Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:32 |
: Welcome.
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7:32 |
: Here are the winning bids in the three 15-team Tout Wars leagues.
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7:33 |
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7:33 |
: Should I drop Waldrep for Baz?
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7:34 |
: Probably … close
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7:34 |
: Thanks for the chat, Jeff. 13 team mixed would you cut Heim ffor Sean Murphy or Stephenson?
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7:34 |
: With those options, I’d just stream that week’s best option.
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7:35 |
: 13 team mixed redraft. K Crawford next 3 starts – PHI NYY @ CIN. Would you drop him for Woods-Richardson or MR like Gaddis Vesia Minter? League counts Saves+Holds. Thanks
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7:35 |
: I don’t think so
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7:35 |
: Pablo screams buy low according to experts. This could just be a terrible year. What do you think? Thanks
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7:36 |
: Buy low/hold.
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7:36 |
: Thanks again Jeff. Where would Brandon Lowe fall on your list of waiver wire hitters?
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7:37 |
: Could be number one. It’s close so if you have a specific need, take care of it.
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7:37 |
: Stay patient with Langford in redraft? FAs available include Ramos, Burleson. Thank you
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7:37 |
: With those options, I’d move on.
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7:37 |
: Are you holding me in standard 12 team redraft rotisserie leagues?
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7:37 |
: Depends on the WW options.
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7:38 |
: Are you buying into my underlying stats in my last few games? Can I be a late early season break out?
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7:38 |
: I don’t buy it. He’s had hot stretches before. One sec to show my test method …
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7:40 | : I use the 40-day rolling average for a overall talent stat. He’s had better stretches in 2021 and 2022: |
7:41 |
: This week only, need MI help. A. Toro, Jp Crawford and DeJong all on the wire, who do you like best if bids are equal?
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7:41 |
: Toro, I pretty sure he has the best weekly projection.
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7:42 |
: how long ago did Adell become unrosterable in standard formats?
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7:42 |
: He still acceptable with the 11 HR and 9 SB.
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7:42 |
: Think McCormick will play regularly with Tucker out?
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7:42 |
: Not with Lopefido promoted
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7:43 |
: Hi Jeff, thanks in advance for these weeklies — in a 13 team weekly rotisserie league (SV,K, WHIP, W, ERA) Do I drop MacArthur for either Estrada or Jax or punt a 2nd closer this week (Mason Miller) for a Josè Soriano or Suarez 2-step and make a trade until Devin Williams returns?
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7:43 |
: Don’t chase Saves that aren’t there. Go with the starters
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7:44 |
: Who are the relievers that could be possible closer stashes with the trade deadline on the horizon?
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7:44 |
: I’ve been horrible at this the past few seasons. One year, all the setup men were traded for to be setup men.
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7:45 |
: Also, I’m not guessing with two months to go
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7:45 |
: Hello. 10 team roto. Currently have Fry at C. Should I keep Fry or pick up O Hoppe or Y Diaz ROS? Thanks.
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7:45 |
: Keep Fry
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7:45 |
: Time to give up on Chourio? Available options: Thanos O’Neil, Heliot Ramos, JP Crawford, Pages, India. Any you wouldn’t cut?
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7:46 |
: Ramos and Pages
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7:46 |
: Is Jasson worth 20% of my remaining FAAB?
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7:47 |
: Possibly more. I’m 40% of the initial is what it would take. Also, check to see where you stand in the league’s FAAB hierarchy.
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7:48 |
: Doval was dropped. Format combines Saves and Holds. BB rate super high. Would be releasing either Verlander or Crawford? Make the move? Drop who? Thank you
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7:48 |
: Yes and probably Crawford
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7:48 |
: Yanier Diaz was somehow dropped. I’m sitting with Jeffers and S Murphy. Would you bid on Yanier to replace either of them?
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7:49 |
: Yes, but with a low bid. He’s not a huge upgrade. Save your FAAB for difference makers.
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7:49 |
: Think Hoerner needs to go. Would you pick up Winn or N Gonzalez? Or even Otto Lopez or Amador? Please advise.
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7:50 |
: I’d hold for now but you might need a weekly replacement.
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7:50 |
: Am I someone to pickup in any format?
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7:51 |
: I’m not interesting in 12’s I expect others to out perform him
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7:51 |
: Zack Littell’s RoS ERA projection: 3.58 (ZiPS), 4.20 (Steamer). When there is a divergence, do you choose one projection system over another?
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7:53 |
: I’d bet on the divergence being from splitting time between starting and relieving.
