Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome everyone. Tonight I’m sipping on some Early Times Bottled in Bond.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman: Tout Wars changed hosts and we are still having issues getting all the league public, so I just have the results from the 15-team auction that I’m in.

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:32
see gee: I’m looking for some high-risk, high-upside starting pitchers to gamble on early in the season. Who comes to mind?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Brown, Roupp, Severino, Smith-Shawver

7:33
Alex Cora: Did I mess Devers up with my whole you’re my 3B now you’re my DH switcheroo

7:34
Jeff Zimmerman: No … I think someone is still pouting and needs to accept reality.

7:34
Dyer: Are you buying into Tork? Still looks suspicious to me.  The K rate and launch angle low.

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: I think this will be the last week to get him if it’s real. I like adding as a bench bat. It’s impossible to find 30 HR bats on the wire.

7:35
GR: Drop Kikuchi for Casey Mize or Kris Bubic? Or wait and see

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Wait for him, the start was fine

7:36
Nolan Jones: Deep-as-it-gets 12 Team AL Only Roto – How much are you bidding from a $100 budget on Nolan Jones? (My league mates tend to over bid on guys like this).

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: $5 at most

7:36
Mike: Sal Frelick started three games, two against tough lefties.  Move the needle any or is he just a singles hitter with some speed?

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s not moving the needle just yet.

7:37
KyleSchwarberTheNextPhils1B: Is Gavin Williams a must hold in 12 team mixed? I’m OK at pitching & would probably drop him for Victor Scott.

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: I hope your name is right.

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: As for the question, it comes down to team needs so dropping Williams for Scott is acceptable since they were going in similar parts of the draft.

7:39
SL: Pickup for next week: Fitts, Roupp or Hancock?

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: In that order

7:39
Chip: I dropped Goldschmidt for Soderstrom in a 12-team H2H league with OBP and slugging. Thought I’s take a chance on the young man’s upside. Too crazy?

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: Possible but depends on the league depth. In a 10-teamer with just 10 hitter slots, Goldy might belong on the Waiver Wire.

7:40
Mike: Kepler sat today against a lefty after starting against Gore opening day. Worth picking up and/or holding in 12-team, 5 OF league?

7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: Don’t read too much into this first weekend when everyone gets to play. Give it another week to see if it’s a trend.

7:41
Guest: Please rank these Cs ROS for roto: Bo Naylor, Danny Jansen, Goodman, Amaya, Endy Rodriguez. I’m leaning Naylor and Goodman.

7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: Goodman for sure. The other one is between Naylor, Jansen, and Amaya

7:42
Bargain buyer: Who was the hitter you had ranked in the 40s that was going in the 120s before Vegas? Happ or Luis Garcia, perhaps?

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: I said player and it was Sonny Gray. Then he got hurt so I backed off adding him since he was on all my other teams.

7:43
Nils: Tylor McGill – How much FAB % would you recommend ?

7:44
Jeff Zimmerman: Good 5%.

7:44
Anselm: Hi and thanks for all the work — am in a 12 team 5×5 roto league with sv/holds. Thinking of dropping Kjerstad for Vesia or Santillan — doesn’t seem like Kjerstad has regular playing time and I could use another RP. Do you have a preference?

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d do the drop and I don’t have a read on either reliever. I usually have a tool set up that looks at recent usage and talent to target S/H guys but I don’t have it working yet.

7:45
Hawk: Any thoughts on who closes for the Reds?

7:47
Jeff Zimmerman: The hot hand and right now only the Giblet is out of the mix.

7:47
Bullpen: Yo, I need saves plus holds. Do you like any of cano, halverson, estevez, finnegan, Harvey, minter. Thanks!

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe Cano, I might look at better arms who might get holds like Staten, Santillan, or Martin (TEX)

7:48
Fubo Sasaki: Do you think Sasaki’s been bad enough that he’s at risk of getting sent down?

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: I know I won’t start him next week. I think they at least give him a couple more shots.

7:49
Hurting at MI: How would you rate these MI in 15 team ROS: Perdomo, Muncy, Polanco, Moore

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: OK Guys and gals, make sure to designate which Max Muncy and don’t use their birthdate.

7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ll assume it’s the A’s Muncy. I’d go Polanco, Muncy, Perdomo, Moore

7:51
KC: Canning vs TOR, Paddack vs CHW/HOU, or Roupp vs HOU?

7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: Paddack

7:51
Fitzy: Tylor McGill 10% FAB should do the trick or would you risk more (if so how much)… Thx

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Depends on the league depth. I could see 1% work or in an NL-only, 50% might be right.

