Author Archive: Paul Sporer

Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – January 5th, 2023

Transcript is now available!

1:07

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone! Thanks for coming out!

1:07

Brandon Wood: Greetings Mr. Spider,

1:08

Paul Sporer: Good day!

1:08

Justin Mason: NERD!!!

1:08

Paul Sporer: Rude!

1:08

Brandon Wood: Do you expect Jordan Walker to rise up boards like Julio Rodriguez did last season?

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Paul Sporer’s 2023 First Base Rankings

Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

 

2023 First Base Ranks
RANK PLAYER TM LG POS
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR AL 1B/DH
2 Freddie Freeman LAD NL 1B
3 Pete Alonso NYM NL 1B
4 Paul Goldschmidt STL NL 1B
5 Matt Olson ATL NL 1B
6 Vinnie Pasquantino KC AL 1B
7 Nathaniel Lowe TEX AL 1B
8 José Abreu HOU AL 1B
9 Christian Walker ARI NL 1B
10 C.J. Cron COL NL 1B
11 Rhys Hoskins PHI NL 1B
12 Josh Bell CLE NL 1B
13 Wil Myers CIN NL 1B/OF
14 Joey Meneses WAS NL 1B/OF
15 Ty France SEA AL 1B
16 Josh Naylor CLE AL 1B
17 Anthony Rizzo NYY AL 1B
18 Andrew Vaughn CHW AL 1B/OF
19 Ryan Mountcastle BAL AL 1B/OF/DH
20 Jose Miranda MIN AL 1B/3B
21 Brandon Drury LAA NL 1B/2B/3B
22 Matt Mervis CHC NL 1B
23 Rowdy Tellez MIL NL 1B
24 Seth Brown OAK AL 1B/OF
25 Joey Votto CIN NL 1B
26 Miguel Vargas LAD NL 1B
27 DJ LeMahieu NYY AL 1B/2B/3B
28 Triston Casas BOS AL 1B
29 Jake Cronenworth SD NL 1B/2B/SS
30 Luis Arraez MIN AL 1B/2B
31 Spencer Torkelson DET AL 1B
32 Trey Mancini FA 1B/OF
33 Luke Voit FA 1B
34 Keston Hiura MIL NL 1B
35 Jared Walsh LAA AL 1B
36 Yuli Gurriel FA 1B
37 LaMonte Wade Jr. SF NL 1B/OF
38 Carlos Santana PIT NL 1B
39 Wilmer Flores SF NL 1B/2B/3B
40 Brandon Belt FA 1B
41 Nick Pratto KC AL 1B
42 Ji-Man Choi PIT NL 1B
43 Eric Hosmer FA 1B
44 Dominic Smith FA 1B
45 Isaac Paredes TB AL 1B/2B/3B
46 Kyle Manzardo TB AL 1B
47 Bobby Dalbec BOS AL 1B
48 Jesús Aguilar FA 1B
49 Mike Moustakas FA 1B/3B
50 Hunter Dozier KC AL 1B/3B/OF
20 gm qualification; Blue indicates new tier

NOTES:

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the king of the position, though I do feel like 2021 will remain his high watermark. He hit 44% of his 41 HRs in just 28% of his season plate appearances at the two temporary homes they used before returning to Rogers Centre. He is a good bet to get back to .300-30-100-100.

While Freddie Freeman doesn’t always deliver that cornerstone power at 1B, he more than makes up for it with his other four categories, often highlighted by a premium AVG (.325 last yr; .298 career). He even spiked a career-high 13 SBs last year to counterbalance his 21 HRs, his lowest over the last six full seasons.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1123 – Correa Saga, Drury/Myers Sign, and “Gift or Coal”

12/23/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:05:30

Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – December 14th, 2022

Transcript is below! Have a wonderful Holiday Season! (no chat next week)

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4 Sixth Starters Who Could Be Great in 2023

Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

As of right now, these four are penciled to be the sixth man (or at least in contention for that sixth spot) in their team’s respective rotations. Given that it’s mid-December, these situations are all subject to change so one or more of them could break camp with a rotation spot in hand. Even if they don’t, they could be the first man up when someone goes down. And I’m not trying to be pessimistic, it’s always “when”, not “if” as teams simply don’t use the same five starters for an entire season.

Hunter Brown | HOU

The 24-year-old had a brilliant breakthrough season with a 2.55 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 21% K-BB rate in 106 innings at Triple-A along with a nice cup of coffee in the major (0.89 ERA in 20 IP). He has premium heat (96.7 mph fastball) and two solid breaking balls that has helped him consistently miss bats throughout his minor league ascent, netting a 31% K rate in 230 innings. He does have a 12% BB rate, too, so there is some control sketchiness to iron out, though he was down to 10% in AAA/MLB this year. Brown also has fantastic groundball rates throughout his career, including a 54% at Triple-A and then a bananas 68% mark in his MLB sample.

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1122 – Carlos Signings, Dansby to Chicago, plus LA and Boston Making Moves

12/19/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

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PATREON

TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:21:46

Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat

Transcript is now live!

1:01

Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!!

1:02

Ryan: Is there a better top 5 in baseball then Tatis Jr., Soto, Machado, Bogaerts, Cronenworth?

1:04

Paul Sporer: Altuve, Bregman, Yordan, Abreu, Tucker is certainly up there, but not many stand up to SD’s quintet once Tatis is back.

1:05

Concerned Citizen: I’m at my wits end about our boy H. Bader! Still holding out hope for a bounce back in the Bronx?

1:08

Paul Sporer: I’m still a fan! He is still pretty affordable in the late-100s (183 winter ADP) and that draft price covers some of his volume risk (has never reached 430 PA). If we don’t the returns this year, I’ll definitely start moving away from him

1:08

Ravine Watchers: Are you over or under the steamer projection of 38 bombs for Schwarber

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The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1121 – Murphy Trade, Bassitt, Senga, and Other Signings

12/12/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:02:03

The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 1119 – Judge, Bogy, Contreras, Nimmo, Haniger all sign, and more!

12/9/22

The latest episode of “The Sleeper and the Bust” is live. Support the show by subscribing to our Patreon!!

Follow us on Twitter

PATREON

INJURIES/TRANSACTION NEWS

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01:04:18

Paul Sporer’s Baseball Chat – December 7th, 2022

Transcript is available now!

1:19

Paul Sporer: Good afternoon y’all!

1:19

Mustin Jason: Why is Justin Mason so much better at fantasy, funnier, and better looking than you? Do you think your height holds you back from acheiving?

1:19

Paul Sporer: I’ve been saying it for years. I’m TOO tall!!!

1:19

SandyisTheGreatest: Will the Dodgers trade Lux and Stone for a 3B?

1:20

Paul Sporer: I could see them making a big trade if they don’t find what they want on the FA wire, but it seems they like Lux so I’m not sure he’s part of it

1:20

ScottTINSTAAPP: Hope to see you in Vegas in the Spring for the Main Event! Ended up winning our ME league and finishing 17th overall and are using the winnings to go do our first live draft in Vegas in March

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