7:30 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome everyone.
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7:31 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are tonight’s bids from the two mixed 15-team Tout Wars leagues
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7:31 |
Jeff Zimmerman:
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7:32 |
Jeff Zimmerman: There was some heavy bidding on Coco Montes in the NL-only league
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7:32 |
Jim: How much to bid on Gunnar Henderson in a 12 tm league?
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7:33 |
Jeff Zimmerman: 20% … it might come down to a few managers needing help at 3B
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7:33 |
Marvin: Cowser coming soon? Thanks for chat!
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7:34 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I have no clue on promotions. None. Ask someone with the team or someone who follows prospects
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7:34 |
Oyster Burns: Thanks for chatting! Need a yordan replacement for h2h obp avg and tb league. K carpenter, mccutchen, raley, Prato, rooker, McNeil, noda, Hayes, arcia all available. Anyone stand out for you?
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7:35 |
Jeff Zimmerman: The first two (Carp and Mcc). I like Pratto also.
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7:35 |
Max Del Rey: Do you believe in the Jose Abreu redemption tour? Or do you prefer waiver-type options such as Vargas, Pratto, or Noda?
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7:35 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I wouldn’t for Vargas, Pratto is close, and for sure with Noda.
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7:36 |
RAGBRAI: Thoughts on Coco Montes? Worth an add for ROS in NL only?
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7:36 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I missed his callup and home run. Let me take a quick look.
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7:38 |
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s missing elite power but is above average in BB%, K%, GB%, and ISO. He’s interesting but I’m not sure of the playing time.
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7:39 |
bmfc1: My confidence in Patrick Sandoval is fading. Should I give him another start (v KC)?
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7:39 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I dropped him in all leagues a few weeks ago. Middle relievers provide more than him.
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7:39 |
Cesar Geronimo: Is Nolan Jones for real?
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7:40 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Looks that way and the Rockies are playing him
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7:40 |
James: Hi Jeff. Are u holding Fried in an 18 teamer? Also I need one of these. Please rank K Crawford / Barria / Woo Thanks!!
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7:41 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe. I found I was upgrading several of my hurt guys for other hurt guys on the wire who are returning sooner (ex. Alex Wood and Trevor Rogers)
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7:41 |
Chris: Why do the projection systems think Tanner Houck is a ~4 era pitcher RoS when his xFIP this year and last year were around 3.6?
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7:42 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Without looking into the exact details, projections breakdown when a pitcher is going between starting and relieving.
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7:42 |
quadrangular: In a 5×5 OBP league, how much would I regret dropping Rowdy Tellez for Josh Naylor?
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7:43 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No … Tellez might be streamable in 12-teamers. Also, Alonso managers will be looking for a replacement
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7:44 |
Bill: Do you expect Maeda to replace Varland in MIN rotation?
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7:44 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No but it could happen. I don’t think Maeda is a better pitcher than Varland
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7:45 |
Guest: Thanks as always, Jeff. I need power. How much of my $390 remaining (of 1000) should I bid for Elly de la Cruz? (no $0 bids but option to pick up unclaimed players morning after waivers)
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7:45 |
Jeff Zimmerman: One key is who has the hammer and how much does the second person have?
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7:46 |
Jeff Zimmerman: If you go 330, you give yourself around four $1 bids per week for the rest of the season
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7:46 |
Jordan: Thaiss or Wong ROS?
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7:46 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d lean Wong
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7:47 |
jamield: Where does Bryce Miller end up? Surely better than his last two starts.
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7:48 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Miller has an issue I’ve been trying to prove with no luck … pitchers can’t rely on their fastball over 50% of the time. Miller is 69%. Bryan Woo is at 81%
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7:49 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Hitters know what is coming and can hit certain velo’s. Or the team can put guys in who can.
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7:49 |
Johnny5Alive: In your ww report, so seem to see some risk in Abbott, but he’s obviously the hot name this week. How much faab in an only league and is he an upgrade over Edward Cabrera or Jordan Montgomery?
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7:51 |
Jeff Zimmerman: People will disagree with me, but I have him under middle relievers and would just put in a min bid to see if he can be productive. I’d hold Cabrera and Monty. There is a ton of hype with Abbot, but he’s not someone I’m going to spend any precious resources on.
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7:51 |
qane: Thank you. Really appreciate your weekly chat. Standard 5×5 rank: Taylor Ward, Bryan De La Cruz, Wiemer.
