Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Happy Fathers Day

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the bids from the two 15-team Mixed Tout Wars leagues.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:31
Jimmy.: Jeff, with Maeda close would u drop Varland bad again today for Manning?   Thanks

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not sure Varland will get demoted but could. With Manning, his fastball velo is up 2 mph from earlier in the season but can’t find the plate. I guess it’s a fair move.

7:34
Guest: I’ve got Melendez and Sabol as my catching duo.   Naylor or Henry Davis an upgrade over Sabol?   14 team mixed roto

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: Both might be over the course of the season. Sabol hits thought 1-2 week stretches where he plays more in the OF thereby helping his value.

7:35
Kevin: who Is someone who’s got a total year lower rank but has been raking the past 25-30 games that you think will end up with a solid season?

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: No idea, I don’t base decisions on such a small sample size. Now, that sample might get them more playing time and there are several guys I wrote about in this week’s lineups.

7:37
Mmaude: Hey Jeff, but if a random request here but what was the polling method you used a few years back where you ranked hundreds of players using a tool where folks voted on randomized ‘one vs. the other’ choices? Example: polling Chris Taylor vs. Matt Olson one time and then the next question being Justin Turner vs. Josh Naylor. Thanks!

7:37
7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: I think more can be done with it. I should drop my waiver wire ranks in one each week.

7:38
Dairon Blanco: I need steals! Is Dairon Blanco worth dropping either Dylan Moore or Elvis Andrus in AL-only 5×5? If so – How much of $25 left (out of $260) is he worth bidding?

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: Just $25 left is tough to go more than $1 or $2. And it’s fine to drop Moore

7:39
Closer Clarity: Which of the following RPs would be your preferred add?: Alvarado, Alzolay, Gallegos, or Hicks

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: Hicks, Alzolay, Alvarado, Gallegos

7:40
Pham’it: Is his value going to crater with the Alonso activation off the IL?

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m going to assume so. Canha will need to go back to the OF

7:40
Tim: Is Jason Foley the new closer in DET?

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: I don’t know but he’s one of the top specs

7:41
Jim: Happy Father’s Day Jeff! Your WW article said Eddie Rosario was unrosterable. I streamed him this week and was planning on dropping him in a 12 tm league. Did his big weekend change your mind at all?

7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: I believe he’s talented but he’s been sitting against lefties and of the six games, three are against lefties. It’s tough to get any value from that. Also, the other three righties are decent (Brown, Javier, and Wheeler).

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: The next week, it’s at least 5 righties so he should be back in then

7:43
Steve: Matos (SF) or Abreu (HOU) for rest of ’23?

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: Abreau

7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: I ran the projection comps on Matos and got:

7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: Luis Matos (682641)
Jake Alu (666906)
Pablo Reyes (622569)
Alek Thomas (677950)
Nick Gordon (624503)
Joey Ortiz (687401)
Christian Arroyo (624414)
Howie Kendrick (435062)
Bryson Stott (681082)
Yairo Munoz (622168)
Henry Ramos (592656)
Matt Vierling (663837)
Calvin Mitchell (668751)
Manuel Margot (622534)

7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: The most inspiring list

7:44
Seth: Do you start Lynn (vBos), Canning (@Col), and/or Maeda (vBos?) next week? Or swap them out for a MR like Jax?

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d go middle releiver

7:45
Ricardo: Happy Father’s Day Jeff! Would you drop Betencourt to pick up Bailey in a 15 team NFBC league?

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: I think they are close. Depends on if you need power or AVG

7:45
A.: How much higher on the list of hitters in the ww column does Noda move up in an OBP league?

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: Some but not a bunch. After diving in, he seems like a 20 HR first-baseman which are streamable.

7:47
Big Man: Is Gavin Williams worth a bid? Do you think he’ll start this week ?

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: I don’t have a read on the situation. I could see Quantrill be healthy and go back in. So Williams is worth a bid but I’m not sure he’ll start.

7:48
Wes: Thought Woo might atop this week’s SP list. Where would Garrett and Detmers be if available? Thanks!

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: I wish he threw some secondaries. He can’t keep getting by on only fastballs.

7:49
Guest: Who do you like better Samad Taylor or Dairo Blanco for ROS?

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: I ranked Taylor higher in my waiver wire article. Projections are higher on him, he’s young, and can play a couple positions. With that said, I’m sure the Royals will do the opposite.

7:50
KC: Is Triston McKenzie a drop in non-IL leagues?

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d hold out a week to get any better news but most likely.

7:50
Greg: Most articles I read were luke warm at best on Andrew Abbott. Did his most recent start change any of that thinking? Ros, about or Bryce Miller?

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: No, I don’t believe Abbot will never allow a home run this season. Remove the ERA and evaluate him. It’s not good. I have him valued as a 4.99 ERA pitcher.

7:52
nfbcOC: how much faab for kwan?

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m thinking $20 to $30 range

7:52
Jeff Bagpipes: Is Josh Naylor elite or just supa hot?!

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Hot for sure. It’s nice that he’s no longer getting platooned.

7:53
Steve: Hey Jeff,  would you rank Olivares if avail over or under  both S Taylor and D Blanco for pickups in 15 tm? Thx

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: I might have him under Taylor. I think the two rookies have a unique skill set that some managers will be looking to add.

