2019 Hitter Deserved K%

by
August 7, 2019

This is, and is not, a Mike Tauchman post. My relentlessly Tauchman-centric brand has been, in the words of beloved pal Sammy Reid, “hotter than the sun’s ass.” Tauchman has become the folk hero Yankees fans didn’t know they needed. I also have become insufferable to everyone within digital arm’s length of my Twitter account.

When I reviewed my bold predictions in July, I lamented Tauchman’s bad-luck strikeout rate (K%). By measure of “deserved” strikeout rate (I regressed the components of every hitter’s plate discipline against their strikeout rates to derive a “deserved” rate), Tauchman had been one of Major League Baseball’s unluckiest hitters.

Despite his recent torrid streak, Tauchman still emerges as one of 2019’s unluckiest hitters. That is why this is, in a sense, still a Tauchman post. But it’s also an Everyone Else post, in that I’m eager to unearth baseball’s luckiest and unluckiest hitters this year.

I outline the methodology used here in a January post in which I evaluated the 2018 season’s luckiest and unluckiest hitters by virtue of their actual deserved strikeout rates. However, it seemed as though certain hitters consistently over- or under-performed the “deserved” rate because the multiple regression model failed to adequately account for a hitter’s aggression/impatience or passivity/patience.

That is why, here, I will establish two deserved strikeout rates using all qualified hitter-seasons from 2014-18. One uses the typical plate discipline components (“xK% 1”):

  • Swing and miss in the zone: Zone% * Z-Swing% * (1 — Z-Contact%)
  • Swing plus contact in the zone: Zone% * Z-Swing% * Z-Contact%
  • Swing and miss outside the zone: (1 — Zone%) * O-Swing% * (1 — O-Contact%)
  • Swing plus contact outside the zone: (1 — Zone%) * O-Swing% * O-Contact%
  • No swing, in the zone: Zone% * (1 — Z-Swing%)
  • No swing, outside the zone: (1 — Zone%) * (1 — O-Swing%)

… and one uses only swings and misses, non-swings on pitches in the zone, and interactions among all of them (“xK% 2”):

  • Swing and miss in the zone: Zone% * Z-Swing% * (1 — Z-Contact%)
  • Swing and miss outside the zone: (1 — Zone%) * O-Swing% * (1 — O-Contact%)
  • No swing, in the zone: Zone% * (1 — Z-Swing%)
  • In-zone swing-and-miss * out-of-zone swing-and-miss
  • In-zone swing-and-miss * in-zone non-swing
  • Out-of-zone swing-and-miss * in-zone non-swing

I hoped these interactions might capture the hitter passivity-aggression spectrum more effectively.

The table is long. Extremely long. Because 340-plus hitters have recorded at least 150 plate appearances in 2019 (the arbitrary threshold I imposed for this exercise). Forgive me in advance for its, uh, longness.

Some at-a-glance takeaways:

  • Tauchman ranks 8th- and 16th-unluckiest. His deserved strikeout rates of 21.8% and 21.4% suggest he should stay afloat at his .378 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) crashes down to Earth. This is why I loved Tauchman to begin with: he not only flashed massive power but also boasted above-average contact skills — a special combination of skills, and one that 2019’s plate discipline outcomes have betrayed.
  • Wil Myers has been bad this year, but maybe he hasn’t deserved to be this bad.
  • Cavan Biggio’s extreme patience gets him into strikeout trouble, but perhaps he has some good fortune him awaiting him on the horizon.

On the flip side of things…

  • David Fletcher is king of contact-oriented aggression, but maybe he doesn’t quite deserve a single-digit strikeout rate. Hardly anything to write home about, though.
  • Cody Bellinger has made legitimate contact-based strides, but his gains may be outstripping his deserved outcomes by a substantial margin — something that could have implications on 2020 projections for him.
  • Yadier Molina might have finally reached an age-related crossroads.

Lastly: don’t forget to click the table headers to sort!

