Author Archive

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 583 – “He Has a Sloppy Body”

8/3/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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Notable Transactions/Rumors/Articles

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Paul Sporer Chat – 8/3/18

Check out the transcript below!

2:34

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone!! Thanks for coming out!

2:36

Jed: Better keeper going forward: Mikolas or Stripling?

2:36

Paul Sporer: I prefer Strip

2:36

Elvin: Mallex Smith a 10-team play for the SB-needy?

2:36

Paul Sporer: If you’re starving, yes

2:36

Lars: So we can move on from Jose Martinez in 10-team, right?

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 582 – 10 Trade Deadline Beneficiaries

8/2/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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10 Players w/added value after deadline deals:

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Leaving the Danger Zone: Archer is a Pirate

Chris Archer has finally been traded. After 26 years of trade rumors (don’t look that up, it’s accurate), he was finally moved in what ended up being a spirited deadline day despite the blizzard of action in the lead up to July 31st. The Rays moved him to Pittsburgh for Austin Meadows, Tyler Glasnow, and PTBNL. Archer has been seen as a disappointment since 2016 with a 4.10 ERA in 498 innings against the backdrop of frontline expectations.

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Pitching Has Been Rough in July

You’re not imagining things, the pitching landscape has been a nightmare in July. Sometimes we get in the bubble of our team and project our struggles onto the league and I thought perhaps I was doing just that as I watched my ERA and WHIP just take a beating in league after league. So, I had to check into it.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 581 – TradeCast Fireside Chat

7/29/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

Nominate Us for the Podcast Awards in the Sports Category!

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 580 – Trading Season in Full Force!

7/27/18

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is brought to you by Out of the Park Baseball 19, the best baseball strategy game ever made – available NOW on PC, Mac, and Linux platforms! Go to ootpdevelopments.com to order now and save 10% with the code SLEEPER19!

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GET THE SLEEPER & THE BUST T-SHIRT FROM ROTOWEAR!

Nominate Us for the Podcast Awards in the Sports Category!

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The Cutting Room Floor from the Top 30

Yesterday I posted my first run of a Top 30 for 2019. The comments have been lively discussing players y’all would’ve included or asking about certain players so I figured I’d show you the rest of the pool I was choosing. I had a list of about 70 guys that I whittled down to 30 and there were some tough cuts.

My toughest was Carlos Correa and I think that push-come-to-shove, I’d take him over at least Corey Kluber and Clayton Kershaw and maybe even Gerrit Cole and Aaron Nola, too. Those four made up the final four of my Top 30. Here are my next 10 in order and then a positional look at the others who were considered:

31. Carlos Correa, SS, HOU: He’s never been bad (lowest wRC+ was 123 in 2016), but he’s also topped 109 games just once (153 in that same 2016 season). He’s already missed a month with his current injury (back stiffness) and isn’t due back for another couple of weeks.

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Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – July 26th, 2018

Transcript is below! Thanks for coming out!!

3:04

Paul Sporer: Hellloooo!!! Early chat this week (Thur instead of Fri), how’s it goin?

3:05

Good Steve: Ketel Marte or Paul DeJong ROS?

3:06

Paul Sporer: I’m going DeJong. I know Marte’s had a power surge, but I still prefer DeJong’s power

3:06

Eldridge Cleaver: Hello Dr. Paul!!!  Can you diagnose the monthly trend in Stanton’s flyball %?  He’s gone from ~38% to ~29% from May through July.  His career average is 40%!  Should we expect less home runs from him ROS?  Or are monthly swings like this normal and we should expect him to revert back to his career norms?  Seems like a fairly material change for a power hitter like him.

3:09

Paul Sporer: It is a difference, but I’m not sure it’s one that’s going to impact him *greatly* because he also doesn’t need as many flyballs for HR success given his park change

3:09

Larry Hutz: This time of year is the worst for closers, almost none are safe, fear strikes the heart of every owner. Which of these closers are most likely to be traded still: Kela, Greene, Yates, Rodney?

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The Top 30 for 2019

Every year around this time, I like to look at how the top of the draft is shaping up for the following season and today is that day! Today I also guested with Van Lee and our own Jeff Zimmerman on their podcast, Launch Angle, so give that a listen! I’m not exactly trying to predict the Top 30 in the exact order they will go, but rather giving an early look at how my board is shaping up right now.

1. Mike Trout, OF, LAA

Let’s all point and laugh at those who tried to get cute and take someone else #1 this year. I can give a slight pass to those who took an ace first because of how impactful elite starters are, but the hitters taken over Trout at 1 didn’t make sense then and look especially misguided now

2. Mookie Betts, OF, BOS

Betts wasn’t his best self last year thanks in large part to a .264 AVG, but he also hit 24 HR… the same total he has right now in 70 fewer games! If you’ve listened to the podcast or read my work regularly, you know I push back on using BABIP as a luck-o-meter as if the player has zero control over it, but Betts’ 2017 was a case of BABIP bad luck that showed no signs of sticking around. Not only has he reversed course on the .264 AVG from last year, but he’s now leading baseball at .351!

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