Roto Riteup: August 27, 2019
by Justin Mason
August 27, 2019
Perspective is unique to the individual:
https://twitter.com/jasoncollette/status/1165756368676098053?s=20
Archive for Featured
The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 731 – 10 Potential Hitter Call-Ups
by Paul Sporer
August 26, 2019
8/26/19
Originally uploaded the wrong file, that has been corrected as of 7:40 Central on 8/26
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.
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- @sporer – Host
SEPTEMBER CALL UPS
- Kyle Tucker (1:45)
- Nate Lowe (5:18)
- Gavin Lux (7:50)
Podcast: Play in new window | Download
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Short-Season Prospects Rising Up
It’s never too early to think about next year, right? Or, for that matter, three years from now.
With that in mind, we’re going to take a look at six players in short-season leagues that should be poised to jump to full-season ball in 2020. If that happens, it should put them squarely on your watch list in dynasty formats.
I don’t advocate adding too many low-level prospects to a fantasy team’s roster, even in a format like Ottoneu that has a 40-man roster, but one, maybe two, won’t hurt, especially if they project to be impact players like the players listed below.
Aaron Bracho, 2B, Indians: Cleveland continues to churn out excellent results from its international scouting department and 2017 was an especially good year. That market produced three players with impact potential in Brayan Rocchio, George Valera, and Bracho. That third player listed has shown an advanced approach with the bat after an injury kept him off the field in 2018. Bracho has an encouraging BB-K of 22-21 in 29 rookie ball games while showing above-average pop with six home runs and 10 doubles — accounting for more than 50% of his 31 hits. It’s extremely rare for 18-year-old prospects to show that kind of balance between power and plate discipline.
Roto Riteup: August 26, 2019
by Justin Mason
August 26, 2019
This is also my wife’s Player’s Weekend Jersey:
I found deGrom's actual #PlayersWeekend jersey pic.twitter.com/aTv5g5eUsS
— Andrew Harts (@AndrewHarts) August 24, 2019
Week 23 Waiver Wire Projections
If there is a weekend to take off, it’s this one. Kyle Seager and Adam Plutko are the hot commodities. Not good.
The projection guidelines:
- The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
- The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
- The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
- Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.
Week 23 Batter FAAB Projections
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Lopes SS | SEA | 0% | 2% | 2% | $3 |
| Abraham Toro-Hernandez 3B | HOU | 2% | 6% | 4% | $4 |
| Jake Fraley RF | SEA | 2% | 6% | 4% | $4 |
| Nick Solak 2B | TEX | 3% | 9% | 6% | $6 |
| Wilmer Flores 1B | ARI | 3% | 9% | 6% | $6 |
| Matt Beaty 1B | LAD | 3% | 6% | 3% | $4 |
| Tom Murphy C | SEA | 4% | 13% | 9% | $10 |
| Tommy Edman SS | STL | 6% | 15% | 9% | $11 |
| Dexter Fowler RF | STL | 7% | 12% | 5% | $6 |
| Delino DeShields CF | TEX | 8% | 14% | 6% | $8 |
| Austin Nola SS | SEA | 9% | 18% | 9% | $12 |
| Harrison Bader CF | STL | 9% | 11% | 2% | $4 |
| Jose Iglesias SS | CIN | 9% | 11% | 2% | $4 |
| Matt Adams 1B | WAS | 10% | 12% | 2% | $5 |
| Raimel Tapia CF | COL | 11% | 14% | 3% | $6 |
| Hanser Alberto SS | BAL | 14% | 19% | 5% | $9 |
| Mark Canha CF | OAK | 15% | 19% | 4% | $8 |
| Tucker Barnhart C | CIN | 20% | 23% | 3% | $9 |
| Albert Pujols 1B | LAA | 25% | 27% | 2% | $11 |
| Evan Longoria 3B | SF | 25% | 27% | 2% | $11 |
| Chris Taylor SS | LAD | 26% | 29% | 3% | $13 |
| Willy Adames SS | TB | 27% | 29% | 2% | $13 |
| Luis Arraez 2B | MIN | 33% | 53% | 20% | $62 |
| Kyle Seager 3B | SEA | 34% | 54% | 20% | $63 |
| Marwin Gonzalez LF | MIN | 36% | 52% | 16% | $51 |
| Freddy Galvis SS | CIN | 36% | 40% | 4% | $22 |
| Kevin Pillar CF | SF | 38% | 53% | 15% | $50 |
| Mike Yastrzemski RF | SF | 39% | 55% | 16% | $55 |
| Francisco Mejia C | SD | 42% | 47% | 5% | $30 |
| Nick Ahmed SS | ARI | 43% | 58% | 15% | $56 |
| Kolten Wong 2B | STL | 43% | 45% | 2% | $26 |
| Kyle Tucker LF | HOU | 44% | 46% | 2% | $27 |
| Randal Grichuk RF | TOR | 48% | 51% | 3% | $33 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera 2B | WAS | 49% | 52% | 3% | $34 |
- Luis Arraez, Marwin Gonzalez, Kevin Pillar, Nick Ahmed, and Kyle Seager: All five have been available most of the season and are in or ending a hot streak. Also, I wonder if these hitters are trending up based on last week’s ownership momentum (Seager, Ahmed, and Pillar) even if the underlying end-of-season projections don’t support it. Also, owners may be looking for a change and with so few sexy options, these regulars are that change.
