Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:30 |
: Good evening.
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7:31 |
: First, here are the winning bids in the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
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7:31 |
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7:32 |
: As always, I’m going to try to get to all the FAAB and waiver questions before I get to any trade and prospect questions.
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7:32 |
: Any interest in Maximo Castillo? Deep leagues for sure but looked decent in relief, fanning 7 in 4 innings of relief and might get a start this week
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7:33 |
: Not yet but it wouldn’t take much in the current starting pitcher landscape
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7:33 |
: Good Evening Jeff. Need to pick up a SP in an NL 4×4. Would you please rank ROS: J. Alexander, P. Espino, A. Pallante, & D. Peterson. Much obliged!
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7:34 |
: I haven’t even dug this deep. Peterson is the easy #1. Probably Alexander, Espino, and finally Pallante.
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7:34 |
: any general thoughts on Josh smith? 10 team AL only, waivers pretty dry, 3b/ss eligible. Duran sent down, leading off, lotta talent, seems more than worth a flyer?
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7:35 |
: He’ll be added in all formats where Duran was rostered.
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7:35 |
: It’s add him this week in those leagues or miss out.
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7:36 |
: will jj abrams get enuf at bats to be worthwhile ros in h2h?
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7:36 |
: I doubt it or be able to hit the ball with authority.
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7:37 |
: Hi Jeff. Seems like your high on Olivares. Him or Dozier (obp league)? I’m worried Olivares might be in a platoon, though I like the skills.
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7:37 |
: Oliveras easy over Dozier. 20/20 don’t show up on the wire every week.
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7:38 |
: Hi Jeff, in a 14 team OBP and Total bases dynasty league where I’m in 5th who would you drop to bring Wander off the IL, all $ similar and position doesn’t matter: Carlson, Olivares, McCutchen, Naylor, Flores, Espinal, Y Gurriel, Morel?
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7:38 |
: Naylor (might be in a platoon), Gurriel (struggling), Flores (might not play all the time in SF)
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7:38 |
: Noah Syndergaard, Paul Blackburn, Mitch White, Jon Heasley ROS for some one last in strikeouts. You the man Jeff. You’re bit on White today has me excited.
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7:40 |
: This is ROS, not next few starts. Thor, Blackburn, Heasley, White. I could see White bounce around from the bullpen to starting
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7:40 |
: Is Matt Vierling now a decent OF play with Harper having a serious ouchie?
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7:40 |
: He and Herrera should now have full-time at-bats which makes them viable in some deeper formats.
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7:41 |
: Rich Hill is getting wins and looking ugly doing it. Trust him @CHC or pick a waiver guy (Heasely, Kremer) or rp? Thanks!
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7:41 |
: Stick with Hill compared to those options.
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7:41 |
: more useful in OBP league with 16 MLB teams to draw from, ROS: Josh Smith, Lenyn Sosa, Gerardo Perdomo? Any of them likely to have a starting job next year?
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7:42 |
: I’d go with Smith. He might not be at 3B. He was being used in the outfield in AAA
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7:42 |
: How deep a league should I be in to start Tristan MacKenzie v Twins? I like his arm, but they hit a bunch on homers off him last week.
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7:42 |
: 10 teamer. It comes down to the other options.
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7:42 |
: Is it worth hunting down saves with Hunter Strickland or is he just another Cincy BP Flavor-of-the-Week?
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7:43 |
: I’d stay away.
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7:44 |
John Schreiber (BOS) will get some run as closer with Houck not going to Toronto. Also, Trevino looks to be the closer in Oakland. It’s it for closers.
: For those after saves. |
7:44 |
: Going to attempt to add Edward Olivares off of waivers & drop a P. But,with O’Neill coming back this week I would need to drop a bat : S.Espinal, J.Turner, Luis Garcia, H.Bader, ? Deep mixed roto
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7:45 |
: Probably Espinal
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7:45 |
: Does moving to lead off make Josh Smith viable in a 12 team mixed roto league? Would you take him or Alek Thomas
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7:45 |
: Thomas for sure over Smith.
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7:45 |
: One sec on Smith in 12 teams.
