Stream, Stream, Stream: 2x SP 5.26-6.1

Thank you for your patience with me as I missed last week’s piece to attend a funeral in Minot, North Dakota. Now, onto this week’s business, but not before first taking a look at the running totals through week six:

9-8 record
4.17 ERA
8.3 K/9
2.8 K/BB
1.28 WHIP

Needless to say, the pre-DL Tyler Lyons clunker took its own toll on these stats. Let’s get back on track.

Here’s a look at this week’s recs, with team wOBA in parentheses:

RHP Nathan Eovaldi – 46.2% ESPN/46% Y!/80% ESPN (50% start) – @WAS (.309), v. ATL (.298)

A blowup in San Francisco (six earned over 4.1 innings) caused many to jump ship, with few opting for life preservers in a win over the Phillies in the interim. That can be expected, as not only is the Phillies offense not particularly good (.310 wOBA right around the MLB midpoint), but Eovaldi only whiffed a pair while allowing 10 hits over six innings. The 12 groundball outs was a nice touch, but not enough to keep the righty from halving his ownership rate from almost 90 percent down to under 50. But let’s be honest, how often is one going to find a pitcher who throws 95-plus, fans more than league average (7.7 per 9), and burns worms at a well above league average rate (51.3 percent GB rate). I’m not picking up Eovaldi to stream, but to keep to be perfectly honest. Consider it.

LHP Jose Quintana – 9.1% ESPN/36% Y!/83% CBS (54% start) – v. CLE (.323), v. SDP (.279)

Outside of a five earned run blip on the radar screen (Apr 19 v. Texas), Quintana has been cruising along for the White Sox to the tune of three earned runs or less in his other nine starts. That includes a run of six straight dating back to that outing against the Rangers. The 25-year-old left-hander has made the Pale Hose look wise for locking him up ($21m/five years) in the offseason, not only hanging onto his typical brand of 7ish strikeouts per nine, but bumping his groundball rate just above league average. That’s a nice combo, and a big reason why his 3.67 ERA has been 100 percent legit so far to date. At the outset it again looks like wins may be hard to come by for the lefty (two through 10 starts after nine in 33 last year), but he should be a good bet to log solid innings and he does have a couple reasonable matchups this week.

RHP Phil Hughes – 24% ESPN/33% Y!/70% CBS (47% start) – v. TEX (.310), @NYY (.323)

That’s not a misprint; yes, I’m recommending the born-again Hughes for his first return trip to the Bronx. Even though he’s facing a still above-average, if not particularly intimidating Yankee offense, there are still a lot of demons to be exorcised here. Don’t forget the team he’s pitching for too, and what beating the Yankees has meant — or not meant, as it were — to the Ron Gardenhire-era Twins over the past 12-13 years. Hughes is on a roll though, having not walked a hitter since the second inning back on April 20. That means Hughes has 29 strikeouts since his last walk, and that’s impressive even for a guy who is really surviving on just a couple variations of a fastball. Whether or not it’s truly sustainable will be hard to know for sure right now, but with a run like he’s been on (last six starts: 5-0, 1.60 ERA, 30/1 K/BB, .253/.256/.331 batting line), it’s worth trying to ride out.

We hoped you liked reading Stream, Stream, Stream: 2x SP 5.26-6.1 by Brandon Warne!

Please support FanGraphs by becoming a member. We publish thousands of articles a year, host multiple podcasts, and have an ever growing database of baseball stats.

FanGraphs does not have a paywall. With your membership, we can continue to offer the content you've come to rely on and add to our unique baseball coverage.

Support FanGraphs




In addition to Rotographs, Warne writes about the Minnesota Twins for The Athletic and is a sportswriter for Sportradar U.S. in downtown Minneapolis. Follow him on Twitter @Brandon_Warne, or feel free to email him to do podcasts or for any old reason at brandon.r.warne@gmail-dot-com

newest oldest most voted
thalooch
Member
thalooch

what’s wrong with brandon mccarthy? 2 starts at home vs the Padres (droool) and the Reds….who also have forgotten how to hit.

samyoung
Member
Member
samyoung

Yes, McCarthy! And his next start after those could be against Atlanta, which is another favorable matchup.

majnun
Member
majnun

I feel like Atlanta is coming out of bad times. That’s a good lineup.

samyoung
Member
Member
samyoung

^perhaps. In any case, it’s probably best not to put too much stock in the potential ATL matchup yet, as a lot can change between now and then. Plus, if it’s not ATL it’s @COL, which is basically a no-go.