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Boxscore Bits: April 18th, 2022

by
April 18, 2022
Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the games from the weekend:

FOR STARTERS

Weekend Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Carlos Carrasco NYM 5 3 0 0 0 2 8 20 0.00 1.00 0 93.2 18%
2 Justin Verlander HOU 8 3 0 0 0 0 8 27 0.00 0.38 1 95.3 16%
3 Drew Smyly CHC 4.2 4 0 0 0 1 4 18 0.00 1.07 0 91.7 11%
4 Ross Stripling TOR 4 2 0 0 0 0 3 14 0.00 0.50 0 91.9 89.7 8%
5 Steven Matz STL 5.2 3 0 0 0 0 6 20 0.00 0.53 1 94.9 12%
6 Alex Wood SFG 5 4 0 0 0 2 5 20 0.00 1.20 1 92.2 92.1 9%
7 Michael Wacha BOS 5 1 0 0 0 2 5 17 0.00 0.60 0 92.6 91.9 8%
8 Julio Urías LAD 5 1 0 0 0 1 5 16 0.00 0.40 0 92.9 6%
9 Andrew Heaney LAD 6 1 0 0 0 3 11 22 0.00 0.67 1 91.6 18%
10 Jordan Montgomery NYY 5 3 0 0 0 2 2 20 0.00 1.00 0 91.4 91.7 11%
11 Pablo López MIA 5.1 4 0 0 0 2 2 21 0.00 1.13 1 93.3 93 13%
12 Michael Kopech CHW 5 1 1 0 0 2 5 19 0.00 0.60 0 96.1 16%
13 Nestor Cortes NYY 5 3 0 0 0 1 12 19 0.00 0.80 0 90.3 13%
14 Zac Gallen ARI 4 2 0 0 0 1 2 15 0.00 0.75 0 93.9 12%
15 Tony Gonsolin LAD 4 3 0 0 0 3 2 18 0.00 1.50 0 93.4 15%
16 Tanner Houck BOS 5.2 2 0 0 0 3 4 19 0.00 0.88 1 95.7 94.6 5%
17 Tyler Wells BAL 4 3 0 0 0 2 3 17 0.00 1.25 0 94.5 8%
18 David Peterson NYM 4.1 3 0 0 0 2 4 18 0.00 1.15 0 94 93.7 10%
19 Bruce Zimmermann BAL 5 4 0 0 0 2 6 21 0.00 1.20 0 89.8 16%
20 Humberto Castellanos ARI 4 1 0 0 0 3 1 16 0.00 1.00 0 88.9 89.1 1%
21 Bailey Ober MIN 6 4 2 0 0 1 3 24 0.00 0.83 0 92 16%
22 Tarik Skubal DET 5.2 4 1 0 0 0 7 22 0.00 0.71 0 95.4 95.9 13%
23 Aaron Ashby MIL 4 2 3 0 1 4 4 19 0.00 1.50 0 95.6 95.4 8%
24 Marco Gonzales SEA 7 4 1 1 0 0 6 25 1.29 0.57 1 88.9 8%
25 Carlos Rodón SFG 7 2 1 1 0 2 9 25 1.29 0.57 1 97 8%
26 Miles Mikolas STL 6.2 3 1 1 0 1 7 24 1.35 0.60 1 92.8 91.9 8%
27 Yu Darvish SDP 6.2 4 1 1 1 0 8 25 1.35 0.60 1 95.5 94.4 17%
28 Chris Bassitt NYM 6 2 1 1 1 2 6 22 1.50 0.67 1 92.2 91.7 12%
29 Elieser Hernandez MIA 6 5 1 1 1 1 5 25 1.50 1.00 1 91.4 12%
30 Joe Ryan MIN 6 5 1 1 1 0 7 22 1.50 0.83 1 92.8 20%
31 Adrian Houser MIL 5.2 4 1 1 0 3 4 23 1.59 1.24 0 95 94.4 7%
32 Dylan Cease CHW 5.2 3 1 1 0 2 8 21 1.59 0.88 1 96.8 17%
33 Ian Anderson ATL 5.2 2 1 1 1 1 7 20 1.59 0.53 1 93.7 19%
34 Jordan Lyles BAL 5.1 6 1 1 0 2 4 24 1.69 1.50 0 93.4 91.6 12%
35 Antonio Senzatela COL 5 7 1 1 0 0 2 20 1.80 1.40 1 94.8 9%
36 Kris Bubic KCR 4.1 2 1 1 0 6 4 19 2.08 1.85 0 91 7%
37 Brad Keller KCR 7 3 2 2 1 2 5 26 2.57 0.71 0 94.3 93.1 11%
38 Noah Syndergaard LAA 6 5 2 2 0 0 4 23 3.00 0.83 1 95.3 95 13%
39 Alek Manoah TOR 6 4 2 2 1 2 6 24 3.00 1.00 1 93.3 91.6 18%
40 Patrick Corbin WSN 5.1 3 2 2 0 3 4 22 3.38 1.13 0 90.2 90.8 5%
