Bold Predictions Review – Not Great, Bob!
Do you like laughing? Of course, we all do. Well, have I got something for you! Incorrect bold predictions always look hilariously stupid at season’s end, that’s just the nature of the beast. Given that they are at least somewhat far-fetched to begin with, ones that fail (most of them) often do so spectacularly. The RG crew has been reviewing their bold predictions all week so it’s time for me to take my victory lap medicine poop sandwich.
I tend to think that letter-of-the-law grading with Bold Predictions isn’t necessary as the purveyor of them is usually trying to get across a more general point as opposed to nail it exactly. For example, if someone said Kendrys Morales will be a top 10 first baseman as one of their BPs this year, I’d be inclined to give them a +1 for that even though he was 11th at the position per the ESPN Player Rater. That said, even leniency wouldn’t help me so we’re going with letter-of-the-law grading.
Let’s get to the carnage.
Yasmani Grandal is top five at catcher.
This one coulda been a contender! Through the first half, Grandal had a .282/.401/.526 line with 14 HR, 36 RBI, and 35 R in 257 PA. Even with less time than his catching counterparts, Grandal was almost certainly a top five backstop before the break. It all came crashing down in the second half. Grandal limped through 46 games with a .162/.280/.218 line adding just two more home runs and 11 RBI to his totals, yielding a 20th place finish which was actually two spots worse than his 2014 finish.
0/1
Starlin Castro is the top shortstop.
Ell-Oh-Ell.
0/2
Carlos Santana is the top third baseman.
This one was doomed from the start. First off, it’s tough to be tops at a position with a weak batting average, but I thought he could overpower it with a new career high in home runs. Instead, he gave back eight homers on his 2014 total.
Honestly, if you had told me back in the spring that he would play 154 games and steal 11 bases, I would’ve felt even better about this one. Unfortunately, not only did a repeat of his .231 AVG from 2014 make it near-impossible for him to be the position’s best, but the growth at the hot corner all but guaranteed a meager finish for Santana. He was 19th with a .231/.357/.395 line including 19 HR, 85 RBI, 72 R, and those 11 SB.
0/3
Leonys Martin is a top 15 OF.
Perhaps the worst part about this one is that I believed Martin had established a floor that would give him useful fantasy value even if he fell short of my lofty prediction. Not only did he completely miss on the top-15, but he fell apart entirely yielding his worst season yet: .219/.264/.313 with 5 HR, 25 RBI, 26 R, and 14 SB in 310 PA. Adding injury to insult, he essentially missed the final two months (four total games from Aug. 1st on) of the season with a hand injury. I probably deserve a -5 on this one.
0/4
Curtis Granderson hits 32 HRs.
This is where that lenient grading would’ve likely given me my first hit. Granderson fell six short of the 32 HRs, but the point of this bold prediction was that he had significant value given how late he was going, especially since power drives his game. He only hit 26 bombs, but he had a fantastic season overall (.259/.364/.457, 26, 70, 98, 11) landing as the 25th OF on the Player Rater after being the 68th OF off the board this past spring.
0/5
Michael Wacha is a top 10 SP.
Another one that had some juice after the first half as Wacha had a 2.93 ERA and 1.10 WHIP through 107 IP at the break. He was even better right out of the break with a 2.16 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 50 IP from late-July through August. It was always going to be tough to land top 10 given the pitching age we’re in right now, but even something in the teens would’ve felt like a win as he was the 32nd SP off the board during draft season.
Unfortunately, that wasn’t even in the cards as Wacha sputtered to the finish line with a 7.88 ERA in 24 September innings dropping him down to 24th on the Player Rater. The idea behind this prediction was to jump on Wacha earlier than his ADP. Doing so would’ve likely meant taking him somewhere around 24-25 among SPs which means this ended up neutral at best, but it still goes down as an L.
0/6
Wade Miley is a top 25 SP.
