I find Thursday’s board very interesting. Some spots to take calculated gambles, some potential landmines, some YOLO throws, and of course, some aces!
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Transcript is now available!
| 1:05 |
: Good afternoon, everyone, thanks for coming out! |
| 1:05 |
: Are we trusting the next two Rangers SPs against the Jays? Bradford and then Kumar Rocker? |
| 1:06 |
: Definitely depends on league size. The Jays are looking more like the offense we assumed they’d be coming into the season, so I’m being cautious going against them |
| 1:06 |
: H2H playoffs need to add a hitter. Pick one for the rest of this week and glory: 1. Tyler Fitzgerald 2. Otto Lopez 3. M. Rojas 4. Pavin 5. Meadows |
| 1:09 |
: Fitz/Meadows are my 2 faves and I lean Meadows. Only 2 lefties on the docket for them the rest of the way and a final weekend series v. CHW |
| 1:09 |
: need to set up 1 last start this week and hopefully celebrate a championship, 10tm, h2h, redraft, which of these 3 do i take; Arrighetti @ LAA, B. Lively @ STL, M. Boyd @ STL or Y. Darvish CWS ? |
Pardon me for board-only tonight, but I have a splitting headache despite the Tigers fantastic win in KC… maybe I looked at Bobby Miller’s results too hard. Either way, I’m headed to bed early. I’ll answer comments if you want to know about any specifically and I have my chat at 1 pm CT on Wednesday so feel free to bring any roster questions you have as well as any 2025 questions. We’ll be doing draft prep before we know it!
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Some tricky spots out there for Tuesday and we’ve already seen some strong bets flop (thanks, Detmers!) so be careful.
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Fascinating board this week with several studs going as well as some legitimately solid streamers.
I’m just not 100% sure on Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s volume which is the only reason he’s not Auto Start.
Reid Detmers is a guardrail-to-guardrail guy: in the minors when he’s off, but basically must start once he’s back on. He had 3 brilliant starts in the minors before returning and dropping 2 more gems against playoff teams (LAD, MIN). The HOU start is a bit scary just because of his volatility but I love Detmers down the stretch (at TEX in the final wk).
I was worried about Luis Gil and cut him when he hit the IL (for Detmers, though, so I’m not losing out — Monday Night Paul here — I have indeed lost out, quite a bit in fact. Thanks, Reid.) thinking he could be limited down the stretch and perhaps shelved as a starter until October entirely (meaning 1-3 IP type stints once back). But maybe the 2 weeks off was just what he needed as he’s come back with a pair of gems, allowing just 1 ER with 12 Ks in 11 IP. Now he gets a brilliant trio of starts to close out the year with the at SEA, at OAK 2-step this week and then PIT comes to visit in the final series of the season, though a Win won’t be easy if the Pirates stick to schedule and run Paul Skenes.
Matthew Boyd couldn’t take advantage of his CHW start, but I’m more than happy to run him after seeing the 2.18 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 22% K-BB in 6 starts this year. He’s keeping the ball in the yard, too, with just a 0.8 HR9.
Frankie Montas is back! I barely considered him in even the deepest of leagues during his Cincy run, but he’s found his groove again with Milwaukee: 3.40 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 17% K-BB in 45 IP across 8 starts including 6+ IP in each of the last 5. It’s a tough draw, but Wins and Ks chasers should be considering him.
Bobby Miller is back on the radar with at MIA/COL on the docket despite how scary he has been all year. The Angels tattooed him 2 starts ago so good matchups aren’t guaranteeing anything, but it’s hard to find a better pair of matchups and supporting cast combo than this setup.
Reese Olson gets thrown right back into the fire with trips to KCR and BAL after just 5 rehab innings in 2 starts. They were shutout innings with just 2 hits, 2 walks, and 6 Ks, plus let’s not forget how good he was prior to the IL stint (3.23 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 15% K-BB in 103 IP). At the very least, I like stashing him for the CHW start in the final weekend if you prefer to let him tune-up this week.
If you have questions about anyone, let me know in the comments!
Short board does offer some chances to stream and the 2-start board will be up Monday morning!
Here’s a board for the weekend! I’ll be in the comments as much as I can throughout the weekend if you have any questions.
9/13/24
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PATREON
2-START FOR WEEK 25
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I’ve got a weekend board coming for y’all, so look for that on Friday evening. I’ll try to get one for each of these last 3 weekends.
I’m a huge Logan Webb fan, but he isn’t an unquestioned must-start here. His 1.28 WHIP v. teams over .500 is 14 pts higher than sub-.500 clubs, including a 1.53 in 19 IP v. the Padres. I’m more inclined to run him if I’m in chase mode hoping vintage Webb returns with 8 shutty in a low-scoring win.
Brant Hurter has sneakily been a big reason the Tigers are back in the wildcard mix. He has 33 innings with 3.00 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, and 19% K-BB, often following an opener (1 start, 6 follows) for about 5 innings per outing. He has wins in each of his last 4 outings, including a traditional 5-inning start v. LAA.
Do not feel obligated to start Freddy Peralta. ARI is so scary. They are 1st in BB% v. righties since July 1st and 3rd on the year while Peralta has walked at least 2 batters in each of his last 10 starts (10% BB).
FRIDAY MORNING UPDATE: I agree w/the comment that Clarke Schmidt should be higher but I didn’t want to remake the chart so I just 2-x’d him and highlighted it to signify it was changed. I mistakenly thought this was his return from the IL, but w/the tune-up start at CHC (75 pitches, 4.7 IP), I feel good running him in a lot of spots today. He’s even borderline 3-x depending on your situation. View him more in the Webb/Hurter range.
9/12/24
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TOP ROOKIE PITCHERS BY IP – PART 2
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Approximately 48 minutes of joyous analysis.
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