The Prospect Stock Watch: Devers, Whitley, Mahle

Today at the Prospect Stock Watch we take a look at a third baseman that could help Boston during their race for a playoff spot, an emerging pitching stud for the Astros and an underrated arm for the Reds.

Rafael Devers, 3B, Red Sox: The Boston Red Sox appear to be on a collision course with the 2017 playoffs but the team’s biggest gap is likely at third base — especially after Pablo Sandoval was recently cut (not to mention the ill-fated Travis Shaw trade). Devers, a 20-year-old prospect, could be the answer for the Sox. He’s advanced for his age and was recently promoted to triple-A from double-A where he was hitting .300 with a .944 OPS. He’s not easily overwhelmed and seems to handle pressure well; his triple-A debut saw him go 4-for-4 with a homer. He has 19 home runs on the season but makes a solid amount of contact with just 55 strikeouts in 78 games (17.2% K-rate). Devers has the raw power to be a 30-homer guy in his prime. He’ll have to keep an eye on his conditioning to remain at the hot corner but he has a strong arm and should stick at the position for a while. He could eventually challenge Mookie Betts for the most talented home-grown player on the Red Sox.

Forrest Whitley, RHP, Astros: The Astros have graduated a ton of high-ceiling talent to the majors in recent years but astute scouting continues to replenish the farm system. Case in point: Whitley was selected 17th overall in the 2016 amateur draft and has dominated two A-ball levels this season during his first taste of full-season ball. The 6-7 right-hander has a mid-90s heater, plus breaking ball and four-pitch repertoire… everything needed to be a top-of-the-rotation arm, if he stays healthy. Whitley, 19, has struck out 91 batters in 62 innings. His biggest need right now is consistency and improved control – after walking 21 batters in 46.1 innings at the low-A level before his promotion. Pitching is the biggest weakness that the big league Astros have but don’t expect Whitley to be a solution until 2019. When he arrives, though, he could sit atop the rotation with Dallas Keuchel and Lance McCullers Jr.

Tyler Mahle, RHP, Reds: Not all prospect gems are found in the first few rounds of the draft. Mahle was selected in the seventh round of the 2013 draft out of a California high school and has seen his prospect value increase with each season. Now 22, he dominated double-A in 2017 and recently earned a promotion to triple-A where he’s continued to succeed. Overall, he’s struck out 110 batters in 105.1 with just 24 free passes and 77 hits allowed. Mahle has decent stuff — he can hit 95 mph with his heater but mostly works in the low-90s. He keeps hitters off-balance with a four-pitch repertoire and could develop into an innings-eating, mid-rotation starter for the Reds. He doesn’t have the electric ceiling of a Luis Castillo or Hunter Greene but he could be a rotation stud nonetheless if he can confound big league hitters like he did minor league hitters.





Marc Hulet has been writing at FanGraphs since 2008. His work focuses on prospects and fantasy. Follow him on Twitter @marchulet.

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dtpollittmember
6 years ago

Wouldn’t it be weird to promote Devers to AAA then to MLB after onloy a couple games? Why not just AA–>MLB?

Ryan21
6 years ago
Reply to  dtpollitt

The Red Sox might have promoted him to AAA with the expectation that Todd Frazier or another trade candidate would be the MLB solution for the rest of the year; but if such a trade falls through, that would leave the door open for a further promotion to the majors.

Chill
6 years ago
Reply to  Ryan21

#FreeDevers