This is another one where even something like a 33rd-place finish would’ve felt like a win considering he was 95th off the board for SPs and likely altogether undrafted in plenty of mixed leagues. I like Miley’s strong GB rate from 2013 and 2014. I also bought into his K% spike in ’14 and thought he had the potential for even more. He may well have that potential, but it sure as hell didn’t come through this year.
4.46 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 194 IP while also seeing the GB% and K% drop. Neat.
0/7
Sonny Gray is outside the top 50 SP.
I’m a Gray fan so to have a negative prediction about him was tough, but I thought he was being overdrafted as a top-20 SP back in March. Turns out, he was being underdrafted as he went on to finish 12th this year.
The full season strikeout rate we saw last year at 20.4% is more what I think he is than the 25.7% from his 64-inning debut in 2013. In fact, given his ridiculous groundball rate, I think we could see the strikeouts tick down even more as he relies on the grounder for success. More contact often leads to more runs, though. I think we’ll see something like a 3.58 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and 168 strikeouts in 204 innings with a 13-10 record.
I just didn’t see him improving the ERA and WHIP with relatively modest (compared to other fantasy aces) strikeout numbers. In fact, I almost landed the strikeout prediction as he fanned 169 in 208 innings. No partial credit here, though. His 2.73 ERA and 1.08 WHIP were way better than the figures I had him down for as he had a tremendous season. I’m still not putting him in the top 20 next year, though, for the same reasons.
0/8
Cody Allen leads the league in saves.
The first rule of bold predictions should be “don’t do saves-based predictions”. They might tell even less about a player’s ability than wins considering how many other factors go into them. Of course, I made two saves-based BPs so yay me. Allen did lead qualified relievers in WAR and even had an AL-high 58 games finished, but his 34 saves were well short of Mark Melancon’s 51 that actually led the league.
0/9
Brandon Maurer leads the Padres in saves.
The Padres had many issues this year, but neither Craig Kimbrel nor Joaquin Benoit were among them. Maurer was solid if unspectacular with a 3.00 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 51 IP. His big contribution in fantasy were the seven vulture wins. His big strikeout rate as a reliever from 2014 (26%) didn’t maintain at all as he sank to just 19%, unusable for a fantasy reliever who isn’t logging saves.
0/10
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Full pieces: hitters, pitchers
So I took the 0-fer. That’s always a real possibility when you do these and this was my year for a skunking. I’m going Ted Williams on y’all next year and hitting .406 because there will be partial credit and I will get 40.6 of my 100 bold predictions correct. Mark my words*!!
*please don’t mark my words
These were poor bold predictions right from the start. I’m not surprised that you were way off.
Cool story, bro!!!
It never ceases to amaze me that people who can use a computer don’t understand the word “bold.”
BOLD
My 15 Bold predictions (and reasoning) were:
1) Justin Upton and Matt Kemp combine for 50 HRs and at least 20 steals – Petco doesn’t have a big effect on either of them, they stay healthy, and they return to form. They also will continue to do a bit of running.
2) Cole Hamels or Jonathan Papelbon (or BOTH) get traded – Philly as to be thinking they need to blow up the joint this year. Can’t trade Howard – so one of these guys is gone. Not the boldest of predictions, but to be bold, maybe I should make it just Hamels will get traded, or state that Papelbon won’t be the closer anymore, and Giles will pick up some 10 saves too. Predicting any trade though is always bold.
3) Stanton / Yelich / Ozuna combine for at least 80 HRs and 25 SB – It’s a power outfield that Miami has, with a touch of speed.
4) The Yankees finish under .500 for the first time in a long time. The Mets finish over .500 – The Yankees are on their way down, and the Mets finally succeed in going over the hump. Not saying Mets make the playoffs, but with a weak NL east – they should actually win about 85 games.
5) Jorge Soler will win the NL Rookie of the Year award – And NOT Kris Bryant. Soler still qualifies as a rookie, will be in the majors the whole season, and hit some 25 HRs with a good BA. Bryant will be up in May, hit 20 HRs this year, but have a poor batting average. Soler is the more polished player – and I predict he will get the honor.