7:54
LAD: How much playing time do you see Michael Busch getting with the current injury situation in LA?

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: I think he gets full-time at-bats for a week. It gets cloudy after than

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: after that

7:54
Steve in NYC: Happy Father’s Day Jeff!  
what % FAAB for Luis Matos in 15 tm NFBC?

7:56
Jeff Zimmerman: The Tout Wars bids have him in the $50 to $150 range. I ran my comps and Matt Vierling (who is hurt) was similar. And it’s not going to take $100 to get Vierling. I think managers will way over spend for what he can provide.

7:57
Mike: Better pick up for speed help. Samad Taylor or Jon Berti 12 team mixed roto. What % of FAAB. Thank you

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: Berti will go for less and it seems like the Marlins aren’t happy with Berti’s sub-.650 OPS in the lineup.

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: Taylor. I thought Taylor would go for less than the Tout Wars bids. He’s a gamble that he’ll hit enough to stay in the majors. Also, Kyle Isbel is about off the IL.

7:59
Triston casamigos: Rest of season please: Josh Naylor, Raley, Jose Abreu

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: That order

7:59
SP: Prioritize Steele > Elder > Schmidt > Gore ROS in a points league? (dropping D. German)

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: I would go Steele, Elder, Schmidt, GERMAN, Gore

8:00
kuff6: 5×5 obp. W Brennan or L. Matos?  Thanks

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Take a chance that Matos beats his projections.

8:02
RE: Dairon Blanco: Ugh, It’s been a long week – how much of $25 out of an original $100 budget is Blanco worth? ($260 is the auction budget, brain fart)

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: You are still in that same range. It leaves you a $1 a week for moves. I didn’t something similar and this week I lost Cobb, Haniger, and Muncy so there goes $3 of mine

8:03
Kyle: Any consideration for dropping Gorman for Torkelson, Fraley or Burger in 12 team points league?

8:04
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes. One issue with Gorman, Nootbaar is expected back this and I’m not sure how the playing time shakes out.

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: Also, the Cards only have 5 games.

8:05
Boyd Boyz: Boyd got medium love in that faab run. Where would he fit in your ww pitcher list? Looked better recently.

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: I can’t list everyone but Boyd has been streamerable. Around Sheehan-Irvin.

8:06
Varland: Drop Varland for canning?

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d do that

8:07
Catchers: Who do you think has more upside this season: Bo Naylor or Henry Davis?

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: I think it’s Naylor. I’m a little worried that Davis will come up and the team will want him to worry about the staff and his hitting will struggle

8:08
Is he toast?: Is javy Baez worth a cheap pick up in a keeper league for a team not contending this year to see if he figures it out? Or is the last year and a half who he is?

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s worth a shot. I added him in ToutWars to see if he turns it around

8:09
Hot Steph: I like Stephan (cle) in my al only league, but their bullpen is crowded. Is he worth holding with decent streamers available (Bello, Canning, Blackburn) and ok middle men (Brock Stewart, Sborz) on the wire?

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: I would move on from Stephan to other options.

8:11
Seanold: Hi Jeff, thanks for taking the time. Scott Barlow was dropped in my 15 team NFBC roto league. How would you rank him in your closer list in the column today?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably number #1 but I’d add Hicks to the mix with his second Save today

Hicks then Barlow then Graveman

8:12
Lars Nooooootbarr: Am I worth rostering? What should managers expect the rest of the way with me?

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes and not sure on production.

8:12
AL Guy: Thoughts on Barria ROS, has he been lucky or do you see any differences that he can be valuable ?

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: I know he changed something (pitch mix?) and he’s been a different pitcher. I just don’t have time to look it up

8:14
Dave in slc: So is Hicks the closer for a week or two or do you think he has a shot for long term?

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: I think he’s it for two weeks and could go into a shared role after that.

8:14
Oh come or come Emmanuel: Rivera is projected at .258-6 HR-27 RBI by ZIPS for ROS. Would you take the over or under on that, and by a lot or a little?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: Let me look … 200 PA … I might take the over on that and up the projections accordingly.

8:16
MK: Is Braxton Garrett the real deal?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: Looks to be

8:16
Chucky: Saves and Holds as separate cats. Drop Gallegos 5 games for Nardi and 7?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: Sure

8:16
Points: Would you be higher on Matos in a points league that rewards BBs and penalizes Ks?  Where would he fall in the WW column in that format?

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe a little bit. With him, I’m worried about him getting a time-share and he doesn’t seem to be fantasy relevant with out full-time at-bats

8:17
JC: Luis Severino had another rough outing tonight. Roster crunch has me debating a drop despite the sample size. Thoughts on him or Taj? (12 team, QS H2H).

8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: If Taj is available, get Taj

8:18
Tony: is Houck a drop in redraft leagues?

8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably in most. I might wait a week for exact news

8:19
Jeff: Hey Jeff- NL only here – Trevor Williams, Jose Quintana… this is the quality of guys available in our league. Any other injured players (other than Quintana) who might be worthy of a spec pick?

8:19
Jeff Zimmerman: Not really

8:20
Johnny5Alive: US goal against Canada. 1-0

8:20
Mount Yainer: Expect Y.Diaz get regular AB even when Y. Alvarez returns for HOU?

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: Some but not many. He just doesn’t catch much.

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m going to call it for the week. Good luck on this week’s adds.





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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