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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 22nd, 2024

Reggie Hildred-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Check out the May SP Rankings

I wanted to see what kind of pitching has been available on the wire this year so I took a quick look. I used the NFBC’s Rotowire Online Championship which is a 12-team setup with 9 pitcher slots in the starting lineup and just 7 reserves, no IL or minor leaguers. I took the pitchers who were picked up in at least 25% of the 228 leagues in the contest, so 57 or more leagues. From there, I just calculated their results from the time they were picked up through May 21st. I realize that’s not perfect because some guys have definitely been cut so many teams might’ve missed some of the ugliness.

Just a note that the date listed in the chart is the Sunday they were picked up so the data starts the day after which is definitely worth noting because several of these guys threw gems on that Sunday which no doubt raised their bid price that night. Also there are some guys listed twice and that’s not an error, they had more than one period where they met the 57-league threshold. Obviously in comparison to last year’s non-stop rush of pitching prospects who came up and succeeded, this feels light, but even compared to a standard year it feels like we aren’t getting much. Streaming is no doubt a grind in 15-teamers right now and it feels like that is trickling down to 12-teamers, too.

April SP Pickups
PITCHER PICKUP PERIOD IP ERA WHIP K-BB%
Brady Singer 31-Mar 49.2 3.08 1.20 17%
Garrett Crochet 31-Mar 45.2 4.53 1.04 27%
Brady Singer 7-Apr 43.1 3.32 1.30 17%
Graham Ashcraft 7-Apr 42.2 4.43 1.52 9%
Javier Assad 7-Apr 42.1 1.70 1.07 13%
Spencer Turnbull 7-Apr 34.1 2.88 1.06 14%
Ronel Blanco 7-Apr 32.1 3.06 1.34 14%
Steven Matz 7-Apr 17.1 8.83 2.11 3%
Cody Bradford 7-Apr 6.2 0.00 0.97 22%
Javier Assad 14-Apr 31.2 1.14 1.09 11%
Martín Pérez 14-Apr 31 6.68 1.68 11%
Paul Blackburn 14-Apr 26.2 7.09 1.49 13%
Keaton Winn 14-Apr 26.1 6.84 1.38 11%
José Buttó 14-Apr 26 4.15 1.31 5%
Ben Brown 14-Apr 25 2.52 1.16 18%
Steven Matz 14-Apr 12.2 11.37 2.30 2%
Yariel Rodríguez 14-Apr 11.2 4.63 1.88 7%
Mitchell Parker 21-Apr 26 4.15 1.42 11%
José Soriano 21-Apr 25.1 3.20 1.27 9%
José Buttó 21-Apr 21.2 4.15 1.23 6%
Edward Cabrera 21-Apr 10.1 11.32 1.78 8%
Yariel Rodríguez 21-Apr 7.2 5.87 2.36 -5%
Bailey Falter 28-Apr 24 3.75 1.08 5%
Erick Fedde 페디 28-Apr 23.1 3.86 1.13 7%
Jameson Taillon 28-Apr 22 2.45 1.23 6%
Simeon Woods Richardson 28-Apr 19.1 3.26 1.26 12%
Bryce Elder 28-Apr 11.2 11.57 2.68 9%
Pitchers acquired in at least 25% (57 of 228) of leagues in the Rotowire Online Championship which is a 12-team, 5×5 roto setup using a $1000 FAAB

 

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Roto Riteup: May 21, 2024

Trying to swim towards the summer like:

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 21st, 2024

Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

Individual SP comments back tomorrow… but as always, I’ll answer as many comments as I can throughout the day tomorrow so if you have a question about someone, just let me know!