6) Jake Arietta will outpitch Jon Lester, and finish top 8 in ERA in the NL – Arietta’s season last year was no fluke, and Lester will have some bums in Chicago. Bold that I state both conditions.
7) Billy Hamilton will NOT steal 50 bases this year – He won’t get on base enough, get caught too much, and lose some playing time. I think that Starling Marte or Dee Gordon could steal the most bases, but Hamilton won’t be close.
8) Bruce Rondon becomes the DET closer at some point in the season, and finishes with at least 10 saves – Nathan will lose his job. That’s not that bold. What’s bold is that Soria will either lose it as well, or they will try Rondon first.
9) Drew Pomeranz outearns Julio Teharan in 5×5 this season – Teheran will not be as good as before, and Pomeranz will be great.
10) Adam Ottavino leads COL in saves this year – Hawkins doesn’t last as the Rockies closer, and Ottavino steps right in and is stellar.
11) Brandon Moss hits at least 35 HRs, with at least 20 HR coming in the second half – A lot of people are picking Moss to hit 35+ homers. But what makes this bold, is that the 2nd half is superstar power … with 20 homers.
12) Clayton Kershaw will have an ERA over 3.00 – Finally, he won’t be able to keep this magic up. He’ll still be great with a low 3s ERA and win 17 games, but the sub-3.00 ERA is over.
13) Jose Ramirez will be the CLE SS all season long, and be in the lineup during the first CLE playoff game – So, yes I am predicting CLE to make the playoffs, and Jose Ramirez to be a part of it.
14) Both Kyle Seager and Todd Frazier are top 5 fantasy (5×5) third basemen – Seager approaches 30 HRs, and so does Frazier. Seager steals a few, and has a ton of RBIs. Frazier still steals a ton to keep his value high.
15) Jose Abreu wins the AL MVP Award – Mike Trout will still be a top 5 MVP vote getter, but Abreu will knock in some 125 runs, hit for average, and swat a whole bunch of homers. He will look like vintage Albert Pujols. This is nice and bold.
And you’re chucking stones at others? Interesting.
Is this a satire of bold predictions? Because if so, well played
Billy Hamilton stole 50+ bases on August 1st with a .272 OBP. Do NOT under estimate Billy’s speed or glove. We know he can’t hit though.
Cole Hamels and Papelbon being traded was not a bold prediction.
This is my response to “Ariel” my bad for not sub responding there
I honestly don’t mean to be rude. However, if you are a writer on RotoGraphs, and are posting your 0/10 bold predictions results, I think that comments should be welcome.
The question is, why do we all make these bold predictions? Is the goal to get them “Right” (and I mean within reason – as you say Morales at #11 counts as a top 10 for these), OR is the goal to be BOLD.
Anyone can make ridiculously BOLD predictions. I could have predicted that Stanton hit 80 homers to obliterate Bonds’s record. I could have predicted that Kershaw hit 15 home runs. But those are miracles.
And of course, I could make some easy predictions to ensure that I get them right. I could have predicted deGrom finishing in the top 80 SPs. But that’s not bold enough.
So the question to me is, how much do you have to get right on average for a “bold prediction” column to be right and meaningful. Is it 10% of your picks ? Is it 20%, or is it 30% ?
To me if you come up with a set of predictions that are zero percent – you either went WAY too bold, or are a poor analyst.
I like to set the bar at the 10-20% mark. So a pick of yours like “Granderson to hit 32 homeruns” seemed like a GOOD bold prediction to me. Your pick of Carlos Santana is the top 3B seemed a bit too bold to me.
Given the zero percent that you generated, I think that you were too on the bold side, with a target of 0-8%, of which you got unlucky.
The set that I posted, I think demonstrates that 10-20% correctly. That’s all I meant.
