About a week ago during one of the RotoGraphs podcast, Eno Sarris and Mike Podhorzer were discussing Adrian Gonzalez’s walk rate falling off the cliff. It was basically cut in a third going from 18% in 2009 to 6% in 2012. Over the time frame, Adrian’s eye didn’t change, instead he just was not intentionally walked (IBB) as much. Today I am going to look at the effects of intentional walks on walk rates and some player whose walk rate have recently been bloated because of them.

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Today I will look at a few injury updates, notably Matt Kemp and Miguel Cabrera, and then look at hitters with past back injuries and the struggles they may experience next season.

• Miguel Cabrera “may” require surgery to repair his groin. (source)

“He has a groin [injury], they say Grade 2, Grade 3, which means there’s some tearing of fibers in that area,” Dombrowski said. “It was not going to heal with rest, we were assured of that.”
…
If Cabrera does have surgery, Dombrowski said, he’s expected to be fully recovered in time for Spring Training.

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Putting a finger on Eric Hosmer’s true talent level seems tougher than the over cooked pork crops my mom makes. Hosmer was good his rookie season. Then he was horrible in year two. He started last season off horribly, but then turned his season around. While he seemed to be all over the place, his production change can be focused to a period of an extremely low BABIP

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Mike Zunino came into the 2013 as a highly touted prospect. Baseball America had him as 17th ranked prospect and here at FanGraphs, Marc Hulet ranked him 12th overall. It looked like he may spend a good portion of 2013 in the minors, but he was promoted after Jesus Sucre’s hand got injured and the Jesus Montero experiment failed worse than the new Lone Ranger. Going into 2013, the 23-year-old power hitter looks to be the Mariners future everyday catcher if he can work out some contact issues.

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For the first time ever in the history of MASH, it happens to be hitter only news. I will update four hitters on the mend and look at the end of season HURT rankings.

• The latest report has Manny Machado returning in 6 months (link)

Manny Machado will miss Spring Training and almost certainly be delayed to start the 2014 regular season, as the Orioles third baseman’s recovery timetable following Monday’s knee surgery is approximately six months.

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The only major injury news is on Manny Machado’s knee surgery. Besides looking at his return timetable, I examined the end of season PAIN rankings.

• Manny Machado decided to have surgery on his knee today after he consulted several different doctors. It looks like he may not be be ready by opening day.

The first-time All-Star faces four to six months of rehab after the procedure, according to MLB.com. Dodgers orthopedic surgeon Dr. Neal ElAttrache will perform the surgery Monday.

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I spent most of my time finishing cleaning up the list of possible 2014 DL candidates (end of article). Also I was able write a couple player injury updates. Finally, I looked over some starting pitcher injury predictions using Zone%, Slider% and Curve ball%

• Carlos Gonzalez gave a lamed middle finger to surgery. From the advice of his doctor, he will hopefully rest and rehab until his middle finger is all good. If rest and rehab don’t work, he’ll need surgery and may not be ready by opening day.

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Last season Albert Pujols was drafted in the mid- to late-first round. Some people expected a bounce-back after a disappointing 2012 season. All they got from him was a dead cat bounce. He ended up as the 352nd-ranked fantasy player according to our end-of-season rankings. Once again, he may look like a rebound/buy low candidate, but his rebound chances are slim.

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I haven’t had a chance to until this morning to update any injury information since the end of the season. So today’s report maybe should have came with the title, UNDER CONSTRUCTION. I am making some changes to the (possible) DL list and get an updated status on each player. I am just not done yet, so for now a third list is included with the players who may or may not end up in the final list. Hopefully in a week or so, everything will be cleaned up.

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Before the season started, I stated my Bold Predictions. Time to get the shaming on.

Torii Hunter will improve on his 2012 season.

After re-inventing his swing part way through 2012, I thought he could do it for an entire season. He didn’t.

81/16/92/9/.313
90/17/84/3/.304

Miss. 0 for 1

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