Sunday FAAB & Waiver Wire Chat
7:29 |
: Sorry for the late notice. First, here are this week’s FAAB reports for the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues: |
7:29 |
: Auction |
7:29 |
|
7:29 |
: Draft: |
7:29 |
|
7:30 |
: I’m buying Lyles where possible. His pitch mix has changed (dumped sinker) for the better. |
7:30 |
: Fine to give up on Margot in 10-team mixer yes? |
7:31 |
: Yes, seems like little upside this season |
7:31 |
: What are you doing with Jon Gray in a 12 team h2h? K% and xFIP are great, but so inconsistent… Thanks! |
7:32 |
: Sitting. I think he may be hurt. His velo and spin were down the start before last but I haven’t checked his last start. |
7:32 |
: Expectations for Soto? Thanks! |
7:32 |
: Limited but he could take off like Lindor a few years back. |
7:32 |
: If you had to move one of Chris Archer or Carlos Martinez (20 team dynasty w/25 players, 20 man minor league roster) who would you choose to move? |
7:33 |
: Archer, he’s never proven he can navigate a lineup 3 times. |
7:33 |
: Very deep AL league, which MI to pick up? Saladino, Goodrum, Iglesias |
7:33 |
: Goodrum for now |
7:34 |
: Better add for RF: Jason Heyward, Mac Williamson, Kole Calhoun (roster currently includes Souza/Chris Owings as RF options) |
7:35 |
: Punt … Heyward but I’d keep looking |
7:35 |
: Best 2B/SS option in a 12 team roto – Pirela, Kinsler, Russell, Josh Harrison, Duffy? Thank you! |
7:35 |
: And now answer it. Harrison with redraft, Russell keeper |
7:35 |
: Need SP help in my H2H 10 team points league. Looking to move Cody Bellinger for Dallas Keuchel. Hoping Keuchel finds a groove. Dumb move? |
7:36 |
: Seems OK, Keuchel’s fine. He’s just being compared to the rest of the Astros staff |
7:36 |
: Jon Gray becoming “droppable” in 12-team? |
7:36 |
: Just bench for now |
7:36 |
: M. Olson or C Santana ROS in 5×5 Avg league? |
7:36 |
: Santana |
7:36 |
: What do you think about Ross stripling in deeper league? |
7:37 |
: I try not to …. seems like a Streamer, not a keeper |
7:38 |
: Would you start Cahill (2 starts) in a 14 team points league over any of these next week: Archer v. BOS, Arrieta v. ATL, or Maeda v. COL. Thanks! |
7:38 |
: Start Cahill over Arrieta |
7:38 |
: What OAK SP would you add? Graveman or Gossett? |
7:38 |
: Graveman and hope he’s made a change |
7:39 |
: If Gohara pitches well on Wednesday vs. Philly, does he keep a rotation spot over Soroka? Worth a pick up, FAAB%? |
7:39 |
: Worth owning in all leagues to see how his playing time plays out. |
7:40 |
: Jeff, just lost Pollock. Would you move Luis Castillo for G. Polanco or Teoscar if you were in need of hitting? |
7:40 |
: I think you can aim higher with Castillo’s last few starts |
7:40 |
: Know you will get a ton of Soto questions, but does the lack of upper minors experience temper expectations at all? Are you buying S. Dominguez as the Phils closer? Or is Gohara a better investment for this season assuming saves and SP are equal needs |
7:41 |
: On Soto, I have some reservations but the Nats need help with a ton of OF injuries. Soto may just play replacement level ball but that is probably all the Nats are hoping for. |
7:42 |
: Owners should understand he has been rushed but Washington is playing to win. I don’t blame them. He may not be ready but they don’t have many options. |
7:43 |
: Soto didn’t really force himself like Vlad is doing, this move is all off team needs |
7:43 |
: Drop Andrew Miller for Nate Jones? Or drop McCann (1 C league) and attempt to make a 2-1 trade. 12 team roto and I need saves. Thank you! |
7:44 |
: Reasonable if you need Saves. I’ve been hunting also. |
7:44 |
: Mancini or Choo for 5th OF spot? 12 team 5×5 roto OBP |
7:44 |
: Both need to be owned |
7:45 |
: Sorry, looking up their rankings |
7:46 |
: I’ll look up later |
7:47 |
: Got a bit on Meadows, O’Neill, and Soto tonight. Who would you prioritize? |
7:47 |
: Soto |
7:47 |
: Pick 3 ROS (5×5 redraft obp instead of avg): M Andujar, Juan Soto, J Aguilar, Jankowski, and Nimmo. Thanks! |
7:47 |
: Jankowski, Soto, ….. Andujar |