2019 Hitter Deserved K%
Name K% xK% 1 xK% 2 diff 1 diff 2
Dylan Moore 34.2% 25.7% 25.8% 8.5% 8.4%
Ben Gamel 30.3% 22.1% 20.6% 8.2% 9.7%
Steve Wilkerson 32.0% 24.5% 24.9% 7.5% 7.1%
Tom Murphy 35.5% 28.6% 27.8% 6.9% 7.7%
Tyler White 27.8% 21.4% 20.7% 6.4% 7.1%
Tyler Austin 39.5% 33.8% 30.4% 5.7% 9.1%
Wil Myers 35.0% 29.4% 30.1% 5.6% 4.9%
Mike Tauchman 27.3% 21.8% 21.4% 5.5% 5.9%
Grayson Greiner 33.7% 28.2% 26.9% 5.5% 6.8%
Jake Bauers 26.6% 21.2% 20.2% 5.4% 6.4%
Juan Lagares 29.0% 23.6% 24.5% 5.4% 4.5%
Cavan Biggio 27.8% 22.4% 18.6% 5.4% 9.2%
Greg Garcia 23.6% 18.2% 15.4% 5.4% 8.2%
Chris Davis 39.6% 34.2% 33.8% 5.4% 5.8%
Rougned Odor 30.4% 25.1% 26.1% 5.3% 4.3%
Garrett Hampson 28.1% 23.0% 21.4% 5.1% 6.7%
Daniel Robertson 25.2% 20.1% 19.8% 5.1% 5.4%
Jake Marisnick 29.5% 24.6% 24.3% 4.9% 5.2%
JaCoby Jones 28.1% 23.3% 23.1% 4.8% 5.0%
Curtis Granderson 27.5% 22.7% 21.5% 4.8% 6.0%
Jeff Mathis 34.7% 29.9% 33.6% 4.8% 1.1%
Matt Adams 32.1% 27.6% 26.0% 4.5% 6.1%
Miguel Sano 35.8% 31.3% 30.1% 4.5% 5.7%
Garrett Cooper 26.4% 21.9% 22.3% 4.5% 4.1%
Austin Romine 20.8% 16.4% 19.1% 4.4% 1.7%
Jeimer Candelario 26.6% 22.3% 21.8% 4.3% 4.8%
Jose Peraza 15.3% 11.0% 12.4% 4.3% 2.9%
Andrew Benintendi 23.8% 19.6% 19.2% 4.2% 4.6%
Eric Thames 32.0% 27.8% 25.6% 4.2% 6.4%
Harrison Bader 28.1% 23.9% 23.8% 4.2% 4.3%
Travis Shaw 32.5% 28.4% 29.1% 4.1% 3.4%
Steven Duggar 28.0% 23.9% 24.9% 4.1% 3.1%
Richie Martin Jr. 29.1% 25.1% 27.8% 4.0% 1.3%
Victor Robles 24.1% 20.1% 20.7% 4.0% 3.4%
Harold Castro 23.8% 19.9% 22.2% 3.9% 1.6%
Matt Carpenter 25.8% 22.0% 21.2% 3.8% 4.6%
Hernan Perez 26.3% 22.5% 26.8% 3.8% -0.5%
Gordon Beckham 30.5% 26.8% 29.9% 3.7% 0.6%
Justin Bour 28.8% 25.3% 25.4% 3.5% 3.4%
Domingo Santana 31.2% 27.7% 28.3% 3.5% 2.9%
Curt Casali 25.6% 22.1% 20.0% 3.5% 5.6%
Delino DeShields 23.2% 19.7% 19.2% 3.5% 4.0%
Paul Goldschmidt 25.6% 22.2% 23.2% 3.4% 2.4%
Colin Moran 24.6% 21.2% 20.7% 3.4% 3.9%
Keon Broxton 43.2% 39.8% 43.2% 3.4% 0.0%
Logan Forsythe 26.3% 23.0% 20.0% 3.3% 6.3%
Welington Castillo 28.0% 24.8% 25.6% 3.2% 2.4%
Francisco Mejia 22.5% 19.4% 22.5% 3.1% 0.0%
James McCann 29.0% 26.0% 27.4% 3.0% 1.6%
Asdrubal Cabrera 23.0% 20.0% 20.9% 3.0% 2.1%
Daniel Murphy 14.8% 11.8% 13.0% 3.0% 1.8%
Billy McKinney 25.2% 22.3% 22.9% 2.9% 2.3%
