Author Archive

Who is Being Dropped & Why (Week 20)

I’m a little more interesting in some of the drops this week. One dynamic that might be in play is that there are more dead teams and therefore the demand for rosterable waiver wire options is down.

For this weekly feature, I use the NFBC Main Event because of the number of identical leagues. Additionally, the managers stay engaged longer on the whole since each spent $1700 per team. I tried to find that sweet spot between the obvious and bizarre drops and will focus on players dropped in seven to ten leagues. Previously the number was six to nine, but I adjusted with the Main Event adding four leagues since I did the report. Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Hello

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Those are the FAAB adds in the two 15-team Tout Wars Mixed leagues.

7:32
Joe: Vlad has been in a funk, should I try to see if I can big haul back for him in 12 team h2h categories league?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Sure

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Just try to fill some void on your roster

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire Report (Week 20)

After a couple of weeks dominated by the trade deadline and subsequent moves, it’s back to normal this week with a decent number of hitters and starters and a few relievers.

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


How to Project High HR/FB% Pitchers

For the second week in a row, I had to voice my amazement that JT Brubaker was cut in the NFBC Main Event. While Brubaker’s results have not been great (4.95 ERA), there are several signs that point to him being closer to a 4.00 ERA pitcher. The stat that sticks out is his 1.9 HR/9. The home runs have him with a 4.98 FIP while his xFIP is a full run lower at 3.98. I wanted to see if I should blindly assume that his home run rate will drop. With the expected drop, will his FIP and ERA regress downward to his xFIP? Also, are there any measurable traits that make a pitcher more home run prone? I ended up with a “maybe” and a solid “no”.

Brubaker isn’t the only pitcher who fits this mold. Bailey Ober has a 2.2 HR/9. His 4.99 ERA is almost identical to his 5.18 while his xFIP is down at 4.12. Another is Yusei Kikuchi (1.6 HR/9, 4.37 FIP, 3.47 xFIP). Adbert Alzolay (2.0 HR/9, 5.03 FIP, 3.89 xFIP). The season is over halfway over and fantasy managers are losing patience. Read the rest of this entry »


Who is Being Dropped & Why (Week 19)

There are quite a few more names this week as are cleaning out the players who have seen their playing time clear up. Lots of hitters without jobs and relievers who are not in line for Saves. It is one of the more talented list of players I’ve profiled this season.

For this weekly feature, I use the NFBC Main Event because of the number of identical leagues. Additionally, the managers stay engaged longer on the whole since each spent $1700 per team. I tried to find that sweet spot between the obvious and bizarre drops and will focus on players dropped in seven to ten leagues. Previously the number was six to nine, but I adjusted with the Main Event adding four leagues since I did the report. Read the rest of this entry »


Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Hello everyone. Here are tonight’s winning Tout Wars bids in the two 15-team redraft leagues.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Auction League

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: And the draft league

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:32
Is it time….: Time to drop Matt Chapman for Toro or Edman for Amed Rosario?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Edman for sure if Rosario is on the wire. I’d prefer to bench Chapman and use someone else like Toro.

Read the rest of this entry »


Waiver Wire Report (Week 19)

It’s below-average starting pitcher week. Or the bar has been lower on what is an average pitcher. It was tough ranking so many flawed characters, but there aren’t many decent options.

In the article, I cover the players using CBS’s (40% or less initial roster rate) and Yahoo’s ADD/DROP rates. Both hosting sites have the option for daily and weekly waiver wire adds. CBS uses a weekly change while Yahoo looks at the last 24 hours. Yahoo is a great snapshot of right now while CBS ensures hot targets from early in the week aren’t missed. The players are ordered for redraft leagues by my rest-of-season preference grouped by starters, relievers, and hitters. Read the rest of this entry »


Lineup Analysis (8/7/21)

American League

Angels

• With Jared Walsh on the IL, Phil Gosselin (.272 .332 .370) has started nine of 10 games at first base.

• Since being called up, Jo Adell is batting fifth or sixth.

• With Anthony Rendon out for the season, Jack Mayfield (.176/.200/.206) is playing third base and batting ninth.

Justin Upton (.230/.319/.442) has sat for three of the last six games. Read the rest of this entry »


How Much To Upgrade Away Hitters at Colorado?

Just a quick note: This article got “lost” and was not published early last month. The information is still applicable.

Early last month, I was surprised by the scrub hitters being rostered for a game at Colorado.

These hitters would never be considered in a normal week but were assumed to morph into All-Stars. Truthfully, I didn’t have a good way to set an ‘add/no add’ cut-off, so here is my best attempt at a simple solution. I tried to come at the answer several ways, but I think the following procedure would be the easiest to use across most fantasy formats. Read the rest of this entry »


Mining the News (8/5/21)

American League

Astros

Yordan Alvarez is preparing to play some first base.

In addition to Bregman, the Astros were without starting first baseman Yuli Gurriel for the second game in a row Wednesday against the Dodgers while he deals with a stiff neck. With Gurriel out, Aledmys Díaz started both games at first base (instead of third) and Robel García started at third, which isn’t ideal.

Astros manager Dusty Baker admitted Wednesday having slugger Yordan Alvarez capable of playing first base, especially on days Gurriel isn’t available, would provide better roster flexibility. The Astros only started playing Alvarez in left field in the last couple of months after he began his career exclusively as a designated hitter.

He started the season with no position flexibility and now may start next season with two. Read the rest of this entry »