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Fantasy Update: 2022 Re-Draft Top 27/Dynasty Top 130

© Sam Greene via Imagn Content Services, LLC

The Dynasty Top 130 can be found on the Fantasy tab of THE BOARD or by clicking here.

Prospects have become increasingly important to winning re-draft fantasy leagues. Of course, they have always been major in-season acquisitions, but now they’re making their presence felt at the draft table, too. With more fantasy managers aware of the prospects who are likely to make an impact in a given season, the battle for their services has become much more fevered, leading some managers to stash desirable prospects for a month or two rather than try to pluck them off the wire once they are called up and risk missing out.

These 27 guys aren’t draftable in every format, but I wanted to cast a wide net so that the list has utility across many formats. All of them should be in the majors for a substantial portion of the 2022 season. It is worth familiarizing yourself with them so you are ready to bid on the ones who aren’t draftable in your particular league.

These rankings are now available on The Board on the 2022 Fantasy Rankings tab, where you can also see the Top 130 Dynasty Rankings!

The average draft position (ADP) included is from Draft Champions leagues from January 20 to February 20 at the NFBC, which you can find here. These leagues draft 50 players and that’s all they get for the year — no pickups or drops. That means all the relevant prospects get selected, which helps give us an idea of how the market views them.

Hitters

Bobby Witt Jr. | SS, KCR | 90 ADP
The market is remarkably excited for Witt, making him a consistent top 100 pick in winter drafts. From a talent perspective, it’s easy to understand why. A dominant effort at Double- and Triple-A saw Witt come up just shy of an insane 30/30/100/100 season, as he hit .290/.361/.576 with 33 HR, 29 SB, 97 RBI, and 99 R in 564 PA. There is some swing-and-miss to his game that will likely be exposed at the big-league level, but his power and speed are remarkably tantalizing for many fantasy managers. The question is when will Witt debut? We don’t know for certain, especially with the CBA in limbo during the lockout, but the consensus seems to be that he will be up within the first month of the season, leaving more than enough time to make a substantial impact. Read the rest of this entry »


2022 Sporer Breakouts Vol. 2

FYI: I won’t be chatting on Wednesday, February 23rd. There will be a Top 100 Prospects chat in that timeslot!

First things first, what’s the difference between a breakout and sleeper? Breakouts are about a new level of performance while sleepers are about where a player is drafted. I started my Sleeper series (Vol. 1) and identified the 21st round as the beginning of the sleeper pool. That first edition focused on 15-teamers so I started at pick-300 (I’ll have 10- and 12-team iterations coming, too). A breakout can come from the 2nd round if they ascend to a top 3-5 player, but I am looking for breakouts outside of the first 4 rounds so pick-60 in 15-teamers, 48 in 12s (which will be today’s focus), and 40 in 10s.

Daulton Varsho | Arizona Diamondbacks, C/OF | 94 ADP

A catcher who runs and doesn’t always have to play behind the dish to get on the field is what fantasy darlings are made of and Varsho certainly has many proponents. A sharp second half (.879 OPS, 10 HR, 5 SB in 219 PA) has his biggest fans buying in completely while also bringing aboard some new fans. The real beauty with Varsho is the fact that he will likely spend most of his time in the outfield which gives him a potentially huge edge in volume over many other star catchers. That hasn’t been reflected in the projections with a high of 112 games, but if Carson Kelly stays healthy and holds the full-time catcher role, then Varsho could log north of 125 games with 100+ coming in the outfield. He has a great shot to deliver double-digit stolen bases, too, something that has been done just four times by a catcher since 2010 (J.T. Realmuto 2x in ’16 and ’21, Yadier Molina in ’12, and Jason Kendall in ’10).

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1018 – 2022 Catcher Preview

2/22/22

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PATREON

CATCHER PREVIEW

The Studs (4:46)

The Potential Game-Changer (10:18)

The Steady Vets (19:19)

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1017 – Getting SMART with Glenn Colton

2/21/22

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PATREON

  • Join our Patreon for live video feeds of each show

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1015 – Fades at Every Position

2/18/22

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PATREON

POSITION-BY-POSITION FADES

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1014 – Gold Diggin’: Gems After Pick-400

2/15/22

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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The Case For Alex Bregman

Alex Sonty wrote the against case for Alex Bregman that you can find here.

Now I want to be clear that I’m not directly disputing everything Sonty said and making the case that Bregman is definitely going to hit another 40+ HR. I do, however, think he is more than a 25 HR hitter and someone worth targeting this year at a discounted price after his underwhelming 2020-21. One major point of contention that Sonty and others bring up is that Bregman’s 2019 was a luck-fueled home run barrage based on the otherwise mediocre underlying power metrics.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1012 – Players Who Benefit from the NL DH

2/11/22

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PATREON

NL DH CANDIDATES

  • Atlanta (3:20)
  • New York (10:22)
  • Philadelphia (25:30)
  • Washington (28:35)
  • Miami (32:08)
  • St. Louis (39:01)
  • Milwaukee (46:05)

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Paul Sporer Baseball Chat – February 9th, 2022

Transcript is available!!

1:12

Paul Sporer: Welcome to my chat, pardon my tardiness!

1:15

Broseph: 14-team OBP league that uses TB/BB instead of HRs:
Juan Soto (cost: $5, $10, $15 then FA) has been floated for my Luis Robert ($2, $5, $10, $15, then FA) and Eloy Jimenez ($2, $5, $10, $15, then FA). I’m torn but seems like a possibly great deal for the format.

1:16

Paul Sporer: Oooh that’s a really interesting deal. I could definitely get down with going for Soto!

1:18

A Tribe Called Kipnis: After Bieber, in what order do you want to own the Cleveland starters Civale, McKenzie, Plesac, and Quantrill (in deep AL only leagues)?

1:20

Paul Sporer: I love Civale, but also have interest in McKenzie and Quantrill. Keep a close eye on Cody Morris in deep leagues, too.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1011 – SPs Who Could Make The Leap

2/8/22

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PATREON

OPENING TANGENT

SP LEAPERS

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