Christian Walker 27.9% 25.0% 23.2% 2.9% 4.7%
Mitch Haniger 28.6% 25.8% 26.5% 2.8% 2.1%
Tim Beckham 31.1% 28.3% 29.5% 2.8% 1.6%
Trevor Story 25.6% 22.8% 23.0% 2.8% 2.6%
Hunter Renfroe 28.2% 25.5% 26.2% 2.7% 2.0%
Mike Yastrzemski 25.5% 22.8% 24.3% 2.7% 1.2%
Gregory Polanco 29.3% 26.6% 23.9% 2.7% 5.4%
Tyler Flowers 34.4% 31.7% 33.5% 2.7% 0.9%
Randal Grichuk 27.2% 24.6% 23.5% 2.6% 3.7%
Eugenio Suarez 27.5% 24.9% 24.2% 2.6% 3.3%
Francisco Lindor 15.8% 13.4% 14.5% 2.4% 1.3%
Danny Jansen 21.5% 19.1% 18.1% 2.4% 3.4%
Willy Adames 27.2% 24.8% 25.7% 2.4% 1.5%
Brandon Belt 20.7% 18.3% 16.3% 2.4% 4.4%
Ryan O’Hearn 25.0% 22.7% 21.7% 2.3% 3.3%
Shohei Ohtani 23.4% 21.1% 20.3% 2.3% 3.1%
Charlie Tilson 24.2% 21.9% 23.9% 2.3% 0.3%
Billy Hamilton 23.9% 21.6% 23.4% 2.3% 0.5%
J.P. Crawford 23.6% 21.4% 21.7% 2.2% 1.9%
Anthony Santander 16.9% 14.7% 15.7% 2.2% 1.2%
Nick Senzel 22.6% 20.5% 20.9% 2.1% 1.7%
Leury Garcia 23.3% 21.2% 22.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Mitch Garver 26.3% 24.3% 21.5% 2.0% 4.8%
Brian McCann 17.4% 15.4% 15.7% 2.0% 1.7%
Tyler Naquin 23.2% 21.2% 23.7% 2.0% -0.5%
Austin Meadows 25.1% 23.1% 23.1% 2.0% 2.0%
Joey Gallo 38.4% 36.5% 35.1% 1.9% 3.3%
Joey Votto 20.2% 18.3% 17.8% 1.9% 2.4%
Yordan Alvarez 24.3% 22.4% 21.4% 1.9% 2.9%
Daniel Descalso 28.1% 26.3% 25.1% 1.8% 3.0%
Austin Hedges 32.8% 31.0% 32.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Danny Santana 27.6% 25.8% 28.0% 1.8% -0.4%
J.T. Realmuto 23.2% 21.5% 22.8% 1.7% 0.4%
Ian Kinsler 19.1% 17.4% 18.4% 1.7% 0.7%
Yan Gomes 22.1% 20.4% 21.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Chad Pinder 21.5% 19.8% 20.1% 1.7% 1.4%
Jordan Luplow 24.5% 22.8% 21.2% 1.7% 3.3%
Robinson Cano 16.8% 15.1% 16.5% 1.7% 0.3%
Ronald Acuna Jr. 24.3% 22.7% 22.0% 1.6% 2.3%
Brock Holt 18.7% 17.1% 16.7% 1.6% 2.0%
Chris Iannetta 32.5% 30.9% 31.0% 1.6% 1.5%
Martin Maldonado 22.5% 20.9% 21.9% 1.6% 0.6%
Jose Abreu 22.4% 20.9% 21.3% 1.5% 1.1%
Peter Alonso 26.5% 25.1% 23.1% 1.4% 3.4%
Stephen Vogt 24.7% 23.3% 23.0% 1.4% 1.7%
Brandon Nimmo 29.8% 28.4% 27.5% 1.4% 2.3%
Kyle Schwarber 25.4% 24.1% 22.8% 1.3% 2.6%
Cheslor Cuthbert 21.0% 19.7% 19.7% 1.3% 1.3%
Dee Gordon 14.4% 13.1% 16.9% 1.3% -2.5%
Tim Anderson 21.4% 20.1% 20.5% 1.3% 0.9%
