of hard contact.

It’s a problem he’s dealt with for years, he said, and acknowledged “I don’t know” when asked if it’s a product of aging.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – September 12th-14th, 2025

Tim Heitman-Imagn Images

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

I know the Cubs game is going already today, but here’s the rest of the weekend!

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