41 Zach Plesac CLE 5.1 7 2 2 2 1 4 24 3.38 1.50 0 90.9 10%
42 Hunter Greene CIN 5.1 5 3 2 1 0 6 21 3.38 0.94 0 100.9 19%
43 MacKenzie Gore SDP 5.1 3 2 2 1 2 3 20 3.38 0.94 0 95.6 7%
44 Matt Brash SEA 5.1 2 2 2 1 6 5 21 3.38 1.50 1 96.2 7%
45 Corey Kluber TBR 5 4 2 2 1 0 4 19 3.60 0.80 0 88.6 9%
46 Paul Blackburn OAK 5 5 2 2 0 0 3 19 3.60 1.00 0 93 92.5 11%
47 Ranger Suárez PHI 5 6 2 2 1 3 4 22 3.60 1.80 1 92.5 92.3 4%
48 Erick Fedde WSN 5 4 2 2 0 2 6 21 3.60 1.20 1 92.9 5%
49 Kyle Wright ATL 5 5 2 2 0 0 9 21 3.60 1.00 0 95.2 95.6 12%
50 Jameson Taillon NYY 4.2 3 2 2 1 1 2 18 3.86 0.86 0 93.8 93.5 4%
51 Anthony DeSclafani SFG 4.2 5 2 2 0 0 4 19 3.86 1.07 0 93 92.5 6%
52 Cal Quantrill CLE 4.2 2 2 2 0 3 2 19 3.86 1.07 0 93.1 93.2 10%
53 Daulton Jefferies OAK 4.1 7 2 2 1 1 2 20 4.15 1.85 0 94 93.3 10%
54 Bryse Wilson PIT 4.1 4 2 2 1 3 2 21 4.15 1.62 0 92.2 92 7%
55 Bryce Elder ATL 4.1 3 2 2 0 5 3 23 4.15 1.85 0 90.8 9%
56 Chris Flexen 플렉센 SEA 6 5 3 3 1 1 3 24 4.50 1.00 0 91.1 7%
57 Matt Manning DET 2 5 1 1 0 0 2 10 4.50 2.50 0 93.1 93 13%
58 Drew Rasmussen TBR 5 5 3 3 1 0 2 20 5.40 1.00 0 96.3 13%
59 Adam Oller OAK 3.1 5 3 2 0 3 3 18 5.40 2.40 0 94 9%
60 Vince Velasquez CHW 4.2 5 4 3 0 3 5 23 5.79 1.71 0 93.2 93.3 13%
61 Josh Rogers WSN 4.1 6 3 3 0 2 2 20 6.23 1.85 0 90.1 89.4 8%
62 José Suarez LAA 4.1 5 3 3 1 3 3 20 6.23 1.85 0 92.3 91.5 10%
63 Martín Pérez TEX 4 5 4 3 0 3 5 19 6.75 2.00 0 93.2 92.4 10%
64 Jose Quintana PIT 4 5 3 3 0 3 2 20 6.75 2.00 0 90.2 90.9 5%
65 Vladimir Gutierrez CIN 4 5 3 3 0 3 3 20 6.75 2.00 0 93 5%
66 Aaron Civale CLE 4 4 4 3 1 1 5 17 6.75 1.25 0 89.9 89.8 11%
67 Nick Martinez SDP 5 7 4 4 3 4 3 24 7.20 2.20 0 93.7 93 13%
68 Taylor Hearn TEX 3.2 6 3 3 0 1 4 18 7.36 1.91 0 94.1 93.4 4%
69 Jake Odorizzi HOU 4.1 8 4 4 0 3 1 23 8.31 2.54 0 92.5 92.6 7%
70 Zach Davies ARI 4.1 7 5 4 2 1 2 21 8.31 1.85 0 88.1 7%
71 Germán Márquez COL 4.1 10 4 4 0 1 3 23 8.31 2.54 0 95.2 94.4 4%
72 Austin Gomber COL 4.1 8 5 4 1 4 2 23 8.31 2.77 0 91.7 4%
73 Zach Eflin PHI 4 6 4 4 0 1 4 18 9.00 1.75 0 93.2 92.6 6%
74 Dakota Hudson STL 3 3 4 3 0 2 2 15 9.00 1.67 0 92.5 92.8 6%
75 Mitch Keller PIT 3.2 7 4 4 0 3 4 21 9.82 2.73 0 96.3 6%
76 Marcus Stroman CHC 4 6 5 5 1 1 4 19 11.25 1.75 0 92.8 92.4 6%
77 Hyun Jin Ryu 류현진 TOR 4 6 5 5 1 0 1 18 11.25 1.50 0 88.9 8%
78 José Urquidy HOU 4 8 6 6 1 1 2 21 13.50 2.25 0 93.2 4%
79 Reid Detmers LAA 3.1 6 5 5 0 1 5 18 13.50 2.10 0 93.4 11%
80 Tyler Mahle CIN 3.2 7 7 7 0 2 5 20 17.18 2.45 0 93.5 12%
81 Freddy Peralta MIL 3 7 6 6 0 2 4 19 18.00 3.00 0 93.2 17%
82 Mark Leiter CHC 3.1 5 7 7 1 4 4 19 18.90 2.70 0 91.3 91.5 11%
83 Zack Wheeler PHI 3 8 7 7 0 3 3 21 21.00 3.67 0 94.5 93.8 8%
Chart is sortable; initial sort is by ERA