7:48 |
: 10 team mixed league – Alex Reyes, Skaggs, C Anderson, or Tailon? |
7:48 |
: Reyes and if available, owners should be grabbing him now. |
7:48 |
: Stripling and/or Lyles for bench spot 5×5 redraft? Thanks! |
7:48 |
: Lyles ……….Stripling |
7:49 |
: Can I drop Kinsler yet in a 12 team h2h? Feel like I’d get more use out of streaming SP / picking up a weekly hot bat… not hitting the ball with much authority at all… Thanks! |
7:49 |
: He’s fine to move on from in a 12-team league |
7:49 |
: Would you put a little cash down on Eloy if you’re certain to lose out on Soto? To beat the eventual rush? 20 teamer but redraft. |
7:49 |
: I’d go with Adames first |
7:50 |
: I feel the Rays are just waiting for Super-2 to pass |
7:50 |
: Better pick up… Franchy or Aaron Hicks ? |
7:50 |
: Franchy but watch the playing time for each one |
7:50 |
: You ok with Bird as a UTIL in a 12 team h2h? Thanks! |
7:51 |
: For a week or two, sure. Then re-evaluate. |
7:51 |
: What is gonna happen in St. Louis when cmart, wacha, mikolas, flaherty, Weaver, Reyes are all healthy? I own cmart and Reyes but weaver and flaherty on on the wire |
7:52 |
: One will get hurt or sent to the minors. Owners are just going to have to play this week to week |
7:53 |
: Dynasty – Give up Goldy & C Seager and any/all backups on my roster for Trout? |
7:54 |
: Depends on league depth. In my 20-team dynasty, I’d take the Goldy side and have a ton of trade chips and improvements. In a 10-team league, the top talent rules |
7:54 |
: Gohara worth keeping around in redraft NL only? |
7:54 |
: Help yea unless it is a 5-team league |
7:54 |
: Is a resurgent Gattis > Cervelli> |
7:54 |
: Do you need OBP vs HR |
7:54 |
: ? |
7:55 |
: Both will end up the same, this is kind of a needs play |
7:55 |
: So, I have Reyes & Musgrove set to return in my 12tm league. I need some offense & saves. Do I cut a Pivetta/Caleb Smith/Wacha/Flaherty for Soto or Seranthony? (Not sure what to do with Roberto Osuna either) |
7:55 |
: Osuna will play very little if at all this year. cuttable |
7:56 |
: I’d cut Wacha for sure |
7:57 |
: Better waiver pickup Olson j Martinez Soto conforto pick 2 |
7:57 |
: I need to be in your league: Also and Martinez |
7:57 |
: Just an FYI – Looks like Gray’s velo was back up this last start. Appears to be his 2nd highest avg velo of the year? |
7:57 |
: Thanks. I need to see the spin, it was down 200 rpm in the one start |
7:57 |
: What to do with Andrew Miller in a 10 team roto? Something seems wrong… |
7:58 |
: I could see it being tough to roster him in that format |
7:58 |
: Which of these do you hold onto in a standard 10 team H2H with no IP limits: Guerra, Kingham, Heaney, Newcomb, Junis. |
7:58 |
: Heaney right now |
7:58 |
: What % FAAB on Soto in a 15-team mixed (5 OF, shallow benches)? Trying to guess how much to win, and how much is actually worthwhile. Not sure who I’d be saving it for though – Vlad already stashed. |
7:59 |
: It took over 40% of initial FAAB in my Tout Wars league. Teams could be all in. |
7:59 |
: Owings kind of interesting? Did well last season, ARI seems to be batting him high in the order with pollock out |
8:00 |
: He’s a fine fill in with nice floor but little upside |
8:00 |
: Have Iglesias and Vizcaino as closers. Drop David Robertson for Winkler to cover ATL? |
8:00 |
: Yes |
8:00 |
: In a keeper league w/ $260 draft budget, 8 keepers w/ $5 salary increase yearly. Any FA pickups start at $11 salary. How much FAAB would u spend on Soto? |
8:01 |
: Depends on need but over 50% in a keeper league? |
8:01 |
: Yelich or deGrom in a 12 team h2h? Thanks! |
8:02 |
: deGrom. Decent pitching is tough to come by |
8:02 |
: Is Jarrod Dyson a worthwhile SB play in 12-teamer while I’m missing Pollock? |
8:02 |
: Yes, he’s prabably on par with Billy Hamilton at this point |
8:02 |
: Luis Castillo and Olson or Paxton – 12 team h2h? Thanks! |
8:02 |
: Castillo side |
8:03 |
: Do you think Seranthony Dominguez winds up the primary closer? SP eligible saves are gold in my league so I want to go big in FAAB but not sure. |
