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Lineup Analysis (4/12/25)

Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

American League

Angels

Tim Anderson started in the last five games while batting ninth. Read the rest of this entry »


Pitcher Playing Time Changes: April 11, 2025

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Here are the latest pitcher playing time changes since last Friday, when I first took a look at playing time changes for the regular season.

SP % of Team GS Changes Since April 4
Pitcher Team Old % of Team’s Remaining Starts New % of Team’s Remaining Starts PT Change Reason
Kyle Gibson BAL 12% 15% +3% Already pitching in minors, should be up soon
Osvaldo Bido ATH 10% 13% +3% Strong start, stronger hold on SP spot
J.T. Ginn ATH 8% 11% +3% Likely Estes replacement
Justin Steele CHC 18% 15% -3% IL’d with elbow tendonitis
Nestor Cortes MIL 13% 10% -3% IL’d with flexor strain
Spencer Arrighetti HOU 16% 12% -4% IL’d with fractured thumb
Blake Snell LAD 18% 14% -4% IL’d with shoulder inflammation
Joey Estes ATH 12% 7% -5% Got hit around, demoted
Reynaldo López ATL 11% 3% -8% Shoulder cleanup, August return seems like best-case scenario

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 11th, 2025

Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Mining the News (4/10/25)

Bill Streicher-Imagn Images

Note: I read a ton of articles and there was little useful information. During the season, little non-game information becomes public. I’m going to focus on the format I used last week where I examine playing time situations, new starters, and still dive into some useful news. I’ll see how it goes for a few weeks.

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 10th, 2025

© Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »


Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – April 9th, 2025

Thanks for coming out, transcript is below:

1:02

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

1:02

Lord Thunder: Will Max Muncy or Michael Conforto reach 120 games played for LAD this season?

1:04

Paul Sporer: They will get the chance to if healthy, but I have no idea if either will stay healthy enough

1:04

Eye of the Tiger: Hi Paul, in 14-team H2H 5×5, do you like Moreno or Murphy at C and Cronenworth or Bell at CI rest of season? Thanks again!

1:05

Paul Sporer: Moreno/Bell for me w/those duos

1:06

Guest: Jesus but it feels like MLB should be sponsored by IcyHot or something right now

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Roto Riteup: April 9, 2025

PLEASE STOP RUNNING INTO WALLS!

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Starting Pitcher Chart – April 9th, 2025

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Welcome back to the Daily SP Chart! I figure the first weekend was pretty straightforward which is why I didn’t fire it up on Thursday. Now that we’re in the swing of things, it’s time to get it going again.

The chart includes their performance for 2024 until we get some actual data for this year (I changed over in late-April last year), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from last year (not a perfect solution as teams change in the offseason, but better than using just a few days of data from this year), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Read the rest of this entry »


Big Kid Adds (Week 2)

David Banks-Imagn Images

While the NFBC Main Event garners most of the attention, there are a handful of leagues with even larger entry fees ($2.5K to $15K). They are named “High Stakes Leagues,” and there are eleven of them. With so much money on the line, these fantasy managers try to gain any advantage. Most of the time, these managers will be a week or two ahead of everyone else on their adds. Here are the players and some information on the ones added in five or more leagues. Read the rest of this entry »


Position Player Playing Time Changes: April 8, 2025

Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images

Here are the latest developments in position player playing time projections for the rest of the season. Now that the season is in full swing, we’re unfortunately seeing the injuries roll in, as well as a big PED suspension for Jurickson Profar.

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