Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:31 |
: Sorry for being a bit late.
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7:32 |
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7:32 |
: Those are the bid in the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
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7:32 |
: Who would you currently rather have (10-T points league): tanner houck or Ryan helsley
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7:32 |
: Houck
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7:33 |
: E Duran or Luis G to replace Ozzie A. I have much IF flexibility in terms of position since I have Luis Urias.
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7:33 |
: Duran for speed, Garcia for power
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7:33 |
: In a 12 teamer, FAB priority? Grisham, A. Rosario, Grossman
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7:34 |
: Depends on need, but no other info probably Rosario, Grisham, Grossman
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7:34 |
: Do you see Moreno sticking w/Jays when Janson returns?
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7:35 |
: Depends on how he’s hitting … and Kirk.
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7:35 |
: Ryan Feltner draws the start Tuesday @ MIA and may draw a 2nd start @ MIN. Fastball and Slider played decently well vs the Padres last time out. Worth a sprinkle of FAAB? (12/15s)
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7:36 |
: I have him down on lists, more as a streamer. Also, I have Kuhl ahead of him.
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7:37 |
: 10 team roto mixed league. Is Muncy with holding on to
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7:37 |
: It comes down to the replacement. I’d drop him for E Duran.
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7:38 |
: I’m getting a ton of prospect questions. I’m not a prospect guy, so they won’t be chosen.
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7:39 |
: Thoughts on Jonah Bride OAK 3B? Good AVG so far matches his profile – worth a bid? Why or why not?
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7:40 |
: A local kid who I’ve followed for a while. He has no power or speed. Think Arraez.
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7:40 |
: If Arraez helps your team, add Bride
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7:40 |
: Do you like Josiah Gray over Stripling?
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7:41 |
: No, not even close for me
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7:41 |
: CJ Abrams is being promoted. Can I expect considerable playing time and a good source of steals. Thanks.
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7:41 |
: Did that happen the first time he was called up? I have no expectation for him but to keep the bench warm.
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7:42 |
: Pick one SP for ROS value (5×5 QS league): Cobb, Stripling, Urquidy, Eflin
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7:42 |
: Cobb
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7:42 |
: How much faab are you spending on Riley Greene and what’s your outlook on him ROS?
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7:43 |
: Greene going to break some teams with 10% to 40% of the original amount being my expectations. There aren’t going to be many other callups, so some managers are going to go big.
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7:43 |
: There’s been an Eloy sighting…when he returns to ChiSox lineup…need to drop an OF…drop Pham (CIN), Thomas (AZ), or Gurriel (TOR)? OBP and SLG redraft league
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7:44 |
: Thomas, not close
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7:44 |
: Losing patience with Nimmo who has always been a great OBP asset but has been slumping and may be hurt (recently got cortisone shot for hand injury). Would you drop for any of the following (12-team 5×5 OBP): J. Rojas, Voit, N. Lowe, J. Duran, Gorman, D. Moore?
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7:44 |
: I’d drop for the first three you listed
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7:44 |
: Safe to drop Albies?
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7:45 |
: Yes, hell yes.
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7:46 |
: I know some other experts will say to hold, but I’m not holding many hurt hitters with so many streaming options. It’s a whole different story with pitchers.
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7:46 |
: Drop or hold tylor megill in nfbc 15 teams?
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7:47 |
: Even with what I said above, I’d consider it. I have a league with nine hurt players. Someone had to go and Megill is going bye bye.
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7:47 |
: Kiriloff or K Calhoun?
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7:48 |
: Kiriloff
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7:48 |
: Thoughts on Strider as FA pick up in 10 team mixed league
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7:48 |
: He’s on the wire? For sure add him
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7:48 |
: Streamer for the week: Rich Hill v DET; Heasley @LAA; Bundy v COL?
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7:49 |
: I’m leaning Healsley. It might be Hill. Hill wasn’t available for me so I didn’t dive in much today
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7:49 |
: For only leaguers, who will be the best player traded at the deadline?