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1041 – Two Birds, One Stone

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April 15, 2022

4/15/22

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INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

EARLY STANDOUT HITTERS

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Boxscore Bits: April 15th, 2022

by
April 15, 2022
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the games from Thursday’s games:

FOR STARTERS

Thursday Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Joe Musgrove SDP 6.2 4 0 0 0 0 6 23 0.00 0.60 1 92.4 92 10%
2 Luis Severino NYY 5 2 0 0 0 2 6 21 0.00 0.80 1 97.3 17%
3 Brandon Woodruff MIL 5 3 0 0 0 1 2 19 0.00 0.80 1 96.1 95.7 11%
4 Logan Gilbert SEA 5 4 1 0 0 0 4 20 0.00 0.80 1 95.2 6%
5 Sandy Alcantara MIA 6.1 7 2 2 0 1 5 27 2.84 1.26 1 97 97.2 18%
6 Kevin Gausman TOR 5.2 6 2 2 0 0 9 23 3.18 1.06 0 94.3 24%
7 Walker Buehler LAD 5.2 5 2 2 1 3 4 24 3.18 1.41 0 95.3 95.9 13%
8 Zack Greinke KCR 5.1 5 2 2 0 1 0 21 3.38 1.13 0 89 90.1 4%
9 Casey Mize DET 5 6 2 2 0 2 2 23 3.60 1.60 0 94 93.9 5%
10 Justin Steele CHC 4.1 5 2 2 0 2 4 20 4.15 1.62 0 93.7 8%
11 Cole Irvin OAK 6.1 5 3 3 1 0 2 23 4.26 0.79 1 91.9 91.9 10%
12 Dane Dunning TEX 3.2 6 2 2 1 2 7 18 4.91 2.18 0 89.9 9%
13 Jimmy Lambert CHW 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 13 6.00 1.00 0 93.1 10%
14 Kyle Gibson PHI 4.2 5 4 4 1 3 6 21 7.71 1.71 0 92.8 91.8 19%
15 Josh Fleming TBR 3.1 7 5 3 0 1 6 18 8.10 2.40 0 91.9 90.8 18%
16 Adam Wainwright STL 4.1 8 4 4 1 2 7 23 8.31 2.31 0 87.9 89.2 6%
17 JT Brubaker PIT 4.1 5 4 4 0 4 5 22 8.31 2.08 0 93.5 93.7 10%
18 Kyle Freeland COL 5.1 9 5 5 1 2 1 26 8.44 2.06 0 91.3 90 6%
19 Charlie Morton ATL 5 9 5 5 1 3 5 28 9.00 2.40 0 95.5 95.6 13%
20 Joan Adon WSN 4.2 9 6 6 2 3 5 25 11.57 2.57 0 94.7 4%
21 Shohei Ohtani LAA 3.2 6 6 6 1 2 5 20 14.73 2.18 0 97.6 13%
22 Luis Cessa CIN 1 5 3 3 0 0 0 7 27.00 5.00 0 95.7 95.2 14%

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Boxscore Bits: April 14, 2022

by
April 14, 2022
Syndication: Arizona Republic

A few thoughts on the games from on Wednesday, April 13th:

