Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:32 |
: Welcome
|
7:33 |
: Here are the winning bids from the two 15-team Tout Wars Mixed leagues.
|
7:34 |
![]() |
7:34 |
: Alexis Diaz has been shaky (at best) since midway through last season. If we’re speculating for Reds’ saves, is it Cruz, Pagan, or Sims?
|
7:35 |
: I’d stay away even if he does struggle. I’d hope they would trade for some bullpen help.
|
7:35 |
: % FAAB for Turang?
|
7:36 |
: 5% or more to win him people are going to come after those stolen bases
|
7:36 |
: How much is too much FAAB to spend on Foley and Uribe if you need saves help?
|
7:37 |
: Foley’s going to cost a ton … 20% in places since he might have the job for the whole season. With Payamps getting the Save today, Uribe’s cost took a huge hit. I’d maybe go $20
|
7:38 |
: Is there anything there with Brice Turang? Need steals and wondering if I should drop McNeil for him at MI. Any chance he hits enough to be worth an add?
|
7:38 |
: He might get platooned but if he has 500 PA and 40+ SB, that’ll be huge. What is McNeill going to give but a fight.
|
7:39 |
: Any thoughts on a CI replacement for Royce Lewis that has a low roster rate?
|
7:39 |
: Tyler Freeman, JD Davis, Triodo (sp?) from PIT
|
7:39 |
: You see any reason to move off of flawed, maybe-saves drafted guys (Scott, LeClerc, Harvey) to flawed, maybe-saves, addable guys (Foley/Miller, Slaten/Martin, Lawrence?) after 3 days? Or need more data?
|
7:41 |
: Yes. I’d get the guys who you think are the closer. Now, don’t spend a ton to get them, just put in a small upgrade bid.
|
7:41 |
: Rather Jared jones over michael ling or bryce miller?
|
7:41 |
: Damn those are close
|
7:42 |
: Jones
|
7:42 |
: 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H using OBP. 1 C league. Have Rogers as my C. Would you drop for Conner Wong, David Fry or Carson Kelly?
|
7:43 |
: I’d stream for min cost for matchups. If you only have a $100 budget and no $0 bids, just sit.
|
7:43 |
: Looking for OF help in AL OBP league. Could you rank (or pick from) Jake Meyers, Kyle Isbel, and Lawrence Butler?
|
7:44 |
: Same as I had preseason, Lawrerence, Meyers, Isbel
|
7:44 |
: (PS: Thanks for your great WW piece. Excited to have those and these chats back!)
|
7:44 |
: No problem. Just a few hiccups today
|
7:45 |
: You think Jared Jones is worth using a high waiver position on, when I could grab Littell without giving up the waiver spot? I might be gun-shy on using my waiver position on a rookie pitcher after getting burned by Pfaadt last year. Thanks for your thoughts.
|
7:45 |
: I’d use it on Jones. He’s likely one of the top adds for the season. Might as well get him early on
|
7:46 |
: Is Royce Lewis a drop?
|
7:47 |
: Not yet, it feels like all the news isn’t out on him. Hold one more week and then evaluated next week. 5th round talents don’t show up on the wire
|
7:47 |
: Zach Neto worth consideration in deeper leagues? Thanks!
|
7:47 |
: Yes but it depends on the drop
|
7:48 |
: Thoughts on Gill or Silseth for both streaming tm and long term?
|
7:49 |
: Both seem fine so far as options. I like to see guys get three starts before drawing too many conclusions.
|
7:49 |
: In need of a 3B – JD Davis, Busch or Baty? OBP League. Thoughts?
|
7:49 |
: Lots of 3B questions.
|
7:49 |
: Davis, Baty, Busch
|
7:49 |
: Shortstop. Im in big trouble. I waited until last round to get one. Zach Neto. Perdomo better? Anyone that is on waiver wire in typical 12 team league?
|
7:50 |
: I ran into this issue on a team I drafted early and their is no one out there. The three names that seem to be available are Perdomo, Ahmed, and BLAZE Alexander
|
7:51 |
: Jones, Gil or Whitlock
|
7:51 |
: Do you prefer civale or j jones?
|
7:52 |
: I’m really high on Jones and expected him to get held down. I like that he’s up. I’m Jones, Civale, …..Gil …. Whitlock
|
7:53 |
: How do you think Sonny Gray will do in St.louis?
|
7:53 |
: Like he did in other places …
|
7:54 |
: How do you rank Eloy replacements in 12-team, 5 OF league: Conforto, Frelick, McNeil, Canha, or Kirillof?
