• For the offseason, I am going to track every player who had or plans on having off-season surgery. I will remove them once they are at 100% in spring training. For some of the injured players in the post season, like Josh Hamilton and Rajai Davis, more information will become available as the postseason goes on or once it is over. Additionally, I am working through all the 2014 injured players individually to see if I need to track them in the offseason. Right now, I have two lists. One of players I have gone through (short) and one I have not examined (long). I should be done next week and have just one list.

• Must See: The Dallas Morning News created a couple of great graphics showing how much time and money was lost to the disabled list this season with a focus on the Rangers. I will go through and run my own values later, but a nice peek at how teams performed health wise in 2014.

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Yusmeiro Petit

Why I watched: The 29-year-old is having a great year after posting a career ERA of 5.00 before this season.

Game(s) Watched: 9/20/14 vs. the Padres

Game Thoughts

• Overall, he is a strike throwing, kitchen sink pitcher. With four pitches he throws over 10%, he keeps hitters off guard.

• His four-seam, rising fastball is worthless. It is between 87-91 mph. It is straight with no movement. A few times I wondered if he threw a 2-seamer, but the Pitchf/x data doesn’t show one. It generates a ton of flyballs in which a few turn into home runs.

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• Ryan Zimmerman returned from the DL and went 2-3 in his first game back. He is far from being 100%. He can barely run jog walk right now. Kirk Gibson’s 1988 home trot is what Zimmerman’s triple reminded me of. I have no clue why he is not resting and waiting for the post-season to force himself into the lineup.

• Stuart Wallace at the Beyond The Box Score gives us his take on Glen Perkins’s elbow.

Overall, Perkins should be ready to go for next season; with the clean bill of health in terms of the UCL, fears that a Tommy John procedure is inevitable should be allayed, even with the knowledge that 40% of baseball players presenting with UCL injuries demonstrate symptoms consistent with ulnar neuritis.

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Trevor May

Why I watched: Highly touted prospect up in the majors.

Game(s) Watched: 9/14/14 vs White Sox

Game Thoughts

• Hawk was announcing. I hope I did not lose too many brain cells.

• May’s fastball was from 90-95 mph, straight with little downward movement. Looking at the values, it is at +10.1 vertical movement. Using some of my recent work, his GB% should be near 35% (actual 37.6%). He should get a good number of infield fly balls, but his home runs may be a problem at times.

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• I am putting about 90% of my effort into the unofficial DL (list below). Remember to click the date for the most up-to-date article on the injury. Next Monday’s list will probably be the last one on this season and then I will wrap up this season and look towards next season. If you have any questions on a specific player, hit me up on twitter (@jeffwzimmerman).

• Masahiro Tanaka is scheduled to start Sunday for the Yankees. Ignore him at this point. We have no way to determine how he will perform after having his UCL partially torn.

• I will state this a thousand times, stay away from hitters with back issues. The issue never seems to go away. Angel Pagan is again missing time for his back.

• Matt Shoemaker could be done for the regular season. What I see happening is he throws once before the postseason to see how he feels. I would not expect much more from him.

• John Lackey and Michael Wacha will throw for the Cardinals this weekend after missing time with injuries. I don’t trust Wacha because the start seems like it will be a testing to see if he can pitch in the postseason.

• Danny Duffy is expected to pitch Monday after missing a couple starts. I don’t like how his recovery has hit some bumps. I would stay away.
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• I would be weary of starting Danny Duffy tomorrow night after he experienced shoulder soreness in his last start. The team says he is fine, but he would not be pitching if the Royals had any other decent options for a starter (Liam Hendricks is the replacement).

• Michael Choice’s is probably done for the season with a strained hamstring.

• Mat Latos is also done for the season. I have not been a fan of his since coming off the DL (loss of velocity, -2 mph).

• Looks like Michael Wacha may be done starting this season.

“This is a young player where we had something going, missed a couple of months and all those are reasons for us to once again pause and just kind of take our time, make sure everything looks right before moving forward,” Matheny said.