- Tommy Edman, Jake Fraley, Raimel Tapia, and Tim Lopes: For any team needing stolen base help, these four are a must-add. Besides the steals, they are not complete zeros in power. Lopes is the top target if a team only needs steals.
- Tom Murphy: Catchers have been surprisingly decent this season with owners not having to settle for the .230 AVG and 14 HR guys.
- Austin Nola: He’s been acceptable but his real value comes from leagues where he’s catcher eligible.
- Nick Solak: He’s a nice power addition if he can find full-time at-bats.
Week 23 Pitcher FAAB Projections
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Magill RP | SEA | 0% | 7% | 7% | $2 |
| Carlos Estevez RP | COL | 0% | 5% | 5% | $1 |
| Brock Burke SP | TEX | 1% | 7% | 6% | $2 |
| Rowan Wick RP | CHC | 1% | 3% | 2% | $0 |
| Matt Albers RP | MIL | 2% | 4% | 2% | $0 |
| Daniel Hudson RP | WAS | 4% | 14% | 10% | $4 |
| Logan Webb SP | SF | 6% | 18% | 12% | $6 |
| Steven Brault RP | PIT | 6% | 10% | 4% | $1 |
| Felix Hernandez SP | SEA | 6% | 8% | 2% | $1 |
| Tony Gonsolin SP | LAD | 8% | 15% | 7% | $3 |
| Dereck Rodriguez SP | SF | 8% | 12% | 4% | $1 |
| Jacob Waguespack SP | TOR | 9% | 16% | 7% | $3 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | TB | 9% | 12% | 3% | $1 |
| Adrian Houser RP | MIL | 12% | 37% | 25% | $26 |
| Nick Anderson RP | TB | 13% | 17% | 4% | $2 |
| Johnny Cueto SP | SF | 14% | 18% | 4% | $2 |
| Mike Montgomery RP | KC | 15% | 37% | 22% | $21 |
| Adam Plutko SP | CLE | 15% | 32% | 17% | $13 |
| Hunter Strickland RP | WAS | 17% | 19% | 2% | $1 |
| Kolby Allard RP | TEX | 19% | 27% | 8% | $4 |
| A.J. Puk SP | OAK | 21% | 27% | 6% | $3 |
| Justus Sheffield RP | SEA | 22% | 30% | 8% | $5 |
| Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA | 24% | 27% | 3% | $3 |
| Dylan Bundy SP | BAL | 26% | 29% | 3% | $3 |
| Michael Wacha SP | STL | 28% | 31% | 3% | $3 |
| Homer Bailey SP | OAK | 30% | 40% | 10% | $8 |
| Joe Jimenez RP | DET | 32% | 34% | 2% | $3 |
| Dillon Peters SP | LAA | 34% | 36% | 2% | $4 |
| Sergio Romo RP | MIN | 39% | 43% | 4% | $6 |
| Joe Ross SP | WAS | 40% | 53% | 13% | $14 |
| Adam Wainwright SP | STL | 40% | 50% | 10% | $11 |
| Mark Melancon RP | ATL | 44% | 57% | 13% | $15 |
| Ivan Nova SP | CHW | 44% | 57% | 13% | $15 |
| Cal Quantrill SP | SD | 48% | 65% | 17% | $22 |
- Adrian Houser, Mike Montgomery, and Joe Ross: Recently, I found all three making positive changes to their arsenals and they deserve the ownership boost.
- Adam Plutko: I don’t hate his two-start week at Detroit and at Tampa.
- Justus Sheffield: He’s had walk problems forever, so it’s not surprising to see he walked more batters than struck out in his 2019 MLB debut. Pay for the talent, not the name.