FOR STARTERS

Wednesday Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Clayton Kershaw LAD 7 0 0 0 0 0 13 21 0.00 0.00 1 90.5 24%
2 Merrill Kelly 켈리 ARI 5.1 3 0 0 0 2 6 21 0.00 0.94 0 92.4 92.1 8%
3 Triston McKenzie CLE 4 3 0 0 0 0 6 15 0.00 0.75 0 93.9 18%
4 Corbin Burnes MIL 7 3 0 0 0 1 8 25 0.00 0.57 0 96.1 96 19%
5 Josiah Gray WSN 5 1 0 0 0 3 5 18 0.00 0.80 1 93.9 11%
6 Logan Webb SFG 8 4 1 1 0 0 7 28 1.13 0.50 1 92.9 92.2 15%
7 Frankie Montas OAK 6.1 5 2 1 1 0 6 25 1.42 0.79 1 96.8 95.9 16%
8 Max Scherzer NYM 5 5 1 1 0 3 7 22 1.80 1.60 1 95.1 15%
9 Sean Manaea SDP 6 4 2 2 0 2 6 23 3.00 1.00 0 90.5 13%
10 Framber Valdez HOU 3 2 1 1 0 5 3 17 3.00 2.33 0 93.3 92.6 7%
11 Max Fried ATL 5.1 7 3 2 0 0 4 23 3.38 1.31 0 94.3 95.1 13%
12 Nathan Eovaldi BOS 5 4 2 2 2 1 6 20 3.60 1.00 1 96.6 8%
13 Zach Thompson PIT 4 5 2 2 1 1 3 18 4.50 1.50 0 93 92.3 6%
14 John Means BAL 4 2 2 2 0 1 2 15 4.50 0.75 0 91.8 8%
15 Gerrit Cole NYY 5.2 4 3 3 2 1 6 22 4.76 0.88 0 97.8 19%
16 Eduardo Rodriguez DET 3.2 5 7 2 1 3 5 20 4.91 2.18 0 93.2 93.4 11%
17 Dallas Keuchel CHW 5 6 3 3 1 0 5 21 5.40 1.20 1 87.9 13%
18 José Berríos TOR 5 6 3 3 2 3 5 24 5.40 1.80 0 93.9 93 11%
19 Shane McClanahan TBR 4.2 2 3 3 1 3 8 19 5.79 1.07 0 98 18%
20 Chris Paddack MIN 4 6 3 3 0 0 3 20 6.75 1.50 0 92.6 11%
21 Aaron Nola PHI 3.1 3 3 3 1 3 5 17 8.10 1.80 0 92.4 91.6 9%
22 Robbie Ray SEA 6.1 10 6 6 3 2 4 29 8.53 1.89 0 92.2 8%
23 Nick Lodolo CIN 4 7 5 5 2 3 4 24 11.25 2.50 0 94.3 94.1 8%
24 Kyle Hendricks CHC 3.2 7 6 6 1 4 4 21 14.73 3.00 0 86.7 86.1 8%

 

  • Kershaw was perfect through 7, but anyone paying attention knew there was no shot he was going to finish it given his health issues and the fact that it was his first start of the season. He simply wasn’t stretched out to go 100+ pitches and Kershaw knows better than to carelessly push himself and risk the rest of the season. Obviously it’d be great to see him throw a perfecto, but it doesn’t make sense to push well beyond your limit in game 1 of the year.
  • Kelly stood tall for a second straight start (this time v. HOU), carrying on from a strong Spring Training (7 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 13 K). His velo is up to 92.9 mph (+1.1 over ’21) and he is using his changeup a lot more up. It is up 7 pts in usage to 24% and has been excellent, allowing 1 H w/6 Ks in 13 PA. He has a 2-start (at WAS, NYM) next week and will be a popular pickup in many formats. I’m definitely eyeing him in 12s and 15s, possibly even 10s depending who I’m cutting.
  • McKenzie’s season debut in relief was unsettling, but it turned out to be a blip as opposed to reason for major concern. His velo was back up to 93.9 mph and he was great for 4 IP.
  • Burnes assuaged any Opening Day concerns by looking like the stud drafted in the 1st round in Baltimore.
  • Despite a 56% GB rate, Gray kept the ball in the park en route to a strong outing despite 3 BB. The tough part with Gray will be knowing when to sit him since HRs can pop up against any team. He gets a 2-step against ARI and SF next week, so he is a start for me despite a tough Giants team in that second start.
  • Valdez didn’t have any fastball command, particularly his 4-seamer (he throws a sinker, too), which led to 5 BB and an early day against what should’ve been a great opponent. The start didn’t hurt too badly, but a trip to ARI is usually a prime spot.
  • Fried was nickeled and dimed, allowing 6 1B and a double, and it would’ve been nice to see more Ks against a weaker opponent, but this just a run-of-the-mill fine outing.
  • Thompson should have bouts of streamer usefulness, especially once he is fully stretched out. He gets a 2-step at MIL and at CHC next week, so I expect him to be a mid-tier option in FAAB this weekend.
  • Means leaving with forearm tightness is rough. Hold out for news before making any moves, but if he is shelved for the injury, I think he becomes a cut in leagues without IL spots and perhaps in spots with just 1-2 slots, too, though that will depend a lot more on your roster.
  • A 2-out throwing error by Jeimer Candelario in the top of the 4th opened the floodgates for BOS as they ripped three straight doubles off E-Rod and spoiled his start. There is nothing actionable off this start.
  • 3 HRs are the only reason Cole’s numbers aren’t where they “should” be. His velo is at 98.1 mph and swinging strike rate at 18%, both career highs. I’m quite literally 0% concerned.
  • Berrios bounced back after a painful season debut. He’s fine and an all-formats must-start.
  • A rough 3rd inning capped by a Sean Murphy 3-R HR spoiled an otherwise great outing by McClanahan. He still fanned 8 and went 19 pitches more than his first outing so he’s building up. He looks great and I’m very excited about him this year.
  • Paddack’s velo was down over 2 mph and I’m not sure he should be rostered in anything but the absolute deepest formats.
  • Curious if anyone saw Nola’s start, I didn’t get a chance to, but it looks like he lost command of the fastballs (4-seamer and sinker), leading to the 3 BB and ending his day early. No concerns here.
  • Was it the nasty weather in Chicago that hampered Ray? It’s a great opponent, too, but I wouldn’t worry too much if you’re invested.
  • Lodolo flopped in his debut but has a 2-step next week. I’m wondering if the dud outing will depress the price enough or will people just see a 2-step (at SD, STL) from a stud prospect and jump? I think he’s worth going for in 12s or deeper right now. 10s are borderline and would 100% depend on the cut. One bad start isn’t taking me off him completely.
  • Hendricks getting smoked in PIT is rough. A 3-R shot by Ben Gamel was crusher in a 7-hit parade. He lives on a thin margin. It’ll be a risky 2-step next week v. TB and PIT.

