Halfway through week two, here we are:
I think that’s about the best one could expect so far. Regression is coming though, right? I wanted badly to recommend Garrett Richards for this week (@WAS, @NYY), but his ownership rates in CBS leagues (76 percent) are far too high for me to appeal to my unwritten rule that at least two of the three leagues have to be under 50 percent (between Yahoo!/ESPN/CBS Sports).
So here’s who you get this week:
RHP Zach McAllister – 2.6% ESPN/9% Yahoo!/43% CBS – v. KC, @SF
McAllister wasn’t great the first time out versus the A’s, but has been quite solid the past two times he’s toed the rubber. The 26-year-old right-hander twirled 7.2 innings of shutout ball on April 9 versus the Padres (seven strikeouts), and followed that up with six innings of one-run ball versus divisional favorite Detroit. McAllister has had a pair of unheralded, yet solid seasons with the Indians prior to 2014 (combined 3.99 ERA, 7.3 K/9 over 259.2 innings), and now looks as though he’s settled into his spot in the middle of the Indians rotation. The Giants have showed a pretty good offensive effort so far (.326 wOBA), but the Royals have been sputtering (.287) and should give McAllister a pretty good shot to be an asset this week.
RHP Wily Peralta – 4.0% ESPN/14% Yahoo!/43% CBS – v. SD, v. CHC
Peralta has been fantastic (2-0, 1,96 ERA, 61.8% GB rate) on the back end of what has been a phenomenal Brewers rotation (collective 2.52 ERA good for third in MLB). The 24-year-old has phenomenal raw stuff (heater averaging 95.2 this year with a mid-80s slider), so while the strikeout rates lag behind a little bit (6.4 per 9 career rate), there is certainly some hidden potential there. Add to that his groundball propensity (52.3 percent career rate), and it isn’t difficult to see more than back-end utility for the thickly-built Dominican. Oh, and this week he gets the Cubs and Astros, whose offenses are 28th and 29th in team wOBA. Peralta should feast on these two.
RHP Jake Odorizzi – 1.8% ESPN/6% Yahoo!/49% CBS – v. MIN, @CWS
Odorizzi’s availability is up in some leagues simply because he’s had a rough start to the season. What more can smooth out a rough start than a run through the AL central, where he’ll get the punchless Twins (.374 team SLG). The upstart White Sox pose an interesting challenge (.340 team wOBA, third in MLB), though their legitimacy can rightfully be questioned at this juncture in the opinion of this writer. Odorizzi’s 5.63 ERA is certainly unsightly, but he’s been victimized by a high BABIP (.333), a weak strand rate (63.6 percent), and in all honesty has had a pair of good starts sandwiched around a clunker (seven earned runs versus the Royals in just five innings pitched). Outside of that start, he’s allowed three earned runs in 11 innings (2.45 ERA).
Here’s a link to the updated spreadsheet. Please feel free to ask questions below, as invariably I’ll have missed a pitcher whom you like better than these guys. I’m always willing to give the best advice I can here, or on Twitter.
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