Niko Goodrum 29.1% 27.8% 27.1% 1.3% 2.0%
Mark Reynolds 35.2% 33.9% 33.9% 1.3% 1.3%
Ian Desmond 24.8% 23.5% 23.2% 1.3% 1.6%
Anthony Rendon 13.8% 12.6% 12.1% 1.2% 1.7%
Brandon Lowe 33.9% 32.7% 32.7% 1.2% 1.2%
Ronald Guzman 28.6% 27.4% 28.2% 1.2% 0.4%
A.J. Pollock 20.5% 19.3% 18.4% 1.2% 2.1%
Austin Barnes 22.7% 21.6% 21.4% 1.1% 1.3%
Eduardo Nunez 15.5% 14.4% 17.1% 1.1% -1.6%
Tucker Barnhart 25.8% 24.8% 25.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Ender Inciarte 17.9% 16.9% 19.7% 1.0% -1.8%
Jose Rondon 24.2% 23.2% 24.7% 1.0% -0.5%
Rowdy Tellez 29.0% 28.0% 29.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Trea Turner 22.5% 21.5% 20.4% 1.0% 2.1%
Kevin Kiermaier 20.5% 19.5% 21.0% 1.0% -0.5%
Jose Iglesias 13.4% 12.5% 16.7% 0.9% -3.3%
Clint Frazier 28.2% 27.3% 25.5% 0.9% 2.7%
Ramon Laureano 27.0% 26.1% 27.4% 0.9% -0.4%
Dexter Fowler 24.6% 23.7% 22.2% 0.9% 2.4%
Jonathan Villar 24.0% 23.1% 23.4% 0.9% 0.6%
Teoscar Hernandez 30.6% 29.7% 28.7% 0.9% 1.9%
Christian Vazquez 19.0% 18.2% 19.8% 0.8% -0.8%
Nicholas Castellanos 21.3% 20.5% 20.3% 0.8% 1.0%
Omar Narvaez 19.3% 18.5% 19.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Charlie Blackmon 18.0% 17.3% 19.4% 0.7% -1.4%
Kevin Pillar 15.0% 14.3% 16.4% 0.7% -1.4%
Robinson Chirinos 29.7% 29.1% 27.4% 0.6% 2.3%
Roberto Perez 28.2% 27.6% 26.3% 0.6% 1.9%
Kevin Newman 11.6% 11.0% 13.0% 0.6% -1.4%
Martin Prado 15.7% 15.1% 15.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Jung Ho Kang 32.4% 31.8% 33.7% 0.6% -1.3%
Brian Goodwin 24.7% 24.2% 26.0% 0.5% -1.3%
Josh Reddick 11.4% 10.9% 12.9% 0.5% -1.5%
Brandon Dixon 30.5% 30.0% 30.9% 0.5% -0.4%
Jordy Mercer 19.0% 18.5% 18.7% 0.5% 0.3%
Ryan Cordell 29.2% 28.7% 31.0% 0.5% -1.8%
Carlos Correa 23.3% 22.8% 24.1% 0.5% -0.8%
Nicky Lopez 14.3% 13.8% 17.0% 0.5% -2.7%
Kyle Seager 20.4% 19.9% 19.3% 0.5% 1.1%
Brandon Drury 26.1% 25.7% 26.6% 0.4% -0.5%
Joc Pederson 21.5% 21.1% 21.7% 0.4% -0.2%
Pablo Sandoval 22.8% 22.4% 23.1% 0.4% -0.3%
DJ LeMahieu 13.5% 13.2% 13.9% 0.3% -0.4%
Christin Stewart 23.9% 23.6% 24.2% 0.3% -0.3%
Daniel Vogelbach 24.4% 24.1% 21.9% 0.3% 2.5%
Hunter Dozier 22.3% 22.0% 19.5% 0.3% 2.8%
Scott Kingery 28.6% 28.3% 28.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Matt Olson 24.1% 23.8% 25.0% 0.3% -0.9%
