Archive for Draft

Beat the Shift Podcast – Catcher Episode w/ Erik Halterman

The Catcher episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Erik Halterman

Strategy Section

  • Snake Drafts
    • How to generally prepare
    • How has preparation changed over the past five years?
    • Drafting “naked”
    • Drafting early in the season (January) vs. drafting late in the season (March)
    • Create a do not draft list?
    • Draft risky pitchers?
    • Proactive vs. Relative approach
      • ADP Chicken
    • How to use ADP
    • How to handle risk?
      • In the aggregate
      • Per player
        • Risk-adjusted pricing
      • Power drafters (playing in multiple leagues)
      • Binary risks
        • Free agents in mono leagues
  • Catcher strategy
    • Player pool
    • The value of catchers
      • Catcher bump

ATC Undervalued Players

Mailbag

Injury Update

 

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The Analyst Who Used AI to Analyze His Analysis

Reader beware:

A human wrote this article. Some humans’ caffeine levels can fluctuate in predictable patterns and correlate strongly with “time of day” data points. Yet, there’s no telling how many milligrams were present in the author’s typing fingers at the various stages of writing this article. It was an iterative process that took the author much longer than he had originally expected. While a human wrote this article, a machine wrote and generated many sections, namely ChatGPT’s “gpt-4o” model. From here on out, anything written or output by the very friendly and human-helping artificial intelligence (be careful…they’re listening…) will be italicized.

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Value Episode w/ Larry Schechter

The Value episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Larry Schechter

Larry’s new book – The History of Fantasy Sports

Strategy Section

  • Auction Draft Strategy
    • General Strategy
    • Bargains & Relative Bargains
    • High priced catchers
    • How to bump up catchers for replacement level
    • Valuing closers
    • Preparing with market values
    • How to incorporate risk in your values
      • Baked into player projections via playing time
      • Aggregating risk
    • Using projections
  • Mono vs. Mixed leagues
    • Valuing players in a mixed league
    • FAAB
  • In-person vs. online auctions

Waiver Wire

Pitcher Preview

Injury Update

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Justin Mason’s 2024 Auction Championship #2 Live Stream

Tonight, I will be drafting my second $1500 NFBC Auction Championship team. This is a 15-team, 5×5 Roto league with an overall prize pool. You can see the live draft board here Read the rest of this entry »


2024 Beat Justin Mason Draft Live Stream

Tonight, I will be drafting my $350 NFBC Online Championship team. This is a 12-team, 5×5 Roto league with an overall prize pool. You can see the live draft board here. I am picking from the 11 spot.

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Justin Mason’s 2024 Auction Championship #1 Live Stream

Tonight, I will be drafting my first $1500 NFBC Auction Championship team. This is a 15-team, 5×5 Roto league with an overall prize pool. You can see the live draft board here Read the rest of this entry »


Justin Mason’s 2024 Main Event Draft Live Stream

Tonight, I will be drafting my $1750 NFBC Main Event team. This is a 15-team, 5×5 Roto league with an overall prize pool. You can see the live draft board here. I am picking from the 8 spot.

You can watch me do the draft live here:


NFBC Online Auction Championship Live Stream

Tonight, I will be drafting my third and final $150 NFBC Online Auction Championship team. This is a 15-team, 5×5 Roto league with an overall prize pool. You can see the live draft board here Read the rest of this entry »


Beat the Shift Podcast – Draft & Auction Recap Episode w/ Justin Mason

The Draft & Auction Recap episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Justin Mason

Strategy Section

  • TGFBI
    • What is TGFBI?
    • KDS Selections
    • Draft plan & execution
    • Freddie Freeman as a 1st rounder
    • Nico Hoerner as a draft linchpin
    • Relief Pitcher darts at the end of drafts
    • How much risk to take on, and when?
    • TGFBI Average Draft Position trends
  • Auctions
    • Differences between snake drafts and auctions
    • What is it like to draft against?
      • Ariel Cohen
      • Justin Mason
    • Adjusting draft strategy based on other owners’ tendencies
    • Coming to auction tables with market values
    • Hitter / Pitcher % Split
    • How to handle Ronald Acuna Jr. in auctions?
    • Online vs. in-person auctions
    • 12-team vs. 15-team auctions
  • LABR Mixed Auction Recap
    • Justin
      • Stars & Scrubs hitting
      • Low cost pitching
      • Late game / low valued injury darts
      • 3 Closers
    • Ariel
      • Big catcher spending
      • High value starting pitching
      • How to make up for the loss of Devin Williams
    • Trading leagues vs. non-trading leagues
  • Tout Mixed Auction Recap
  • Drafting as a proxy for a team’s owner
  • Tout Head to Head Recap
    • Do you need to follow the market’s Hitter / Pitcher % split in points leagues?
    • Nominating catchers early on
    • Salvador Perez’s value
    • Factoring in the HTH playoff format into player valuation

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A Roster Construction Tool You Can Use While Drafting

Diversity is good in all places. In the natural world, in the workplace, in your neighborhood, a collection of diverse parts makes the sum stronger. In fantasy baseball, that means your team has power hitters, base stealers, contact hitters, ironmen, rotation horses, flame throwers, and AI robo-mutant zombies that eat pine tar for breakfast and rosin for dinner. Ok, that last one may have taken things too far. The point is, if you’re only drafting for overall value (easy to do), you could end up with a lopsided team. Sure, you’ll win the home run category, but that’s only 12 points. You need to diversify and here’s one way you can do that during your next draft.

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