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7:50 |
: No clue and there is a 50/50 shot the player stays in the same league. It’ll be interesting to see if some team jump the gun, especially for bullpen pieces
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7:50 |
: what are your thoughts on encarnacion
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7:51 |
: I just saw the news on the slam and that he was showing some power. I’d add and bench quickly and see his performance over the next week or so
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7:52 |
: All the healthy Rays relievers are on the wire and even a couple extra saves will make a difference — which one to target?
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7:52 |
: I take pride in recommending Adam
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7:52 |
: Hi jeff. Looking for a closer. Rank dominguez hand graveman scott. Thanks
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7:52 |
: Scott, Hand, Dominguez, Graveman
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7:53 |
: Hoping to spec a closer in Texas. Matt Bush? Matt Moore got a save? Dennis Santana?
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7:53 |
: LeClerc
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7:53 |
: Just off the IL
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7:53 |
: Jesus Luzardo worth a stash in a 12 team league?
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7:54 |
: No right now, Tony Disco is an option who is about to come off the IL
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7:54 |
: Whoops. That was what side of a Severino for Kimbrel trade would you want 10 team 5×5 league.
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7:54 |
: Severino
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7:54 |
: Is Old Man Minor worth hanging onto on my Reserve list, NL-only 4×4?
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7:54 |
: No
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7:54 |
: It’s fine to move on
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7:55 |
: I liked your Griffen Jax call-out. Choosing between him and a similarly-roled Keegan Akin. Any preference?
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7:55 |
: Jax
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7:55 |
: Why do you think pundits have missed on players like Drury and Donovan? Is this a fantasy market deficiency that could be remedied by a regular column that looks at players like this who are on the fringes? FGs used to do this occasionally.
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7:56 |
One baseball area not covered in enough detail is young players who no longer have prospect status but haven’t reached about 700 PA/200 IP (the number could vary). They just fly under the radar with little coverage.
Current examples are Luis Garcia (WSH) and Alex Kiriloff. |
7:57 |
: It’s a huge void in the system. Everyone wants to talk about the stars (already rostered) or guys with no experience (no rostered).
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7:58 |
: I try to live on the edges with pitchers (offseason series) but someone could definitely cover hitters.
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7:58 |
: Is Suwinski a must-add now? Is a 3 HR game in a close game more impressive than a 3 HR game in a blowout?
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7:59 |
: I think he was a must-add for weeks and got scolded for bidding too much on him. His cost just went through the roof
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7:59 |
: ROS, Faedo or Stripling?
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8:00 |
: Stripling
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8:00 |
: Bregman was dropped in my league. His last 800 at bats have been blah. Is he an upgrade over Eugenio or S Suzuki?
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8:00 |
: I’d add over Suzuki
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8:00 |
: ROS, are Christian Walker and Voit a tossup?
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8:00 |
: Just stream them like when they head to COL
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8:01 |
: How concerned should I be that Manny Margot hasn’t stolen a base since coming back from the injured list? Am thinking about dropping him in a 12 teamer for Amed Rosario
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8:01 |
: I’d have no problems with dropping him.
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8:01 |
: Hi Jeff! Would you rather stash Haniger or Stephenson in a points w/ K penalty format?
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8:01 |
: Stephenson for me
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8:01 |
: Does Houck stick as closer the rest of the year?
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8:02 |
: No, I think they’ll bring in someone else
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8:02 |
: Does graveman or Hudson get more saves for the next month?
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8:02 |
: Graveman
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8:02 |
: Any signs of optimism for K. Hayes this season? Great statcast power numbers but results have not been there
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8:03 |
: He needs to lift the ball. He’s caught the Yandy Diaz disease
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8:03 |
: Is jakob junis worth a stash in 15 team leagues? seems like he progressing on the quicker side of the timetable according to susan slusser
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8:04 |
: If you have room, yes. I considered it in few leagues
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8:04 |
: I’ve got $20 left in AL only league. Should I blow it all on Riley Greene? We allow $0 bids.
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8:04 |
: ($100 Faab league)
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8:04 |
: I would
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8:04 |
: Hi Jeff – Weird to see Mahle dropped earlier this week. What should % should I expect to see bidding at in a 12-team standard roto. Thanks!
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8:04 |
: 5% to 15%. Maybe more.