- Logan Webb: I’m putting him in the must-own bin. Strikeouts, walks, groundballs. Oh, my.
- Brock Burke: He starts today for the White Sox and with no runs allowed in a first start, his stock could increase with a good performance. It’s tough to get a read on his talent because he’s jumped so many levels in the past two seasons. But that rise might be the sign needed to buy-in with the Rangers feeling he has conquered each level.
Reliever Rankings (Saves focused)
- Mark Melancon
- Joe Jimenez
- Matt Magill
- Sergio Romo
- Carlos Estevez
- Matt Albers
- Daniel Hudson
- Hunter Strickland
- Nick Anderson
- Rowan Wick
2019 Week 22 NFBC Main Event FAAB Results
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (38) |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Melancon | $20 | 8 |
| Joe Ross | $17 | 5 |
| Luke Voit | $15 | 5 |
| Carlos Estevez | $11 | 6 |
| Sergio Romo | $9 | 6 |
| Matt Beaty | $9 | 17 |
| Mike Montgomery | $9 | 12 |
| Ivan Nova | $9 | 10 |
| Wade Davis | $9 | 13 |
| Daniel Hudson | $8 | 27 |
| Adam Plutko | $8 | 6 |
| Kolby Allard | $8 | 16 |
| Josh Rojas | $7 | 35 |
| Tommy Edman | $7 | 11 |
| Corban Joseph | $7 | 11 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera | $7 | 5 |
| Evan Longoria | $7 | 10 |
| Jesus Luzardo | $7 | 6 |
| Tony Gonsolin | $6 | 21 |
| Logan Webb | $5 | 25 |
| Sean Manaea | $5 | 7 |
| Jalen Beeks | $5 | 9 |
| Zach Eflin | $5 | 10 |
| Kike Hernandez | $4 | 5 |
| Martin Perez | $4 | 5 |
| Hanser Alberto | $4 | 8 |
| Johnny Cueto | $4 | 8 |
| Joe Palumbo | $4 | 17 |
| Ty France | $4 | 16 |
| Greg Allen | $4 | 22 |
| Zach Davies | $4 | 6 |
| Wilmer Flores | $3 | 20 |
| Tim Lopes | $3 | 7 |
| Jose Iglesias | $3 | 6 |
| Trevor Richards | $3 | 6 |
| Matt Albers | $3 | 13 |
| Dillon Peters | $3 | 6 |
| Brandon Drury | $3 | 11 |
| Welington Castillo | $3 | 12 |
| Steven Brault | $3 | 12 |
| Matt Magill | $2 | 10 |
| Josh Naylor | $2 | 7 |
| Michael Wacha | $2 | 7 |
| Tucker Barnhart | $2 | 5 |
| CC Sabathia | $2 | 6 |
| Dereck Rodriguez | $2 | 8 |
| Brett Phillips | $2 | 7 |
| Rowdy Tellez | $2 | 6 |
| Kyle Freeland | $2 | 5 |
| Hunter Strickland | $2 | 7 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | $2 | 6 |
| Tommy Milone | $1 | 6 |
2018 Week 23 NFBC Main Event FAAB Results
| Add | Avg Bid | Leagues (34) |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | $85 | 5 |
| Koda Glover | $22 | 16 |
| Touki Toussaint | $17 | 20 |
| Brad Keller | $16 | 6 |
| Trevor Hildenberger | $15 | 15 |
| Robert Gsellman | $14 | 7 |
| Taylor Ward | $14 | 32 |
| Danny Jansen | $13 | 27 |
| Austin Gomber | $12 | 17 |
| Rafael Ortega | $12 | 25 |
| Jake Junis | $11 | 8 |
| Freddy Galvis | $11 | 7 |
| Greg Allen | $10 | 21 |
| Brett Anderson | $10 | 25 |
| Tyler Austin | $9 | 16 |
| Alex Cobb | $9 | 10 |
| Kelvin Herrera | $9 | 9 |
| Welington Castillo | $8 | 20 |
| Matt Wieters | $7 | 5 |
| Wei-Yin Chen | $7 | 6 |
| Daniel Poncedeleon | $7 | 21 |
| Charlie Culberson | $7 | 6 |
| Cedric Mullins | $7 | 14 |
| Adam Plutko | $6 | 14 |
| Nicky Delmonico | $6 | 8 |
| Jalen Beeks | $5 | 10 |
| Lucas Giolito | $5 | 6 |
| Melky Cabrera | $5 | 18 |
| Hunter Strickland | $5 | 5 |
| Austin Jackson | $4 | 8 |
| Neil Walker | $4 | 7 |
| Felix Pena | $3 | 11 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | $3 | 8 |
| Phillip Ervin | $3 | 6 |
| Erasmo Ramirez | $3 | 13 |
| Kevin Plawecki | $3 | 9 |
| Logan Forsythe | $3 | 14 |
| David Fletcher | $3 | 5 |
| Ty Blach | $3 | 6 |
| Joe Mauer | $2 | 5 |
| Kolten Wong | $2 | 6 |
| James Shields | $2 | 11 |
| Jordan Hicks | $2 | 5 |
| Pablo Lopez | $1 | 7 |
| Robbie Erlin | $1 | 6 |
| Jose Bautista | $1 | 6 |
The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 730 – Fireside Chat: The 2020 SP Pool
by Paul Sporer
August 23, 2019
8/23/19
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.
