ADP Battle Royale: Third Base

by
February 25, 2022

Over the last few years the industry has begun to focus on NFBC leagues more and more. It is not because it is the most popular format in spite of its growth. It is because, on average, it has more competitive leagues due to the cost involved. This allows for a better average draft position. While ADP is not the end all be all, it can give us some insight into the market and if you have competing markets, it is good to compare them and see what information can be exploited. In this series of articles, I will look at the places where NFBC ADP is higher than the four other major platforms in an attempt to point out potential deals for those of you not playing on NFBC. 

NFBC Versus ESPN

Adalberto Mondesi (NFBC ADP: 54.06, ESPN ADP: 223.2)- This is clearly influenced by the fact that so many of ESPN’s leagues are points leagues, but it is still a crazy low ADP for a guy that has power and speed like Mondesi. The NFBC ADP is a bit high considering his risk, but in ESPN it is a great gamble. 

Ke’Bryan Hayes (133.88, 191.4)- Hayes is likely going a bit too high on NFBC for a guy who is yet to prove much at the Major League level in spite of tantalizing upside, but on ESPN he is a decent value. If he is healthy, he could end up being a 15/15 guy or possibly more. 

Yoán Moncada (153.82, 203.5)- Moncada has always had natural talent, but has yet to really tap into it consistently. Injuries and COVID have played a big role in that, but the discount on NFBC is miniscule while the discount on ESPN is much more enticing. 

Luis Urias (153.54, 206.8)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Ryan McMahon (166.49, 238)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

NFBC Versus Yahoo

Adalberto Mondesi (NFBC ADP: 54.06, ESPN ADP: 223.2)- See above. 

Ke’Bryan Hayes (133.88, 191.4)- See above. 

Luis Urias (153.54, 249.8)-  See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Jeimer Candelario (212.29, 261.1)- I actually think Candelario is pretty nicely priced on NFBC, which makes his Yahoo price that much more enticing. He has shown growth contact and his barrel percentage and it feels like a potential breakout could come, but at worst, he has a pretty safe floor at a nice price. 

NFBC Versus CBS 

Ryan McMahon (NFBC ADP: 166.49, CBS ADP: 238)- See the piece in this series on second basemen. 

Eduardo Escobar (199.11, 238)- I am not a big Escobar fan at either price here. I don’t like the park change or where he likely will be hitting in New York as a Met. He is definitely cheaper on Yahoo, but that doesn’t matter much to me. 

Jonathan Villar (266.71, 312.5)- See the piece in this series on shortstops. 

NFBC Versus Fantrax

Adalberto Mondesi (NFBC ADP: 54.06, ESPN ADP: 223.2)- See above. 

Jonathan Villar- (266.71, 326.31)- See the piece in this series on shortstops. 

Gio Urshela (278.93, 319.09)- See the piece in this series on shortstops. 

 

