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Max Muncy Got His Groove Back

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

In the final game of the 2021 regular season, Max Muncy injured his left elbow after a collision with Jace Peterson as Muncy tried to catch a throw while Peterson ran through first base. It cost Muncy all of the 2021 postseason and in November of 2021, we learned that Muncy’s injury was indeed the torn UCL that many feared it was when it happened. In January of 2022, we learned he wouldn’t need surgery, but there were concerns about how it might impact at least the start of his 2022 season.

While he made it through spring and was ready for Opening Day, it was clear early on that the elbow was still bothering him. He hit a brutal .136/.313/.273 in 83 April plate appearances and while it was reasonable to believe the .149 BABIP would regress back toward his career .256 mark, there was still trouble brewing. It wouldn’t get much better in the following months with a .595 OPS in May, .675 in June, and .597 in July, all with sub-.200 AVGs and just 9 HR in his 339 PA. With just a .150/.327/.263 line through May 25th, Muncy hit the IL. He didn’t want to blame his struggles on the elbow, but I mean… c’mon, it was the elbow. He did eventually acknowledge that he rushed back from the injury and should’ve taken some time.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1127 – 2023 3B Rankings Preview #1

1/16/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

3B RANKINGS

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1125 – 2023 2B Rankings Preview #1

1/13/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

2B RANKINGS

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Paul Sporer’s 2023 Shortstop Rankings

Jim Cowsert-USA TODAY Sports

 

2023 Shortstop Ranks
RK NAME TEAM LG POS
1 Trea Turner PHI NL SS
2 Bo Bichette TOR AL SS
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. SD NL SS/OF
4 Bobby Witt Jr. KC AL 3B/SS
5 Francisco Lindor NYM NL SS
6 Corey Seager TEX AL SS
7 Wander Franco TB AL SS
8 Tommy Edman STL NL 2B/SS
9 Willy Adames MIL NL SS
10 Amed Rosario CLE AL SS
11 Tim Anderson CHW AL SS
12 Dansby Swanson CHC NL SS
13 Oneil Cruz PIT NL SS
14 Carlos Correa MIN AL SS
15 Xander Bogaerts SDP NL SS
16 Nico Hoerner CHC NL SS
17 Jeremy Peña HOU AL SS
18 Javier Báez DET AL SS
19 Adalberto Mondesi KC AL SS
20 Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 SD NL 3B/SS
21 CJ Abrams WAS NL SS
22 Luis Urías MIL NL 2B/3B/SS
23 Jorge Mateo BAL AL SS
24 Bryson Stott PHI NL 2B/SS
25 Joey Wendle MIA NL 2B/3B/SS
26 Thairo Estrada SF NL 2B/SS
27 Luis Garcia WAS NL 2B/SS
28 Elvis Andrus FA SS
29 Brice Turang MIL NL SS
30 Anthony Volpe NYY AL SS
31 Oswald Peraza NYY AL SS
32 J.P. Crawford SEA AL SS
33 Ezequiel Tovar COL NL SS
34 Kevin Newman PIT NL SS
35 Kyle Farmer MIN AL SS
36 Brandon Crawford SF NL SS
37 Royce Lewis MIN AL SS
38 Nicky Lopez KC AL 2B/3B/SS
39 Nick Allen OAK AL 2B/SS
40 Miguel Rojas LAD NL SS
41 Mauricio Dubón HOU AL SS/OF
42 José Iglesias COL NL SS
43 Diego Castillo ARI NL 2B/SS/OF
44 David Fletcher LAA AL 2B/SS
45 Nick Ahmed ARI NL SS
46 Isiah Kiner-Falefa NYY AL SS
47 Edmundo Sosa PHI NL 2B/SS
48 Elly De La Cruz CIN NL SS
49 Dylan Moore SEA AL SS/OF
50 Jordan Westburg BAL AL SS
20 gm qualification; 5×5 Roto; Blue indicates new tier

Notes on some select SS:

Trea Turner heads back to the NL East on the heels of his first 100+ R/RBI season – his 3rd of 100+ runs, 1st reaching 100+ RBIs (previous high of 77). There has been some concern around his spike in Chase rate (36% O-Swing; career 29% coming into ’22) and it might have played a role in his power drop as his .169 ISO was well below the .213 he had from 2019-21. It is worth monitoring. I’m more inclined to fade him to allow a transition year after inking the huge deal with Philadelphia as opposed to major concerns about the Chase spike.

