The Sophomore Report: Anderson, Betts, Panik, Shoemaker

We read a lot about prospects and rookies but the coverage tends to fall off the map after the conclusion of a player’s freshman season. This ongoing series will chronicle the successes and failures of the sophomore class to help determine whose rookie season was a harbinger of even better things to come, and whose was blanketed in smoke and mirrors.

Chase Anderson, RHP, Diamondbacks: A ninth-round pick out of the University of Oklahoma, Anderson has shown that you don’t have to be selected in the first couple of rounds on draft day to be a valuable asset. Like Matt Shoemaker below, this Arizona righty heavily relies on his command/control — not to mention his plus changeup. Because he relies heavily on changing speeds to get hitters out, he ends up putting a lot of balls in play and doesn’t strike out many guys. The danger with Anderson is that he plays his home games in a good hitter’s park and gives up more than his fair share of fly balls. He’s avoided the long ball more during his sophomore season than he did in his freshman campaign but it remains to be seen if he can keep up that trend.

Mookie Betts, OF, Red Sox: It’s been a mostly dismal season for the Boston Red Sox but the 22-year-old Betts certainly gives hope for the future. The second-baseman-turned-center-fielder has hit well while undertaking the not-so-easy task of learning to play the outfield while in The Show. He’s shown good — perhaps surprising even — pop in 2015 with 32 extra base hits in 77 games, including nine home runs. He’s also run a little bit and put a lot of balls in play by limiting the strikeout (just 11%). With a little more polish, Betts could develop into a real game-changer for the Sox.

Joe Panik, 2B, Giants: Panik was a first round pick of the Giants in 2011 but he fell off the prospect radar with some modest production in the minors and reports that his tools were lacking. Well, he kept grinding along and reached the Majors in his fourth pro season. He performed surprisingly well in 2014 for the Giants and has just keep getting better and better in 2015 — both at the plate and in the field. He’s now in the conversation for the best hitting second baseman in the Majors. He hits for average, controls the strike zone and puts lots of balls in play. The big misses in his game are the over-the-fence pop (mitigated by the gap power) and the lack of a running game.

Matt Shoemaker, RHP, Angels: A 27-year-old rookie in 2014, Shoemaker dazzled on first blush with his shiny record of 16-4 and 3.02 ERA but he’s the type of pitcher that will also flirt with danger. The right-hander’s fastball has averaged just over 89 mph in 2015 so he has to be very fine with his offerings and, although his control has been spot-on in 2015, his command has not been as strong. As a result, he’s fallen victim to more hard hit balls and more home runs. He’s shown the valuable ability to chew up innings but Shoemaker is probably nothing more than a 4/5 starter at the big league level.





Marc Hulet has been writing at FanGraphs since 2008. His work focuses on prospects and fantasy. Follow him on Twitter @marchulet.

21 Comments
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Steve
11 years ago

Betts is at 277/328/455 9 HR, 13 SBs and it’s been mostly dismal?

Dan
11 years ago
Reply to  Steve

It’s been dismal for the Red Sox not betts.

pbmax
11 years ago
Reply to  Dan

He’s also bee hot lately, getting those #s up. He sucked for a lot of the early season

Jackie T.
11 years ago
Reply to  Steve

Did you literally stop reading mid-sentence to come down here and bitch?

vince
11 years ago
Reply to  Jackie T.

Well, Mr literacy, where do you suggest that I stop reading to complain?

Mat
11 years ago
Reply to  Jackie T.

“Mr. Literacy”

PJ
11 years ago
Reply to  Steve

Was just about to say the same thing. If Mookie has been “mostly dismal” so has Pujols.

CM52
11 years ago
Reply to  PJ

You didn’t read the rest of the sentence in the article OR notice the replies to this commenter? Wow. This article really brought out the best and brightest in people!

PR
11 years ago

I assume you take Shoemaker over Anderson?

pbmax
11 years ago
Reply to  PR

Heck no

pr
11 years ago
Reply to  pbmax

better year last year, better year this year, better xFIP, more Ks, better team, better ballpark. what am i missing?

Squirrel
11 years ago
Reply to  pbmax

You only pick up Anderson if you don’t really need pitching depth. That’s because you have to assume he’ll get hurt tomorrow… and so you basically have to just treat him as a streaming option.

If you genuinely need pitching depth, then you don’t pick up the guy that’s made of glass… and therefore Shoemaker’s the only choice in that scenario.

Corey
11 years ago
Reply to  pbmax

Pretty sure he meant Chase, not Brett. Since the article talked about Chase, not sure why anyone would comment saying “Anderson” without specifying “Brett” if they meant Brett.

And Er Son
11 years ago

Shoemaker likes to give up home runs. Anderson does not. This trend won’t be changing any time soon.

Compton
11 years ago
Reply to  And Er Son

So you’re saying that, despite HR/FB rates being out of a pitchers control most of the time, you have been able to determine that Shoemaker will be one of the select few who are below-average and Anderson will be one of the select few who are above-average in this area?

Based on ~200 major league innings apiece?

And despite Shoemaker playing in a home park that suppresses home runs, and Anderson playing in a park that increases them?

I’d love to see some research that shows this.

And Er Son
11 years ago
Reply to  Compton

Home runs rates are out of a pitchers control? That’s funny.

Squirrel
11 years ago

After starting slow, Betts has been fantastic for about two months now.

Squirrel
11 years ago
Reply to  Squirrel

I’ll add that he’s done pretty much exactly what should’ve realistically been expected for a high-ceiling guy that was expected to have to adjust to the league. Remember, he only played about half a season last year.

jamesk
11 years ago

I think it’s funny last year all the posts and comments were speculating Betts v baez going forward. Obviously both have years to develop but it’s pretty obvious who has the headstart and for me an easy choice for me going forward. I’m sorry I traded Betts future in a playoff run last season.

Rmdkato
11 years ago

Joe Panik saved my fantasy squad this year. Sitting outside the Top 5, thanks to the info fangraphs provides, I started to notice how quickly Panik was starting to climb in splits. Panik with no doubt in my mind has been Top 3 2B behind Kipnis and Altuve in overall contributions this year. Future is bright for this guy.

james wilson
11 years ago

Bett on Cookie Best for long HOF career, Mooks. At second base.