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8:05 |
: Straight points league. Christopher Morell or Riley Green rest of season. Thanks Jeff.
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8:05 |
: Take a chance on Greene
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8:05 |
: Better catcher in dynasty points – Kirk or Melendez?
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8:05 |
: Melendez
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8:05 |
: Thanks as always for your time!
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8:05 |
: You’re welcome
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8:06 |
: Does E Duran remain a regular for the rest of the year?
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8:06 |
: If he continues to hit like he is
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8:07 |
: A few weeks back you said you use SwStr% to evaluate pitches, not pitchers. What number do you use to determine if an individual pitch is “good?” Most good strikeout pitchers seem to have an overall SwStr% of 12-15%, but I assume that the list of pitchers who get that by having three different pitches all above 12% is VERY short.
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8:08 |
: And damn that is an old article. Some tag Eno and me in a tweet to see if the values have been rerun. If not, I’ll write them up this week.
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8:08 |
: Better hitter in redraft: Vaughn, Burger, Nate Lowe? Also which rook hitter is best bet: Kiriloff, Jarren Duran, Nolan Gorman, Greene? Thanks.
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8:08 |
: Vaughn and Greene
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8:09 |
: 15 teamer next 2-3 weeks, Arcia, D Moore, Perdomo, Candelaria? Thanks for all your work.
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8:09 |
: Arcia
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8:10 |
: Hi Jeff. I have Riley Greene, Kiriloff & Oneil Cruz in my weekly starting lineup tomorrow. I need to pick 2 of 3: Orlando Arcia, Jake Burger, and/ or Brandon Marsh (who I just traded Alex Bregman for) to lock. What do you think?
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8:10 |
: Not Marsh
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8:10 |
: Who would you speculate on out of this group for saves for ROY? Vest, Lange, Jackson, Acevedo, MMoore, Quijada or Bush.
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8:10 |
: I wouldn’t yet
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8:10 |
: Ashby,Cobb, or Whitlock? 12 team mixed roto
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8:11 |
: Cobb
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8:11 |
: This is a weekly refrain, but looking for middle infield help, al only OBP league: Leury Garcia, Rengifo, Matt Carpenter, Dylan Moore…
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8:11 |
: Rengifo. Also, Arcia is about to get it.
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8:11 |
: I have Melendez in one catcher league. Is Rutschman a better ROS catcher.
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8:11 |
: no
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8:12 |
: How would you prioritize J Rojas, E Duran, and Kirilloff as hitting pickups?
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8:12 |
: Kirilloff, Duran, Rojas
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8:13 |
: Desperate for SPs in a league where 120 SPs are rostered. Rank the following Daniel Lynch, Peterson NYM, Feltner, Kremer o
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8:13 |
: Peterson for me x2 vs MIA
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8:14 |
: I’m in a fight for first, $260 5×5 keeper NL-only. I want to offer Lauer ($4 First Year) and Miguel Vargas ($5 First – on my bench) to a rebuilding team for Kershaw (Last) and Bellinger (Last). I need everything except for HR. Would you trade Lauer & Vargas in my place?
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8:14 |
: Yes, but I bet the other team will want and will get a ton more.
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8:14 |
: Are you willing to roll the dice for the Z. Davies two-step (@SD, DET)? Tigers obviously great matchup and Padres not great at home + no Machado.
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8:15 |
: I’d rather go with a middle releiver
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8:15 |
: Greene is available in my 12 team AL only H2H keeper league using OBP. What % of FAAB would you throw at him? I’ve got 51 of 100 left. My OFers are Mullins, Kiermaier, Gallo, Oscar Gonzalez, Larnach. Will activate Kiriloff. Also have Haniger on reserve. Was going to put Pena on bench if I get Greene.
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8:16 |
: $0 FAAB bids, go all. If you need $1 to make bids, go $40 tops (1 move per week)
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8:17 |
: In a 12tm roto dynasty, I’ve got some previously hot prospects that aren’t looking so good and a couple guys who should be of the IL this week. Of Brujan, Kelenic, and Adell. If you were picking one to drop who would it be?
