Week 13 FAAB Projections
For most people, today is Father’s Day. For those who have an NFBC league, it’s Yordan Alvarez Day. The bids for him this week will be off the charts. It’s not just him who’s available and with many owners spending time with their families, there should be deals everywhere.
The projection guidelines:
- The ownership rates are from CBS since they have some quickdraw waiver wire leagues where players can be picked up at any time.
- The FAAB estimates are based on the 2018 15-team mixed NFBC leagues which used a $1000 FAAB budget. Owners are going to need to convert these values to their own league.
- The ownership values were taken from Saturday and lots can happen in between when they publish and FAAB bids run.
- Only players owned in 50% or fewer of CBS leagues are examined.
Week 13 Projected Hitter FAAB
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Feliciano C | MIL | 0% | 1% | 1% | $19 |
| Cheslor Cuthbert 3B | KC | 1% | 3% | 2% | $19 |
| Yordan Alvarez LF | HOU | 1% | 92% | 91% | $682 |
| Tom Murphy C | SEA | 2% | 5% | 3% | $20 |
| Travis d’Arnaud C | TB | 2% | 5% | 3% | $20 |
| Kevin Newman SS | PIT | 5% | 10% | 5% | $22 |
| Todd Frazier 3B | NYM | 6% | 9% | 3% | $20 |
| JaCoby Jones CF | DET | 8% | 13% | 5% | $23 |
| Chance Sisco C | BAL | 10% | 13% | 3% | $21 |
| David Bote 3B | CHC | 13% | 24% | 11% | $34 |
| Pedro Severino C | BAL | 15% | 18% | 3% | $23 |
| Roberto Perez C | CLE | 16% | 28% | 12% | $38 |
| Carson Kelly C | ARI | 17% | 19% | 2% | $23 |
| Colin Moran 3B | PIT | 18% | 25% | 7% | $29 |
| Jarrod Dyson CF | ARI | 21% | 24% | 3% | $26 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. CF | BOS | 22% | 26% | 4% | $28 |
| Chris Taylor SS | LAD | 24% | 26% | 2% | $27 |
| Garrett Cooper LF | MIA | 25% | 34% | 9% | $38 |
| Ian Desmond 1B | COL | 32% | 35% | 3% | $33 |
| Ramon Laureano CF | OAK | 33% | 40% | 7% | $40 |
| Yordan Alvarez LF | HOU | 34% | 92% | 58% | $345 |
| Luis Urias 2B | SD | 35% | 37% | 2% | $35 |
| Kevin Kiermaier CF | TB | 36% | 40% | 4% | $38 |
| Oscar Mercado CF | CLE | 36% | 38% | 2% | $36 |
| Kyle Seager 3B | SEA | 38% | 40% | 2% | $37 |
| Scott Kingery SS | PHI | 44% | 69% | 25% | $116 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. SS | TOR | 46% | 50% | 4% | $48 |
| Howie Kendrick 2B | WAS | 49% | 62% | 13% | $74 |
- Yes, I know Yordan Alvarez has two bids totals. It’s based on his ownership jumping from 1% from two weeks ago to the 92% level. The jump last week was from 34%. Either way, owners are looking at spending anywhere from 35% to 70% of their original FAAB budget. It’s pretty much going to be like Only leagues at the trade deadline … those with the most money win.
- Owners are making the move to add different/better catchers with Roberto Perez and his 11 homers leading the charge.
- David Bote is getting some love after starting seven of the last ten games and hitting .323/.382/.613 over that time frame.
Week 13 Projected Pitcher FAAB
| Name | Previous Ownership% | Current Ownership% | Change% | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Anderson RP | OAK | 0% | 2% | 2% | $17 |
| Aaron Bummer RP | CHW | 0% | 2% | 2% | $29 |
| Jordan Yamamoto SP | MIA | 1% | 19% | 18% | $30 |
| Elieser Hernandez RP | MIA | 1% | 5% | 4% | $18 |
| Joe Biagini RP | TOR | 2% | 9% | 7% | $33 |
| Daniel Ponce de Leon RP | STL | 2% | 5% | 3% | $18 |
| Adam Plutko SP | CLE | 4% | 10% | 6% | $19 |
| Steven Brault RP | PIT | 4% | 6% | 2% | $17 |
| Darwinzon Hernandez SP | BOS | 4% | 6% | 2% | $17 |
| Tommy Milone SP | SEA | 5% | 11% | 6% | $19 |
| Seth Lugo RP | NYM | 8% | 10% | 2% | $30 |
| Ian Kennedy SP | KC | 9% | 25% | 16% | $52 |
| Dinelson Lamet SP | SD | 11% | 13% | 2% | $18 |
| A.J. Minter RP | ATL | 13% | 16% | 3% | $31 |
| Jalen Beeks RP | TB | 15% | 18% | 3% | $18 |
| Brandon Workman RP | BOS | 15% | 17% | 2% | $30 |
| Jason Vargas SP | NYM | 16% | 26% | 10% | $23 |
| Ariel Jurado SP | TEX | 20% | 30% | 10% | $23 |
| Brendan McKay SP | TB | 21% | 24% | 3% | $19 |
| Ryan Yarbrough RP | TB | 22% | 30% | 8% | $22 |
| Adrian Sampson SP | TEX | 23% | 52% | 29% | $54 |
| Sean Newcomb SP | ATL | 25% | 32% | 7% | $22 |
| Freddy Peralta SP | MIL | 27% | 29% | 2% | $20 |
| Dylan Cease SP | CHW | 27% | 29% | 2% | $20 |
| Peter Lambert SP | COL | 28% | 45% | 17% | $33 |
| Michael Wacha SP | STL | 28% | 33% | 5% | $21 |
| Merrill Kelly SP | ARI | 29% | 55% | 26% | $49 |
| Brett Anderson SP | OAK | 29% | 34% | 5% | $21 |
| Framber Valdez SP | HOU | 30% | 56% | 26% | $49 |
| Taylor Rogers RP | MIN | 32% | 37% | 5% | $37 |
| Mike Leake SP | SEA | 34% | 39% | 5% | $22 |
| Sandy Alcantara SP | MIA | 35% | 37% | 2% | $21 |
| Pablo Lopez SP | MIA | 44% | 51% | 7% | $26 |
| Anibal Sanchez SP | WAS | 44% | 51% | 7% | $26 |
| Michael Pineda SP | MIN | 45% | 48% | 3% | $24 |
| Hansel Robles RP | LAA | 46% | 53% | 7% | $45 |
- While I don’t find the hitters interesting at all, the pitchers are a whole different story.