Bo Bichette had just two months north of .743 OPS, but one of them was the incredible 1.105 in September with 7 HR which helped him secure the #4 spot at the position despite a 12-SB dip down to 13 with just a 62% success rate. The rule changes could fuel a bounce back into the 20s and if he regains the elite efficiency from 2021 (96%) or something close to it, he might chase down Turner for the top spot, especially if he can lead the American League in hits for a 3rd straight season.

On a per plate appearance basis, Fernando Tatis Jr. is tops. It’s the fact that I tabbed him for 530 PA that pushes him down to 3rd. He has just been so absurd across his 1175 MLB PA that it’s hard to find any flaw beyond the missed time – 21 games for sure due to suspension and the ever-present shoulder risk. If the remainder of the suspension is all he misses, he has a realistic shot at being the top overall player.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – January 11th, 2023

Chat time!

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1124 – 2023 1B Rankings Preview #1

1/9/23

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

1B RANKINGS

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Paul Sporer’s 2023 Second Base Rankings

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Second base is short on top end talent, but incredibly deep in middling options as there isn’t a ton of difference in the 24 guys bookended by the Urias brothers, Luis and Ramon.

2023 Second Base Ranks
RK NAME TEAM LG ALLPOS
1 Marcus Semien TEX AL 2B/SS
2 Jose Altuve HOU AL 2B
3 Jazz Chisholm Jr. MIA NL 2B
4 Ozzie Albies ATL NL 2B
5 Andrés Giménez CLE AL 2B
6 Tommy Edman STL NL 2B/SS
7 Max Muncy LAD NL 2B/3B
8 Trevor Story BOS AL 2B
9 Gleyber Torres NYY AL 2B
10 Brandon Drury LAA NL 1B/2B/3B
11 Brandon Lowe TB AL 2B
12 Jorge Polanco MIN AL 2B
13 Ketel Marte ARI NL 2B
14 Jonathan India CIN NL 2B
15 Luis Urías MIL NL 2B/3B/SS
16 Jean Segura MIA NL 2B
17 Whit Merrifield TOR AL 2B/OF
18 Jake Cronenworth SD NL 1B/2B
19 Bryson Stott PHI NL 2B/SS
20 DJ LeMahieu NYY AL 1B/2B/3B
21 Gavin Lux LAD NL 2B/OF
22 Jeff McNeil NYM NL 2B/OF
23 Brendan Rodgers COL NL 2B
24 Luis Arraez MIN AL 1B/2B
25 Kolten Wong SEA AL 2B
26 Christopher Morel CHC NL 2B/OF
27 Vaughn Grissom ATL NL 2B
28 Thairo Estrada SF NL 2B/SS
29 Chris Taylor LAD NL 2B/OF
30 Nick Gordon MIN AL 2B/OF
31 Rodolfo Castro PIT NL 2B/3B
32 Nolan Gorman STL NL 2B
33 Luis García WAS NL 2B/SS
34 Luis Rengifo LAA AL 2B/3B
35 Josh Rojas ARI NL 2B/3B
36 Jonathan Schoop DET AL 2B
37 Wilmer Flores SF NL 1B/2B/3B
38 Ramón Urías BAL AL 2B/3B
39 Aledmys Díaz OAK AL 2B/OF
40 Tony Kemp OAK AL 2B/OF
41 Brendan Donovan STL NL 2B/3B/OF
42 Isaac Paredes TB AL 1B/2B/3B
43 Jonathan Aranda TB AL 2B
44 Michael Massey KC AL 2B
45 Christian Arroyo BOS AL 2B
46 Adam Frazier BAL AL 2B/OF
47 Jon Berti MIA NL 2B/3B
48 Santiago Espinal TOR AL 2B
49 Zach McKinstry CHC NL 2B/3B
50 Diego Castillo ARI NL 2B/SS/OF
20 gm qualification; 5×5 Roto; Blue indicates new tier

Notes on some select 2B:

Marcus Semien fronted the league 43 games before hitting his first homer and still wound up with 26 thanks to an excellent summer. He hit .268/.324/.492 with 20 SB, 72 RBI, 85 R and those 26 HR from May 28th on. While his extreme volume is a big part of his game (4 straight 700+ PA seasons; led MLB in 3 of them), he still had a 20/20 pace over 600 PA in 2022.

