Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is the king of the position, though I do feel like 2021 will remain his high watermark. He hit 44% of his 41 HRs in just 28% of his season plate appearances at the two temporary homes they used before returning to Rogers Centre. He is a good bet to get back to .300-30-100-100.
While Freddie Freeman doesn’t always deliver that cornerstone power at 1B, he more than makes up for it with his other four categories, often highlighted by a premium AVG (.325 last yr; .298 career). He even spiked a career-high 13 SBs last year to counterbalance his 21 HRs, his lowest over the last six full seasons.
As of right now, these four are penciled to be the sixth man (or at least in contention for that sixth spot) in their team’s respective rotations. Given that it’s mid-December, these situations are all subject to change so one or more of them could break camp with a rotation spot in hand. Even if they don’t, they could be the first man up when someone goes down. And I’m not trying to be pessimistic, it’s always “when”, not “if” as teams simply don’t use the same five starters for an entire season.
The 24-year-old had a brilliant breakthrough season with a 2.55 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 21% K-BB rate in 106 innings at Triple-A along with a nice cup of coffee in the major (0.89 ERA in 20 IP). He has premium heat (96.7 mph fastball) and two solid breaking balls that has helped him consistently miss bats throughout his minor league ascent, netting a 31% K rate in 230 innings. He does have a 12% BB rate, too, so there is some control sketchiness to iron out, though he was down to 10% in AAA/MLB this year. Brown also has fantastic groundball rates throughout his career, including a 54% at Triple-A and then a bananas 68% mark in his MLB sample.
Paul Sporer: Hello everyone, thanks for coming out!!
1:02
Ryan: Is there a better top 5 in baseball then Tatis Jr., Soto, Machado, Bogaerts, Cronenworth?
1:04
Paul Sporer: Altuve, Bregman, Yordan, Abreu, Tucker is certainly up there, but not many stand up to SD’s quintet once Tatis is back.
1:05
Concerned Citizen: I’m at my wits end about our boy H. Bader! Still holding out hope for a bounce back in the Bronx?
1:08
Paul Sporer: I’m still a fan! He is still pretty affordable in the late-100s (183 winter ADP) and that draft price covers some of his volume risk (has never reached 430 PA). If we don’t the returns this year, I’ll definitely start moving away from him
1:08
Ravine Watchers: Are you over or under the steamer projection of 38 bombs for Schwarber
Mustin Jason: Why is Justin Mason so much better at fantasy, funnier, and better looking than you? Do you think your height holds you back from acheiving?
1:19
Paul Sporer: I’ve been saying it for years. I’m TOO tall!!!
1:19
SandyisTheGreatest: Will the Dodgers trade Lux and Stone for a 3B?
1:20
Paul Sporer: I could see them making a big trade if they don’t find what they want on the FA wire, but it seems they like Lux so I’m not sure he’s part of it
1:20
ScottTINSTAAPP: Hope to see you in Vegas in the Spring for the Main Event! Ended up winning our ME league and finishing 17th overall and are using the winnings to go do our first live draft in Vegas in March