Archive for Beat the Shift

Beat the Shift Podcast – Episode w/ Brian Bannister (Director of Pitching, SF Giants)

The latest episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Brian Bannister – Director of Pitching, San Francisco Giants (& former major league player with NYM/KCR)

Interview

  • Highlight of career
    • Coaching highlight
    • Major league pitching highlight
    • Mets highlight
  • Injury Guru’s Trivia of the Week
  • Impact on college team
  • Analytics
    • Some of the current analytics being used
    • Having a hunch and then researching it when the analytics tools are available
    • Impact on current team
    • Using all of the tools at your disposal
    • Studying the outliers & great players to find success for current players
    • Organizations differ in analytics use
    • What are some analytics used by teams that aren’t available publically?
    • VAA, Seam Shifted Wake, etc.
    • Learning from the uniqueness of players
    • Using analytics to play to a player’s strengths vs. exploiting an opponent’s weaknesses

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Outfield Episode w/ Jeff Erickson

The Outfield Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Jeff Erickson

Strategy Section

  • Playing in multiple leagues
    • How does the draft preparation differ between leagues?
    • Knowing the market of each individual league and creating specific game plans.
    • Does strategy alter by playing in multiple leagues?
      • To what extent should you diversify the players taken in each league?
    • Keeping track of multiple leagues in season
    • Waiver wire in season
      • Start with the shallow leagues
      • Using information from leagues with an earlier FAAB time slot for leagues with later ones
    • How to prioritze leagues in late summer
      • Learning from leagues that are lost
  • The impact of the current lockout on drafting
    • Closer prices
    • FAAB early season
    • Mono leagues
      • Actuarial goodness for Ariel

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Closer Rebuttal for 2022 Drafts

The Closer Rebuttal for 2022 Drafts Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

  • Closer rebuttal for 2022 drafts
    • Historical earnings for top closers
    • Early closers may bake in a certain value loss
    • Low historical hit rates for closers
    • Drafting top closers means passing up on valuable players
    • Drafting a starting pitcher instead of a top closer – one less starter to find on the waiver wire
    • Too much uncertainty in bullpens
    • Too much draft capital invested in a one-category player
    • Use a combination of absolute value and relative value

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Auction Strategy Episode w/ Glenn Colton

The Auction Strategy Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Glenn Colton

Strategy Section

  • Auction Strategy
    • Online auctions vs. live auctions
    • Having a partner in an auction
    • Auction preparation vs. snake draft preparation
    • Scouting prior to an auction
    • Constructing auction values
    • How strict should you be to your values?
      • When should you bid over your values?
    • Hitter vs. Pitcher % split in auctions
    • Closer market premiums in 2022
    • Auction values for unsigned free agents in mono leagues
      • Playing in multiple leagues – hedging bets
    • Constructing market value dollars
      • Converting ADP to dollars
    • Constructing an auction plan
      • Finding the hotspots
  • Nomination Strategy
    • Nominating players you want vs. players you don’t want
      • Pacing yourself through the auction
    • Plan A / Plan B nomination
    • Economic Box nomination
    • Blocking a position nomination
  • Bidding Tactics
    • Freeze bidding
    • Starting bids for players
    • Incremental bidding vs. jump bidding
    • Bidding on the 9’s, bidding on the 0’s
    • Price enforcing

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Potential Profit Sources & Middle Infield Episode w/ Nando Di Fino

The Potential Profit Sources & Middle Infield Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Nando Di Fino

Strategy Section

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Closer Thoughts for 2022 Drafts

The Closer Thoughts for 2022 Drafts Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Strategy Section

  • Closer thoughts for 2022 drafts
    • Don’t play the waiver wire for 2 closers
    • ‘Safe’ closers
    • Economics of closers in drafts
    • Paying up for closers
    • Relative market pricing vs. absolute market pricing
    • The exaggerated case of zigging and zagging
    • Spreading your closer picks throughout the draft
    • Market premium

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Projections & Corner Infield Episode w/ Dan Szymborski

The Projections & Corner Infield Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Dan Szymborski

Strategy Section

  • Projections
    • What goes into creating a projection system?
    • ZiPS
      • How does ZiPS set itself apart from other projections?
      • How does ZiPS handle multi-year projections?
      • How does ZiPS deal with free agents?
      • How does ZiPS handle rookies?
      • How does ZiPS handle the possible NL Designated Hitter for 2022?
      • How does ZiPS handle uncertain items (nature of the ball, run environment, sticky substances, etc.)?
      • How does ZiPS take into account positions [Question asked in mailbag]?
      • What is new for 2022?
    • Projecting playing time – Should projection systems attempt to do this?
      • ZiPS DC
      • FanGraphs Depth Charts

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Player Pool & Catcher Episode w/ Todd Zola

The Player Pool & Catcher Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Todd Zola

Todd’s Mastersball Projections

  • What’s new?
  • Assuming a DH in the National League
  • Adjusting for the Camden Yards’ new dimensions
  • Adjusting for the Blue Jays irregular home park in 2021

Strategy Section

  • Player Pool
    • Starting Pitchers
      • Is there more risk at the very top?
      • Is this the year to wait and grab pitchers in the early middle rounds?
    • Closers
      • Where is the value?
      • How many saves do you really need to be competitive?
    • Corner infielders
      • Bargains in the first base position
        • Pass on top talent?
      • The drop in talent at third base
        • How to attack/address the 3B position
    • Middle infielders
      • Do you need to obtain steals from the middle infield position?
      • Setting hotspot values and budgeting for the middle infield
    • Outfielders
      • At what price points should one purchase outfielders?
        • Early, middle, late, or spread them out?
        • The $1 outfielder conundrum
        • The effect of multiple position eligilibity on the OF pool

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Beat the Shift Podcast – NFBC Episode w/ Jenny Butler

The NFBC Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Jenny Butler

First Pitch Arizona mishaps

Strategy Section

  • Playing in the NFBC
    • What is the NFBC?
    • How Jenny got into the NFBC and how you can get your start
      • Tools that a first time player should use
    • Differences between home leagues and the NFBC
    • Differences between standalone leagues and leagues with an overall prize
    • The value of multi-positional players in the NFBC
    • KDS selection preferences
  • Should we pay the market premium for saves and for speed?
  • Roster Construction
    • General principles
    • Should you create a “Do Not Draft” list?
  • Draft preparation tips
  • Incorporating risk into drafting decisions
  • Jacob deGrom – What to make of the current Steamer IP projection?
  • Power Drafters
    • Should you incorporate a “deGrom share” into your fantasy portfolio?
    • Should you diversify your player selections on your fantasy teams?
  • How to find fantasy baseball sleepers

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Beat the Shift Podcast – Format Episode w/ Frank Stampfl

The Format Episode of the Beat the Shift Podcast – a baseball podcast for fantasy baseball players.

Guest: Frank Stampfl

Tout Wars Congratulations

Strategy Section

  • Drafting Strategy based on fantasy format
    • Rotisserie leagues vs. Head-to-Head Points leagues vs. Head-to-Head Category leagues
      • One win vs. full category score
    • Waiver wire leagues vs. Draft Champion/Draft & Hold Leagues
    • Roto leagues vs. Best ball leagues
    • Trading leagues vs. non-trading leagues
    • Deeper leagues vs. shallow leagues
    • 1-Catcher leagues vs. 2-Catcher leagues
    • Large vs. small bench size
      • Having IL slots vs. no IL slots
    • Daily lineups vs. weekly lineups
    • Overall competition vs. standalone leagues

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