Third Base Rankings: RotoGraphs Consensus

Consensus Ranks: OF, C, 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, and RP and SP.

Tiered Ranks: C, 1B, 2B, SS, 3B, NL OF, AL SP, NL SP, Holds.

And just because I’ve just finished up watching the Angels in Spring Training, I’ll jump to an absence on this list: Mark Trumbo. He’s not there because he’s not a third baseman yet. In the game I attended, he was the DH. Despite projecting him to be the starting third baseman for the FanGraphs Positional Rankings, I now believe the Angels will mix and match at third base — as they have done before — and that Trumbo won’t be the fulltime third baseman. The team can keep saying that they want to try him there, but if they keep running Alberto Callaspo out there in the spring, their actions speak louder. That means my projection of 461 at-bats, 24 home runs and a .243 batting average could really be dead-on. That’s a crowded team. If that more conservative projection holds true, Trumbo would be worth a little less than Lonnie Chisenhall on my list.

I don’t hate Pablo Sandoval, I just think that a couple of third-basemen will offer more well-rounded lines or more power. Ryan Roberts was held in different esteem by most of us — I felt that even with regression he’d be useful. It’s a little strange to see Daniel Murphy so close to David Freese despite the only Mets fan in the room being sour on his projections. Here’s the thing I may have factored more heavily than the others: Murphy is playing second base again, where he’s blown out his knee two straight years making the turn on double plays. My projections are not heavy on playing time.

The rest of our rankings are pretty similar. Well, we’ll see about Pedro Alvarez.

Eno Harris Mike Podhorzer Jeff Zimmerman Zach Sanders FanGraphs FantasyPros Icon
Player Name Eno
Sarris
Mike
Podhorzer
Jeff
Zimmerman
Zach
Sanders
Staff
Consensus
FantasyPros
All Experts
Jose Bautista 1 1 1 1 1 view
Evan Longoria 2 2 2 3 2 view
Pablo Sandoval 6 4 3 2 3 view
David Wright 4 3 5 4 4 view
Adrian Beltre 3 6 6 5 5 view
Brett Lawrie 5 5 4 6 5 view
Ryan Zimmerman 7 8 7 7 6 view
Aramis Ramirez 10 7 10 9 7 view
Michael Young 15 9 8 8 8 view
Alex Rodriguez 8 10 9 14 9 view
Kevin Youkilis 9 11 12 13 10 view
Mark Reynolds 11 13 11 10 10 view
Martin Prado 16 12 15 11 11 view
Ryan Roberts 12 20 20 12 12 view
Mike Moustakas 13 15 16 20 12 view
Emilio Bonifacio 21 22 13 15 13 view
David Freese 14 18 18 21 13 view
Daniel Murphy 26 17 14 16 14 view
Chase Headley 18 19 17 19 14 view
Danny Valencia 17 21 22 17 15 view
Edwin Encarnacion 24 14 19 22 16 view
Brent Morel 22 16 23 26 17 view
Chipper Jones 25 23 21 18 17 view
Lonnie Chisenhall 20 29 25 27 18 view
Pedro Alvarez 19 33 26 25 19 view
Placido Polanco 31 28 28 24 20 view
Scott Rolen 32 31 27 28 21 view
Jimmy Paredes 23 24 22 view
Ian Stewart 33 32 32 23 23 view
Chris Davis 26 24 24 view
Alberto Callaspo 34 25 31 25 view
Jed Lowrie 27 27 25 view
Juan Uribe 34 33 30 26 view
Chris Johnson 34 29 27 view
Mike Aviles 28 28 view
Casey McGehee 35 29 28 view
Kyle Seager 29 29 view
Chone Figgins 30 35 29 view
Wilson Betemit 30 30 view
Sean Rodriguez 30 30 view
Brandon Inge 35 31 view

Fantasy Baseball Rankings powered by FantasyPros

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed.
We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member.
1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other.
2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off.
3. Dark mode and Classic mode!
4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them.
5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects.
6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.)
7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only.
8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO.
9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members.
10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features!
We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it.




With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.

22 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
TheGrandslamwichMember since 2026
14 years ago

When MigCab gets 3b eligibility, does he jump over Joey Bats for the #1 spot? I’m thinking yes.

Also, with Wright having to go back to NY for a rib-cage exam, how far do you think that drops him on this list?

Zach SandersMember since 2020
14 years ago

Miggy would be the #1 3B

hifilofi
14 years ago
Reply to  Zach Sanders

I’m glad that you guys are doing rankings in this format this year.

Hanley?

jake
14 years ago

I understand that you guys are not placing Miguel or Hanley in the 3B rankings because they are not yet eligible there. But, virtually everyone who drafts Miguel will be drafting him at 3B. If these rankings are meant to be used for draft purposes, why not include them, even if they are not yet eligible?

kid
14 years ago

The big bummer with Sandoval is that his run production sucks – averaging just 77 runs per 162 games in his career. And at this point we shouldn’t expect that to change much – he’s not getting more athletic, and the Giants’ offense looks just as anemic as ever. The batting average and power potential are obviously sexy, but Sandoval is too highly regarded for a guy who’s only really calling card is his high batting average and good-but-not-great power.

jsp2014
14 years ago
Reply to  kid

I think ranking him there means they think he’ll hit 30 HR. I don’t understand it any other way.