- If available, Adrian Sampson projects to have the top billing. He’s put together a nice run of starts but I consider him to just a be a streaming option.
- With Seattle starting the trading season, backup closers could start being picked up as owners hope to get them on the cheap. Here is how I’d rank the ones listed above:
- Hansel Robles
- Taylor Rogers
- A.J. Minter
- Joe Biagini
- Ian Kennedy
- Brandon Workman
- Brendan McKay and Dylan Cease are a couple of rookies are on the list and are perfect stashes.
2018 Week 13 FAAB
2019 Week 12 FAAB
| Add | Avg Bid | Count (38 leagues) |
|---|---|---|
| Delino DeShields | $42 | 25 |
| Framber Valdez | $40 | 38 |
| Miguel Cabrera | $34 | 11 |
| Kyle Seager | $33 | 5 |
| Michael Pineda | $31 | 8 |
| Jerad Eickhoff | $28 | 8 |
| JaCoby Jones | $28 | 12 |
| Freddy Peralta | $28 | 14 |
| Cesar Puello | $25 | 8 |
| Adrian Sampson | $23 | 26 |
| Jalen Beeks | $23 | 5 |
| Ryan Yarbrough | $22 | 13 |
| Sandy Alcantara | $22 | 10 |
| Andrelton Simmons | $18 | 7 |
| Mitch Keller | $17 | 16 |
| Peter Lambert | $17 | 23 |
| Roberto Perez | $16 | 16 |
| A.J. Pollock | $16 | 11 |
| Colin Moran | $16 | 10 |
| Dominic Smith | $15 | 11 |
| Julio Urias | $14 | 6 |
| Brandon Nimmo | $14 | 11 |
| Franchy Cordero | $14 | 5 |
| Kevin Cron | $14 | 9 |
| Merrill Kelly | $13 | 9 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | $13 | 26 |
| Ian Kennedy | $13 | 7 |
| David Bote | $12 | 20 |
| Brandon Dixon | $12 | 16 |
| Cal Quantrill | $11 | 26 |
| Michael Wacha | $11 | 15 |
| Miguel Castro | $11 | 7 |
| Pedro Severino | $10 | 18 |
| Joey Wendle | $10 | 5 |
| Chance Sisco | $10 | 28 |
| Derek Fisher | $10 | 8 |
| Tony Kemp | $9 | 5 |
| Mychal Givens | $9 | 6 |
| Ariel Jurado | $9 | 8 |
| Bo Bichette | $9 | 5 |
| Jason Vargas | $9 | 18 |
| Josh Naylor | $9 | 9 |
| Mark Canha | $9 | 6 |
| Mike Leake | $8 | 12 |
| Todd Frazier | $8 | 19 |
| Emilio Pagan | $8 | 5 |
| John Gant | $7 | 5 |
| Jason Castro | $7 | 7 |
| Brandon Workman | $7 | 8 |
| Austin Barnes | $7 | 8 |
| Mark Reynolds | $6 | 8 |
| Travis d’Arnaud | $6 | 17 |
| Hanser Alberto | $6 | 17 |
| Brett Anderson | $6 | 5 |
| Daniel Ponce de Leon | $6 | 5 |
| Cheslor Cuthbert | $5 | 5 |
| Adam Frazier | $5 | 5 |
| Ji-Man Choi | $5 | 5 |
| Erick Fedde | $5 | 11 |
| Shed Long | $4 | 5 |
| Chris Iannetta | $4 | 9 |
| Starlin Castro | $4 | 6 |
| Kevin Newman | $4 | 5 |
| Tom Murphy | $3 | 7 |
| Mark Trumbo | $3 | 5 |
| Robbie Grossman | $3 | 6 |
| Joe Jimenez | $3 | 6 |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Robles is a backup closer?
nice writeup, regardless. I didn’t save enough for the Yordan wars unfortunately in basically any league. A couple leagues Kelly is available who is my #1 pitching add with matchups. I’d venture Kelly vs Colorado and SF is better than Sampson. Thoughts on Ian Desmond? He isn’t available in all but one league of mine, but significant changes, and I think he is something like top 5 in quality of contact over last month in MLB.
Sorry for not be clearer. I rank the closers from those in the table (<50% owned). Some regulars are always in the mix.