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7:47 |
: In the NFBC 12 team leagues (OC), Duran was 86% rostered before getting demoted. I expect Smith will end up with a similar roster%
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7:47 |
: scale of 1-10, how would you prioritize grabbing Bello in h2h league, keep for next year
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7:47 |
: 1
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7:47 |
: At one point is the roster spot more important than the value? (Ie, taking a middle infielder I like less just to clear room)? (Sorry for the half question)
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7:49 |
: This is tough and is set by your gut, but the key for me is to never (99% of the time) take a zero. Not getting stats is a killer
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7:49 |
: Thanks as always for your work. How would you rank Naylor, Kiriloff, Olivares, and Paredes in a 12 teamer?
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7:50 |
: Oliveras, Paredes, Kiriloff, Naylor (possibly in a platoon)
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7:50 |
: Brooks Raley getting the save today, no sign of Pochen in tb. Worth chasing in al only or not worth the headache?
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7:51 |
: Don’t chase for the Save. If you add him, just start every week and by the season’s end he’ll have 6 to 8 Saves and 6 to 8 Wins. That’ll play
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7:51 |
: In an AL only had a couple of pitchers hit the IL. Best options to replace are relievers Jax, Bautista. Starters kremer, smeltzer and bubic. Which 2 would you pick? Or how do you rank these?
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7:52 |
: Bubic and Bautista (Lopez trade) then Jax ………………Smeltzer, Kremer
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7:52 |
: Any thoughts on moving Giolito for Lauer, Gore or Wainwright?
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7:52 |
: Hell no
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7:52 |
: What % would you go for Cruz in an nl only where you can’t get players until they are active?
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7:52 |
: 80%
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7:52 |
: who would you prioritize: Edward Olivares or Jarren Duran? Mixed deep daily roto
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7:53 |
: Yes, but very close. One issue is that Duran probably can’t make the trip to Toronto
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7:53 |
: Need an OF sub…12 teamer….dynasty….Olivares, Kepler, Rosario may be top options…bonus would be SB/triples…both are categories….
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7:53 |
: Olivares for me
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7:53 |
: Thoughts on what Texas will do with Steven Duggar? Picked him up as a Giant earlier and held on. Can he help?
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7:54 |
: He’s probably just a bench bat
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7:54 |
: Hi Jeff, you’re the man. Really appreciate your insight. Most recent score was Oscar Gonzalez. What do you think? Nico Hoerner or Josh Smith?
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7:54 |
: That’s close. Go with Smith since 3B is a wasteland
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7:55 |
: Jj abrams or n Gordon ros h2h?
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7:56 |
: I might go with Abrams on the upside (also more downside). One note on Gordon, he’s at 9 games at SS so he might get that eligibility in some formats.
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7:57 |
: Part with 1 OF, R. Greene, M. Harris, Verdugo? OBP and H2H category league.
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7:57 |
: Drop Verdugo
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7:57 |
: Where would Brady Singer rank amongst starting pitchers in your waiver column today? Are you still bought in on him?
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7:57 |
: Likely #1. I’m really high on him. He’s just better than the other options.
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7:58 |
: Lou Trivino ahead of Brooks Raley for saves? Worse team/talent vs. Kevin Cash?
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7:58 |
: I’d go with Trivino but I don’t feel good about either one
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7:58 |
: Gallegos with virtually no save opps lately. Could the Cards go back to a committee or is it strictly Helsley’s job? I could dump Gallegos for a bleh closer type like Trevino or Strickland, but I’m as worried about the Cards messing with me as I am about the latter’s blow up hurting my ratios. What say you?
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7:58 |
: I’d stick with Gallegos but the situation sure stinks
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7:59 |
: Ken Giles got into a close game today. LeClerc had 2 k’s in his clean inning. Are these watches or adds for saves in small bench al only?
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7:59 |
: Not for me, I’d prefer Swanson or Morgan
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7:59 |
: About to drop Yepez in NFBC 12s…mistake?
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8:00 |
: No, not at all. Right now he’s barely a streamer in 12-teamers.
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8:00 |
: It’s the one format I know best, I have 10 NFBC 12-teamers
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8:00 |
: Brady Singer’s numbers seem pretty good. Low walk rate, 50% GB rate before today. Is he a good sleeper ROS?