Luis Rengifo 23.0% 22.7% 23.5% 0.3% -0.5%
Starlin Castro 17.3% 17.1% 18.1% 0.2% -0.8%
Justin Turner 16.5% 16.3% 17.2% 0.2% -0.7%
Matt Chapman 20.7% 20.5% 20.4% 0.2% 0.3%
Marwin Gonzalez 21.8% 21.6% 22.9% 0.2% -1.1%
Wilmer Flores 10.7% 10.5% 12.5% 0.2% -1.8%
Renato Nunez 24.6% 24.4% 24.8% 0.2% -0.2%
David Dahl 26.6% 26.5% 27.3% 0.1% -0.7%
Eric Sogard 15.0% 14.9% 13.9% 0.1% 1.1%
Carlos Gonzalez 31.3% 31.2% 30.1% 0.1% 1.2%
Giovanny Urshela 15.9% 15.9% 18.7% 0.0% -2.8%
Rhys Hoskins 23.0% 23.0% 21.9% 0.0% 1.1%
Yolmer Sanchez 21.9% 21.9% 24.2% 0.0% -2.3%
Aaron Hicks 28.2% 28.3% 26.1% -0.1% 2.1%
Juan Soto 20.5% 20.6% 17.3% -0.1% 3.2%
Carson Kelly 19.5% 19.6% 19.3% -0.1% 0.2%
David Peralta 21.2% 21.3% 22.0% -0.1% -0.8%
Leonys Martin 29.5% 29.6% 29.7% -0.1% -0.2%
Bryan Reynolds 21.7% 21.8% 19.5% -0.1% 2.2%
Guillermo Heredia 23.5% 23.6% 23.0% -0.1% 0.5%
Yonder Alonso 21.4% 21.5% 20.0% -0.1% 1.4%
Cameron Maybin 24.2% 24.4% 23.0% -0.2% 1.2%
Jesse Winker 16.1% 16.3% 16.5% -0.2% -0.4%
Ildemaro Vargas 11.7% 11.9% 12.4% -0.2% -0.7%
Mallex Smith 25.3% 25.5% 27.9% -0.2% -2.6%
Jose Martinez 20.6% 20.9% 21.1% -0.3% -0.5%
Mike Trout 18.6% 18.9% 15.8% -0.3% 2.8%
Jason Heyward 19.4% 19.7% 19.8% -0.3% -0.4%
Austin Riley 35.3% 35.6% 33.5% -0.3% 1.8%
Rio Ruiz 22.8% 23.2% 23.6% -0.4% -0.8%
Jorge Soler 26.7% 27.1% 23.5% -0.4% 3.2%
Fernando Tatis Jr. 29.8% 30.2% 27.5% -0.4% 2.3%
Ryan Braun 22.2% 22.7% 21.9% -0.5% 0.3%
Jorge Polanco 15.5% 16.0% 15.7% -0.5% -0.2%
Miguel Cabrera 19.8% 20.3% 21.3% -0.5% -1.5%
Max Kepler 15.9% 16.4% 15.5% -0.5% 0.4%
Ryan McMahon 27.8% 28.4% 27.1% -0.6% 0.7%
Adam Eaton 15.6% 16.2% 16.3% -0.6% -0.7%
Chris Taylor 27.2% 27.8% 28.0% -0.6% -0.8%
Tony Kemp 14.9% 15.5% 17.7% -0.6% -2.8%
Evan Longoria 20.8% 21.5% 23.5% -0.7% -2.7%
Jose Ramirez 13.3% 14.0% 13.6% -0.7% -0.3%
Brian Dozier 23.2% 23.9% 22.6% -0.7% 0.6%
Jarrod Dyson 19.6% 20.3% 19.5% -0.7% 0.1%
Pedro Severino 19.8% 20.5% 17.4% -0.7% 2.4%
Tony Wolters 15.8% 16.6% 17.1% -0.8% -1.3%
Nomar Mazara 22.4% 23.2% 24.4% -0.8% -2.0%
Whit Merrifield 16.8% 17.6% 19.3% -0.8% -2.5%
Robbie Grossman 16.7% 17.5% 15.4% -0.8% 1.3%
Dominic Smith 22.4% 23.2% 23.3% -0.8% -0.9%
Josh Bell 20.4% 21.3% 18.8% -0.9% 1.6%
