Bullpen Report: April 25, 2017

A couple of postponed games and blowouts but here’s a few notes on the bullpens last night…

• The Rays used five pitchers for a two hit shutout against the Orioles tonight, which was capped off by Alex Colome’s fifth save. Colome took very kindly to the bullpen full time last year posting career bests in his strikeout rate and walk rates but the strikeouts have eluded him early on this year. It’s only been 10 innings but Colome has a meager five strikeouts and a swinging strike percentage of 8.2%, well below last season’s 15.1%. This isn’t to say that Colome could fall drastically in the same way I spoke about Brandon Kintzler last night, but his .179 BABIP might be making his owners overrate his standing among the elite relievers. Colome’s a good closer and I wouldn’t be mining for his backups but his shiny ERA is a bit misleading thus far. I expect him to continue to have a solid year but I would love to see his whiff percentage/strikeouts increase over his next few outings.

• The Cubs also pitched a shutout tonight, taking down the Pirates 1-0. Kyle Hendricks went six and then handed the ball off to Koji Uehara, Hector Rondon, and Wade Davis in that order. We were wondering where Hector Rondon was earlier this season but it looks like he might be right back in the thick of it in Chicago. We had Pedro Strop on the grid but he hasn’t pitched since April 21st and has a 8.53 BB/9. I think Rondon might have surpassed him in the pecking order and I’ve made the change on the grid. Rondon’s walk rate leaves a lot to be desired (5.40 BB/9) but he now has 11 strikeouts against five walks in 8.1 innings this year supporting a 1.08/3.64/3.82 ERA/FIP/xFIP line.

Roberto Osuna blew a one-run lead in the ninth after allowing two hits and an earned run. In the offseason I was touting him as someone who could make a leap to the elite but he’s been shaky since returning from injury. He has yet to walk a batter though and his .412 BABIP and 57.1 LOB% is likely why his ERA is 5.40, albeit in only five innings pitched. Still, his SwStr% is down to 10% from a career 14.7% and his Zone Contact percentage is at 93.1% from a career rate of 79.9%. This is probably due to some decline in fastball velocity which stands at 94.4 mph from 95.7 mph last year. Normally that’s within the realm of normal, especially considering Osuna missed some time with injury but with the new measurement on velocities that’s closer to a 2+ mph drop which is more worrisome.

It’s obviously a ridiculously small sample here but while Osuna has looked a tad unlucky he’s also getting hit harder than he has before. If his velocity doesn’t creep up in May then it might be worth wondering if he’s 100% healthy.

Santiago Casilla blew his first save this year, giving up a home run to Mike Trout in the 10th inning. As far as blown saves go, having Trout beat you is pretty defensible and I don’t think this moves the needle for the A’s order of operations in the late innings. For what it’s worth, Ryan Madson received the loss allowing the go ahead run in the 12th and Sean Doolittle pitched a perfect ninth (the game was tied then). It’s still likely that Doolittle would receive a save chance if/when the order is lefty heavy but for now Casilla is still the primary closer in this minor carousel.

David Hernandez is back in action, pitching for the Angels with Huston Street and Cam Bedrosian sidelined.  In a tie game last night, Parker had the eighth inning and Hernandez the ninth, which might make you think he’s ahead in the pecking order but it’s looking like Bud Norris is their closer with Parker pitching the standard set up inning last night.

Closer Grid:

Closer First Second DL/Minors
Arizona Fernando Rodney JJ Hoover Archie Bradley
Atlanta Jim Johnson Arodys Vizcaino Jose Ramirez Mauricio Cabrera
Baltimore Brad Brach Darren O’Day Mychal Givens Zach Britton
Boston Craig Kimbrel Matt Barnes Heath Hembree Carson Smith
CHI (NL) Wade Davis Hector Rondon Koji Uehara
CHI (AL) David Robertson Nate Jones Dan Jennings
Cincy Raisel Iglesias Michael Lorenzen Drew Storen
Cleveland Cody Allen Andrew Miller Bryan Shaw
Colorado Greg Holland Adam Ottavino Mike Dunn
Detroit Francisco Rodriguez Justin Wilson Shane Greene
Houston Ken Giles Luke Gregerson Will Harris
KC Kelvin Herrera Joakim Soria Peter Moylan
LAA Bud Norris Blake Parker David Hernandez Cam Bedrosian
LAD Kenley Jansen Sergio Romo Pedro Baez Grant Dayton
Miami A.J. Ramos Brad Ziegler Kyle Barraclough
Milwaukee Neftali Feliz Corey Knebel Jacob Barnes
Minnesota Brandon Kintzler Ryan Pressly Matt Belisle Glen Perkins
NY (NL) Addison Reed Jerry Blevins Jeurys Familia
NY (AL) Aroldis Chapman Dellin Betances Tyler Clippard
Oakland Santiago Casilla Sean Doolittle Ryan Madson
Philly Hector Neris Joaquin Benoit Jeanmar Gomez
Pittsburgh Tony Watson Daniel Hudson Felipe Rivero
St. Louis Seung Hwan Oh Trevor Rosenthal Kevin Siegrist
SD Brandon Maurer Ryan Buchter Brad Hand Carter Capps
SF Mark Melancon Hunter Strickland Derek Law
Seattle Edwin Diaz Nick Vincent Evan Scribner Steve Cishek
TB Alex Colome Danny Farquhar Austin Pruitt Brad Boxberger
Texas Matt Bush Jeremy Jeffress Jose Leclerc Sam Dyson
Toronto Roberto Osuna Jason Grilli Joe Biagini
Wash. Shawn Kelley Koda Glover Blake Treinen

[Green light, yellow light, red light: the colors represent the volatility of the bullpen order.]





When he's not focusing on every team's bullpen situation, Ben can be found blogging at Ben's Baseball Bias and on Twitter @BensBias

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Cory Settoon
6 years ago

Fangraphs shows Colome’s usage has changed a bunch so far this year.

2016: 52.1 FB% 47.2 SL%
2017: 28.3 FB% 71.7 SL%

The velocity is higher, but that might just be the reconfiguration. Also, some sliders might be mislabeled cutters.

Cory Settoon
6 years ago

Thank you for the wonderful write ups.