The next step depends on how Wacha responds to the bullpen session.

A positive response could put the 23-year-old back in the Cardinals’ postseason pitching mix. Matheny said Wacha is still a possibility for the rotation, but he wouldn’t rule out a role in the bullpen.

I don’t think he is playable for the rest of season.

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This is a weekly series on players I have selectively watched while exercising. Usually, I will concentrate on lesser known players or rookies just getting their first call ups.

Kevin Gausman

Why I watched: A highly touted prospect.

Game Watched: 9/1/14 vs Twins

Game Thoughts

• His fastball is elite. He normally throws it around 94-95 mph, but can change speeds to launch it up to 97 mph. It sometimes has some release side run which makes it about unhittable. For a 4-seam fastball, it gets a good number of groundballs (43% on the season) mainly because he pitches low in the zone.

• Well, that is about it for good news. His other pitches, a change/splitter and slider, are horrible. He couldn’t throw either for strikes and they just don’t have good movement. His change/splitter gets a bit of swing-and-miss because everyone seems gearing up for his fastball which he throws almost all the time. He throws his fastball 72% of the time which is good for the 8th most in the league (min 80 IP).

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The Royals recently promoted 2014 draftee Brandon Finnegan to the majors to be a lefty out of the bullpen. So far the 21-year-old has thrown just a couple of relief innings. What I wanted to do is push the limits to discover what type of pitcher Mr. Finnegan may be in the future given this small sample of information. Today, I am concentrating just on his fastball.

Eno has been doing quite a bit of pitch benchmarks and I helped him out with some values. After using these values for a few months, I noticed heavy flyball pitchers like Chris Young and Danny Duffy had vertical movements, as defined be Pitchf/x, near or above 10. On the other end of the spectrum, ground ball pitchers, like Justin Masterson, had a vertical component near or below zero. By knowing the amount of downward break on fastball, I hope to get a range on their ground ball rate (GB%).

Additionally, a fastball is thrown fast with the hope to induce some swing-and-miss. So, additionally I looked to find the average swinging strike rate (SwStr%) just by knowing a pitcher’s velocity. Since velocity stabilizes quickly, just a few pitches will give us an idea of the pitcher speed and hopefully the average amount of swing-and-miss from their fastball.

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• Reminder, the first table of players are ones who aren’t on the DL, but should be.

• The Phillies say Cliff Lee should be ready for the start of spring training.

Amaro was asked to rate his confidence level that Lee will be ready to contribute next season.

“High,” he said.

Lee was seen by top orthopedists James Andrews and David Altchek. Both agreed that the pitcher has a strain that can heal with rest and rehab. Lee was treated with a platelet-rich plasma injection and will begin throwing in November. If all goes well, he should be ready for Day 1 of spring training.

Or he may not be. I would at least ding Lee a couple weeks of production on next year’s production.

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• Just a reminder, I have an unofficial DL list near the article’s end. Some of the players, Gomez and Jaso, look like they may pinch hit a small bit, but they will miss a considerable amount of time.

• Miguel Cabrera has been dealing with bone spurs in his ankle. He may have surgery on his ankle after his season is over.

The right ankle injury that has hobbled Miguel Cabrera for the better part of the last month could well lead to a second consecutive off season surgery. Cabrera is dealing with at least one bone spur in his right ankle, which could require surgery to correct.
…..
“We don’t know if he requires surgery,” manager Brad Ausmus said after Sunday’s 6-1 win over the Giants. “We don’t know if it’s going to be [healed by] rest, or if surgery would help, and that’ll be determined when the season’s over.
…
The normal timetable for recovery from an ankle surgery to remove spurs, according to injury expert and national sports medicine writer Will Carroll, is four to six weeks. It’s obviously not as severe as core muscle surgery, but with Cabrera’s body frame, explosive swing and the weight put on his ankles, full recovery is crucial.

The signs (power and contact down) pointed to a problem during the season. I expected his core to still be an issue, but I guess it is bone spurs. It will be interesting to see where he gets valued in 2015 after two injury seasons in a row.

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