Good engaging article though on breaking down the results, I just didn’t like the original picks.
You didn’t mean to be rude when you said: “These were poor bold predictions right from the start. I’m not surprised that you were way off.” then what exactly were trying to be?
You predicted the two most talked about trade assets would finally get traded… super bold.
If you’re basing an analyst’s worth on bold predictions, you’re doing it wrong in so many ways.
You didn’t say a single thing about the predictions in the comments of either post when they went up, so pardon me if I couldn’t care less that you think they suck after the fact. It’s pretty easy to say that now, as I mentioned in the lede.
You think a 10% success rate is good, but 0% means you’re a bad analyst? You realize that’s the difference one pick, right?
Numbers 1, 2, 6 and 14 aren’t bold at all. Not even a little so I can’t count them as correct or anything. Without those, you’re 0-fer as well. So what exactly is your point?
I would argue that a “Bold Pick” is anti-analytic. Your are purposefully choosing things that are out of the norm and unpredictable. Analysis is suppose to be predictive like, this tree will grow to such and such height based on past data. Not this tree will have such and such number of ants crawling on it. (sorry for the bad analogy)
With that line of thinking, being bad at making “Bold Picks” could actually mean you are a good analysts.
Hey Paul I predicted your mixed LABR team would suck, I was right on the money, and I posted it at the time you announced your team. You got anything to say now smartmouth? You are really a terrible analyst and all your predictions bold or otherwise should be ignored.
Awww there you are, I knew you couldn’t stay away! You got that one! Whattya gonna do with your big win, buddy?? I imagine you can cash it in for untold riches.
I DEFINITELY think my performance in one league where I’m a co-owner disqualifies me from all analysis of fantasy baseball. That seems entire logical and cool. Spin us some more yarns, Uncle Rico.
I bet I can throw that football over those mountains…
My original comment was far too blunt. Sorry. I then took the time to explain what I meant by it. My use of “poor” and “way off” – was meant at the caliber of bold predictions, which were far too bold, as I elaborated. I apologize for the bluntness of the original comment.
As far as the players being traded – I think that predicting both would be traded, were a little less bold than some of my other ones. However, trades are never predictable, and I did throw in that Giles would pick up 10 saves. So there were 3 items needed to happen for it to come true. But yes, a little less bold than the rest.
My favorite one was the first – of Upton+Kemp combining for 50/25, which did happen.
I’m not trying to base an analysts worth on the getting right or wrong the bold predictions, but a 0/10 score to me means that either the analysis was poor, or the predictions were way too bold.
Now of course, there could be luck, but I don’t believe that in the case. For example, your miss of Sonny Gray outside Top 50 – is not an unlucky pick, whereas my Adam Ottavino miss – is an unlucky one, as he got injured. The Gray pick – was either poor analysis, where you thought his skills were flawed, or it was simply way way too bold to say that he would drop as much.
Its some combination of the two, obviously.
However, my point above – was that the initial picks that you had had way too low a percentage target of ever happening. I think that the target you set up looked to be 0-8% (you would get some 1 in 15 picks right – or just 1 every other year). I think that for a bold prediction article (and this is my opinion) – the target should be 10-20% (1 or 2 bold predictions right out of 10). To score a zero is not hard to do. To make them bold enough to have a value, yet have a chance – there needs to be some that are right.
If you play seasonal fantasy baseball – you need to make a few bold predictions, otherwise, you won’t win. But if you make too many – you surely won’t win.
Again, the quality of your work is not under question – to me its the boldness of your picks, that I found to be “poor” and was not surprised by you getting 0/10 or “being way off.”
Kemp and Upton went 54/16 last year… you thought it was bold to given them four fewer HRs and four more SBs?
Again, it’s SUPER easy to say that the BPs had a low chance of happening now that none of them have. Basically said that in the 4th sentence:
“Incorrect bold predictions always look hilariously stupid at season’s end, that’s just the nature of the beast.”