|
7:55 |
: Canha and I don’t care. Go off matchups. You could go Harold Ramirez who is Jimenez lite
|
7:55 |
: Hi Jeff happy easter
|
7:55 |
: Thanks
|
7:55 |
: Nardi has kicked me in the Nards multiple times already. Dump?
|
7:56 |
: Sure, middle relievers are fungible.
|
7:56 |
: Devers. Im concerned. Try to trade and fleece someone or keep?
|
7:56 |
: Keep but you can go ahead and try to be that guy
|
7:56 |
: Best replacement for Sean Murphy? Heim, O’Hoppe, Keibert and Campusano available
|
7:56 |
: Keibert Ruiz. I like him over Murphy
|
7:57 |
: top 3 waiver priorities?
|
7:57 |
: If only I had written a waiver wire article today … if only
|
7:57 |
: David Robertson worth an add? Need saves and don’t like leClerc
|
7:58 |
: Definitely, I think Robertson is one of the biggest late movers.
|
7:58 |
: Do you think the crop of addable RPs from column is in same pool or step below shaky drafted types like Leclerc, Scott, Harvey?
|
7:59 |
: Get your Saves now when there are possible options. Move to steady guys later.
|
7:59 |
: Ryne Nelson or Reese Olson for two start week and ROS?
|
7:59 |
: Reese
|
7:59 |
: Start two in a SPARP league: king, pepiot, crochet. Last two seem to have two scary starts and king was meh today
|
7:59 |
: Lean in with the talent, King and Crochet
|
7:59 |
: Where would Aaron Hicks rank in your WW list if it’s an OBP league?
|
8:00 |
: Middle of the pack up after doing some research after the article, I did find out he has a great week coming up.
|
8:00 |
: 14 team mixed h2h. Got Julien, Colt Keith for 2B. should I look to upgrade or will one of these 2 players prove sufficient?
|
8:01 |
: You should always be trying to upgrade and those two are … bleh.
|
8:01 |
: Soriano or Blanco for a AL only H2H…..looking for a RP/SP for a team punting saves. Soriano looks filthy and some of the Angels starters do not. Blanco looked great this spring for Houston.
|
8:02 |
: Blanco this week to see how he performs. If good, nice grab, if not dump him. I suspect Soriano will remain on the wire
|
8:02 |
: Welcome back Jeff. Did Singer move the needle today?
|
8:03 |
: Some. The issue with him is that he’s close to being universally rostered.
|
8:03 |
: His managers aren’t dumping him after that start
|
8:03 |
: Conforto and David Robertson… worth adds?
|
8:04 |
: Again, depends on who you are placing them with.
|
8:04 |
: I just finished reading FantasyLand, and outside of hiring Sig Mejdal my biggest takeaway was a comment by Mejdal that a bad 2 start starter is still more valuable than a mid or fair 1 start starter, Does this math still hold up 20 years later? What would you qualify as mid to fair starter in a 10 team league?
|
8:05 |
: We looked at it in the process and it holds up … sort of.
|
8:05 |
: In points leagues, it for sure work.
|
8:06 |
: In Roto, the ERA and WHIP hits for the start aren’t that much but when they accumulate over a full season, the ratio categories get destroyed.
|
8:06 |
: Where are you on Joe Boyle?
|
8:07 |
: Happy to miss out. Too many red flags.
|
8:07 |
: When will James wood and caminario coming up ?
|
8:07 |
: How would I know … no one else does. And if they say so, they are lying.
|
8:07 |
: What % you willing to spend on Ginkel since he is closing with Sewald out?
|
8:08 |
: Your looking around 6 to 10%. About half of what a full-time closer would go for
|
8:08 |
: Start Crotchet in 2 start week where one is Atlanta (awful) and the other is KC (good)?
|
8:08 |
: Probably, he could be good against ATL
|
8:09 |
: Who comes back first, Beuhler, Cole, Bradish, Woo, Gavin Williams, or Senga?
|
8:09 |
: Cobb and Bradish. Romano. Get the guys coming back first and then worry about guys further away
|
8:10 |
: Looking to minimize bench allocations to hitters. Currently using Kirk, Nootbaar and L Wade. Nootbaar will likely move Frelick to bench upon return.
|
8:11 |
: In The Process this past year. I found that winning teams have starters at 50% to 75% of their bench.
|
8:11 |
: How long are you holding onto guys like Sewald and Cole for in weekly faab leagues
|
8:12 |
: I would have probably dropped Cole if the league doesn’t have an IL spot.
|
8:12 |
: Is rengifo a drop in a mixed 12?
|
8:12 |
: Yes.