Enrique Hernandez 21.6% 22.5% 21.0% -0.9% 0.6%
Michael Conforto 21.9% 22.8% 21.9% -0.9% 0.0%
Michael Chavis 32.8% 33.7% 33.3% -0.9% -0.5%
Aaron Judge 30.6% 31.5% 29.1% -0.9% 1.5%
Todd Frazier 22.7% 23.6% 22.6% -0.9% 0.1%
Ryon Healy 21.4% 22.4% 22.5% -1.0% -1.1%
Paul DeJong 20.3% 21.3% 22.3% -1.0% -2.0%
Nick Markakis 12.7% 13.7% 13.8% -1.0% -1.1%
Joey Wendle 18.5% 19.5% 20.5% -1.0% -2.0%
Mike Zunino 33.0% 34.0% 33.8% -1.0% -0.8%
Mookie Betts 14.8% 15.8% 13.1% -1.0% 1.7%
Gleyber Torres 21.4% 22.5% 21.7% -1.1% -0.3%
Manny Machado 19.9% 21.0% 19.7% -1.1% 0.2%
Michael Brantley 10.2% 11.3% 12.1% -1.1% -1.9%
Nick Ahmed 17.6% 18.7% 18.9% -1.1% -1.3%
Nelson Cruz 26.8% 27.9% 25.3% -1.1% 1.5%
Mark Canha 20.3% 21.5% 21.3% -1.2% -1.0%
Hanser Alberto 9.4% 10.6% 15.2% -1.2% -5.8%
Raimel Tapia 23.0% 24.2% 26.0% -1.2% -3.0%
Ji-Man Choi 20.5% 21.8% 20.6% -1.3% -0.1%
Kris Bryant 21.3% 22.6% 20.8% -1.3% 0.5%
Amed Rosario 20.4% 21.7% 21.5% -1.3% -1.1%
Brandon Crawford 23.0% 24.3% 23.5% -1.3% -0.5%
Manuel Margot 19.2% 20.5% 21.0% -1.3% -1.8%
John Hicks 29.8% 31.1% 33.4% -1.3% -3.6%
Josh Donaldson 24.5% 25.8% 23.9% -1.3% 0.6%
Jeff McNeil 13.4% 14.7% 16.2% -1.3% -2.8%
Kolten Wong 13.7% 15.1% 15.2% -1.4% -1.5%
Orlando Arcia 20.8% 22.2% 23.7% -1.4% -2.9%
Corey Seager 19.0% 20.4% 18.8% -1.4% 0.2%
Jason Castro 27.9% 29.3% 30.4% -1.4% -2.5%
Ehire Adrianza 15.6% 17.0% 17.6% -1.4% -2.0%
Lorenzo Cain 16.9% 18.4% 18.4% -1.5% -1.5%
Eloy Jimenez 27.9% 29.4% 27.9% -1.5% 0.0%
Ketel Marte 13.4% 14.9% 14.8% -1.5% -1.4%
Max Muncy 23.9% 25.4% 24.6% -1.5% -0.7%
Jean Segura 11.4% 12.9% 14.4% -1.5% -3.0%
Freddy Galvis 23.8% 25.4% 27.8% -1.6% -4.0%
Oscar Mercado 17.9% 19.5% 18.4% -1.6% -0.5%
Melky Cabrera 10.3% 11.9% 13.4% -1.6% -3.1%
Travis d’Arnaud 23.1% 24.7% 26.7% -1.6% -3.6%
Jay Bruce 24.3% 25.9% 24.7% -1.6% -0.4%
Tommy Pham 18.7% 20.3% 18.4% -1.6% 0.3%
Adam Frazier 12.1% 13.7% 15.1% -1.6% -3.0%
C.J. Cron 19.7% 21.3% 22.6% -1.6% -2.9%
Alex Gordon 16.7% 18.3% 18.2% -1.6% -1.5%
Yoan Moncada 27.6% 29.3% 30.4% -1.7% -2.8%
J.D. Martinez 20.6% 22.3% 19.9% -1.7% 0.7%
Gary Sanchez 27.4% 29.1% 28.1% -1.7% -0.7%
Trey Mancini 21.6% 23.3% 24.4% -1.7% -2.8%
Harold Ramirez 19.9% 21.7% 21.8% -1.8% -1.9%
Joe Panik 9.8% 11.6% 10.9% -1.8% -1.1%
