Who is Getting Dropped & Why (Week 3)

Fantasy owners this past week found several players in demand, so owners needed to decided who headed to the waiver wire. Here are the players released and why in the NFBC Main Event.


Demoted to Minors

  • Bryse Wilson (28): When your ERA and walk rate are 10.80, it’s time to go work on things in the minors.
  • Alex Reyes (23): Reyes was lost. He walked six of the 17 batters he faced.
  • Touki Toussaint (10): Minor league stats don’t count.


  • Drew Smyly (16): Symmetry is baseball is great except when your ERA and walk rate are both at 7.11. He might be a nice buy low if his projections of 8.6 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 hold up.
  • Drew Steckenrider (16): Owners are moving on since he has a 7.20 ERA and no Saves.
  • Brad Boxberger (15), Wily Peralta (13), and Kyle Zimmer (11): Gold one week, trash the next.
  • Brandon Drury (15): Hitting just .179/.200/.256 with Vlad Jr’s promotion looming. Owners gave up.
  • Trevor Rosenthal (15): Single, Single, Walk, Single, Single, Walk, Walk, Hit-by-pitch, and Walk
  • Zack Cozart (15): In 28 plate appearances, he’s hitting .038/.107/.077. It’s easy to see why owners are moving on from a below average hitters.
  • Jason Vargas (14): Owners streamed his start versus Miami and quickly moved on.
  • Steve Cishek (14), Cory Gearrin (13), Hunter Strickland (12), and Matthew Festa (11): More wasted FAAB chasing Saves.
  • Chris Owings (13): Bad player + horrible start = waiver wire
  • Jonathan Loaisiga (13): Limited to 70 pitches in his last start means, owners may be scared away because of the low Win chance.
  • Trevor May (12): Owners are losing faith as Blake Parker seems to be the closer.
  • Matt Harvey (11): The Dark Knight has been getting lit up like a Christmas tree. Owners don’t keep underperforming marginal talent.
  • Yangervis Solarte (11): On the surface, this move is a little tough to understand. He’s hitting .300/.364/.400 but in only 22 PA. He’s on the short side of a platoon with Joe Panik so the volume isn’t there. I’m not sure why the Giants are using a platoon since Panik’s career wRC+ is 86 vs LHP and 106 vs RHP. Solarte’s are 90 vs LHP and 103 vs RHP
  • Yoshihisa Hirano (10): Another casualty from chasing Saves.


Players Cut in 10 or More NFBC Main Event Teams
Name Count
Troy Tulowitzki 30
Bryse Wilson 28
Alex Reyes 23
Brian McCann 21
Jake Lamb 17
Drew Smyly 16
Drew Steckenrider 16
Brad Boxberger 15
Brandon Drury 15
Trevor Rosenthal 15
Zack Cozart 15
Jason Vargas 14
Steve Cishek 14
Tyler Anderson 14
Chris Owings 13
Cory Gearrin 13
Jonathan Loaisiga 13
Wily Peralta 13
Hunter Strickland 12
Trevor May 12
Kyle Zimmer 11
Matt Festa 11
Matt Harvey 11
Yangervis Solarte 11
Touki Toussaint 10
Yoshihisa Hirano 10
Andrew Miller 9
Kelvin Herrera 9
Martin Perez 9
Mike Fiers 9
Tyler White 9
Albert Almora Jr. 8
David Hernandez 8
Grayson Greiner 8
Jed Lowrie 8
Joe Jimenez 8
Scott Kingery 8
Sean Reid-Foley 8
Billy McKinney 7
Brandon Crawford 7
Cedric Mullins 7
Chris Stratton 7
Daniel Palka 7
Franchy Cordero 7
Jaime Barria 7
Justin Bour 7
Sandy Alcantara 7
Archie Bradley 6
Carson Kelly 6
Chad Green 6
Dexter Fowler 6
Elias Diaz 6
Jesus Luzardo 6
Luis Cessa 6
Raimel Tapia 6
Ronald Guzman 6
Ryan Yarbrough 6
Wilmer Flores 6
Aledmys Diaz 5
Alex Avila 5
Corey Dickerson 5
Dwight Smith Jr. 5
Eduardo Nunez 5
Gerardo Parra 5
Gio Gonzalez 5
Greg Bird 5
Hunter Pence 5
Ivan Nova 5
Jacob Barnes 5
Joey Wendle 5
Jose Martinez 5
Jose Urena 5
Matt Kemp 5
Reyes Moronta 5
Richie Martin 5

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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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I don’t see Matt Strahm on here…but if you want to see some ugly batted ball data, don’t take a look at his terrible first start — look at Sunday when he allegedly took a step forward.

Let’s start with 71% hard hit (not a typo! seventy. one.) and 41% pulled (47% center 12% oppo). Add in only 24% grounders (35%! line drives and 41% flies) and you have a real problem. I watched this start yesterday and thought to myself, “Self, these guys are teeing off on that mediocre fastball that he’s not really commanding.” (Example: Carpenter mashed the first pitch of the game to the dead-CF warning track, but Margot made a nice catch.) And then I looked it up and it was true. He was getting knocked around and getting away with it.

Baseball analysis can be complicated but this isn’t: As a pitcher, it is bad if hitters bash the crap out of the ball in the air and even worse if they pull it. And that’s what they did to Strahm all day yesterday. He can be on your team for now. I hope he gets it back.

(Tiny caveat: The fastball was up 0.7 mph to 91.6 on average. Which is nice, I guess.)


28 upvotes, I’m not sure that many Matt Strahm owners exist!