Third Basemen ADP by Platform
NFBC ADP Player Team Position(s) ESPN ADP Yahoo ADP CBS ADP Fantrax ADP
3.6 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B 6.6 6.2 7.5 5
18.36 Rafael Devers BOS 3B 22.1 16.7 21 18.23
23.25 Manny Machado SD 3B 19.1 28.6 23.5 27.23
54.06 Adalberto Mondesi KC 3B 223.2 74.7 69.33 81.16
63.76 Austin Riley ATL 3B 72.6 44.5 55.33 48.57
82.38 Nolan Arenado STL 3B 28.4 51.3 60.5 66.4
100 Alex Bregman HOU 3B 32.5 54.1 56 67.13
101.49 Kris Bryant SF 3B, OF 109.2 85.3 92 96.73
116.39 Anthony Rendon LAA 3B 71.6 78.8 102.67 107.56
117.7 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B, 2B, 3B 76.8 93.2 137.5 125.72
133.88 Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT 3B 191.4 180.7 151.5 160.44
153.54 Luis Urias MLW 2B, 3B, SS 206 249.3 197.17 182.86
153.82 Yoan Moncada CWS 3B 203.5 122.9 148.33 138.85
166.49 Ryan McMahon COL 2B, 3B 238 163.5 223.25 183.73
173.52 Justin Turner LAD 3B 109 144.8 187.67 180.03
194.98 Matt Chapman OAK 3B 176.8 133.4 177 153.88
199.11 Eduardo Escobar NYM 2B, 3B 230.5 208.3 238 226.77
210.35 Josh Donaldson MIN 3B 154.4 210.7 166.5 218.83
211.69 Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B, SS 244.4 164.1 197.83 192.53
212.29 Jeimer Candelario DET 3B 212.9 261.1 256.5 259.66
251.05 Abraham Toro SEA 2B, 3B 259.1 243.7 390 262.85
266.71 Jonathan Villar NYM 3B, SS — 246.1 312.5 325.21
278.93 Gio Urshela NYY 3B, SS 249.7 245.9 223.67 318.23
286.4 Josh Jung TEX 3B 258.5 250.9 179 278.38
286.89 Cavan Biggio TOR 3B 256.8 245.4 225.6 276.1
291.54 Alec Bohm PHI 3B 259.4 245.5 219.8 275.24
297.8 Luis Arraez MIN 2B, 3B, OF 177.1 236 363.33 332.38
330.19 Patrick Wisdom CHC 3B 259.1 233.9 247.8 301.69
342.54 Hunter Dozier KC 3B, OF 259.5 247.9 331.33 351.6
348.29 Yandy Diaz TB 1B, 3B 244.6 — 376 375.5
349.35 Joey Wendle MIA 3B, SS 259.6 243.5 — 353.06
352.48 Ha-Seong Kim 김하성 SD 2B, 3B, SS 259.8 — 378.33 378.48
353.06 Mike Moustakas CIN 3B 259.2 247.7 282.67 352.45
358.07 Evan Longoria SF 3B 258.8 241.4 266.2 391.73
366.54 Brian Anderson MIA 3B — — 316.33 365.73
373.3 Wilmer Flores SF 1B, 2B, 3B 258.3 249.1 384.5 385.54
375.87 Josh Harrison OAK 2B, 3B, OF — 238.2 — 434.74
393.88 Jose Miranda MIN 3B — — 252.67 366.49
425.01 Tyler Wade LAA 3B, SS, OF 259.6 — — 516.03
430.04 Rougned Odor BAL 2B, 3B 259.9 — — 439.52
432.13 J.D. Davis NYM 3B 259.8 — 421.5 397.8
451.89 Carter Kieboom WAS 3B — — — 429.92
468.98 Santiago Espinal TOR 3B — — 387 518.64
517.88 Aledmys Diaz HOU 3B — 243.4 — 561.35
576.43 Matt Duffy CHC 2B, 3B — — — 623.76
576.62 Jon Berti MIA 2B, 3B — — — 565.59
620.89 Mike Brosseau MLW 2B, 3B — — — 634.53
626.56 Yu Chang CLE 1B, 3B 259.9 — — 616.27
627.21 Jake Burger CWS 3B 259.9 — 527.5 642.78
634.21 Nolan Jones CLE 3B — — — 570.02
648.71 Josh VanMeter ARZ 2B, 3B — — 482 724.43
649.18 Colton Welker COL 3B 259.9 — — 624.46
669.1 Phil Gosselin LAA 1B, 3B, OF — — — 721.34
674.15 Maikel Franco BAL 3B 259.9 — — 809.87
681.87 Yonny Hernandez TEX 3B 259.9 — — 649.08
692.18 David Bote CHC 2B, 3B — — — 590.46
707.88 Kelvin Gutierrez BAL 3B — — — 738.67
709.48 Elehuris Montero COL 3B — — — 761.13
710.74 Kevin Smith TOR 3B 259.9 — — 753.73
731.3 Joshua Fuentes COL 1B, 3B — — — —
732.29 Hanser Alberto KC 2B, 3B — — — 957.37
735.38 Asdrubal Cabrera CIN 3B — — — 858.16
736.65 Starlin Castro WAS 3B — — — 856.01
737.4 Miguel Vargas LAD 3B — — — 691.5
738.92 Romy Gonzalez CWS 3B — — — 871.6
741.11 Travis Shaw BOS 1B, 3B — — — 779
743.42 Brett Baty NYM 3B 259.9 — 334 724.15
744.88 Jack Mayfield LAA 3B 259.9 — — 899.17
745.5 Brendan Donovan STL 3B — — — 955.3
746.64 Willians Astudillo MIN 1B, 3B 259.9 — — 903.87
748.06 Isan Diaz MIA 2B, 3B 259.9 — — 806.86
748.42 Brendon Davis LAA 3B — — — 655.1
748.61 Emmanuel Rivera KC 3B — — — 1078.23
748.82 Charlie Culberson TEX 3B — — — 1184.4
748.89 Ronald Torreyes PHI 3B, SS 259.9 — — 964.94
750.38 Ryan Dorow TEX 3B 259.9 — — —
750.74 Jason Vosler SF 3B 259.9 — — 963.9
750.88 Kevin Padlo SEA 3B — — — 1193
NFBC ADP and positional eligibility are based on Draft Champions leagues since 1/1/2022/





 

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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mjmclaughlin61
2 years ago

Thanks for all your work. But one note of caution with Yahoo: the ADP is based on any draft in which the player was drafted. It doesn’t average out drafts where the player was not taken. For instance, Dylan Moore has an ADP of 229.6, but he was only drafted in 5% of drafts. Josh Harrison has an ADP of 238.2, but he was only drafted in 3% of drafts. This Yahoo quirk explains why guys like Harrison and Moore have a higher Yahoo “ADP” than clearly better players like Urias (who has been drafted in 88% of drafts).

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