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8:01 |
: Yep. He should have been rostered for weeks
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8:01 |
: Jacob Meyers worth a pickup in 12s or 15s?
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8:02 |
: I’m pretty sure he’ll be added in all leagues with a pulse. He might have sneaked by, but with McCormick getting demoted and Brantly hurt, Meyers might end up being expensive
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8:03 |
: Max Muncy or Nick Senzel ROS in 6×6 roto with OPS?
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8:03 |
: Senzel
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8:03 |
: 12 team QS league. Rank your preference…Roansy, Civale, DeSclafini, Stripling
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8:03 |
: Stripling, Disco, Roansy …………Civale
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8:03 |
: 5×5 roto, 10 teams. Would you bench any of Grichuk/McCutchen/Laureano for Kirilloff? My team’s 2nd in batting points but the back end of my OF is pretty weak.
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8:04 |
: Probably not, but you should see what is their weekly projection and start the best two
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8:04 |
: NL only. Need a quality late reliever for good ERA and ratio with some scenario for saves. Luis Garcia (SD) or Joe Mantiply (AZ)? Thank you!
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8:04 |
: Garcia
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8:05 |
: 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper. Picked up Riley Greene for $26. Been offered Pivetta $1 or Gilbert $9. Not much on waiver wire to replace Greene (Sheets, Marwin Gonzalez, Arroyo). My SPs are Gausman, Ray, Sandoval and Blackburn. Make the trade and for which one?
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8:06 |
: Don’t think about going that low for Greene in a keeper format. You need to get back a top 3 round talent for him
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8:06 |
: Does Jarren Duran stick around and play over Bradley once Hernandez comes back?
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8:06 |
: I don’t know how this will work out. I bet it’s a mess for about a week
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8:07 |
: Hi Jeff. Josh H Smith wasn’t in your (always helpful) ww piece. Led off today. Where would he fit in your matrix? Asking in al obp, fwiw.
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8:07 |
: I missed all the news until later. Let me see where I originally had Duran ranked.
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8:08 |
: Between Choi and Paredes
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8:08 |
: Gavin Sheets available in my 12 team AL only H2H. How much FAAB to bid? Concern is how long will he stay up.
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8:08 |
: Min bid
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8:09 |
: Hi Jeff, thanks for all the last second insight. Is Sal Perez worth a stash in a 12 team roto NFBC league?
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8:09 |
: No, not at all
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8:09 |
: We paid up last week $333 for Riley Greene in our 15-team NFBC league and have entered dollar days. Did we blow it?
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8:10 |
: As long as you can make 4-5 moves per week, you’ll be fine
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8:10 |
: Stripling Sandoval or M. White in a 5×5 Roto?
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8:10 |
: Stripling on talent. Now White and Sandoval might be facing weaker opponents
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8:10 |
: Happy Sunday Jeff. Thank you for all you do. My season just went to hell losing Harper. What do I do now? Hold? Release?
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8:11 |
: Hold for one week for detailed news but he’s likely a drop
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8:11 |
: You playing Tyler andwrson @col this week?
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8:12 |
: I’m trying not to. A ton of middling starters have some rough starts
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8:12 |
: NFBC League…Have Bednar, Joe Barlow, Sewald as closers. Rainey, Puk are on waivers. Worth Dropping Sewald or Seiya Suzuki for either?
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8:13 |
: In a 12, I’d drop Suzuki for Rainey. Otherwise, hold
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8:13 |
: With Brantley maybe hurt and Siri/ChasM demoted, might Dubon get enough pt to be relevant in al only?
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8:13 |
: Maybe, I’m not sure about him.
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8:13 |
: NL only 5×5 roto. What should I do with Villar? Does it make sense to hang on to him and see if anyone picks him up?
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8:14 |
: I’d hold for the week to see if he comes back to the NL. Most only’s are too shallow to lose him
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8:14 |
: Who do you like more short term as the CHW deal with their injuries: Lenyn Sosa or Gavin Sheets?