VLAD GOES SUPER SAIYAN

The Yankees thought a busted finger could stop Vladimir Guerrero Jr., but they were wrong! He already had a homer when that happened and ripped two more after the finger injury. He added a double in for good measure, going 4-for-4 with 3 HR, 4 RBI, and 3 R.

MILLER STAYS HOT, TAGS 2

Owen Miller came into Tuesday’s game with three straight multi-hit efforts, giving him a .500 AVG and 1.342 OPS. He got his fourth with a pair of homers and a single, elevating him to .524 AVG and 1.593 OPS so far. Three of these four games have been 3 H efforts, too. So is there anything here with Miller or just a bananas .529 BABIP and 40% HR/FB rate sustaining him? Obviously, he isn’t going to be anywhere near this good, but he has usurped Bobby Bradley at 1B starting the last four games there and with playing time, there is some deep league appeal here. When he was graded by the prospect team last year, he got just a 40-hit tool, but with a 55 future. He appears to be improving that aspect of his game and at least hinting at the higher end of that skill early on with a 9% K and 4% SwStr rate. He feels like someone who can hit .260 with 15 HR if he maintains the playing time which definitely has deep league viability.

STOLEN BASES

WTWT

Here is What To Watch Today for Wednesday, April 14th:

 


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1040 – Early Standout Hitters & Call-ups ft. Clay Link of Rotowire

by
April 13, 2022

PLEASE PARDON A SPATE OF AUDIO ISSUES THAT CROP UP WITH MY RECORDING. NOT SURE WHAT HAPPENED THERE W/THE STREAMYARD RECORDING. 

4/13/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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Early Standouts

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Boxscore Bits: April 13th, 2022

by
April 13, 2022
Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the games from Tuesday, April 12th:

Note: no chat from me today, but my regular season ones will start next Wednesday at 2pm CT!

FOR STARTERS

Tuesday Starters
# Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
1 Tylor Megill NYM 5.1 3 0 0 0 0 5 18 0.00 0.56 1 97 17%
2 Drew Smyly CHC 5 3 0 0 0 0 1 18 0.00 0.60 1 91.4 10%
3 Andrew Heaney LAD 4.1 3 1 0 0 0 5 18 0.00 0.69 0 91.6 24%
4 Nestor Cortes NYY 4.1 3 0 0 0 0 5 16 0.00 0.69 0 91.2 8%
5 Chris Archer MIN 4 2 0 0 0 0 3 14 0.00 0.50 0 93.8 8%
6 Patrick Sandoval LAA 4 3 1 0 0 3 6 18 0.00 1.50 0 93.9 93.7 17%
7 Luis Garcia HOU 4 2 0 0 0 2 1 16 0.00 1.00 0 94.6 6%
8 Jose Quintana PIT 5.1 5 1 1 1 2 3 20 1.69 1.31 0 91.5 92.4 13%
9 Madison Bumgarner ARI 5 5 1 1 1 2 2 23 1.80 1.40 0 90.9 7%
10 Jesús Luzardo MIA 5 2 1 1 0 1 12 18 1.80 0.60 0 97.9 97.9 20%
11 Zack Wheeler PHI 4.2 2 1 1 1 1 3 19 1.93 0.64 0 95.3 95 6%
12 Chad Kuhl COL 4.1 2 1 1 0 4 5 19 2.08 1.38 0 94.2 94.2 18%
13 Vince Velasquez CHW 4 2 1 1 1 3 2 17 2.25 1.25 0 93.6 92.5 8%
14 Tyler Mahle CIN 4 4 4 1 0 2 4 18 2.25 1.50 0 94.1 7%
15 Spenser Watkins BAL 3 4 4 1 0 2 1 16 3.00 2.00 0 93 2%
16 Matt Brash SEA 5.1 4 2 2 1 1 6 21 3.38 0.94 0 96.4 13%
17 Alex Cobb SFG 5 4 2 2 0 2 10 21 3.60 1.20 1 94.4 17%
18 Bryce Elder ATL 5.2 6 3 3 2 0 4 22 4.76 1.06 1 90.9 11%
19 Tyler Alexander DET 5.1 5 3 3 0 0 4 20 5.06 0.94 0 89.5 90 11%
20 Shane Bieber CLE 5.1 2 3 3 0 2 5 19 5.06 0.75 0 91.8 9%
21 Yusei Kikuchi TOR 3.1 5 3 2 1 2 2 16 5.40 2.10 0 95.4 7%
22 Rich Hill BOS 4.1 5 3 3 0 1 4 19 6.23 1.38 0 88.7 7%
23 Garrett Whitlock-RP BOS 4 0 0 0 0 1 2 13 0.00 0.25 1 95.6 10%
24 Eric Lauer MIL 4.1 3 4 3 1 2 5 19 6.23 1.15 0 94.4 7%
25 Martin Perez TEX 4 7 3 3 0 1 2 20 6.75 2.00 0 93.2 92.2 6%
26 Dakota Hudson STL 4 5 3 3 2 0 4 17 6.75 1.25 0 92.8 92.1 11%
27 Daniel Lynch KCR 5 9 6 6 3 1 7 25 10.80 2.00 0 94.1 92.7 15%
28 Tommy Romero TBR 1.2 2 3 3 1 5 1 11 16.20 4.20 0 90.9 5%
29 Patrick Corbin WSN 2.2 9 6 6 0 3 3 20 20.25 4.50 0 91.5 91.8 12%
30 Adam Oller OAK 1.1 5 5 5 2 3 3 12 33.75 6.00 0 94.5 13%
31 Yu Darvish SDP 1.2 8 9 9 1 2 2 15 48.60 6.00 0 94 92.6 12%