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7:53 |
: Who do you like better for 2024? Tyler Locklear or Kyle Manzardo?
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7:53 |
: I don’t have faith in either one
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7:54 |
: In a 15 team NFBC with a clusterf*** of OFs after Acuna’s injury, would you generally try to play matchups each week or just try to play guys with the best ROS projection? OFs include guys like H Bader, E Rosario, S Frelick, L Gurriel, M Tauchman, & L Raley. Seems impossible to pick the right ones each week.
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7:54 |
: Just play week to week depending on the watch.
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7:54 |
: Ask Terrry how much he’s bidding on Doval – we might be in the same league
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7:54 |
: Terrrry….
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7:55 |
: You giving up on Ober yet?
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7:55 |
: Depends on league depth. I have him valued at 4.44 ERA pitcher
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7:55 |
: Is the Martian really worth stashing with Verdugo, Soto, Judge, and Stanton all starting and doing well?
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7:56 |
: Do you think all four will stay healthy for the rest of the season.?
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7:56 |
: Is Drew Thorpe worth 20% of FAAB? Deep 14 team.
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7:57 |
: No, but people will go high. He pitches for the White Sox. I’d take a chance on some other arms like Mazur and Povich
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7:57 |
: AL only OBP league. Had France manning the CI. Pick up his called up replacement Locklear, or try Gio Urshela or Nolan Schanuel?
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7:57 |
: In AL only, take a chance on Locklear
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7:58 |
: Hi! IL move for an of, how would you rank conforto, Ramos, burleson, friedl, Rafaela. Thanks!
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7:58 |
: Burleson, Friedl, Ramos, Rafaela ………..Conforto.
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7:59 |
: Is Heliot Ramos the real deal?
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7:59 |
: No idea but it’s the last week to find out.
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7:59 |
: Thanks for doing these chats Jeff. If you needed pitching in a 15 teamer, and G. Crochet became available, how much would you bid on him in an NFBC league?
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8:00 |
: At least 20%
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8:00 |
: It seems like in today’s era, more and more teams have bench players that share time compared to the past. The implications on a fantasy roster means we are stocking our teams with more part-time players than ever. This requires some skill and lots of luck.
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8:00 |
: Yes. And anyone who has a full-time role come at premium
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8:01 |
: Add Max Meyer if that means you have to start him or Buehler?
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8:01 |
: Add Meyer now
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8:01 |
: Do you see Jason Dominguez getting called up to the Yanks and getting playing time?
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8:01 |
: Once someone heads to the IL
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8:01 |
: Rank these 2-steps: Paddack, Arrighetti, Mikolas
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8:02 |
: Paddack ……Mikolas …………….Arrighetti
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8:02 |
: Now, if you can take a WHIP hit, start Arrighetti
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8:02 |
: At this point am I just wasting my time stashing Jordan Walker and his sub .700 AAA OPS?
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8:02 |
: yes
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8:03 |
: 12 team roto. Drop Bradley, Fedde or Pfadt for Waldrep?
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8:03 |
: I’d sit with what you have
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8:03 |
: Joey Estes worth rostering in AL only? Drop Bubic for him?
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8:03 |
: Estes is worth adding 15-teams. Feel free to move on from Bubic
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8:04 |
: NL 5×5 keeper, worth paying a top 50 prospect to upgrade from E Suarez & Jake Burger to Albies and Bohm?
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8:04 |
: yes
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8:04 |
: drop aranda for Thorpe in a 15 team roto?
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8:04 |
: It all comes down to your needs
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8:05 |
: IL stash players like Eloy, Carter, Ray, or Noot, or go for someone more immediate like Marsh?
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8:06 |
: If Marsh is available, add him. Feel free to stash guys depending on needs. If you need Saves. Williams might be a nice add
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8:06 |
: You think Springer is coming around or a cut in 12s with the jays going on a calendar year+ of suck?
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8:06 |
: I cut for Burleson last week.
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8:07 |
: Drop Reese Olson or Tylor Megill for Hunter Brown? Astros better offense and Brown may be turning a corner?
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8:07 |
: I’d hold the pair
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8:07 |
: 13 team mixed – ROS Arenado, Miranda, or Noelvi? Thanks!
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8:08 |
: Arenado, Miranda, Noelvi.
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8:08 |
: Kelenic a drop?
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8:08 |
: Yes. I’m not sure he was draftable
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8:08 |
: Gleyber or India ROS?
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8:08 |
: Gleyber
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8:08 |
: Is Carson Spiers following in Ben Brown’s footsteps. Overlooked former high prospect that started pitching middle relief but may be a solid starter this year?
