Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!

Frank: In a keep forever, would you rather have Jared Jones or Bryan Woo?

Paul Sporer: I lean Jones there in part due to Woo’s injury history, though I freely admit that any pitcher is super susceptible to injury and it’s not like Jones didn’t have a big injury of his own last yr

Mochi: Even if Luis Robert doesn’t return to the dizzying heights of yesteryear, he’s still a top 10 CF for how many years providing reasonable health?

Paul Sporer: Still just 27 yrs old, so at least the next 3-4 yrs I’d think

ObliqueSoChic: 12T 5×5 12 spot keep forever – can I trust Christian Walker as a keeper with his age and oblique history? I guess I have to?

Justin Mason: Starting a little late today because it is TGFBI Day! I will begin as soon as I have enough questions so get those in. In the meantime, please follow me on all my social media’s (twitter, tiktok, facebook, youtube, bluesky, and instagram) at JustinMasonFWFB! I am doing regular podcasts on the FWFB podcast as well as three episodes a week for the Sleeper and the Bust so definitely make sure you are subscribed there as well!

Todd Gak: Cristopher Sanchez is a top ___ pitcher in 2025.

Justin Mason: 30-35 SP on my ranks right now

Adenolith: Do you build your projections from scratch or do you start with a projection system and then manually adjust for playing time/injury context etc…?

Justin Mason: I do my projections from scratch. I look at the historical data and then adjust from there. I think this leads to less bias for me.

Greg: How would you rank Bryan Woo, Jared Jones, Bubba Chandler in a 12-team keep forever points league that more heavily weighs IP and Ks?

Paul Sporer: Thanks so much for coming to the chat! This Thursday time is just a one-off to coincide with my Prospect Week contributions.

Check out my Re-Draft Prospect article: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/fantasy-update-2025-re-draft-and-dynasty… and Top 150 Dynasty Prospect rankings: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2025-fantasy-rankings?so… — and feel free to ask any questions about it here today. We got run a tight 50-55 minutes bc I have back-to-back podcasts lined up today, including my prospect deep-dive with Eric Longenhagen!!

Austin: Hey, Paul. I have two keeper spots remaining for a number of players. Who would you pick of Michael Toglia, Robbie Ray, Brayan Bello, Lars Nootbaar, Heston Kjerstad, Noelvi Marte and Heston Kjerstad? Lot of options in a 16-keeper league.

Thanks!

Paul Sporer: Ooh interesting group. I do love Kjerstad, but he’s still on the outside looking in and I’m not sure where he breaks into the lineup without an injury. I’m leaning toward Nootbaar and Toglia here with Marte & Ray getting heavy consideration right behind them. Tough choices to be sure, but that’s where I land

Cory: Hey Paul, 14 team H2H keeper league.  40 player rosters with 10 player minors.  Keep 26.  I left myself with Turang as my SS last year and now I’m stuck.  Been offered Bogaerts for my Arozarena.    Thoughts?   Should I squeeze for a little more?

Paul Sporer: I really have no problem with it as a 1-for-1, but if you can squeeze an extra little nugget, that’d obviously be great, too. Don’t push too hard that they take it off the table, though bc it’s solid straight up to address your SS depth

Guest: When will the Athletics finally bench Seth Brown, and who will fill his spot in LF?

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone!! Baseball is baaaaaack!!!!

Mochi: Glad you’re not sick anymore, thought you quit doing chats but also remembered you’re a generational yapper and you’d never quit these things.

Should I be concerned with all the projection systems being much lower on Lux this year than I am?  Is it just a case of them not being prone to personal bias/excitement?  I feel like we should have gotten a nice boost on his numbers with GABP being involved.

Paul Sporer: Thank you, I’d never quit chats, I love ’em!! I just take some time from them in the winter before diving back in. As for Lux, yeah I think it’s just that doesn’t have a lot of goodness to go off of right now so the projections aren’t going to pop. He really started trusting his knee late last season and we saw improvements. I think a fully healthy Lux can be a great piece for Cincy, I’m fully in to re-buy this year after last yr’s disappointment

K2: Sean Manaea – what are you thinking for him over these next couple of years? Seems like maybe he benefitted from a low BABIP last year that shouldn’t be counted on? Or should it?

Paul Sporer: Yeah he was very much in a groove last yr w/the new slingy delivery and I hope he can recapture that magic again this year. His price point in late-100s gives some buffer if he doesn’t fully repeat last yr’s numbers so I don’t mind him at ADP

Mets Fans: What do you think the CF will be for the opening day of the New York Mets, Jose Siri or Luisangel Acuña? or which other one do you think might be your favorite CF?