 

  • Just 4 SP wins and 1 extended RP win of note: Megill, Smyly, Cobb, Elder, and Whitlock.
  • Megill was brilliant again with even more velo (up .7 to 96.9) and near identical results, adding a third of an inning and losing a strikeout off his Opening Day appearance. He is a must-roster in all formats if he is somehow still available.
  • Smyly was pretty pedestrian at PIT, but if you streamed him, you were rewarded outside of just the 1 K. Quintana was pretty solid against his old team, as well. Both veteran lefties will have bout of streamer usefulness as long as they remain healthy. Smyly gets a trip to COL this weekend so no need to pick him up in daily leagues, but gets PIT against next week so consider him in FAAB this weekend while Q gets WAS on the weekend and rematches Smyly & the Cubs next week so he could be worth the pickup now in deep daily moves leagues.
  • Heaney was a popular sleeper, going around the 20th round in the Main Event, as many believed the Dodgers could be the team to maximize him. So far, so good. He led the day with a 24% SwStr rate and was excellent in the shortened outing. He gets CIN at home on the weekend and a trip to SD next week. He is rosterable in 12s or larger while at least worth a Watchlist inclusion in 10-team formats.
  • Nasty Nestor! Cortes didn’t get a ton of hype after an excellent 93 IP last year (2.90 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 21% K-BB), but the soft-tossing lefty got off to a strong start and his velo was up to a career-best 91.2 mph. There is some discrepancy on his SwStr because we are showing 8%, but I’m seeing 9 swinging strikes in 72 pitches, good for a 13% mark. With starts at BAL and v. CLE in his next two, I’m going for Cortes is just about any format right now.
  • Archer survived against the Dodgers, but I wouldn’t use this an impetus to scoop him everywhere. I’ve been a fan of his forever so I’m always keeping tabs on him in hopes of him recapturing his previous success. With a trip to KC coming up next week, I’d pick up Archer in deeper formats, but he is pretty far down the list of likely available guys for 10s and 12s.
  • The Sandoval-Luzardo game did NOT disappoint! I will say that the early game shadowing that had the pitchers in bright sun and then the shadow starting about 10-12 ft in front of them wreaked havoc on batters and maximized what these two were able to do. I’m not discounting their starts because of it, just pointing out that it likely garnered an extra K or two. Both are all formats gems, so check your waiver wire and make sure they are rostered. I still favor Sandoval over Luzardo, but they aren’t too far apart.
  • Seemed like L.Garcia was in cruise control a bit, pitching down the competition with a solid 4 IP. His velo was up 1.3 to 94.6 mph and I’m not worried about the modest numbers surrounding the scoreless appearance.
  • No was starting MadBum against HOU but he held his own. He has a 2-start setup next week at WAS and v. NYM. It’s very risky because of how reliant he is on the many batted balls he allows finding gloves. There aren’t many formats where I’d be considering him even with WAS on the slate.
  • I used to be a Kuhl fan when he was with PIT, hoping he could channel some of his sharp raw stuff into success, but it never really came together (4.44 ERA/1.42 WHIP) and he struggled to stay healthy as well. He survived 4 BB as his 18% SwStr was 3rd on the day, but of course he’s a Rockie so it will be very difficult to feel comfortable streaming him, even in a 2-step like next week (v. PHI, at DET). He is at least back on my Watchlist, though.
  • Speaking of guys I can’t quit no matter how many times I’m burned, Velasquez did enough to remain Watchlisted for me. He had 3 BB to just 2 Ks, but another discrepancy on SwStr (I’m efforting the reasoning behind these discrepancies, btw) where we have 8% to ESPN’s 11%. It’s a 2-pitch difference, but that’s the difference between average and below.
  • Mahle’s home woes weren’t in full effect here and he actually got a bit unlucky (though 3 of 4 R were unearned). I’m still not super confident using him at home against average or better offense, making him a tough start v. STL next week.
  • Brash had some of the most GIF-worthy pitches of the day, but that might have obscured the fact that he was blasted when they did make contact with a 71% HardHit rate (40% lg. avg). There is plenty of excitement and he is a must-roster in all 12s or deeper while being a bit more borderline in 10s depending on who you’re cutting and who else is available. He is behind Megill, Sandoval, Luzardo, and Cobb just from Tuesday’s slate of guys with a high probability of being available in 10s or smaller.
  • Speaking of Cobb, his velo was up nearly two ticks at 94.4 (+1.7), which he’d shown hints of in spring. He was really good last year and health has really been the only thing that slows him down. With some newfound strikeout stuff, he has all formats viability while healthy.
  • Elder was a 5th round pick in 2020 so last year was his pro debut and he enjoyed a strong 3-level campaign (A+/AA/AAA) and got an early call to the majors. He pitched well with a lead and the Braves trusted him to start the 6th which was encouraging even though he did start getting hit that 3rd time through w/HRs to Soto & Bell. This is why teams so often curb those outings at 5, but challenging Elder when they had the lead to do it (11-1) was good to see.
  • Bieber’s velo was up a little (+0.3) and he was clean through 5, but it all fell apart in the 6th. While he is coming off a major injury last year, there is still reason to believe this is just him tuning up on the job as opposed to indication of poor health. Either way, there is nothing actionable as I can’t imagine sitting him anywhere.
  • Hill was Hill, but I added Whitlock to our board because he is very interested. Whitlock followed Hill with 4 no-hit innings to secure the win. He has all-formats relevance because it seems that he will either be in this follower role which is ripe for wins potential or just outright starting when he is stretched enough to go 5+. They just paid him, they love him, and so do I!
  • Definitely wanted better out of streamer-types like Lauer and Hudson in good matchups. They remain streamers so if there is a better option, don’t hesitate to move on.
  • Kikuchi is in that same tier, though you weren’t necessarily starting him in Yankee Stadium. He is on the chopping block if the studs from Tuesday are available.
  • Brutal outing from Darvish. Just gotta eat this one, not much you can do.
  • Tough debuts from Oller and Romero as they both got in trouble early and often. Keep tabs on them in case they settle and shine some deep league viability, but they needn’t be rostered anywhere.

