Who is Being Dropped & Why (Week 2)

Another week into the season and another week of drops. I’ve categorized all the drops in 10 or more NFBC Main Event Leagues and some other names I find interesting.

Hurt

Demoted

  • Luis Urias (19): I was a little surprised with all the Urias love coming into the season with his limited skill set. He needs to take a major step forward to be promoted and rosterable.
  • Jaime Barria (12)
  • Mac Williamson (12): Also dealing with a hand injury.
  • Ian Happ (10): Happ can’t hit a fastball so he’s going to have a tough time staying in the majors.

Other

  • Zac Rosscup (30): Owners picked him up to get the Win and few strikeouts from the Japan games. Now he’s again useless.
  • Mark Melancon (19): Will Smith was designated the closer so Melancon is now expendable.
  • Scott Kingery (16): One plate appearance so far this season.
  • Lou Trivino (13): Good middle relievers are getting pushed to the side as owners speculate on Saves.
  • Tyler Anderson (13): Owners gambled on the Miami start and lost (5 ER in 5 IP).
  • Steve Cishek (12); When Pedro Strop returned from injury to close, Cishek’s value diminished.
  • Yoshihisa Hirano (11): With Greg Holland getting named the Diamondbacks closer, Hirano’s value dropped. I still think he’s one of the better speculative Save plays.
  • Carl Edwards Jr.(10): See Steve Cishek
  • Hunter Dozier (10): I’m a little surprised he was in 10 leagues. His fantasy value is about nil.
  • Joe Jimenez (10): Shane Greene has the closer’s role for now.
  • Lance Lynn (10): The 11.12 ERA is ugly but I see his availability as a buying opportunity. A .409 BABIP and 35% LOB% will lead insane ERA’s. I’d have no problem streaming him in the right matchup.
  • Robbie Erlin (10): He loses all fantasy value in the bullpen.
  • Trevor Rosenthal (10): Since he’s not closing, he has little value.
  • Greg Allen (7): The Indians outfield is horrible and Allen can’t find playing time in it. That says a lot about Allen’s talent.
  • Eric Thames (6): He needs to play to have value.
  • Merrill Kelly (6): Why exactly the drop? He’s finally starting and owners now have two games this week to evaluate him. At least wait a week before dropping him.
  • Ryan Brasier (5): With teams scrambling for saves, I like Brasier’s chances.

 

Top three pickups (dropped in 10 or more leagues)

  1. Hirano
  2. Lynn
  3. Trumbo
Players Dropped in Five or More NFBC Main Event Leagues
Name Drop Count
Zac Rosscup 30
Steven Souza Jr. 27
Hunter Strickland 21
Luis Urias 19
Mark Melancon 19
Scott Kingery 16
Andrew Heaney 14
Lou Trivino 13
Tyler Anderson 13
Jaime Barria 12
Mac Williamson 12
Mark Trumbo 12
Steve Cishek 12
Corey Knebel 11
Elias Diaz 11
Yoshihisa Hirano 11
Carl Edwards Jr. 10
Hunter Dozier 10
Ian Happ 10
Joe Jimenez 10
Lance Lynn 10
Robbie Erlin 10
Trevor Rosenthal 10
Adam Conley 9
Felix Pena 9
Luis Cessa 9
Alex Verdugo 8
Chad Green 8
Chance Sisco 8
Gio Gonzalez 8
Hernan Perez 8
Johan Camargo 8
Kelvin Herrera 8
Wily Peralta 8
Yairo Munoz 8
Brad Boxberger 7
Bryse Wilson 7
Carson Kelly 7
Greg Allen 7
Mike Soroka 7
Dexter Fowler 6
Eric Thames 6
Garrett Cooper 6
Jesus Luzardo 6
Max Fried 6
Merrill Kelly 6
Touki Toussaint 6
Austin Hays 5
Carlos Gonzalez 5
Clay Buchholz 5
Ervin Santana 5
Jimmy Nelson 5
Kyle Wright 5
Mitch Garver 5
Neil Walker 5
Orlando Arcia 5
Richie Martin 5
Ryan Brasier 5
Spencer Turnbull 5

We hoped you liked reading Who is Being Dropped & Why (Week 2) by Jeff Zimmerman!

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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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pphelan
Member
pphelan

I love this column, thanks for all the great work Jeff! Personally, I find the ‘must-add’ format a bit more useful, vs. the ‘must-drop.’ I can take action on must-add players, but I can only drop the ‘must-drop’ players if I happen to have them on my team. Love the analysis and the podcast, thanks Jeff!

chad
Member
Member
chad

Loving them both over here

agam22
Member
Member
agam22

I don’t see the point of this as being identifying who is a ‘must-drop’, I see it as a way to find players who significant numbers of owners may be down on but still have points in their favor, to look for who can either be a good add off the wire or a good buy low value in a trade.

Must-buys is usually about identifying guys who are already on the upswing. In my experience I do better in the long run dumpster diving on guys in cold streaks than trying to ride a hot streak.