8:03 |
: I’m not sure of the final role but it looks good for him |
8:03 |
: Will Jesús Aguilar continue to produce and continue to get playing time when Braun/Thames return? |
8:03 |
: No, I think he goes back to a platoon once the other two come back |
8:04 |
: Carpenter and Chapman free for the taking in my 10 team 5×5. Do I drop Yonder, Olson, Franchy or Teo for either? |
8:05 |
: Carp for all, but Franchy first. |
8:05 |
: Would you be trying to sell Altuve at full price in a 14 team dynasty points league (if possible), or hold until he starts to turn it on? Power and speed non-existent so far… Thank you! |
8:06 |
: You might as well try to sell. Now, look to the league’s bottom teams and sell there with the hope Altuve turns it around |
8:06 |
: Lost Elvis Andrus and have been waiting on Kingery to start hitting in a keeper league. Thoughts about Kingery ROS? Will I be disappointed in 2 months if I drop him? Replacement options include Camargo, Rojas, Profar, Swanson. Thanks. |
8:07 |
: Possibly in a keeper league. I do like Swanson though and would blame an owner going with him if competing |
8:07 |
: pick up lyles and drop chen? |
8:07 |
: hell yea |
8:07 |
: How do you rank Ramos, Castillo, Mesoraco, and Suzuki the rest of the season? |
8:07 |
: Ramos, Suzuki …. who cares, they’re catchers |
8:07 |
: Am I worth picking up in a 16 teamer, head to head? |
8:07 |
: No |
8:08 |
: Dropping R. Zimmerman in a 14 team points league for any of: Brandon Crawford, Granderson, Parra? Thanks! |
8:08 |
: That sucks. Possibly Granderson number 1 depending on his matchups coming up this week. |
8:09 |
: Need to drop one of these guys: Castillo, Ross, Buehler, or Flaherty? Our league uses 6 points for a win, 1 for a K, 1 for INN. |
8:09 |
: Castillo |
8:09 |
: My rotation has all of a sudden become stocked via trades and FA: Sale, Snell, Clevinger, Price, Newcomb, Flaherty, and Gohara. Obviously too many SPs — who would you try to unload at peak value because you have regression concerns? |
8:09 |
: I’d just put out a general feeler on SP available and go from there |
8:10 |
: Godley seems to be faltering a little in the last few starts. Safe to drop in 10 team mixed? Prefer Flaherty or Lyles? Thanks. |
8:10 |
: I still like Godley. I might need to see what has changed |
8:10 |
: Mr Jeff!! Oh grace thee most grateful chatters with thy wisdom? Any hope for Danny Duffy? Good buy low candidate? |
8:11 |
: None, I’m bench with the hope he goes on the DL or finds out what is going on. |
8:11 |
: Feel like G Heredia needs to be owned in my AL only but I don’t have need (6 OF already). Should I snag him anyway (vs. a RP) or just let someone else reap the benefit? |
8:11 |
: Always pocket hitters when possible. Pitchers can be found. Sometimes hitters can’t be |
8:12 |
: Keone Kela or Brad Boxberger RoS? |
8:12 |
: Kela on K’s |
8:12 |
: Tallion or Flatherty |
8:12 |
: Get in a deeper league or with tougher opponents. Both but I lean Tallion |
8:12 |
: What percentage FAAB would you bid on Ian Happ and Jedd Gyorko in a 14 Team H2H points league. I have $73 dollars left and I need a 2B (currently have Kingery). |
8:13 |
: I’d go Gyorko for $5 and $1 on Happ. Possibly a little more on Gyorko |
8:13 |
: Looking for a pitcher (AL Only) that would match with Buxton in a trade. Can you throw out a name to give me a sense of level? Thanks! |
8:13 |
: Bundy |
8:14 |
: drop Devenski to pick up Parker or Seranthony? |
8:14 |
: Seranthony |
8:14 |
: Is Andrew Heaney legit? What to expect going forward? |
8:14 |
: Some signs point to a break out. I plan on writing him up this week |
8:14 |
: Gattis vs Cervelli I need AVG/R/HR/RBI |
8:14 |
: Don’t we all |
8:15 |
: Matt Carpenter has been struggling, but batted ball data seems like he’s unlucky. Should I be buying? |
8:15 |
: I’m worried about the K’s but I just traded for him in a deep league where I’m behind. I’m hoping for a regression rebound |
8:15 |
: Hit by the injury bug and need bodies. Ok to drop Zimmer in 12-team keeper for Soto, Du. Fowler, etc? |
8:15 |
: Sure |
8:16 |
