Week 16 FAAB Projections
It’s never a good week for adds when catchers take the top billing. Owners may want to focus on drops from last week and maybe gamble on some bullpen arms.
The projection guidelines:
- The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
- The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
- The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
- Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.
Week 16 Hitter FAAB EstimatesName Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost Tommy Edman SS | STL 1% 3% 2% $15 Matt Thaiss 1B | LAA 2% 5% 3% $16 Anthony Santander RF | BAL 2% 4% 2% $15 Miguel Rojas SS | MIA 4% 6% 2% $16 Luis Arraez 2B | MIN 4% 6% 2% $16 Isan Diaz 2B | MIA 4% 6% 2% $16 Martin Maldonado C | KC 5% 7% 2% $16 Franklin Barreto 2B | OAK 7% 10% 3% $17 Chance Sisco C | BAL 12% 23% 11% $29 Eric Thames RF | MIL 13% 19% 6% $22 Todd Frazier 3B | NYM 13% 15% 2% $18 Dominic Smith 1B | NYM 14% 26% 12% $33 Adam Frazier 2B | PIT 15% 20% 5% $21 J.P. Crawford SS | SEA 18% 24% 6% $24 Eric Sogard SS | TOR 21% 29% 8% $29 Kevin Pillar CF | SF 21% 29% 8% $29 Danny Jansen C | TOR 23% 43% 20% $63 Leury Garcia LF | CHW 23% 26% 3% $23 Freddy Galvis SS | TOR 24% 31% 7% $29 Evan Longoria 3B | SF 25% 27% 2% $24 Carson Kelly C | ARI 30% 32% 2% $27 Kevin Newman SS | PIT 32% 47% 15% $55 Jackie Bradley CF | BOS 32% 36% 4% $31 Corey Dickerson LF | PIT 35% 39% 4% $33 Brian Anderson RF | MIA 35% 37% 2% $31 Renato Nunez 3B | BAL 36% 39% 3% $33 Bo Bichette SS | TOR 37% 41% 4% $35 Jason Heyward RF | CHC 42% 54% 12% $58 Maikel Franco 3B | PHI 48% 50% 2% $44 Miguel Sano 3B | MIN 50% 52% 2% $46 - Danny Jansen takes the top estimate after hitting .400/.400/1.200 over the past week with for homers. Chance Sisco is also drawing some much-needed attention.
- Kevin Newman and Dominic Smith are slowly being added.
- Jason Heyward is finding some love. He’s the old boring hitter which sneaks his way into the end-of-season top-100.
Week 16 Pitcher FAAB Estimates
Name Previous Ownership% Current Ownership% Change% Cost Jose Urquidy RP | HOU 1% 24% 23% $33 Colin Poche RP | TB 1% 3% 2% $21 Clayton Richard SP | TOR 2% 4% 2% $13 Austin Adams RP | SEA 3% 8% 5% $23 Jaime Barria SP | LAA 3% 5% 2% $13 Aaron Bummer RP | CHW 3% 5% 2% $21 Jose Suarez SP | LAA 3% 5% 2% $13 Danny Salazar SP | CLE 7% 13% 6% $24 Elieser Hernandez RP | MIA 10% 12% 2% $14 Daniel Mengden SP | OAK 16% 37% 21% $32 Jesse Chavez RP | TEX 16% 24% 8% $17 Andrew Cashner SP | BAL 17% 36% 19% $29 Dinelson Lamet SP | SD 19% 41% 22% $35 MacKenzie Gore SP | SD 20% 22% 2% $15 Anthony DeSclafani SP | CIN 21% 27% 6% $16 Jason Vargas SP | NYM 22% 24% 2% $15 Reynaldo Lopez SP | CHW 24% 26% 2% $15 Brandon Workman RP | BOS 26% 31% 5% $27 Ariel Jurado SP | TEX 27% 33% 6% $17 Scott Oberg RP | COL 27% 32% 5% $27 Ryan Yarbrough RP | TB 28% 33% 5% $17 Jeff Samardzija SP | SF 28% 31% 3% $16 Dylan Cease SP | CHW 30% 60% 30% $54 Tyler Mahle SP | CIN 32% 35% 3% $17 Chase Anderson SP | MIL 33% 42% 9% $21 Brett Anderson SP | OAK 34% 39% 5% $18 CC Sabathia SP | NYY 42% 45% 3% $19 Sergio Romo RP | MIA 42% 44% 2% $29 Shawn Kelley RP | TEX 45% 47% 2% $30 Roenis Elias RP | SEA 47% 51% 4% $21 Tanner Roark SP | CIN 48% 51% 3% $20 Michael Pineda SP | MIN 49% 54% 5% $22 - Dylan Cease was widely owned before this weekend but could go for a decent price in leagues where he’s still available.
- And the next gainers are the scrubs Daniel Mengden and Andrew Cashner. I told you it was sad.
- Closer rankings of listed pitchers
- Shawn Kelley
- Sergio Romo
- Roenis Elias
- Scott Oberg
- Aaron Bummer
- Brandon Workman
- Austin Adams
- Colin Poche
- Danny Salazar
2019 Week 15 FAAB Results
Add Avg Bid Leagues (38) Brendan McKay $155 38 Brandon Workman $31 9 Dominic Smith $23 28 Michael Lorenzen $19 10 Pablo Lopez $16 6 Scott Oberg $16 7 Dinelson Lamet $16 9 J.P. Crawford $14 11 Chance Sisco $14 8 Bobby Bradley $13 18 Alex Dickerson $13 17 Garrett Hampson $13 13 Manuel Margot $11 19 Tyler O’Neill $11 23 Brett Gardner $11 6 Ryan Yarbrough $11 5 Michael Wacha $11 10 Maikel Franco $10 20 Elieser Hernandez $10 6 A.J. Minter $10 5 Austin Adams $9 8 Franklin Barreto $9 8 Eric Sogard $9 8 Luis Arraez $9 7 Adrian Houser $8 5 Bryse Wilson $8 7 Mike Foltynewicz $7 8 Freddy Peralta $7 8 Adam Wainwright $7 9 Jesse Chavez $7 13 Hanser Alberto $7 8 Danny Jansen $6 19 Austin Voth $6 23 Mark Canha $6 13 Ryan Pressly $6 5 Tommy Edman $6 6 Brett Anderson $5 9 Daniel Mengden $5 20 Joey Wendle $5 5 Jason Vargas $5 11 Ronald Guzman $5 6 Drew Pomeranz $4 8 Adrian Sampson $4 6 Blake Parker $4 5 Ariel Jurado $4 9 Nick Ahmed $4 6 Diego Castillo $4 5 Josh James $4 5 Mike Leake $4 5 Wade LeBlanc $4 14 Yusei Kikuchi $4 7 Carter Kieboom $4 6 Aaron Bummer $4 12 Andrew Cashner $3 8 Jeimer Candelario $3 5 Tyler Naquin $3 6 Reyes Moronta $3 7 Luis Rengifo $2 7 Curt Casali $2 15 Jason Castro $2 5 Anthony Santander $2 12 Travis d’Arnaud $2 9 Martin Maldonado $2 6
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2018 Week 16 FAAB Results
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
“with for homers”
*four