I personally think Beltre is a cut above the ones after Bautista/Longoria but that’s just me. it’s a tightly bunched group after Longoria so I’d imagine if 20 people ranked the 3B #3-#11 you’d get 20 different rankings.

there is such an epic cliff from Youk down to Prado 2 slots later.

Mike PodhorzerFanGraphs Staff
14 years ago
Reply to  jsp2014

I believe I have Pablo projected for 27 HRs. It’s the batting average of .300 that really helps.

kid
14 years ago
Reply to  jsp2014

For Panda to be the third best 3B he’s going to have to hit .340 or something ridiculous to compensate for the fact that he’s only been scoring 75-80 runs per full season and only driving in 85 or so. There’s not necessarily a reason why those runs/RBI numbers can’t go up, but there’s not a reason why they should go up, either. Same spot in the batting order, roughly the same offensive support.

Looking at last season only 27 HR seems like an OK projection, but that’s still erring on the side of optimism considering he’s at slightly over 22 HR per 162 games for his big league career. In no way am I saying that Pablo isn’t a fine player, he absolutely is, but some of the guys below him like Zim, Wright and Beltre have much better shots at 100 runs, 100 RBI and at least as much (and likely better) power.

Adam
14 years ago
Reply to  kid

Agree on Sandoval. It doesn’t make much sense to rank him above Beltre to me, your looking at potentially 60 less R/RBI combined there.

wily moMember since 2020
14 years ago

i think jeff’s ranking of ryan zimmerman needs to be thrown out due to his obvious pro-zimmerman bias

Jeff ZimmermanFanGraphs Staff
14 years ago
Reply to  wily mo

At least Ryan spells his right unlike his teammate Jordan.

Kris
14 years ago

For some reason, I feel like Brett Lawrie should be more polarizing but I guess it’s just a tier thing. One of my favourite things to do with these types of lists is to sort via stdev. It’s easy enough to keep things sorted in your head if you just assign max ranking plus one to all unranked players.

Mike PodhorzerFanGraphs Staff
14 years ago
Reply to  Kris

As much as I want to criticize fantasy owners for drafting Lawrie so early given his limited experience and potentially fluky big year in 2011, I simply can’t do it given his 20+ steals potential. That’s really a great downside cushion. It’s similar to Hosmer who I initially thought was massively overvalued, but those 10+ steals at 1st are huge, and he’s actually properly valued.

wahooo
14 years ago

No Casey Blake–I figured he has to be higher than quite a few guys on the list, just based on playing time, if nothing else.

JD
14 years ago

If Sarris is the only one to rank Pedro Alvarez as high as #19, how did he finish at #19 in Staff Consensus?

Bronnt
14 years ago
Reply to  JD

Because of the problematic way they’ve tabulated these things. Adrian Beltre and Brett Lawrie both tied for fifth, but Ryan Zimmerman, listed after both, is sixth. He should be seventh, and Aramis Ramirez eighth, but they’ve made the whole list this way. Alvarez should actually be #25.

Adam
14 years ago

I think you have to get one of the guys from Youk or higher. I wouldn’t really care which one of the three of A Rod, Youk, and Aramis I got but If I didn’t have a 3rd basemen before then you really have to grab one of those guys. Pretty big drop off after that tier.

Bronnt
14 years ago

Wow. I might have to reconsider my draft strategy. Or at least, see how things go on draft day. It isn’t until seeing things here like this that I realize how much depth there is at the position. Third base has been fairly slim in recent years, enough that in my pre-draft rankings (where I’ve made a ton of positional scarcity edits) I pushed Longoria up the middle of the first round.

But now that I’ve really looked at it, I can actually wait. A-Rod is basically the 10th or 11th best fantasy option at third base, if you include Miguel Cabrera. 20ish home runs, an OBP around .350, and a hearty number of runs and RBIs if A-Rod stays healthy. Then I could take a late round flier on someone like Brent Morel to fill in if he’s hurt. Even if I miss on A-Rod, I still could maybe get Youkilis, or at worst, Moustakas. I might even live with Chase Headley.

I need to amend my draft strategy…again.

KCExile
14 years ago

Really surprised that Zimmerman is so low. Aside from last year when he was obviously hurt for a good portion of the year he’s a roughly .900 OPS hitter and will get a solid 20-30 homers and should be good for 90/90 on the counting stats. (I’m also not convinced that Beltre outproduces ZImmerman this year) Does Lawrie provide that in this season? In a dynasty league I get it, but thinking 2012 only I don’t see it. I also imagine MLB pitchers figuring him out a bit and there being a month or two where he craters this season, before he makes an adjustment

Bronnt
14 years ago
Reply to  KCExile

It’s the health issues. It’s been a while, but he missed a good portion of 2008 with health issues, then he missed a couple weeks in 2010, and then 60 games last year. If he’s healthy for 150 games, you’re getting him discounted, but the uncertainty hurts his price tag.

Richie
14 years ago
Reply to  KCExile

What’s with the hate on Beltre? Dude played 80% of the season last year and still had 80/30/100

kid
14 years ago

Why Sandoval over Beltre? If it’s because of injury issues, it’s not like Panda’s been the bastion of health.