Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:30 |
: Welcome.
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7:30 |
: Head up, I might cut the chat short a few minutes to give myself more time to go over my leagues.
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7:30 |
: Here are the Tout Wars bids on the two 15-team mixed leagues.
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7:31 |
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7:31 |
: Drop Houck for Luis Garcia?
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7:32 |
: I think it’s a vertical move. Garcia (SD) isn’t supposed to keep the job forever. The plan is to bring Rogers back.
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7:32 |
: Most likely non closer to inherite a closing role at the deadline? Effross? Staumont? Floro?
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7:32 |
: Effross IMO
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7:32 |
: In AL only league and have $100 to spend on Faab/web. Thoughts on how much to put on Castillo?
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7:33 |
: Enough to leave yourself enough to just make one move per week on the way out.
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7:33 |
: HI Jeff! beer and FAAB chat is just the best. wanted you to know.
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7:33 |
: Bourbon on this end
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7:33 |
: Time to move on from Taylor Rodgers. Bautista, Sewald, Finnegan or Seranthony the rest of the way?
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7:34 |
: Sewald and it’s not close
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7:34 |
: Janson Junk, worth anything for next year or don’t bother?
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7:34 |
: Possibly. There is more there than I thought but would like to see him a couple more times.
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7:35 |
: 12 team h2h league who is more valuable of ROS Benintendi or Amed Rosario?
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7:35 |
: I’m guessing points and would go with Benintendi
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7:35 |
: Dustin May need to be prioritized over Singer and Ranger Suarez?
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7:35 |
: Not for me. I like the other two more.
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7:36 |
: Segura over Kwan rest of the way?
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7:36 |
: Yes, but try not to take a zero on Segura waiting.
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7:36 |
: Hi Jeff! I know it’s the rays, but thoughts on Fairbanks being the closer ROS?
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7:37 |
: Possibly. I’m keeping low expectations though
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7:37 |
: Kyle Lewis or Taylor Ward? Short term add (2 weeks): Singer or Taijuan Walker. Appreciate the help.
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7:37 |
: Ward (Lewis is not playing every day) and Singer
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7:37 |
: Hi Jeff. Still chasing saves who you think closes in SD? Garcia, Martinez or trade
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7:38 |
Luis Garcia, the new closer. For now.
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7:38 |
: Hold or drop Stripling in 12 teamers? Last 2 starts pulled around 60 pitches and especially concerned about being pulled vs. Tigers.
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7:38 |
: I’m holding for now but need to dig in.
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7:38 |
: Would you roll with Heaney (@SF, SD) or McKenzie (AZ, HOU) this week? 12 tm H2h pts.
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7:38 |
: Heaney
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7:39 |
: Kris Bryant’s foot is killing me. Seems like he’ll be in and out all year. Can’t believe it, but looking at Bohm as a replacement. Weekly league, so Bryant missing a few days a week is not helping. Pull the trigger?
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7:39 |
: I think so. I’m glad I only have to deal with Bryant in one league and it’s a draft and hold
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7:40 |
: Nathanial Lowe or Nelson Cruz ROS? 12 tm H2h pts
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7:40 |
: Lowe for now
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7:40 |
: Any standout pitchers who might get innings-limited down the stretch & is Skubal among them?
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7:41 | : This is the best article on the subject: |
7:41 |
: How much faab would you prefer to have left after tonight in a 12 team league. Thank you.
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7:42 |
: A least $5 per week. I 12-teamers, I want to still be able to make moves later in the season. Prefer $10 to beat the $1 guys
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7:42 |
: Thank, you, Jeff. Your take on whether Rodon gets traded?
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7:42 |
: No
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7:42 |
: Hi Jeff, thanks for doing this…would you drop Kirilloff to pick up Tellez or Franmil Reyes?
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7:43 |
: Yes for Tellez
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7:43 |
: Kelenic, worth and add? Could he stay up when Julio comes back? Is Winker safe?
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7:43 |
: I didn’t consider him anywhere.
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7:44 |
: Would you consider picking up Jean Segura with him due off the IL this week? I replaced him with Nico Hoerner who has definitely been adequate but I wonder if I’ll get more out of Segura for the last two months.
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7:45 |
: My one issue with Segura is that he admits to coming back at not 100%. I think Segura could out produce Hoerner, but he could really struggle
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7:45 |
: Michael Harris II or Oneil Cruz long term?
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7:45 |
: Harris
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7:45 |
: any bold predictions for Paul DeJong ROS?
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7:45 |
: He gets demoted in a week.
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7:45 |
: Need saves without killing ratio. Fairbanks or Jonathan Hernandez?
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7:45 |
: Fairbanks
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7:46 |
: Hey Jeff….two questions for a 10 team NL only. Chances of Mantiply getting saves for rest of year? Also, does Outman have any staying power or only up for a short time?