Starter Notes May 21, 2024
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK L30/Season
1 Joe Ryan MIN at WSN x x x 53 3.57 1.02 24% 26th/23rd
2 Logan Webb SFG at PIT x x x 59 3.03 1.35 12% 30th/29th
3 Garrett Crochet CHW at TOR x x x 51 4.18 1.01 28% 26th/26th
4 Ranger Suárez PHI v TEX x x x 59 1.37 0.76 22% 18th/6th
5 Kyle Bradish BAL at STL x x x 13 2.63 1.32 18% 8th/10th
6 Yusei Kikuchi TOR v CHW x x x 52 2.60 1.10 22% 28th/30th
7 Clarke Schmidt NYY v SEA x x x 50 2.49 1.13 20% 16th/24th
8 Cristian Javier HOU v LAA x x x 30 3.23 1.24 8% 14th/15th
9 Robert Gasser MIL at MIA x x x 11 0.82 0.82 12% 23rd/25th
10 Jon Gray TEX at PHI x x 52 2.08 1.17 18% 2nd/5th
11 Zack Littell TBR v BOS x x 49 3.44 1.31 19% 5th/9th
12 Casey Mize DET at KCR x x 43 3.50 1.19 12% 19th/12th
13 Joe Musgrove SDP at CIN x x 41 6.37 1.51 13% 28th/28th
14 Gavin Stone LAD v ARI x x 44 3.27 1.27 7% 22nd/27th
15 Andrew Abbott CIN v SDP x x 50 3.06 1.14 13% 29th/4th
16 Alec Marsh KCR v DET x x 37 2.43 1.05 14% 10th/14th
17 Bryan Woo SEA at NYY x x 9 0.93 0.62 17% 1st/1st
18 Javier Assad CHC v ATL x x 48 1.49 1.03 14% 27th/8th
19 Griffin Canning LAA at HOU x 46 5.21 1.35 8% 11th/7th
20 Charlie Morton ATL v CHC x 46 3.52 1.15 15% 20th/16th
21 Cooper Criswell BOS at TBR x 29 2.76 1.09 18% 15th/19th
22 Martín Pérez PIT v SFG x 50 4.86 1.50 12% 16th/11th
23 Cal Quantrill COL at OAK x 51 3.66 1.32 7% 9th/21st
24 Aaron Brooks 브룩스 OAK v COL x 7 3.86 1.14 14% 21st/13th
25 Lance Lynn STL v BAL x 45 4.17 1.48 11% 29th/20th
26 Brandon Pfaadt ARI at LAD 54 4.17 1.11 18% 3rd/3rd
27 Trevor Rogers MIA v MIL 42 5.79 1.76 9% 8th/2nd
28 Carlos Carrasco CLE v NYM 45 5.16 1.46 8% 17th/17th
29 Patrick Corbin WSN v MIN 48 5.59 1.74 5% 5th/18th
30 Adrian Houser NYM at CLE 32 7.44 1.84 -4% 18th/22nd
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 

The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1299 – Main Event April FAAB Review

5/20/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

APR FAAB REVIEW

31-Mar

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Identifying Struggling Pitchers with P.I.N.E.

I’ll be honest. P.I.N.E. is having some trouble. Pitchers in Need of Extraction, or P.I.N.E. to keep baseball jargon at an all-time high of acronym and buzz-word soup, is a simplistic model I developed to flag starting pitchers who have displayed some warning signs. P.I.N.E. flags statistics that have deviated from what that pitcher has done over a larger period, albeit in small data samples. That’s the most obvious issue. Taking small samples of volatile pitching data, in this case, the last 14 days or typically two starts per pitcher, and then comparing it to the last two years of a pitcher’s data, is tricky. Anything can happen in two starts and that’s why P.I.N.E. is not a model that should be automated to make your fantasy baseball decisions for you. Instead, it should present information that you otherwise may have ignored. Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s Baseball Chat – May 20th, 2024

Here is today’s chat transcript:

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A Way-Too-Early Look at the Importance of Bat Speed

This article takes a look at some of the new bat tracking metrics published this week at Baseball Savant. It aims to help readers incorporate the new metrics into their analysis toolkit.

Bat tracking metrics have now been published for 2024, starting on April 3rd. Last year, Baseball America published a test version of average bat speed as well. The operationalization of the bat tracking metrics has been tweaked since the Baseball America version was published, but so far, this is the data we have to work with.

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Roto Riteup: May 20, 2024

Me after any workout:

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Starting Pitcher Chart – May 20th, 2024

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

Check out the May SP Rankings

For approximately the 209th straight week, Reynaldo López is set up for a 2-start week. Will this finally be his week?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1298 – FAAB, Mailbag & More!

5/19/24

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter