Stream, Aim, Fire: Friday and Saturday Streaming Options
You got a bonus pick last week and we still killed it overall. Edwin Jackson was the only ho-hum start, posting a decent ERA but failing to strike many batters out or secure a victory. The rest were on point, though, so let’s try and ride that momentum for what might be the final edition of “Stream Aim Fire” before we move to a new format. As always, I aim for 50/25/15/5 ownership wherever possible (this week it wasn’t, really).
I also want to note quickly that if the Arz/SD series were in Petco, I’d be rolling with Stults, McCarthy and Cashner. As it is, though, it’s going to be nearly 100 degrees at Chase Field, pumping up the likely run scoring environment for that series. Chase has been uncommonly friendly so far but won’t be as things heat up.
A.J. Griffin (49% owned) – The strikeouts are down a bit and the walks up a bit from his stellar rookie season, but Griffin is still a decent fantasy option. The decline in ground ball rate is also of some concern, as is the ridiculous 24.1% line drive rate. So why stream a 4.20 FIP given all of these negative indicators? In a word, Astros. The Streamin’ ‘Stros continue to be an effective strategy (and unfortunately the Marlins don’t provide us with any options for Friday and Saturday), as they have a below-average wOBA and a well above-average strikeout rate. Last time he faced Houston, he posted 8 strikeouts in six innings, allowing eight baserunners and just a pair of runs. Dial it up again.
Ricky Nolasco (2%) – Since I’m not using McCarthy this week, as a blogger I’m contractually obligated to talk about Nolasco instead. As always, Nolasco is underperforming his peripherals, furthering his reputation as the anti-Cain. But a 3.96 ERA and 3.51 FIP are serviceable. Plus, when you don’t walk anyone and are playing against a team that rarely walks in the White Sox, you give yourself a bit more room for error. The South Siders also strikeout more than an average squad and have just a .300 wOBA against righties, setting Nolasco up well for everything but a win. Thanks again, Marlins.
Jonathan Pettibone (5%) – The Nationals are averaging less than three runs a game over their last dozen. They’ve been held to two runs or less eight times in that span. The offense is sputtering, posting a .654 OPS as a unit with just a .289 on-base percentage. Bryce Harper is the only stick that’s swinging. Pettibone, meanwhile, has been making the smoke-and-mirrors thing work to a 3.00 ERA. The peripherals are terrible (4.84 FIP, thanks to his tiny strikeout rate), but you can survive against Washington without missing bats.
Week 7 Average: 7.7 IP, 0.6 W, 1.40 ERA, 3.57 FIP,0.9 WHIP, 4.2 K, 4-of-5 successful
Season Average: 5.9 IP, 0.4 W, 4.29 ERA, 4.15 FIP, 1.3 WHIP, 4.2 K, 17-of-29 successful
Blake Murphy is a freelance sportswriter based out of Toronto. Formerly of the Score, he's the managing editor at Raptors Republic and frequently pops up at Sportsnet, Vice, and around here. Follow him on Twitter @BlakeMurphyODC.
Where are you seeing the news about Carlos Martinez starting? Also the Cards face the Dodgers this weekend, not the Cubs.
False alarm, major apologies – error in the script I used to pull in the probable starters for the weekend. The other three stand. Sorry guys!
quick, please! I don’t see this Martinez news anywhere
False alarm, sorry (see above).
SOMEONE IS WRONG ON THE INTERNET!!!1!
Who is starting for the Cards on Saturday though?
John Gast. Has been OK through 2 starts thanks to limiting mistakes and was killing it in AAA. Has a ho-hum track record in minors, though, and I haven’t watched him pitch yet. Proceed with caution – Dodgers O isn’t great but their BB/K rates don’t make this a layup.
I thought Who was on first?
Griffin, E. Santana or Kendricks rest of the season?
Erv. I believe in the improved control. He’s not as good as he has been this year (neither has Kendrick) but he’s better than he was, if that makes sense.
wait, so John Danks versus the Marlins on Friday isn’t a good option? I know Danks has had his issues, and he’s coming back from injury, but the Marlins are the worst offense in baseball, and second worst against lefties (only to Washington). AND, the White Sox are averaging 5.5 runs of support over the last week or so…
He’s a solid option, I’d suggest. I wrote this mid-Wednesday and he hadn’t been confirmed yet on MLB.com probable pitchers.
Danks’ control was off a bit in his rehab stint and he obviously struggled last year, but you couldn’t ask for a softer landing spot.
“Bryce Harper is the only stick that’s swinging.” Doesn’t Ryan Zimmerman’s ~ .900 OPS in May count? Even better over his last 7 games: .292/.414/.583 triple slash. Why does everyone seem to forget that Zimmerman has been the Nationals best hitter for the better part of the last decade? Harper will likely take that title from him at some point, but not until he has that first .300, 30+, 100+ season or at least outproduces Zimmerman for a few years.
Yeah, Zimm’s turning it on, that’s fair. Still like to stream against them, though. Actually gave me a good topic for the Beyond the Box Score podcast for tomorrow.
Which topic, streaming against the Nationals or the forgotten Ryan Zimmerman?
Zimmermann – audio if you’re interested: http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2013/5/24/4360360/btbs-podcast-59-gausface-killahs
What are your thoughts on Phelps @TB?
Like the pitcher, don’t love the match-up with TB. Don’t trust him to limit the free passes against a good-to-great offense.
Chase Field has a retractable roof and the HVAC will be blasting, so I am not sure why the game time temp in Phoenix matters…
Historically, Chase plays harder for pitchers as the weather warms up. The HVAC might limit the effect some, but it’s still present.