So I don’t really know what you’re point is here. It seems you might just be taking them way too seriously. We spend all offseason and the entire regular season doing rigorous analysis, the BPs are a fun think where we try out some of our best or worst case scenarios.
You’re putting A LOT of stock into them which I think is misguided.
My pick #1 was 100% bold. Very few analysts were willing to bet on BOTH of those players. I was able to pick up Upton and Kemp in almost all of my fantasy leagues at a bargain because the crowd did not believe it. I think its the perfect example of a bold prediction. In fact, Fangraphs numeric projections (ZiPs and Steamer) both had the under in their averages.
Pick #2 was borderline bold as discussed. If you think that trades are not bold predictions, I dare you to predict 2 trades next year – and I’ll bet against it.
Pick 6 was 100% bold. Most analysts predicted Lester to outpitch Arietta, and the Cubs of course gave Lester the opening day nod too. My prediction also had Lester in the top 8 ERA in the league – which is bold enough as well. Hey – you had Miley in the top 25, and were calling that bold.
Pick 14 was also bold, as both of those players also went cheap in the market – and it was a double prediction. Heck – I didn’t even get it totally right as Seager isn’t top 5.
The quality of my bold predictions to me were good enough, and they were bold enough for me to target some 10-20%, and actually do decently.
Sure, the difference between 0 and 1 is 10% with 10 predictions. That’s why I do 15, not 10. Because getting zero looks bad, and is hard to distinguish if it is zero because of bad analysis or bad luck, or just too bold.
#1 wasn’t at all bold. They went 54-16 last year. They were the 14th and 16th OFs off the board. There was tons of hype around both (and the team at large). Simply not bold.
#2 was even less bold than #1. And LOL at pretending it was three predictions in one as if everyone didn’t know Giles would succeed Papelbon.
#6 wasn’t really a stretch. Lester went ahead of Arrieta, but Arrieta was a top-20 SP in most leagues. A worthy prediction, but not really bold.
#14 wasn’t bold at all. They finished 3rd (Frazier) and 7th (Seager) last year and were drafted 5th and 8th among 3B. 0% bold. In fact, -5% bold.
Your “best” bold predictions (which by the way, where did they come from? who posts bold predictions AFTER the season) simply weren’t bold which is exactly why they were your best.
Well, I did post these BEFORE the season. I’m just reposting them now.
Again – is the goal to get these right, or is the goal to make them bold?
A little of both. I think yours were too bold. Closer to miracle territory, with the exception of a small few.
You might think that mine were not on the bold side – I don’t. Why don’t you KIT with me at the start of next year and I’ll give you mine – and tell me if they are not bold enough.
ariel@cohenbaseball.com
Nice chatting with you. Nice article. Good luck next year.
Pick 2 overpaid vets on a dumpster diving team. It’s not rocket science. It wouldn’t have made sense if the Phillies kept them.
Perhaps, analysts need to put out a number of predictions –
1) Bank on It – Where you make an easy prediction (Target 80-90%) of the time
2) 50-50 – Where could be right, could be wrong, but close either way. Target 40-60%
3) Bold – Target 10-20%
4) Miracle (or Black Swan as Ron Shandler would say) – Shot in the dark just for fun.
Make all 4 predictions per MLB team. Make your colleagues opine on whether it falls in the right category or not (if you can’t tell). Then see how you do as compared to the total in each category.
Isn’t that what a good season long fantasy player does anyways? At the draft/auction – You take players you can bank on early on (or with a lot of money), take some chances on 50-50 players who you value more than others, and get some sleepers at the end, and finally miracle shots with your last pick.
http://www.theonion.com/article/beaver-overthinking-dam-1942
Go away
before the season I boldly predicted Ariel would say a bunch of dumb things
I thought I had lost!!
No one will be so BOLD as to go against it next year. He’ll easily be a first-round pick in the asinine comment draft.
