The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 483 – Whit’s Too Legit to Sit


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Leading Off: Question of the Day

  • Who is the biggest name to move this weekend? (5:10)

Notable Transactions/Rumors/Articles/Game Play (6:45)

Strategy Section: Hitters – Last 30 days stats (13:00)

Deeper leagues: (20:50)

Two-Start Arms

Wrap-up (39:00)


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Approximately 47 minutes of joyous analysis.

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Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and contributes to ESPN's Daily Notes. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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These Devers ’17/Moncada ’16 comps are getting a bit tired. Is it possible that Devers comes up and struggles? Of course. But we already know that he’s not going to struggle to the extent that Moncada did in 2016.

Moncada spent a half season in low A; then a half season in high A in 2016. Then he was moved up to AA in 2016 and was rocking a 31% K rate in 210 PA at the time of his promotion to MLB. He then came up and promptly struck out 12 times in 20 PA (60%), with a 17% SwStr.

Devers has had a much more gradual promotion schedule, spending FULL seasons in both low A and high A in 2014 and 2015 respectively. He started this year in AA and had struck out in 18% of his 320 PA across AA-AAA at the time of his promotion to MLB, a number which is consistent with all of his prior stops in the minors. He’s now come up to MLB and struck out 5 times in 19 plate appearances, with a 7% SwStr.

There is literally no evidence at all to suggest that he’s suddenly going to start whiffing at 50%+ rates like Moncada did. None. Zero. So let’s all stop making that lazy comp just because they were both Red Sox prospects.