|
8:13 |
: And here is some free advice, feel free to drop Tommy Pham. I noticed he was 93% rostered in one league I’m in.
|
8:13 |
: Grab Taj now and stash when he’s cheap or spend big on J.Jones?
|
8:13 |
: I’d spend on Jones
|
8:13 |
: Luis Robert is a top 10 overall player. Come at me, Bruh!
|
8:14 |
: When healthy … but he still plays second fiddle to Gavin Sheets.
|
8:15 |
: I unfortunately find myself in an 8-team league (points, H2H, 25 man rosters) after two managers dropped out just before our draft tomorrow night. Any advice for weekly FAAB bidding (we have $0 bids, so maybe be aggressive early?) or draft strategy in such a shallow format? Thanks, Jeff.
|
8:16 |
: I’d steam the crap out of two outfield spots and the Util. And probably 2-3 pitchers. Divide the FAAB so you can make it the full season and just churn your roster and win the week.
|
8:17 |
: Lost Murphy in a 2-C league, what % do I bid on D’Arnaud?
|
8:17 |
: You might need to push to 2%. I could see some of the other managers trying to upgrade their catchers with TAD
|
8:17 |
: This chat is always the perfect cap on a week. Thank you.
|
8:18 |
: No problem
|
8:18 |
: Only 1 IL slot. Drop Cole or Woo?
|
8:18 |
: Woo
|
8:18 |
: Would you drop Puk for a bid on Crochet or Hicks?
|
8:18 |
: yes
|
8:18 |
: Any concerns with Ober? Too early to jump ship for singer or Gil?
|
8:18 |
: Keep Over
|
8:18 |
: How much Faab on Conforto? 15 team roto
|
8:18 |
: $1
|
8:18 |
: How quickly are you moving on from starters who start the year poorly (12 team league), and is there a cutoff for how highly they were drafted? Ex: Griffin Canning, Michael King
|
8:18 |
: At least 3 starts, probably a month
|
8:19 |
: NL Only, just lost Steele. Rank these P – Marco Gonzales, Ben Brown, Javier Assad, Colin Rea
|
8:19 |
: Assad has a nice schedule, Brown (huge upside), Rea ……………………………………………………….Gonzales
|
8:20 |
: Why the big bids on Gallegos? Helsley in trouble already?
|
8:20 |
: Not sure, possibly the Save Gallegos got.
|
8:20 |
: Detmers always has had the K potential. Strong spring. Is this the year or just watchlist for now?
|
8:21 |
: Pay for the K’s and hope there is more … just don’t pay for more
|
8:21 |
: ww at 2B feels very chancy: rank Rodgers, Rosario, Joey Ortiz, turang, keith, rengifo, McNeil, and biggio (OBP league)
|
8:22 |
: you are correct. I see none as long-term options and would go weekly with the best option.
|
8:23 |
: Was that 20-30% range you referenced in your article on Victor Scott for 15 teamers or do you think we need to go that high in 12s too if we came out of the draft short on speed?
|
8:25 |
: He could go higher. I can’t give away content behind a pay wall but just say others agree with my take on the costs. In the NFBC, I suspect to see some $400+ bids.
|
8:25 |
: 12t h2h pts, anyone you especially like out of India, Meadows, Maikel, O’Neill, Eugenio, Kelenic for ros?
|
8:26 |
: Meadows and Garcia. Suarez has a trip to COL coming up.
|
8:26 |
: Where is Siri on the batters list?
|
8:26 |
: Roster rate was probably too high.
|
8:26 |
: How much do you believe M.Chapman will bounce back this season? He’s available in my 12-team H2H categories (OBP) league.
|
8:27 |
: I’m not sold on this year has much as next. I don’t assume he’s healthy until he shows it.
|
8:27 |
: If bidding on VS2 is too rich for your blood, is Caballero one of your first pivots?
|
8:28 |
: Cab is a great pivot, if available. He’s not an option in any of my leagues because he was a late-round target of mine.
|
8:28 |
: I’m surprised everyone is so done with Manoah. Worth holding in a keeper to see if he regains form? I’d be dropping a bench bat for him like Fraley, 10 team league.
|
8:30 |
: I’m done until he shows something. I’d rather have Matz who went 5 IP vs the LAD while only allowing 2 ER. So many more options to gamble on while Manoah is hurt
|
8:30 |
: Do all of the projection systems here at FG get routinely updated throughout the season? If not, is there one you prefer for in-season decision making?
|
8:30 |
: The projections (update or a U) get updated.
|
8:31 |
: That’s it for tonight, make sure to go check for Bids one last time.
|
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.