I see no issue with being wrong in this a lot. It is more about gut feelings than these guys normally write about. The Talented Mr/ Roto’s of the world have been chased off by stat hounds, and readers that want something to back up what they are saying. That means they have to write things that reflect the real data. The Bold Predictions is the one thing each guy writes pre season where they can just say stuff for the sake of saying it.
To be honest, I do not look at them for being right or wrong, but rather the idea they present. If a guy said next year Stanton will hit 60 dingers, it does not mean that they really think he will hit 60, rather it means they are all in on a healthy rebound year for him. The opposite would be true if they predicted under 25 homers from Stanton.
I liked the Granderson one, it was clearly pretty high, but reflected that even without running granderson would still have value, but most of it would come from the long ball. Looking back, you do not get credit for being right with the prediction, but you were right with the hunch.
You clearly wiffed on a lot, but this is the writers chance to be wrong a lot. I remember when I thought Tankersly would be a better rookie pitcher than Peavy… we are all wrong a lot, and in fantasy baseball, often times the best people are ones who quickly admit it and move on (I pity the guy who ended up with profar when machado and bogearts were considered similar age/postion/upside guys… but if they moved on quickly they may now be the correa owner)
“To be honest, I do not look at them for being right or wrong, but rather the idea they present”
That’s a perfect encapsulation of at least how I view BPs. I’d love to get em right, but I’m really focused on the idea around. The BP is headline to get you reading about the player in question. I didn’t realize Gray would strongly outperform his skills again so I got it wrong. But you better believe I’m still looking for 200+ IP of 3.20-3.50 ERA with a modest (relative to other fantasy aces) K% so I won’t take him top 20.
@Ariel: Everything you’ve said today, every comment, has made you look worse than you did before.
You’ve made a real fool of yourself today.
I’m also big on the idea that they present. But at some point, you have to hit on some predictions, otherwise, you are lousy at making predictions. Anyone can put a set of predictions together that all strike out.
Imagine you put out an article about “Stocks that no one knows about that are about to hit it big.” You aren’t expected to hit on all of them, but if you hit on none of them – at some point, its just bad analysis. Either that, or they are too remotely known stocks.
There are better and worse predictions. Zero correct is zero correct. If they are pure guesses, that’s one thing – but if its based on good analysis, predictions should hit for some of the time.
I’m surprised that no one else in the comments agrees with me that at some point – the writer should get some predictions right. Make some easier predictions if you have to – target some “against the grain” predictions.
Or, perhaps I am wrong – that readers want to hear these miracle / black swan predictions. As someone in insurance/finance, I will tell you that you make money by betting on the remote but feasible, not the very remote.
But maybe readers enjoy the remote story. As a fantasy player – I get more out of writers that correctly get some predictions. Again, its easy to get nothing right.
Ariel you are 100% correct, it’s easy to make ridiculous wrong predictions. Now that he put up an ugly 0-fer Paul wants everyone to believe that Bold is synonymous with impossible. Ridiculous. We all know when he posted his predictions, he was courageous and confident (see bold) in doing so and he undoubtedly expected to get some right, if he didn’t, he just wasted our time.
The expectations has to be to get some right, otherwise it should be titled 10 ridiculous things to predict about players to heighten the awareness of a player that can’t possibly do the thing that he was just boldly predicted to do. You see how stupid that is.
I also believe that for some of us readers the use of the word bold implies what the “layman” would think about said prediction, and that since they are being proffered by “expert analysts” they are not just merely far fetched ideas but something you ought to consider. The data is in, your much better served to bet heavily against these experts.
Thank you Debroney. Finally, someone who agrees with me. You echoed my thoughts. The caliber of predictions in this article were more in line with “10 ridiculous things to predict about players” than making a “bold” prediction. Anyone can make ridiculous predictions. Experts should get something right.
I would rather read a number of predictions with some plausibility and see some of them come true, than read a number of miracles where nothing came true. I and anyone can do the latter easily.
The bold baseball predictions – stock predictions analogy does not work on many levels.