STOLEN BASES

NOTABLE CALLUPS

  • Nick Lodolo, P | CIN – He has allowed 3 through 3 innings of his debut on 5 H and 3 BB, but he does have 4 Ks… check that, he allowed a homer to Jose Ramirez literally as I was posting this so now it’s 5 ER through 3.7 IP. There is a lot of upside with Lodolo and a poor first outing will keep prices down in leagues where he is available. I’d consider him in 12s or deeper right now.

WTWT

Here is What To Watch Today for Wednesday, April 13th:

Getting this out a little later on a day when there are several day games so some of these starts have already begun


The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1039 – Early Intriguing Pitchers

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April 12, 2022

4/12/22

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Boxscore Bits: April 12th, 2022

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April 12, 2022
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the games from Monday, April 11th.

FOR STARTERS

Monday Starters
Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO TBF ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
Taijuan Walker NYM 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 0.00 0.00 0 94.1 27%
Dylan Bundy MIN 5 1 0 0 0 1 2 18 0.00 0.40 1 90.5 91.1 9%
Paul Blackburn OAK 5 3 0 0 0 1 7 19 0.00 0.80 1 92.6 92.8 17%
Bruce Zimmermann BAL 4 3 0 0 0 2 4 17 0.00 1.25 0 91.1 6%
Alek Manoah TOR 6 1 0 0 0 4 7 23 0.00 0.83 1 94.5 94 14%
Michael Lorenzen LAA 6 2 1 1 1 0 7 20 1.50 0.33 1 96 94.9 15%
Matt Manning DET 6 1 1 1 1 0 2 19 1.50 0.17 0 94.3 94.4 6%
Josh Rogers WSN 5.1 2 1 1 0 2 3 20 1.69 0.75 1 90.4 89.9 7%
Nick Martinez SDP 5 5 1 1 0 1 6 21 1.80 1.20 0 92.4 15%
Michael Wacha BOS 4.1 2 1 1 0 3 4 18 2.08 1.15 0 93.6 14%
Taylor Hearn TEX 4 8 1 1 0 1 6 21 2.25 2.25 0 95.6 95.4 16%
Jameson Taillon NYY 5 5 2 2 1 0 6 20 3.60 1.00 0 93.7 94.1 17%
Alex Wood SFG 4.1 5 2 2 1 1 6 20 4.15 1.38 0 92.7 93.2 9%
Adrian Houser MIL 3.2 4 2 2 0 3 3 18 4.91 1.91 0 94.7 94 12%
Aaron Civale CLE 3.1 4 4 2 0 3 3 19 5.40 2.10 0 90.5 91.2 10%
Austin Gomber COL 4.2 4 3 3 0 2 4 20 5.79 1.29 0 90.9 12%
Chris Flexen 플렉센 SEA 4.1 5 3 3 0 3 3 20 6.23 1.85 0 92.7 9%
Elieser Hernandez MIA 4.2 5 4 4 2 3 6 21 7.71 1.71 0 91.6 8%
Carlos Hernández KCR 4.1 6 4 4 1 2 1 20 8.31 1.85 0 95.6 13%
Ranger Suárez PHI 2.2 5 3 3 0 1 1 16 10.13 2.25 0 93.6 92.5 8%
Luis Patiño TBR 0.2 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 13.50 1.50 0 95.6 8%
Huascar Ynoa ATL 3 7 5 5 1 2 4 18 15.00 3.00 0 96.5 13%