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7:51 |
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it
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7:51 |
Guestie: FAB priority in a 12 teamer 5 OF format…J.Sanchez, D.Carlson, T.Pham, Haniger
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7:53 |
Jeff Zimmerman: This is close and with this talent on the wire, I”d go Pham (might lose hi job any day, Vientos to 1B?), Haniger, Sanchez (will get platooned), Carlson
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7:54 |
A.: where would Whitlock and Bello rank compared to the starters in the ww report this week?
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7:54 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably above everyone
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7:54 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe not Suarez and Olson
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7:54 |
Kevin: For R.O.S would you drop Andrew Vaughn for Nolan Jones or Marcel Ozuna?
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7:55 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I could see it. Close.
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7:55 |
Ezequiel: In major pitching hole, think Jose Urquidy is a smart stash?
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7:55 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Not really, not much upside and might end up in the bullpen
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7:55 |
Tony Two Chains: Any interest in Rea?
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7:56 |
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s done on some of my bid lists. Not my top target for someone I’d settlie for
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7:56 |
Bruce & E Street: Just Dropped Lance Lynn this morning ( added Canning & got the win). Will I miss Lynn ?
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7:57 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe but I think you could steam the last spot and get more than Lynn was providing
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7:57 |
TriplesAlley: Lively over Lyles ROS?
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7:57 |
young guns: Prioritize Jordan Walker or Elly De La Cruz in points?
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7:57 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No … god no. Cruz
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7:58 |
Jordan: With the injury to Alvarez, is Dusty finally forced to play YDiaz 4-5 times per week?
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7:58 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I think more 3-4 but yes. I’m looking at him in some leagues where I need AVG help
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7:58 |
Dan: Thoughts on Pham ROS. I could use a hot bat in a 14 teaser. Not sure if/when Pham’s playing time dries up. Thanks Jeff.
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7:59 |
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s a fine add but everyone needs to know he could be back in a time share … tomorrow. They team just needs to add a 2B and McNeil is in the OF. Add a 1B and Canha is in the OF
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7:59 |
Greg: Does McGough end up with the closet role in Arizona
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8:00 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No, I suspect the closer at season’s end is not on the team right now.
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8:00 |
SNES: How concerned should I be about Kelenic’s struggles? Still a hold in 12+ leagues?
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8:01 |
Jeff Zimmerman: He has major contact issues. He’s turning into a Baez-like profile
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8:01 |
BKS: To add on to the Elly question. I have 537. There’s a 613 and an 810. I’m third highest available
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8:02 |
Jeff Zimmerman: If I was the 810, I’d go 614 and be find for the rest of the season. Now, check to see if the 810 guys has been active
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8:02 |
Dynasty Query: hello Jeff! In a 15-team dynasty h2h 5×5 league, who do you like more between Cowser and Westburg for a lifetime commitment? Thank you again.
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8:02 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Ask someone who covers prospects
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8:02 |
Mugghead: Is it unreasonable to expect that, as a paying member, your question might be answered from time to time?
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8:03 |
Jeff Zimmerman: It depends if it is FAAB or Waiver Wire related. I ignore all the trade, thought on, and/or vague questions.
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8:04 |
Guestable: Best IL stash…Rogers, Skabul, Lodolo??
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8:04 |
Joe: Heaney worth holding in 10 or 12 teasers?
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8:04 |
Jeff Zimmerman: 12’s for sure, I’m not sure on the waiver wire of 10’s
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8:05 |
Cdlund: In AL only and the wire has been barren all year. Is there anyone coming up soon to look out for or should I hold until the trade deadline for the new names?
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8:06 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I would hope for BAL to promote one of their guys. But if the trade deadline hits, be ready to pounce on any real talent
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8:06 |
Guest: Are the Marlins ever gonna let B. Garrett go 6 innings so I can get some QS? Also, is his teammate E. Cabrera any more than a streamer?
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8:06 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Garrett is a two-pitch guy so the Marlins will limit the times he sees a lineup.
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8:07 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Cabrera feels like a bench streamer
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8:07 |
Greg: Thanks for getting JP Sears the win today with your tweet!
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8:07 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m here for everyone.
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8:07 |
A.: Mateo or Vargas for MI? Obp 12.
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8:07 |
Drew: Any real preference on the following? Seth Brown, E Rosario, Brennan, Gallo, Kerry Carpenter. Thank you
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8:08 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No … but I like Brown and Carp the best
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8:08 |
ryan: best hr source this week with n. jones already rostered, sheets wiemer burger or casas?
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8:08 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Burger for the week
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8:08 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Not sure about next week with him
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8:08 |
Guest: Paredes was dropped in my 10 team dynasty. What does his outlook look like versus Spencer steer?
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8:09 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Hold Steer IMO.
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8:09 |
Now Watch Me Yuuuu: Any inning limit worries with Bibee or Eury Perez?