7:52
Andrew Triggskaedekaphobia: SS is looking like a spot I’ll be churning early on. How would you rate options like Winn, Otto, and Story. Worth stashing one of the H.Kim’s?

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Otto is the easy call and Tampa’s Kim is worth a stash

7:53
i need OF: whats a reasonable FAAB % for abreu

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: Please include league depth. Maybe 3%. I’m wondering if he had his best weekend of the season.

7:54
Fanballer: Why the bid on Dennis Santana?

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: no_body_knows.gif

7:55
Hazmat Corntail: Where would Miguel Vargas be on your list this week? I’m in a 14t H2H dynasty 7×7 (standard 5, BB, TB)…I have Bohm at 3B and lost Jung again. Is it frustration or sense talking when I think about moving on and not go through more of what I went through already with Nick Senzel?

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: I like Vargas for 2-3 weeks. He’s playing and could break out while covering the 3B and OF. A great option to have a bench bat

7:57
A-S-S: AJ was giving up some loud, square contact tonight – adjusting your rankings based on this start?

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: No, not on square contact … check Ball%

7:58
Jeff Zimmerman: Three walks in 4 IP. The old ASSman is back

7:58
Jjjeffreyyy: Last one for my deep AL only, standard roto. Could use a backup 3B. Its daily lineups and volume matters. 3B is the only position i dont have backed up. Moncada or Lenyn Sosa worth a pickup? ($5 minimum bid, $200 budget). Would probably be dropping Trey Sweeney

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d only go with 1% on those two. Arias is another 3B to consider for min bid.

7:59
KCBBq: How much FAAB would you risk on suspect closer Clevinger and co-closer Luke Jackson in 1 12 team AL only H2H keeper league? We start off with $100.

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m thinking it’ll take 10%

8:00
Back at it!: And thank you! These chats help every year!

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: You’re welcome

8:00
Dyer: Always chasing saves . . . take a shot at Slaten or Halvorsen?

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Halvorsen

8:00
Mike: Who do you like in the Tigers bullpen for saves?

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: brieske

8:01
I need two men!: Need to fill two OF spots in deep AL-Only (12 team, 5×5, $100 faab budget). I need speed but would rather just grab the best available, who’s worth more than $1 and who are your priorities??
Nolan Jones, Refsnyder, Pillar, Straw, Misner, Davis Schnieder, McKinstry, Ezequiel Duran, Canha, Austin Slater, Travis Jankowski, Michael Taylor.

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: Jones and that’s it. Min bids on the rest until better players emerge

8:02
M: whod you rather add  M. Meyer or Tylor megill? Also Mountcastle a drop for Torkelson? General thoughts on all players appreciated too.

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: I had Megill over Meyer during drafts, Megill. The Tork one is close because Mountcastle could still breakout with the new park

8:03
Steve: Im in a head to head points league where a lot of times it can be more advantageous to start SP’s that have RP eligibility than starting an actual closer in the RP slots. Wesneski, Roupp, Ben Brown and Liberatore are on the wire. How would you rank those 4?

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: Brown, Wesneski (2 starts in 2 weeks), Roupp ….. Liberatore

8:04
Toolsy: Manzardo was a high obp guy in minors. Playing vs lhp too. Are you expecting him to be productive in obp formats? Is this a hot streak or a young guy making adjustments?

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: Hot streak. A .500 BABIP and 50% HR/FB won’t last

8:05
Dyer: Hanging on to PCA, so don’t talk me out of it. Also riding out Buxton’s few weeks of health. Drop either for Triple Crown candidate Wilyer?

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d hold

8:05
Mike: Hi Jeff, Jose carballo was dropped last week I could use some speed def would like your recommendations on him and fabb price thanks

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: I think it’ll be minimal, 1% to 2% in mixed leagues

8:06
Brett: In a 16 teamer is Gabriel Arias a good fill-in for J-Ram?

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably, not much for 3B on the wire

8:06
Nik: Drop Drake Baldwin for Dillon Dingler in a 15 tm lg?

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: No, give Balwin another week.

8:07
Paul: Thoughts on Doval as a spec add to see how the Walker injury plays out?

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: Worth a dart

8:07
Brett: is david hamilton a hold or drop?

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: Drop right now

8:07
Oh right, the waiver wire: Are all the Yankees going to get a million home runs with the torpedo bats? Will they ever be held to single digits again?

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: We’ll see, it’s just one series

8:08
Pitchering: I don’t think these guys made it into your (always essential) WW piece: Hayden Wesneski or Simeon Woods Richardson?