Follow us on Twitter
- @sporer – Host
- @pitcherlist – Co-Host/Producer
FIRESIDE CHAT: 2020 SPs
Paul and Nick take a closer look at Paul’s early 2020 SP rankings. Nick highlights some of his disagreements including Mike Clevinger, Jack Flaherty, and Stephen Strasburg among others.
Podcast: Play in new window | Download
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Can Andrew Benintendi Take the Xander Bogaerts Turn?
by Nick Dika
August 23, 2019
From a fantasy perspective, 2019 has not gone how we hoped for Andrew Benintendi. The Red Sox outfielder was being selected in the top-30 this spring: 30th overall in NFBC drafts and 29th at Fantasy Pros.
Benintendi continues to do things well in his third full big-league season. He hits for average, and walks often enough. While he is pacing for his lowest full-season stolen base output to date, he still can contribute in steals. But 450 games into his Major League career, Benintendi hasn’t been able to hit for the power that many anticipated. His 20-home run season in 2017 and current ISO of .181 being his high-water marks.
Benintendi’s solid, but underwhelming 2019 season may see him enter 2020 as a bit of a forgotten man in drafts. This could be a mistake if he is able to make the same power gains his teammate Xander Bogaerts has made over the past two seasons – and Benintendi does share a significant amount of offensive traits with Boston’s star shortstop.
The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 729 – 2020 Draft ft. Vlad Sedler
by Paul Sporer
August 22, 2019
8/22/19
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.
Follow us on Twitter
- @sporer – Host
- @justinmasonfwfb – Co-Host/Producer
- @RotoGut – Guest Vlad Sedler
2020 Draft – 3 Rounds
Vlad, Justin, and Paul each take control of five “teams” and draft the first three rounds for them and discuss the thought process behind the 45 picks.
Draft Board
Podcast: Play in new window | Download
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The 10: August 22nd, 2019
by Paul Sporer
August 22, 2019
Another Big Opening Day for Casty
Nicholas "Galaxy Brain" Castellanos has some … ~thoughts~ … on why everyday is Opening Day.
📰: https://t.co/KZt8nOLqFk
📹: @RickTarsitano pic.twitter.com/NKGxuWGYrX— Cut4 (@Cut4) August 22, 2019
Apparently, every day is Opening Day for the newest Cub Nicholas Castellanos and his “season” opens with a bang regularly as he’s been on fire since being traded over from Detroit. In just 19 games, he’s hitting a robust .392/.429/.785 with 8 HR (a full season pace of 69 nice homers), 12 RBI, and 17 R, quickly becoming a fan favorite in Wrigley. The 27-year old is still a negative defender, but he’s not worst-in-the-league level anymore making it easier to thrive on a NL team. He’s regaining his pre-2019 shine, so it’ll be interesting to see where he goes in 2020 drafts.
The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 728 – Surging Second Half SPs
by Paul Sporer
August 21, 2019
8/21/19
The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to Fangraphs! With a standard $20 membership, you help maintain and improve our database of stats and graphs as well as our staff of 8 full-time employees and over 50 contributors. The premium ad-free membership at $50 year supports site growth and also includes faster load speeds and better site performance. You can also support monthly for just $3.
Follow us on Twitter
- @sporer – Host
- @justinmasonfwfb – Co-Host/Producer
SPS ON FIRE SINCE THE BREAK:
- Ryan Yarbrough (1:40)
- Cal Quantrill (8:35)
- Zac Gallen (17:50)
- Chris Bassitt (28:00)
Podcast: Play in new window | Download
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