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8:09 |
: I think Brown’s talent was ahead of Spiers and the transition won’t be as smooth
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8:09 |
: Would you drop Ward for Heliot?
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8:09 |
: No
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8:10 |
: Which call up from this week excites you the most for rest of season and dynasty?
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8:10 |
: Horwitz. All the recent pitcher have a huge number of warts.
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8:10 |
: At what point do you start believing in a guy who has been bad all season? I’m particularly thinking about Rowdy Tellez, who has either had a good week, or has turned it around in Milwaukee, but has done nothing else so far.
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8:11 |
: I usually don’t. There needs to be a reason behind the struggles or breakout
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8:11 |
: Hi Jeff, in a head points league who would you trust this week for 2 starts: James Paxton (Texas, K.C) or Joey Estes (S.D, Minn) Thanks
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8:12 |
: Estes more than Paxton.
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8:12 |
: Am I a drop in 14 man redraft OBP? CI market is awful.
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8:12 |
: You at least need a replacement while he figures things out
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8:13 |
: The team said he’s headed to the bench
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8:13 |
: Hi Jeff, would u drop Civale and pick up Max Meyer? Or still be patient with him?
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8:13 |
: Get Meyer
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8:13 |
: J.Meyers seems to have cooled. Do you prefer B.Perkins or Siri in a 12 teamer?
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8:13 |
: Meyers
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8:13 |
: MJ Melendez worth a flyer for this/next season? How much FAAB IN 12 team AL only 5×5?
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8:13 |
: Min bid
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8:14 |
: Fell for the Julien hype. 12 team AL only Roto. Thin free agent pool. Down to $42 in FAAB. Floating 2nd to 3rd place all year. Anything here to bid on: Locklear, Spencer Horowitz, V Robles, Ernie Clement, Garrett Hampson, Johnathan Singleton. Need at least 2 recommendations
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8:15 |
: Horowitz. Also, … Daniel Schneemann might be worth a $1 bid
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8:15 |
: Hi can be kept a four keeper league for a last round draft pick a 12 team roto league, who should I be targeting to be traded for? A Top ____ player.
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8:15 |
: No idea, look for similar trades in your league
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8:16 |
: My 3B/CI is Muncy, Ortiz, CES and Caminero. Pretty strong everywhere else. Hold out for the hope of 2 months of Caminero or let him go for the likes of Miranda or Malloy for a week or 3?
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8:16 |
: Go get Miranda
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8:17 |
: 13 teamer, dynasty and keep 20, I lead in saves by 20 over 2nd, and 27 on 3rd…dealt Iglasis for Arozarena (gambling for HR/RBI) and considering moving Suarez for picks. Still have Alvarado and Helsley–currently in 3rd place…I’m bottom 3 in HR/RBI…lost Acuna/Trout so far….Would you deal Keller for Robert too? I know Robert oft injured, but upside huge…Still have strong SP (Flaherty, Gausman, Sanchez, Ryan, Little, Burned, Brown)….VERY competitive league and SP is usually tough to get….
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8:17 |
: I will answer the one question, yes I would trade Keller or Robert
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8:18 |
: Am I a drop for Miranda/sheets in OBP 14man? CI wire is bad (league has 7 IL….)
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8:18 |
: Miranda for sure
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8:18 |
: Worth a stash?
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8:18 |
: sure
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8:18 |
: Prefer Cade Smith, Kerkering, Holderman, or Stanek for this week, Cleveland has only five games, Holderman goes to Col., and Kerkering to Cincy.
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8:19 |
: Stanek with the hope he get a closer’ role
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8:19 |
: is Davis Schneider worthy as OF bat ROS in a 10 team roto mixed league
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8:20 |
: It might be close in a 10
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8:20 |
: if ohoppe, jeffers and wong are available on waivers, should i just rotate my catchers based on sked?
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8:20 |
: Just stream based on matchups
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8:21 |
: Will Henry Davis ever be rosterable?
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8:21 |
: No
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8:22 |
: 64% K% since returning from the minors
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8:22 |
: Nl only do you want waldrep over a pretty good reliever type? What % would you bid?
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8:22 |
: I’d take a chance on him over relievers but I’d not start him
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8:23 |
: Is vientos a clear upgrade over E. Montero (NL only)?
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8:23 |
: Yes
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8:23 |
: Is Xavier Edwards a good $1 FAAB in NL only
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8:23 |
: Yes and maybe in 15’s
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8:25 |
: I’m hitting a wall, so I’m calling it for tonight. Good luck over the rest of the season.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.