“Too remotely known stocks” — what does that even mean? “Awareness” of a stock has nothing to do with its performance over time. Stock price performance over time – by definition- is correlated with the financial performance of the company.
I think “bold predictions” are very helpful – regardless of whether they turn out to be “right” or “wrong” because 1) predictions that are in-line with consensus expectations do not add much value (that would be an apt analogy to how the stock market works: price changes only as information unfolds that changes consensus expectations at the margin). . .and 2) “bold predictions” stimulate critical thinking – they cause the reader to question his own assumptions and consider both the probability and magnitude of outliers.
Why do you people hate fun?
And the reply button
Paul you gotta learn to ignore trolls man. Responding makes it worse.
Fair and true.
But just look at those gaudy comment numbers!
Your prediction put Grandy on my early season radar, and when I saw it happening picked him up and learned to trust him very quickly as a Jayson Werth replacement. Not a bad trade-off, thanks for giving me reason to believe!
Granderson, I mentioned was one of the only quality bold predictions that Paul made. The Grandal prediction was a close second. That was someone plausible. The rest of the predictions were ridiculous from the start.
evenalmighty … hope that Granderson was the only piece of advice that you took from this column this year.
If you take them at face value, yes, the incorrect ones were worthless, but only an idiot would do that. If you see what he is trying to say, based on his detailed analysis, and follow said advice, it can be good for us readers:
1 – Grandal will be good this year – win for the reader
2 – Castro will be good this year – lose for the reader
3 – Santana will be good this year – lose for the reader
4 – Martin will be good this year – lose for the reader
5 – Granderson will be good this year – win for the reader
6 – Wacha will be good this year – win for the reader
7 – Miley will be good this year – meh for the reader
8 – Gray will not be as good as last year – lose for the reader
9 – Allen will be good this year – win for the reader
10 – Maurer will be good this year – lose for the reader
So in the end, his advice was solid 4 times, bad 5 times, and a wash once. That’s pretty good in the super unpredictable world of baseball. And, there was uncertainty about Grandal, Granderson, and Wacha this year, so if you followed that advice, you found some diamonds in the rough, which is kind of the point of these, no?
Emcee you are a clown.
The idea of saying that Grandal, Wacha, Grandal and Allen would be good this year was not even a stretch, nevermind bold, almost every analyst felt that way, jeez they moved in the right field fences at Citi field for the sole benefit of Grandy.
The other predictions you say we’re lose for the readers were actually harmful disasters.
So based on your very flimsy win lose analysis this expert was still a loser.
You suck Paul. Check out my bold predictions.
1. Some county clerk in Kentucky will stop issuing marriage licenses in reaction to an historic Supreme Court ruling.
2. One of the Duggar children will be caught in a sex centered scandal. This was probably obvious, but I’ll take the W.
3. Miley Cyrus will stop taking her clothes off. Big whiff here, but I said BOLD.
4. Stephen A. Smith will start being taken seriously. Another big whiff, but hey I tried.
5. Felipe Rivero’s only two saves of the season will be the Nationals’ last two saves. This comes after Storen injures himself but only after he was replaced by an acquired Papelbon. This is really two correct homeruns, but I’ll only take one W.
6. Someone will name their pet Rougie after Rougned Odor. Oh, it’s happened. #winning
7. Derek Jeter
8. Curt Schilling befriends Neil DeGrasse Tyson, and they start a new debate show that airs on ESPN and Science Channel. I was worried that Bill Nye would ruin this one, and it was looking good, but Curt decided to pontificate on Hitler’s Nazis. Dumb.
9. Kram has one long dredlack
10. Obama proclaims himself dictator and changes the MLB playoff format where all olayoff teams play normally, but the White Sox play the winner of the old WS in a new WS. They also play until the White Sox win.
5/10
I rool!
>>4. Stephen A. Smith will start being taken seriously.
That’s BOLD, BARRY! BOLD!