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8:17 |
: Brujan
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8:17 |
: Desperate for a SB source that won’t tank my OBP. Taking a shot on Dylan Moore in a 10 teamer. Any thoughts on him?
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8:18 |
: Not for me, see if Gonzalez (SFG) or Oliveras are available
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8:18 |
: Cody Bellinger has so much talent (speed, power, defense). Some great years behind him and still young. You still buying?
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8:18 |
: Probably not
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8:18 |
: Do you think Strahm gets shot at Saves for BOS
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8:19 |
: I bet he gets 5-6
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8:19 |
: What do you think Arcia goes for in 15 teamers this week?
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8:19 |
: In the two leagues list at the start, it seems like from 2% to 4% of original FAAB
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8:19 |
: Hey Jeff, is Dany Jimenez fully washed? Who do you like better going forward for SV, Jimenez or Brad Hand? Take a shot on AJ Puk? Thanks for all you do!
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8:20 |
: Hand then Jimenez. I’d try to get both if desperate.
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8:20 |
: Cobb or Flaherty
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8:20 |
: Cobb
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8:20 |
: Please rank McCutchen, L Gonzalez, Naylor, Morel, Carlson in OBP
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8:21 |
: I think this ranking. Morel, Gonzalez, Naylor, Carlson, Mcc
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8:21 |
: Is Kikuchi toast in a 12 team AL only 5×5 league using W+QS and S+H. My SPs would be Gausman, Ray, Blackburn, Sandoval and Winder when he comes off the IL. I can replace Kikuchi with a RP from Joe Kelly, Schreiber, Perez (Balt), Bautista, Stanek, Swanson or Leclerc. I have Joe Barlow now. Thinking Kelly will get both saves and holds if Hendriks stays out long
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8:22 |
: Currently, I have Kikuchi ranked with the likes of Minor and Fedde (not good). I add for Swanson or LeClerc
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8:23 |
: Hey Jeff, who do you like better going forward for saves: Paul Sewald, Jimenez or Brad Hand? Should I take look elsewhere and take a flyer on a guy like Puk or Hudson? Our other closers are Jansen and Poche, with obviously slim pickings on the wire. Thanks for all you do!
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8:23 |
: I’d go Hand, Sewald, and Jimenez
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8:23 |
: Michael Harris or Cal Mitchell? Thanks
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8:24 |
: Harris
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8:24 |
: Drop Singer, Cobb, or Ashby to bring up O’Neil Cruz? Have Lindor in SS already.
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8:24 |
: Trade, someone will want that pitching
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8:24 |
: Who would you rather have ROS in deep NL-only 5×5: Keegan Thompson or Smyly?
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8:24 |
: A rash
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8:25 |
: Thompson, but I’d be looking to move on
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8:25 |
: Specking on a potential closer K Giles vs Leclerc, who are you prioritizing?
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8:25 |
: LeClerec. I don’t like that SEA has two guys getting the job done right now
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8:25 |
: Merrifield droppable in a 10-team OPS league? He’s not even running much lately.
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8:25 |
: Yes
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8:25 |
: Craig Kimbrel is really beginning to worry me. Is it time to get Daniel Hudson? I can also get Jorge Lopez or Ryan Helsley.
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8:26 |
: I think Kimbrel managers adding Hudson. Hopefully you will use two roster spots for one closer
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8:26 |
: Is this the S+H (roto) priority: Graveman, Montero, Poche?
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8:27 |
: Poche, Graveman, Montero
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8:27 |
: Last question, do you prefer Kole Calhoun or Suwinski the rest of the way? Thanks!
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8:27 |
: Suwinski on the upside. I could change my mind in a week
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8:28 |
: Tyrone Taylor or Franchy Cordero for the next couple weeks?
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8:28 |
: Taylor
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8:28 |
: who would you prioritize: Suwinski or L Gonzalez?
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8:29 |
: This is close, Suwinskie for power, Gonzalez for speed
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8:30 |
: That’s it for tonight. I need to give my NFBC teams a quick look before FAAB runs in 30. -Jeff
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
So many questions trying to get Jeff to choose someone other than Cobb. He was having none of it.