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8:14 |
: Sosa, but neither really
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8:14 |
: Evening Jeff thanks for all your insight. Rest of season H2H Ramon Laureno or Ryan Mchmhan
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8:14 |
: Laureno
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8:15 |
Kimbrel, Presley, Houck |
8:15 |
: Pressley, Kimbrel, Houck
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8:15 |
: NFBC 12 team League…Worth holding on to Seiya Suzuki, or dropping for J. Duran, S. Kwan,J. Lowe, I. Paredes, J. Suwinski, Rainey, Puk, Lodolo, Freddy Peralta, or Luzardo? Don’t need any one position, just looking for upside or saves.
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8:16 |
: I dropped all my share of Suzuki a couple weeks back and haven’t missed him. You list is fine since is help for this week (no Peralta). I like adding Rainey
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8:16 |
: Do I devote 1 of my 2 IL spots to Salvador Perez for 8 weeks in 12 team roto? I picked up Heim
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8:17 |
: Probably depending of the other options.
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8:17 |
: better claim Mountcastle or Winker for ros?
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8:17 |
: Mountcastle
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8:17 |
: Thanks for answering! So no concern about an Olivares platoon? Sat v righty today with Isbel playing, but has played v both this season.
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8:18 |
: Yes there is a concern, but when does a 20/20 just show up on the wire. Add and then figure out the playing time.
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8:18 |
: Pitching availability is rough these days. How do you rank these potential pickups in a 12 team QS league? Roansy, DeSclafini, Civale, Stripling
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8:19 |
: Stripling, Disco Roansy, Civale
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8:19 |
: Rengifo getting comfortable or just a lucky streak?
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8:19 |
: Lucky IMO, that HR today barely made it out
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8:19 |
: Haw concerned are you about him ROS on a scale of 1 to 10?
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8:19 |
: 9 once he lost the velocity
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8:19 |
: In a vacuum, what the better side in Betts for deGrom and Merrifeld?
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8:20 |
: redraft or keeper matters but in redraft, deGrom easy
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8:20 |
: I still believe there is value lurking in Alex Cobb’s second half. Please talk me out of it.
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8:20 |
: I’m the wrong person to ask, I’m all in with Cobb
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8:21 |
: Ive pretty much locked up last place in saves this year so im gonna chase ratios, do you think Reynaldo Lopez can keep it up? Hes been absolutely lights out lately
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8:21 |
: Yes, he provide positive value in 12-teamers last year
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8:22 |
: Hey Jeff, didn’t you pitch for the Texas Rangers approx. 20 years ago?
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8:22 |
: No, I’m lot a short Canadian. Also, I didn’t get that $10M, 3 year contract.
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8:22 |
: What’s your out look on Eddie rosario he’s making rehab assignment this week
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8:23 |
: This is a mess that could have Rosario, Duvall, and Soler all splitting time between two spots (OF and DH) when Acuna is healthy.
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8:24 |
: Rosario might ruin the fantasy relevance of all three.
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8:24 |
: Thanks for doing these!! Is Albies worth holding in a 15 team mixed?
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8:24 |
: 15-team, probably. He was there in one of my 12’s and I just passed over him
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8:25 |
: Trusting pivetta this week one start at Toronto?
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8:25 |
: Another start I’m trying to find a replacement for.
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8:25 |
: If you had to pick one ROS in points league do you like strider or Ashby?
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8:25 |
: Strider
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8:25 |
: Urias at col or Cobb vs cws?
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8:25 |
: Cobb
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8:26 |
: I hate punting categories but SBs are a lost cause in my 14-teamer. Drop Bader for Kirilloff or Josh Lowe?
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8:26 |
: Both aren’t much of an improvement
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8:26 |
: Josh Lowe worth a $40ish bid in NFBC 12s? Seems like the upside is big even if the K% is scary. He’s going to play with those injuries it appears.
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8:27 |
: He’s a don’t roster for me. The 40% K% makes him unrosterable
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8:28 |
: Guys and Gals, that’s it for the week. I need to give my teams one last look over before NFBC runs their FAAB.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
The guru who 36 hours ago said that Paredes was a similar fantasy value to something called “Jack Siwinski” now values Paredes above Kiriloff and Naylor.