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7:46 |
: No and no idea
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7:47 |
: Does the Peralta trade make a Carroll call-ups any more likely?
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7:47 |
: No, Carroll is not coming up this year
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7:47 |
: Pick up Fairbanks, drop Munoz? Saves+Holds and K/9 format
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7:47 |
: Yes
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7:47 |
: have my full FAAB in an AL only league and we can make $0 bids so I can continue to make moves ROS. Spend everything on Castillo as a safe move or risk it to see if someone else gets traded over this coming week?
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7:47 |
: Grab Castillo
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7:48 |
: I remember one year when the big move was Mark Trumbo coming to the AL. Castillo might be the best get.
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7:48 |
: That said, if you really need a bat, you could wait for one.
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7:49 |
: Hi Jeff. In redraft is it time to give up on Suzuki? Thanks!
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7:49 |
: It depends on league depth but I could see it if there is a decent replacement
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7:49 |
: Hey Jeff, how much weight do you put into pitching models (stuff/location/pitching+) when taking a look at pitcher adds? K-BB obviously is very informative over longer periods but with guys like Garrett and Singer they don’t particularly pop on pitching+. Thanks!
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7:51 |
: I use pitching plus as one of several inputs. One addition I like is the last three to four starts (I use 21 days). I’ve been happy with the results
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7:51 |
: Sal Perez worth spending half my remaining budget?
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7:51 |
: Possibly. 5th to 6th round picks don’t just show up on the wire.
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7:52 |
: I picked up Nelson Velazquez in a deep NL only last week in anticipation of him getting more PAs after Tuesday but immediately regretted it. Trayce Thompson, Jake Fraley, Paul DeJong, James Outman, Lane Thomas—any of these guys a legitimate upgrade to you or do I hold Velazquez? I need HR, have a lot of cushion in BA, and position does not matter. Thanks!
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7:52 |
: Of those guys, I like Dejong and then Velazquez
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7:53 |
: Need SB. Do Red Sox keep playing Duran enough to matter?
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7:53 |
: I don’t think so but trades could change everything.
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7:53 |
: do you expect HOU to go 6 man once McCullers returns? should we be stashing him?
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7:54 |
: I think they will go some modified six man. I could see them piggyback some guys to limit their innings for the playoffs.
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7:54 |
: Bohm suckering us all into rostering an empty BA again or is there hope this time?
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7:54 |
: Empty unless he’s raised his LA …
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7:56 |
: He might have. His GB% has dropped each month: 48% to 46 to 44 to 37
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7:56 |
: HelpDo you think Rizzo stays in NY after he opts out? Trying to trade for him in an AL only keeper league, but I worry he will opt out and sign in the NL next year.
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7:57 |
: 50/50 shot IMO. Just remember, flags fly forever
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7:57 |
: Do you like Anthony Santander? He walked like crazy the first month, but has tailed off in that department although he is still improved overall.
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7:57 |
: He’s a fine streaming OF option
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7:57 |
: Happy Sunday Jeff. Is it time do dump pivetta? Suarez Lodolo McCullers and odorizzi all available
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7:58 |
: I cleaned my hands of him a couple weeks ago.
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7:58 |
: I like Lodolo on the list. And RANGER Suarez
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7:58 |
: Thanks for everything!
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7:58 |
: You are welcome
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7:58 |
: Assuming Drury gets dealt into platoon role, might need to pick up MI. Please rank ROS: Cronenworth (SD), Wendle (TB), Cruz (PIT), Duran (TX)
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7:59 |
: Wendle, Duran, Crone, Cruz
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7:59 |
: Someone in my league picked up Jake McCarthy immediately after you posted today’s article. Guess I know one of their sources now!
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7:59 |
: lol
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8:00 |
: Now, he was one of the sneakier value adds with Peralta gone. It’s those types of players popping up to be on the search for.
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8:00 |
: Y Hernandez might be back in a full-time role when Soto gets moved
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8:00 |
: drop Cobb for McCullers in points?
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8:01 |
: No, but I’m really high on Cobb
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8:01 |
: time to move on from L. Lynn?
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8:01 |
: Possibly
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8:01 |
: In a vacuum who do you have more faith in ros: Blackburn Cueto or Taillon?
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8:01 |
: Cueto
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8:02 |
: Is Tyler O’Neil for Willy Adames fair in a keeper league?
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8:02 |
: Sure
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8:02 |
: Fairbanks over Gallegos ROS in SV+H league too or is that getting carried away?
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8:02 |
: It might be close
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8:02 |
: McCarthy over Trayce T by a lot or a little? (5×5/obp) & is JJ Bleday in between those 2?
