Author Archive: Paul Sporer

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 589 – Unexpected Second Half Standouts

8/17/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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01:15:41

Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – August 17, 2018

This week’s transcript is now available!

2:16

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone! Thanks for coming out! Lemme throw my DraftKings (not sponsored) league for tonight out there in case anyone wants to join –

 

Paul Sporer
@sporer

 

Running a 35-person $5 DraftKings game for tomorrow if you’re interested! draftkings.com/draft/contest/…
17 Aug 2018
2:16

Daniel Castro: Can’t wait to be back in September to mash some fat taters!

2:16

Paul Sporer: Fat taters incoming!

2:16

Gerald: Do you like prospects? Baseball prospects to be clear.

2:16

Paul Sporer: I do

2:16

Dusty: What’s the latest on Wander Javier? Do you like his upside?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 588 – “Call Your Shot” Ep. 6

8/16/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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01:00:52

8 Speedsters for the Stretch Run

Steals have become more and more rare these days. The upshot of that is you don’t need as many on your fantasy team to compete, but you still need some! This year isn’t that much different than last as far as SBs, but the top end is down a bit. This time last year, we had three guys with at least 35 SBs (Billy Hamilton 53, Dee Gordon 43, and Trea Turner 35) and this year Turner leads at 32. Last year there were 15 guys with 20+ and 57 at 10+. This year, we have 15 and 52, respectively.

Here are eight superfast guys who could give you a steals boost down the stretch:

Adam Engel OF, Chicago White Sox

Engel’s 30.0 ft/second sprint speed is tied for the third highest in the league behind only Byron Buxton (30.5) and Billy Hamilton (30.1). His stunning defense is earning him some extra playing time with starts in six of the last seven games. While the bat isn’t great (64 wRC+), he has still managed 12 SBs in 330 PA.

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Are They Good: Best ERAs Since the Break?

It’s been about a month since the All-Star break and we’ve seen a host of interesting arms put up excellent ERAs. Some of them are just studs being studs (Max Scherzer 1.32, Carlos Carrasco 1.56, Rich Hill 1.78, Aaron Nola 2.16, Trevor Bauer 2.21, and Clayton Kershaw 2.23), but others have come from unexpected sources so let’s look under the hood of those guys to see what’s up.

(listed in ascending order of ERA)

Trevor Williams, PIT | 0.75 ERA, 1.21 WHIP in 24 IP

Williams has the best qualified ERA over the last 30 days (Chris Sale has a 0.00 ERA in that time, but only 17 IP), but there’s nothing supporting it. His insane 98% LOB rate is doing virtually all of the heavy lifting. Obviously, any sustained period of sub-1.00 ERA performance is going to have some outlier metrics involved and it’s usually going to involve a mix of peak skills and good luck, but it ranges from average to truly bleak outside of the LOB rate.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 587 – Over/UnderCast Fireside Chat

8/12/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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Nick and Paul each highlight one overrated and underrated arm for the stretch run

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00:38:34

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 586 – Top 10 Surprises at Each Position

8/10/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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Notable Transactions/Rumors/Articles

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01:11:39

Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – August 10th, 2018

Transcript is below!

12:25

Paul Sporer: Happy Friday! Let’s talk some baseball!!

12:25

Dusty (Colorado): Thoughts on Wander Javier? What’s his upside?

12:25

Paul Sporer: Dusty!!! Where ya been??

12:25

Eldridge Cleaver: Kenta Maeda – the shut down closer?!?!?

12:25

Paul Sporer: Justin and I speculated on Walker Buehler maybe sliding in there in the pod we just recorded (up later today)

12:25

hscer: Hello, I was getting my saves from Jansen, Rodney, Minter, and Yates. I feel so lost.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 585 – Triple-A Hitters Who Could Get a Call

8/9/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

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00:51:33

The Schedule Planner: American League

I put out the NL Schedule Planner a couple days ago and today we have the American League. I ran some numbers to identify the best and worst offenses by handedness and perhaps this can offer some guidance for you down the stretch when selecting starters. I looked at wOBA for the year, last 30 days, and last 14 days, then weighted the three, and ranked the teams.

The recent samples are smaller and thus more volatile, but they also can reflect the changing dynamics of a team via injuries or trades. That said, I still weighted the season mark the most. This is just focused on handedness so be mindful of potential park factors that could also play a role. It’s sorted by division and record and then the scheduled teams are listed in order starting with Friday, August 10th.

The best use for these planners would be to focus on the arms in the spot start tiers or lower who are getting favorable or unfavorable schedules and leverage that in pick ups or drops… or trades if your league hasn’t hit the deadline yet. For example, the Blue Jays are going to face one Top 10 offense against righties in the next eight series so perhaps Marcus Stroman and Marco Estrada can get on track and Ryan Borucki could definitely stay hot, but then they get Cleveland (4), Boston (2), and New York (10) in a row starting September 6th so those same righties could be tough to trust in the playoffs for H2H leagues.

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