Kole Calhoun 23.8% 25.6% 23.9% -1.8% -0.1%
Bryce Harper 26.4% 28.2% 24.2% -1.8% 2.2%
Jonathan Lucroy 14.6% 16.4% 16.1% -1.8% -1.5%
Justin Smoak 20.6% 22.4% 18.7% -1.8% 1.9%
Brett Gardner 16.0% 17.9% 16.5% -1.9% -0.5%
Freddie Freeman 18.2% 20.1% 17.8% -1.9% 0.4%
Buster Posey 15.6% 17.5% 17.1% -1.9% -1.5%
Eddie Rosario 13.4% 15.3% 17.0% -1.9% -3.6%
Gerardo Parra 19.0% 20.9% 21.0% -1.9% -2.0%
Edwin Encarnacion 21.3% 23.3% 22.8% -2.0% -1.5%
Yuli Gurriel 10.7% 12.7% 15.5% -2.0% -4.8%
Jesus Aguilar 21.4% 23.4% 23.4% -2.0% -2.0%
Jason Kipnis 15.7% 17.7% 17.8% -2.0% -2.1%
Mike Moustakas 16.2% 18.2% 17.5% -2.0% -1.3%
Howie Kendrick 13.8% 15.8% 16.7% -2.0% -2.9%
Yasiel Puig 21.5% 23.5% 23.1% -2.0% -1.6%
Cesar Hernandez 13.5% 15.6% 16.9% -2.1% -3.4%
Byron Buxton 23.1% 25.2% 25.6% -2.1% -2.5%
Shin-Soo Choo 23.8% 25.9% 25.6% -2.1% -1.8%
Jorge Alfaro 34.4% 36.6% 35.3% -2.2% -0.9%
Ozzie Albies 16.7% 18.9% 19.2% -2.2% -2.5%
Anthony Rizzo 15.4% 17.7% 17.4% -2.3% -2.0%
David Bote 26.7% 29.0% 28.5% -2.3% -1.8%
Eduardo Escobar 19.7% 22.0% 22.5% -2.3% -2.8%
Yandy Diaz 17.4% 19.8% 18.3% -2.4% -0.9%
Elias Diaz 16.9% 19.3% 17.7% -2.4% -0.8%
Keston Hiura 31.3% 33.8% 34.7% -2.5% -3.4%
Luke Voit 27.4% 30.0% 26.8% -2.6% 0.6%
Didi Gregorius 13.5% 16.1% 17.9% -2.6% -4.4%
Alex Verdugo 13.0% 15.6% 16.0% -2.6% -3.0%
Dansby Swanson 20.4% 23.1% 22.8% -2.7% -2.4%
Mitch Moreland 23.0% 25.8% 25.3% -2.8% -2.3%
Javier Baez 28.3% 31.1% 29.3% -2.8% -1.0%
Derek Dietrich 24.5% 27.3% 27.4% -2.8% -2.9%
Yadier Molina 12.3% 15.2% 19.4% -2.9% -7.1%
Khris Davis 26.3% 29.2% 26.3% -2.9% 0.0%
Eric Hosmer 19.7% 22.7% 21.4% -3.0% -1.7%
Neil Walker 21.6% 24.6% 22.4% -3.0% -0.8%
Brian Anderson 20.6% 23.7% 24.1% -3.1% -3.5%
Xander Bogaerts 18.2% 21.3% 20.8% -3.1% -2.6%
Nolan Arenado 13.2% 16.3% 16.2% -3.1% -3.0%
Yasmani Grandal 20.7% 23.8% 23.2% -3.1% -2.5%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 17.3% 20.5% 18.2% -3.2% -0.9%
Ronny Rodriguez 28.4% 31.6% 33.2% -3.2% -4.8%
Jurickson Profar 15.0% 18.2% 18.1% -3.2% -3.1%
Jonathan Schoop 24.9% 28.2% 26.8% -3.3% -1.9%
Marcus Semien 14.0% 17.3% 15.8% -3.3% -1.8%
Elvis Andrus 15.2% 18.6% 19.8% -3.4% -4.6%
Marcell Ozuna 20.8% 24.2% 22.3% -3.4% -1.5%
Russell Martin 22.3% 25.7% 25.1% -3.4% -2.8%
