2022 Review: Hitter xwOBA Overperformers
Yesterday, I identified and discussed the qualified hitters who most underperformed their Statcast xwOBA marks. Today, let’s review the overperformers.
Yesterday, I identified and discussed the qualified hitters who most underperformed their Statcast xwOBA marks. Today, let’s review the overperformers.
Let’s start reviewing various 2022 metrics. Today, I’ll start by comparing a hitter’s wOBA to his Statcast xwOBA. If a projection system is directly weighing previous season surface results, rather than incorporating batted ball data, the forecast could be more pessimistic or optimistic than it should. This list of xwOBA underperformers could potentially beat their projections if only their 2022 surface results, and not the underlying data, are considered.
Last Friday, the Twins acquired starting pitcher Pablo López from the Marlins. After spending his entire career in Miami, how might his new park affect his performance? Let’s consult the park factors to find out.
Nearly a month ago during the latter half of December, the Blue Jays traded prospect Gabriel Moreno and veteran Lourdes Gurriel Jr. for Daulton Varsho. While no longer a catcher, he still played 31 games at the position last year and will therefore maintain his premium eligibility. How will the move to a new home park impact his performance? Let’s consult the park factors.
Back on Nov 16, the Mariners acquired Teoscar Hernández from the Blue Jays to beef up their offense. After spending the majority of his career with the Blue Jays, how might the move to a new home park affect his performance? Let’s consult the park factors and find out.
Just over a week ago, Jean Segura signed a two-year, $17 million contract with the Marlins, likely to serve as their regular third baseman. He missed two months last season due to a fractured finger, but heading into his age 33 season, he could still be an all-around fantasy contributor. Let’s see how his new park might affect his performance.
It finally happened. After a career composed of 12 seasons spent with the San Francisco Giants, Brandon Belt has finally found a new home. On Monday, it was reported that the Blue Jays have agreed to a one-year, $9.3 million contract with Belt. For years, us fantasy owners have been dying to see what Belt could do if he ever left the home run suppressing Oracle Park. Unfortunately, it took until the season in which he’ll mostly be age 35. Still, after coming off another injury plagued season and the lowest wOBA of his career, will the park switch trigger a rebound? Let’s consult the park factors.
After nine seasons with the Dodgers, Justin Turner signed a two-year contract with the Red Sox on Friday. Even during his age 37 season, Turner could still hit, so he should see the majority of the team’s DH PAs. How might his new park affect his performance? Let’s consult the park factors.
On Friday, the Giants signed Michael Conforto to a two-year, $36 contract, ending his tenure with the Mets. He didn’t play at all last year due to injury and ultimately failed to sign with a team. Since he played his entire career with the Mets, let’s compare the park factors of Citi Field with his new home field, Oracle Park. Obviously, no one know if his performance will be affected after recovering from shoulder surgery, so we’ll ignore that here and focus on the park switch.
After being acquired by the Yankees in late July and then injuring his wrist in September, ending his season early, Andrew Benintendi officially signed a five-year, $75 million contract with the White Sox on Tuesday. The 27-year-old experienced a power outage last season, but posted a career high batting average. Will the move to Guaranteed Rate Field reignite his power and return him to being a potential all-around fantasy contributor? Let’s consult the park factors.