: At least for those two |
8:16 |
: Teoscar or Buxton? |
8:16 |
: Buxton if you really need SB but Teoscar otherwise |
8:16 |
: Soler or Choo in a 12 team standard roto? Thanks! |
8:16 |
: Soler |
8:16 |
: 12 team H2H with deep rosters… is Lance Lynn still rosterable? |
8:17 |
: Maybe not. He falls in with a bunch of similar pitchers who haven’t put it all together |
8:17 |
: Jake Lamb worth reinserting in my lineup (weekly moves league) now over a Marwin Gonzalez or Ian Happ? Or wait a week and see how the shoulder reacts to more playing time before making a move? |
8:18 |
: Roll with Lamb. If he sucks, he’ll perform like the other two |
8:18 |
: Odubel or Schoop ROS in a 12 team roto? Thanks! |
8:18 |
: This is a power vs. AVG play. I’d go with Odubel this season |
8:19 |
: what do you think of Seranthony and Parker going forward? if you could pick one who do you take? |
8:20 |
: Seranthony rated higher but it’s a mess. I have no real insight. Bet on the talent |
8:20 |
: Al only redraft drop Kipnis for Bird? |
8:20 |
: yes |
8:20 |
: I wish they were all this easy. |
8:21 |
: Can only keep 4 (forever), in a 12 team h2h. I own Kershaw, Correa, Bryant, Harper, Freeman, and Albies. Which of these would you be trying to move to help win this year? Thanks! |
8:23 |
: Kershaw and Freeman but you’ll have to go old. If the team is winning, just keep them and enjoy the victory. That is why you accumulated them |
8:23 |
: Hi Jeff…how would you rank Matt Carpenter, Gyorko, JD Davis in a standard 5×5 Roto? |
8:23 |
: like you have them |
8:23 |
: Tyler O’Neill is stronger than your chat |
8:23 |
: No brainer |
8:23 |
: Archer or Lamb in a 12 team h2h? My rotation is: Kershaw, deGrom, Paxton, Nola, Quintana, Ray, Snell, Archer, Jon Gray… Thank you! |
8:24 |
: Drop Quintana |
8:24 |
: Will we see Willie Calhoun this year? When? |
8:24 |
: With the Rangers out of it and Calhoun not hitting, they have no reason to start his service clock |
8:24 |
: Drop Alonso for Niko Goodrum? |
8:24 |
: no |
8:25 |
: Is Vlad worth picking up now in 10 team 5×5? Or wait for now? 5 bench, 3 DL spots. |
8:25 |
: Get him now |
8:25 |
: Drop Danny Duffy for Matt Boyd? H2H categories |
8:25 |
: Possibly. I’m only hesitant because I’m not a Boyd fan |
8:26 |
: Last spot in a 12 team h2h – Kinsler, Matt Adams, Villanueva, Brian Anderson, Harrison, Margot, Muncy? Thanks! |
8:26 |
: Adams, right the hot hand |
8:26 |
: Do you think Ozuna’s ever going to break out of his funk? |
8:26 |
: Hopefully |
8:26 |
: is Daniel Roberston, a keeper or dropable player this season |
8:26 |
: Not a keeper |
8:26 |
: Rather have jankowski or Tyler o Neill in a h2h cat 6×6 league? |
8:27 |
: Do you need HR or SB? Also Jankowski has a good OBP |
8:27 |
: 10 team obp keep forever- I have Soto, vlad/senzel/Calhoun taken…who should I stash next? A. Riley? O’neil? Others? |
8:27 |
: Aim high Tatis |
8:27 |
: Yo Jeff, I got offered Gallo and Colome for my Goldy in a 10 team points league, what are your thoughts? I’m thinking no |
8:28 |
: No is the correct answer |
8:28 |
: Is Ryan Braun worth keeping in single season league when decent options are available on waivers? |
8:28 |
: Maybe |
8:28 |
: Am I crazy if I’m hesitant to give up Odubel for Hoskins straight up? |
8:28 |
: No, I’m not sure where Hoskin’s power has gone |
8:28 |
: Drafted Albies and Murphy in 10-team. Can I salvage any value from Murphy in trade and what’s a fair target? |
8:29 |
: Murphy is getting close but he may not have much value now. See if he starts hitting and then move him |
8:29 |
: Thoughts on Mac Williamson rest of season |
8:29 |
: Not many |
8:29 |
: When do you expect to see Vlad? |
8:30 |
: Around ASG |
8:30 |
: Votto for Kluber in OBP league? Have Hosmer, Belt and Olson as 1B alternatives. Thanks! |
8:30 |
: Do it |
8:30 |
: Ju Fowler 20 SBs…..over/under |
8:30 |
: under now |
8:30 |
: And that’s it for this week. I tried to get to as many questions as possible. |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Amazing work answering fast and furious. Thanks for the chat!