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8:09 |
Jeff Zimmerman:
Eury Perez has thrown 60 IP between AAA & MLB. He threw 77 IP last season. My guess is he is capped at 100-115 IP. Miami would love to slow him down & have him available late season. This not a matter of if but when he is paused from my understanding.
11 Jun 2023
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8:10 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I have read for heard anything on Bibee
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8:10 |
SNES: Do you see signs that Hayes is finally putting it together? Worth dropping Suarez for him in a OBP league p?
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8:10 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No … but let me check his swing plane
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8:12 |
Jeff Zimmerman: His GB% has gone from 46% to 39% to 37%
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8:13 |
Brandon: Triston McKenzie is available in my 12 teamer, how much are you bidding?
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8:13 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Max bid in the lines with what Perez will get. That talent doesn’t just show up
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8:14 |
Lucas: Correa dropped in 12. I realize there’s no speed anymore but can for a power needy team is he worth more than 1-2%?
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8:14 |
Jeff Zimmerman: No unless you really need an upgrade at SS
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8:14 |
LenFuego: Sandy Alcantara was dropped in last week’s FAAB run, either a rage-drop or perhaps an unethical backdoor transfer to the guy with the biggest FAAB budget. Assuming the former, how much FAAB budget would you try on him? Is it just like all of it?
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8:16 |
Jeff Zimmerman: 20%. I didn’t value him at his draft cost, so I would go all in … but I bet someone does.
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8:17 |
Seth: Can Elly win ROY without Carroll getting hurt?
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8:17 |
Jeff Zimmerman: It might come down to which team makes the playoffs
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8:17 |
Bruce & E Street: Gausman was very disappointing today. Someone said maybe he was “tipping” he’s pitches . Just a one off start or more ? Thoughts?
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8:17 |
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s just one start … shit happens.
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8:18 |
Tony: Hey Jeff – who are the setup/HL relievers you’re most invested in? Normally these guys aren’t on the waiver wire but occasionally they do pop up and they make great trade targets. Thanks!
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8:19 |
Jeff Zimmerman: This season, I’ve been able to get guys who are in the mix for Saves to fill this role (e.g. AZ, NYY and CHC bullpens). I haven’t need to go any deeper than those
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8:19 |
Tim: Is Alex Lange still the closer? Will Reynaldo become the closer?
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8:20 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes on Lange, no idea on Lopez
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8:20 |
Guest: looks like Jack S. got his zone contact% into the low/mid 80s on the rolling graphs, still crushing the ball. was he never dropped in those 15T Tout Wars leagues?
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8:21 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I know he wasn’t available in mine or I would have bid on him
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8:21 |
Guestoff: Better closer FAB priority T.May or H.Harvey?
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8:22 |
Jeff Zimmerman: It’s close but I’m going May. I think he has the job. And the team quality isn’t that much different
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8:22 |
Edgar: Love the chat! Are you sold on McLain holding down regular ABs for ROS?
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8:22 |
Joseph: Boyd had several thinking he’d have a great year and hasn’t looked good. Odds not good he’ll turn it around? Not even streamer worthy?
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8:23 |
Jeff Zimmerman: He has always been streamer worthy
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8:23 |
Maris9: Cleveland OF Will Benson showing some stuff. Power/speed combo. Is he for real?
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8:23 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I think it’s just a hot streak
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8:23 |
Kvaradona: Slim pickings in my 10-team NL only. Rate these starters please, ROS: Lively, Abbott, Houser, Garrett
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8:24 |
Jeff Zimmerman: That isn’t half bad for an only: Garret, Abbot (spec only), Lively, Houser
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8:24 |
Pete: is Quintana worth stashing now if you need to use a bench spot? Is he more than a streaming option when he returns?
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8:25 |
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe but there are similar SP’s who closer to returning with similar talent.
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8:25 |
Seth: Schmitt, Carlos Santana, or Maikel Garcia for this week?
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8:25 |
KCbbq: Brandon Lowe out with a herniated disc. Looking like he’ll be on the shelf for a month and has chronic back issues. Drop in a 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper league. Willie Calhoun, Grandal, Biggio, McKinney, Jake Rogers and Higashioka are all that’s available. I have $29 of 100 FAAB left. Would you bid anything for any of them?
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8:26 |
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d not prioritize any of them
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8:26 |
Greg: Hi Jeff. Noda or Duran AL only
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8:26 |
Steve Prefontaine: Who wins a 40 yard dash, you or your son?
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8:27 |
Jeff Zimmerman: It would not be close, he’d kill me
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8:27 |
Jeff Zimmerman: On that note, that’s it for the week and good look on tonight’s bids.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.