I’m not projecting another 18 SBs for Jose Altuve given that he had just 13 in his previous 1436 PA from 2019-21, but the 33-year-old doesn’t need a repeat there to remain a premium option at the position. The offense remains loaded, and his skills are aging brilliantly.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – January 5th, 2023

Transcript is now available!

1:07

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone! Thanks for coming out!

1:07

Brandon Wood: Greetings Mr. Spider,

1:08

Paul Sporer: Good day!

1:08

Justin Mason: NERD!!!

1:08

Paul Sporer: Rude!

1:08

Brandon Wood: Do you expect Jordan Walker to rise up boards like Julio Rodriguez did last season?

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Paul Sporer’s 2023 First Base Rankings

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

 

2023 First Base Ranks
RANK PLAYER TM LG POS
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR AL 1B/DH
2 Freddie Freeman LAD NL 1B
3 Pete Alonso NYM NL 1B
4 Paul Goldschmidt STL NL 1B
5 Matt Olson ATL NL 1B
6 Vinnie Pasquantino KC AL 1B
7 Nathaniel Lowe TEX AL 1B
8 José Abreu HOU AL 1B
9 Christian Walker ARI NL 1B
10 C.J. Cron COL NL 1B
11 Rhys Hoskins PHI NL 1B
12 Josh Bell CLE NL 1B
13 Wil Myers CIN NL 1B/OF
14 Joey Meneses WAS NL 1B/OF
15 Ty France SEA AL 1B
16 Josh Naylor CLE AL 1B
17 Anthony Rizzo NYY AL 1B
18 Andrew Vaughn CHW AL 1B/OF
19 Ryan Mountcastle BAL AL 1B/OF/DH
20 Jose Miranda MIN AL 1B/3B
21 Brandon Drury LAA NL 1B/2B/3B
22 Matt Mervis CHC NL 1B
23 Rowdy Tellez MIL NL 1B
24 Seth Brown OAK AL 1B/OF
25 Joey Votto CIN NL 1B
26 Miguel Vargas LAD NL 1B
27 DJ LeMahieu NYY AL 1B/2B/3B
28 Triston Casas BOS AL 1B
29 Jake Cronenworth SD NL 1B/2B/SS
30 Luis Arraez MIN AL 1B/2B
31 Spencer Torkelson DET AL 1B
32 Trey Mancini FA 1B/OF
33 Luke Voit FA 1B
34 Keston Hiura MIL NL 1B
35 Jared Walsh LAA AL 1B
36 Yuli Gurriel FA 1B
37 LaMonte Wade Jr. SF NL 1B/OF
38 Carlos Santana PIT NL 1B
39 Wilmer Flores SF NL 1B/2B/3B
40 Brandon Belt FA 1B
41 Nick Pratto KC AL 1B
42 Ji-Man Choi PIT NL 1B
43 Eric Hosmer FA 1B
44 Dominic Smith FA 1B
45 Isaac Paredes TB AL 1B/2B/3B
46 Kyle Manzardo TB AL 1B
47 Bobby Dalbec BOS AL 1B
48 Jesús Aguilar FA 1B
49 Mike Moustakas FA 1B/3B
50 Hunter Dozier KC AL 1B/3B/OF
20 gm qualification; Blue indicates new tier

NOTES:

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the king of the position, though I do feel like 2021 will remain his high watermark. He hit 44% of his 41 HRs in just 28% of his season plate appearances at the two temporary homes they used before returning to Rogers Centre. He is a good bet to get back to .300-30-100-100.

While Freddie Freeman doesn’t always deliver that cornerstone power at 1B, he more than makes up for it with his other four categories, often highlighted by a premium AVG (.325 last yr; .298 career). He even spiked a career-high 13 SBs last year to counterbalance his 21 HRs, his lowest over the last six full seasons.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1123 – Correa Saga, Drury/Myers Sign, and “Gift or Coal”

12/23/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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