George Springer 20.6% 24.1% 22.8% -3.5% -2.2%
Maikel Franco 13.3% 16.9% 17.9% -3.6% -4.6%
Miguel Rojas 12.4% 16.0% 17.5% -3.6% -5.1%
Kendrys Morales 12.9% 16.5% 14.8% -3.6% -1.9%
Kurt Suzuki 12.0% 15.6% 17.4% -3.6% -5.4%
Christian Yelich 20.0% 23.6% 20.6% -3.6% -0.6%
Wilson Ramos 13.2% 16.9% 17.5% -3.7% -4.3%
Addison Russell 22.0% 25.7% 26.0% -3.7% -4.0%
Alex Bregman 13.1% 16.9% 13.6% -3.8% -0.5%
Johan Camargo 17.1% 20.9% 21.9% -3.8% -4.8%
Willson Contreras 25.0% 28.9% 27.9% -3.9% -2.9%
Rafael Devers 15.7% 19.6% 21.5% -3.9% -5.8%
Adam Jones 17.9% 21.9% 22.2% -4.0% -4.3%
Albert Pujols 12.9% 16.9% 17.9% -4.0% -5.0%
Albert Almora Jr. 16.7% 20.7% 21.4% -4.0% -4.7%
Jose Altuve 14.8% 18.9% 19.5% -4.1% -4.7%
David Freese 23.3% 27.5% 29.0% -4.2% -5.7%
Luis Arraez 7.5% 11.7% 11.6% -4.2% -4.1%
Andrew McCutchen 21.0% 25.3% 24.7% -4.3% -3.7%
Andrelton Simmons 9.2% 13.6% 13.8% -4.4% -4.6%
Stephen Piscotty 21.7% 26.1% 26.9% -4.4% -5.2%
Josh Phegley 16.2% 20.6% 21.8% -4.4% -5.6%
J.D. Davis 19.9% 24.4% 25.6% -4.5% -5.7%
Adalberto Mondesi 28.1% 32.6% 31.3% -4.5% -3.2%
Jackie Bradley Jr. 25.8% 30.3% 32.1% -4.5% -6.3%
Carlos Santana 14.8% 19.3% 16.5% -4.5% -1.7%
Starling Marte 16.2% 20.8% 21.1% -4.6% -4.9%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 24.0% 28.6% 28.9% -4.6% -4.9%
Hunter Pence 20.9% 25.6% 25.0% -4.7% -4.1%
Corey Dickerson 17.5% 22.2% 23.4% -4.7% -5.9%
Matt Beaty 13.4% 18.3% 19.1% -4.9% -5.7%
Tommy La Stella 8.7% 13.6% 14.4% -4.9% -5.7%
Franmil Reyes 27.0% 32.1% 30.2% -5.1% -3.2%
Dwight Smith Jr. 19.9% 25.0% 24.5% -5.1% -4.6%
Tim Locastro 14.2% 19.3% 20.9% -5.1% -6.7%
Cody Bellinger 16.2% 21.5% 20.1% -5.3% -3.9%
Avisail Garcia 23.4% 28.7% 26.1% -5.3% -2.7%
David Fletcher 9.3% 15.7% 13.5% -6.4% -4.2%





 

Two-time FSWA award winner, including 2018 Baseball Writer of the Year, and 8-time award finalist. Featured in Lindy's magazine (2018, 2019), Rotowire magazine (2021), and Baseball Prospectus (2022, 2023). Biased toward a nicely rolled baseball pant.

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Jordan Rosenblummember
4 years ago

Wow, Rougned Odor and Wil Myers owners desperately needed this article–thank you for your service!!

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