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Boxscore Bits: April 11th, 2022

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April 11, 2022
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

A few thoughts on the games from Sunday, April 10th.

FOR STARTERS

Sunday Starters
Name Team IP H R ER HR BB SO ERA WHIP W vFA (pi) vSI (pi) SwStr%
Corey Kluber TBR 4.2 3 0 0 0 4 5 0.00 1.50 0 90.5 89.8 14%
Zach Eflin PHI 4 2 0 0 0 2 3 0.00 1.00 0 93.2 92.9 10%
Nabil Crismatt SDP 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 0.00 1.33 0 89.9 88.9 15%
Daulton Jefferies OAK 5 2 0 0 0 2 2 0.00 0.80 1 92.5 92.1 6%
Carlos Carrasco NYM 5.2 2 1 1 1 0 5 1.59 0.35 0 93.4 92.7 14%
Marcus Stroman CHC 5 2 1 1 1 3 3 1.80 1.00 0 93.9 92.9 6%
José Urquidy HOU 5 4 1 1 1 0 2 1.80 0.80 1 94.7 6%
Michael Kopech CHW 4 2 1 1 0 2 3 2.25 1.00 0 96.0 7%
Antonio Senzatela COL 3.1 9 4 1 0 1 0 2.70 3.00 0 94.1 3%
Erick Fedde WSN 5 5 2 2 1 2 5 3.60 1.40 0 92.9 14%
Cal Quantrill CLE 5 4 2 2 0 1 2 3.60 1.00 1 93.1 9%
Trevor Rogers MIA 5 6 3 2 0 1 3 3.60 1.40 0 94.8 7%
Jose Suarez LAA 4.1 2 2 2 0 4 2 4.15 1.38 0 92.8 92.4 11%
Anthony DeSclafani SFG 3.2 8 2 2 0 1 5 4.91 2.45 0 92.8 92.7 11%
Hunter Greene CIN 5 4 3 3 2 2 7 5.40 1.20 1 99.9 14%
Freddy Peralta MIL 4 3 3 3 1 4 6 6.75 1.75 0 93.6 13%
Bryse Wilson PIT 4 5 3 3 1 1 2 6.75 1.50 0 92.3 91.7 5%
Bailey Ober MIN 5 4 4 4 1 2 4 7.20 1.20 1 92.2 14%
Jordan Montgomery NYY 3.1 4 3 3 0 1 4 8.10 1.50 0 92.5 92.1 12%
Tanner Houck BOS 3.1 6 3 3 0 3 3 8.10 2.70 0 95.4 94.1 10%
Marco Gonzales SEA 2 6 6 2 3 2 1 9.00 4.00 0 89.1 5%
Tarik Skubal DET 4 7 5 4 0 1 3 9.00 2.00 0 94.2 95.3 10%
Julio Urías LAD 2 6 6 3 1 2 0 13.50 4.00 0 92.3 7%
Hyun Jin Ryu 류현진 TOR 3.1 5 6 6 1 2 4 16.20 2.10 0 90.3 90.4 7%
Ian Anderson ATL 2.2 3 5 5 0 5 1 16.88 3.00 0 93.4 11%
Spencer Howard TEX 3 6 6 6 4 0 5 18.00 2.00 0 95.7 10%
Steven Matz STL 3 9 7 7 1 1 5 21.00 3.33 0 94.7 12%
Tyler Wells BAL 1.2 3 4 4 1 2 2 21.60 3.00 0 95.1 11%
Caleb Smith ARI 1 2 5 4 2 3 2 36.00 5.00 0 91.1 10%
Kris Bubic KCR 0.2 3 5 5 0 2 0 67.50 7.50 0 91.3 0%

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1037 – Opening Day Musings

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April 8, 2022

4/8/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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Podcast: Play in new window | Download

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