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: Both were highly rostered. Wesneski for sure with a nice upcoming schedule. I’m not a fan of Woods-Richardson and would not look to add him

8:09
Guest: Closer situation in sf ?

8:09
Jeff Zimmerman: Walker once healthy

8:09
Young Rays: Kameron Misner or Jake Mangum worth more than a buck to ya in an al-only league?

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe, both would just be a fill-in

8:10
What is a man?: What to do with Willson Contreras?  Too early to drop?

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, too early

8:11
Daro: Willi Castro or Story as a Trea replacement in case he doesnt play?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: Castro

8:11
Poppy: Where would Lourdes Gurriel rank in your waiver article?

8:11
Jeff Zimmerman: At the top. He should be close to 100% rostered

8:12
Ceiling or floor: Drop Bailey for Goodman? 5×5 obp

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes

8:12
Pressly: Droppable in S+H? I can get H without the ratio explosions

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: Hope the guy you pick up doesn’t explode.

8:13
KCBBq: How much FAAB (start out with 100) to throw at Kristian Campbell, Rice and Cam Smith in 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H league?

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d expect each to go for over $50. Getting now would be huge compared to waiting for the trade deadline

8:15
Guest: Sipping Bulleit and a big ice cube. Building my own spreadsheet tool for a 12 team, NL only auction. May dog have mercy on my soul.

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: Prayers for you brother.

8:15
Joe G: Wesneski over Civale going forward?

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: Today …yes

8:16
B: Are either of Griffin Conine or Dane Myers worth more than a min bid in 15 team roto?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: No, not right now

8:16
Shoeless Joe: Did not see Walker was hurt.  Is it worth a spec add of Doval and do you think Grant Holmes is that expendable?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: I saw it was his back and they expect him back soon, let check to see if the news has changed.

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: Could throw tomorrow

8:18
Frank: Hey Jeff, thanks for doing these chats!  What % of FAAB would you throw at Luke Jackson in a 15 Team NFBC?

8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: I think it’s in the $50 to $100 range. The one warning with Jackson is that he’s bad pitcher and could be out of the job next week.

8:20
Matty Boyd: Impressed with Boyd’s gem today? E Rod’s? It was quite a throwback game today.

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: I didn’t walk much, I was traveling for my son’s soccer match

8:20
Shane Smith: Thoughts on this guy? How much out of $100 you sending on him? (AL Only)

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: 1% … I want to see more

8:21
Vader: Hi Jeff…. I’ve got to choose between picking up Leiter, Springs, Roupp or Burke

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: Springs

8:21
Catcherq: I have H Goodman and Tyler Stephenson in a 13 team, one catcher league. Am I safe to drop Stephenson?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: You might just stream catchers in this league based on matchup. You have 18 options each week. Go with the best one.

8:22
Orlo: % of FAAB would you spend in 12 teamer where Luzardo was on waivers?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: 15%. Possibly more

8:23
KCBBq: Drop Baez and bid a couple FAAB on Walls in 12 team AL only 5×5 league?

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: You’re replacing one bad player with another bad player. Hold

8:23
Dave: Bench Depth… pickup Jake cronenworth or Joey Ortiz??

8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: Ortiz for me

8:24
Rando Question: Do you try not to roster players that you have a hard time rooting for in real life ? (For say, social/political reasons, or if they’ve said or done something harmful or violent in the past?)

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: I have to once I starting putting my cash into the league. If someone feels it’s wrong to add them, I wouldn’t play in any cash league.

8:25
comish4lif: To accommodate 1 owner, we moved our Auction to next Saturday. Hurry up and wait….

8:25
Phil: Megill or AJSS?

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: Megill

8:26
MisterMet: Justin Martinez or Luke Jackson?  Thanks.

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: This were it gets hard. I’d stay with Martinez but I feel this suggestion has about a 40% chance of being wrong.

8:27
Chris: Why did Gregory Soto for Baltimore go for over 100 in AL Tout? Can there really be that many chances to fill in for Bautista until he can go back to back and if so, is Soto clearly the guy?

8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: Could just be an error by the manager.

8:27
lazy: Panic on Ober and the velo drop?

8:28
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe, I feel he’ll be over analyzed over the next few days.

8:29
Jeff Zimmerman: That’s it for tonight. I need to look over my NFBC bids. See everyone next week.





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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TheBabboMember since 2019
1 month ago

Re Santana @7:54: he’s_next_up_behind_Bednar_who_is_struggling.gif