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8:03 |
: Chris Taylor is scheduled to come off the IL early in the week, so Thompson is probably a drop. McCarthy, Bleday, Thompson
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8:04 |
: Lewin Diaz worth a spec add as a keeper for next year? $5
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8:04 |
: No, he seems to be a below replacement first baseman
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8:04 |
: You adding Albies anywhere?
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8:05 |
: No, there are about 10 players I’d rather stash over Albies
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8:05 |
: Need some infield help in 15 team league. Dejong or Senzel?
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8:05 |
: Dejong
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8:05 |
: Is there any hope that Victor Robles gets back to the .250 15-30 potential he had? Or is this last week of power just a dead cat bounce?
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8:05 |
: Ignore the power, he’s a stolen base only play at this point
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8:06 |
: Cal Raleigh or grandal ROS? AL only roto 6×6 (obp and avg)
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8:06 |
: Raleigh for this year
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8:06 |
: if you are solidly in first place in your league in power categories, and don’t necessarily need a catcher, would you place a $100+ bid on Salvi Perez in hopes of winning an overall?
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8:07 |
: If you’re first in power, you might not be able to move up in the overall compared to other categories.
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8:08 |
: Where I need speed, I’ve been pivoting to Nick Fortes at catcher
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8:08 |
: You need to know your percentile in each category and where the gains flatten out
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8:09 |
: Canha and Profar available in my OC. Drop Austin Hays for either?
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8:09 |
: Not Canha. I don’t like the playing time situation in NY
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8:09 |
: Hays and Profar are similar. Go with the one with the best schedule
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8:10 |
: Everyone’s question(s) this week…. Dustin May or McCullers ROS? Also, which one will be back earlier? Lastly, what the heck are the Astros going to do with their rotation??
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8:10 |
: May. McCullers. No idea
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8:10 |
: Would you rather hold Matt Carpenter or Jean Segura on your bench for fantasy playoffs?
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8:10 |
: Segura but close
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8:10 |
: Eddie Rosario and Brandon belt just hit my wire, do you see either making an impact rest of way ?
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8:11 |
: Rosario. He’s now playing every day and hitting. I don’t mind taking a shot on him.
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8:11 |
: As for Belt, he remains in a platoon
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8:11 |
: 15tm NFBC – would you pick up H Kim and drop E Duran? In need of SBs.
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8:12 |
: Seems like a lateral move
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8:12 |
: Maikel Garcia of any interest in AL only? If Merrifield gets traded or Witt injury bad, someone to consider no?
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8:12 |
: He’s worth taking a chance on today and you’ll know in a week how things will play out
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8:12 |
: Keep 10 12 T no contracts. Story was a keeper, but doubt I’ll be hanging on after the end of ’22. He’s just not the same guy outside Coors. Having said that, drop Trevor for Gunnar?
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8:13 |
: I would just yet unless you are completely tanking the season
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8:13 |
: Is George Kirby going to stay in the Mariners rotation? Worth holding for playoffs if he does?
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8:14 |
: I think he’ll throw a few pitches every few days. He might be the first reliever for one of the other starters
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8:14 |
: Needs saves, would you drop Alexis Diaz for Garcia in SD? Looks like the Reds really don’t want Diaz closing.
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8:14 |
: Very lateral. You might need to add both
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8:15 |
: Have to cut bait with Springs or Stroman in 15-teamer points league…who’s the better one to hang onto? Thanks
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8:15 |
: I have them both graded out high, but I’d cut Stroman
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8:15 |
: What do you think Matt Manning’s ceiling is?
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8:15 |
: Merrill Kelley
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8:16 |
: Please rank who among the following may get the most saves ROS – recognizing some impacts of trade deadline moves: Bautista (BAL), Clarke (KC), Lange (DET), Knebel (PHI)
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8:16 |
: Lange, Knebel, Bautista, Clarke
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8:16 |
: Rather play Austin Slater against a bunch of lefties or Franchy Cordero against a bunch of righties?
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8:16 |
: Cordero, it’s a full week for him
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8:17 |
: So far he has played 2 games with Marte & Canha sitting one each. Canha doesn’t have much of a platoon split. Is Naquin just a pure 4th OF or splitting time with Canha and killing his value?
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8:17 |
: I see it being a huge mess in NY. And it might not be over.
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8:18 |
: What % on Jake McCarthy in a 12 teamer or ignore?
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8:18 |
: It comes down to needs. His SB might be of interest to some teams.
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8:18 |
: In experts leagues do you find other competitors carry biases about certain players or positions and as such are hard to make trades with based on errrr… man crushes on certain players ..
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8:19 |
: In keeper, for sure. I usually find 4-5 guys who are always willing to trade to make move.
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8:20 |
: That’s going to be it for tonight
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8:20 |
: I need to give my teams a quick look.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.