- SP Plays
2. SP Plays
Below is a chart of the starting pitchers for the day. You’ll see the pitcher, his handedness, his opponent and his salary along with an adjusted projection and his cost per projected point. I got the projections by taking the Steamer RoS projections and breaking them down on a per game basis. The adjusted part of the projection is an adjustment I make for quality of the opponent based on the opponent’s wRC+ against pitchers of that handedness. Next to the projection and the cost per projected point, you’ll see the pitcher’s rank in those categories. If a player’s ranking is green or red, it means they’re one of the best or worst options in that category.
The pitchers that don’t have a projection either don’t have a Steamer projection, or, more likely, they have a projection that includes relief appearances, which throws off the projection for their starts.
As you can see, Jose Quintana is the pitcher I like the most today. He has the desired blend of a good projection and above average value. If you need to save money on pitching, I think Allen Webster represents the best value with the cheapest price of the day. If you don’t need to save quite that much money, I like Nathan Eovaldi.
Indians vs. RHP, Esmil Rogers – The Indians have been one of the better teams against RHP this year, and today they’ll face Rogers who doesn’t have a Steamer projection for a reason. Their three best guys against RHP by wRC+ are their 3-4-5, Michael Brantley, Carlos Santana and Lonnie Chisenhall. I’d probably throw the lead off man, Jason Kipnis, in with them. I also love all these lefties in Yankee Stadium.
Athletics vs. RHP, Kyle Gibson – The A’s lineups are always a little unpredictable because they utilize so many of their players in platoons and even at varying positions. And things have been even a little bit more difficult to predict since they traded away Yoenis Cespedes. But on Wednesday their four best hitters against RHP hit 1-2-3-5. If they do that again, you could have a nice stack with Coco Crisp, John Jaso, Brandon Moss and Josh Reddick.
I’m not including Brad’s typical chart mainly because I couldn’t figure out exactly how he updates it. I’ll just note that there is a chance of rain in Atlanta. Make sure you check the weather later this afternoon.
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